Revert to the Mean

Placing the stop along the 200sma is a guarantee to get hit.
Not sure what to do. There must be a lot of stops and limit orders along the 200sma.

Looking good let's see how far it can go.
Now that I have some idea how to deal with it when it's range bound using the hedging this is a really great system practical for any market condition.
the first short really shouldn't have been opened. I hadn't worked out the hedging.
Only a vague idea.

Graduated position sizes.
Start out very small for revert trades.. If the trade completes there is a small gain.
If there is trending enter a little larger position size
Do that all the way until the end of the move. With largest position size the last one.

For the trend trade hedge... use next size up from smallest position size. In case it stops out. I think that will work. Will know soon enough.
I would have been able to close 6 hours ago and not still be in the position with market closed and not knowing what will happen when Tokyo opens.
A lot of the time Tokyo will reverse the gains from the day before.

That's it. closed for a loss.
Will try again tomorrow using graduated position sizes.
And hedging in consolidations.
One good thing getting up early. 1:30 am.
That's usually just when I am getting ready to consider taking rest.

For trending close at 200sma
For revert close at 400sma.
Lot going on.
Take every signal. Graduated position sizes.
Start out very very small.
Everything is hedged, I have to use two different accounts, US nonsense.
1x, 2x, 3x, 4x, 5x, etc.
Every signal that comes after a significant move.
OOPs test on GBPUSD. Meant to use EURUSD. Oh well
same basic principle.

closed the long hedge positions.
now only taking short signals
with graduated position size.
Or waiting for stops at the 400sma
Or a breakout higher and adding short graduated.

Wild. Probably a lot more to go short on this, but it hit the tp...
Damn spike messed up my chart.

Use the 200 lwma for a trailing stop for the trend. tighter stop
might get stopped out sometimes too soon. But will catch more of big move
Been missing exits for the revert. Maybe using the lwma 400 for the trailing stop would be better.