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The Swamp

  • #10,401
  • Dec 12, 2016 1:21am Dec 12, 2016 1:21am
Quoting PayTheLimit
{quote} what about the Olympics property bubble theory I've read about once or twice, does it hold any water? you seen any stats on that?
Please share, would not mind having a look at it. In my opinion the property bubble always bursts after and not before. Over the last few bubble bursts we have seen they have usually bursted right after the Olympics and not before. In 2008 the Olympics dates were Aug 8-24th. In 2008 the market crashed on Sept 28th.
Nothing is impossible but I hardly doubt Japan would allow a huge crash to take place before their Olympics. Prior to the Olympics what takes place usually is more spending or as the EU or FED would call it "Monetary Spending". My prediction is that they would want a lower currency before and during Olympics to boost local economy for locals.
  • #10,402
  • Dec 12, 2016 1:29am Dec 12, 2016 1:29am
Quoting stylinex
{quote} Please share, would not mind having a look at it. In my opinion the property bubble always bursts after and not before. Over the last few bubble bursts we have seen they have usually bursted right after the Olympics and not before. In 2008 the Olympics dates were Aug 8-24th. In 2008 the market crashed on Sept 28th. Nothing is impossible but I hardly doubt Japan would allow a huge crash to take place before their Olympics. Prior to the Olympics what takes place usually is more spending or as the EU or FED would call it "Monetary Spending"....
I don't have the articles in from of me. But IF I recall correctly, cities that are hosting an Olympics tend to experience a decline in property prices after the games. Not sure if the stats hold water for all the games. If they did, I might to look to be a buyer after the games is what I suggest.
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #10,403
  • Dec 12, 2016 1:39am Dec 12, 2016 1:39am
Quoting PayTheLimit
{quote} I don't have the articles in from of me. But IF I recall correctly, cities that are hosting an Olympics tend to experience a decline in property prices after the games. Not sure if the stats hold water for all the games. If they did, I might to look to be a buyer after the games is what I suggest.
They go up before and go down after. You have 4 years to go before the Olympics so you buy now and sell after
  • #10,404
  • Dec 12, 2016 1:41am Dec 12, 2016 1:41am
Quoting stylinex
{quote} They go up before and go down after. You have 4 years to go before the Olympics so you buy now and sell after
Good call, I forgot what year it was....
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #10,405
  • Dec 12, 2016 2:24am Dec 12, 2016 2:24am
Quoting stylinex
{quote} Yeah, I did my math. Rental income will be in YEN. The two units I found pay for themselves at current rental income in 14 years calculated at 115 YEN. If YEN goes to 120 then it will be less years. Now if YEN appreciates back to 100 then I made out quite well and if not where else can you find a property where net rental income pays for property in 13-14 years? Property in Osaka has been appreciating and I reckon it will continue to do so until Olympics are over. The next 4 years prior to Olympics in Japan things will be ok in Japan. Japanese...
Good, make sure you invest in the right place, it shouldn't be all about exchange rate and price, the location and property itself also is important.
  • #10,406
  • Dec 12, 2016 2:34am Dec 12, 2016 2:34am
Quoting edyraper
{quote} Good, make sure you invest in the right place, it shouldn't be all about exchange rate and price, the location and property itself also is important.
Exactly Location Location Location... Tokyo and Osaka have a few spots that is hard to go wrong with
  • #10,407
  • Dec 12, 2016 2:44am Dec 12, 2016 2:44am
Quoting stylinex
{quote} Exactly Location Location Location... Tokyo and Osaka have a few spots that is hard to go wrong with
Do you speak Japanese ?
  • #10,408
  • Dec 12, 2016 3:01am Dec 12, 2016 3:01am
Quoting edyraper
{quote} Do you speak Japanese ?
I wish but I do speak Chinese as well. Local chicks should not be too hard to find
  • #10,409
  • Dec 12, 2016 3:24am Dec 12, 2016 3:24am
shorting usd/chf from 1.0177 and usd/jpy from 115.83 manual closing
  • #10,410
  • Dec 12, 2016 3:27am Dec 12, 2016 3:27am
Quoting Amg63
shorting usd/chf from 1.0177 and usd/jpy from 115.83 manual closing
just put trailing stop on the usd/chf
  • #10,411
  • Dec 12, 2016 3:33am Dec 12, 2016 3:33am
anyone longing E/U for a short term pullback?
  • #10,412
  • Dec 12, 2016 5:49am Dec 12, 2016 5:49am
Quoting Amg63
shorting usd/chf from 1.0177 and usd/jpy from 115.83 manual closing
closed the u/j at 115.66, don't trust the retrace now. will look to go long at a better price around 113 if it get there.
  • #10,413
  • Dec 12, 2016 6:42am Dec 12, 2016 6:42am
Quoting Amg63
{quote} closed the u/j at 115.66, don't trust the retrace now. will look to go long at a better price around 113 if it get there.
trailing stop hit 1.01516,,made a few today on the side for a while.
  • #10,414
  • Dec 12, 2016 8:18am Dec 12, 2016 8:18am
FED week, anyone excited ?
  • #10,415
  • Dec 12, 2016 8:42am Dec 12, 2016 8:42am
Quoting Forexcube
I try it with eurusd, long @ 1.053030 just now. If some support lines here should be running down >1.0, ....>0.935 seems also possible for me. Maybe some "markov chains" and "information entropy" could describe the market process more qualified actually. Markov chain tells you the probabilitiy of hopping, or "transitioning," from one state to any other state.
#10'395

exit @ 1.0616, +85.7
(Daily DR1 1.0614)
  • #10,416
  • Dec 12, 2016 9:05am Dec 12, 2016 9:05am
Quoting Amg63
{quote} closed the u/j at 115.66, don't trust the retrace now. will look to go long at a better price around 113 if it get there.
Just saw it touched 116 earlier on and hit 116.12, Let's see what happens by Friday.
  • #10,417
  • Dec 12, 2016 3:25pm Dec 12, 2016 3:25pm
Possible double bottom on EU? what do you think?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu.jpg Size: 278 KB
  • #10,418
  • Dec 12, 2016 11:38pm Dec 12, 2016 11:38pm
Good Morning !

Today's SR levels on MT4 Templates for EURO, CABLE, DAX, USDJPY & EURGBP
FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #10,419
  • Dec 13, 2016 3:56am Dec 13, 2016 3:56am
Quoting goosebone
Good call back then gator. http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...08#post8639608 {image}
it may start topping with that norm
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #10,420
  • Dec 13, 2016 4:01am Dec 13, 2016 4:01am
Quoting edyraper
{quote} I see 129.xx, I'm also following 121.93 and the area for some potential bears. I'll look for smaller long setups to develop. {quote} {quote} Yep got these for shorts, closest to your levels. {quote}
#eurjpy 124.88 and 129.63
#gbpjpy 150.69 and 159.32
Possible bigger Rs
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