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Technical Analysis Fallacy

  • #56,461
  • Nov 19, 2016 1:43pm Nov 19, 2016 1:43pm
Quoting CookieMonsta
{quote} ah,but the garfield chair make her look more fun
yeah.
I was having much fun watching her charisma, forgot about the chair.
Anyway, Life, like markets,it changes.
Just have to deal with it best practises, althought we may develop bias.
regards
  • #56,462
  • Edited 4:53am Nov 20, 2016 4:20am | Edited 4:53am
Quoting fti
{quote} yeah. I was having much fun watching her charisma, forgot about the chair. Anyway, Life, like markets,it changes. Just have to deal with it best practises, althought we may develop bias. regards
Ah,

Haha, hit a bad patch on friday, when trading in a the range long of usdcad, something in my mind told me market might be flipping from going up to down felt the test upwards, someone pushing strongly upwards, but towards the end, felt like mm sensing the change, flipped in the range, maybe I still am too rigid, and i still ignored it, and ended up taking a loss, cost me half of the entire weeks profits, sigh

When market switching gears, it makes pa confusing
  • #56,463
  • Nov 20, 2016 3:48pm Nov 20, 2016 3:48pm
Quoting CookieMonsta
{quote} Ah, Haha, hit a bad patch on friday, when trading in a the range long of usdcad, something in my mind told me market might be flipping from going up to down felt the test upwards, someone pushing strongly upwards, but towards the end, felt like mm sensing the change, flipped in the range, maybe I still am too rigid, and i still ignored it, and ended up taking a loss, cost me half of the entire weeks profits, sigh When market switching gears, it makes pa confusing
PA was not confusing.
You was confused because you have not strategy deal with the change.
With more experience you will have more tricks in your bag deal with the confusing stuff.

Alternative , would be to allow position to bleed until you sighted PA that you can handle.
But this then can become very capital intensive.

regards
  • #56,464
  • Nov 20, 2016 3:52pm Nov 20, 2016 3:52pm
Quoting CookieMonsta
{quote} Ah, Haha, hit a bad patch on friday, when trading in a the range long of usdcad, something in my mind told me market might be flipping from going up to down felt the test upwards, someone pushing strongly upwards, but towards the end, felt like mm sensing the change, flipped in the range, maybe I still am too rigid, and i still ignored it, and ended up taking a loss, cost me half of the entire weeks profits, sigh When market switching gears, it makes pa confusing
PA was not confusing.
You was confused because you have not strategy deal with the change.
With more experience you will have more tricks in your bag deal with the confusing stuff.

Alternative , would be to allow position to bleed until you sighted PA that you can handle.
But this then can become very capital intensive.

regards

sometimes things breaks down, PA is not spared.
If it breaks down and becomes unmanagable.
Just dump the potato on the road side.

Go home drive the tow truck out and tow the potato home.
It pays to have a 4 wheeler with a winch?
  • #56,465
  • Edited 11:05pm Nov 20, 2016 5:30pm | Edited 11:05pm
Quoting fti
{quote} PA was not confusing. You was confused because you have not strategy deal with the change. With more experience you will have more tricks in your bag deal with the confusing stuff. Alternative , would be to allow position to bleed until you sighted PA that you can handle. But this then can become very capital intensive. regards sometimes things breaks down, PA is not spared. If it breaks down and becomes unmanagable. Just dump the potato on the road side. Go home drive the tow truck out and tow the potato home. It pays...
Thx for the advice, I guess I'm still inexperienced when it comes to becoming more flexible towards as the market changes gears and the mm required to handle it

guess its part of the journey to trade consistently, perhaps market is sounding out to me there still holes in my skills, and need to improve it
  • #56,466
  • Nov 20, 2016 11:09pm Nov 20, 2016 11:09pm
Quoting CookieMonsta
{quote} Thx for the advice, I guess I'm still inexperienced when it comes to becoming more flexible towards as the market changes gears and the mm required to handle it
if you didn't understand my drift about the 4 wheeler.
you do realise that if your scouts are trapped.
you don't have to send rescue until if you have experience resd the terrain send a big force capture rations and quickly withdraw the big force and your scoutd may have rations stand there forever if required.
Flexibility in thoughts of how utilise mo is important hor.
be flexible use your niches.

Rigidity is a curse.
their robots if build on algo will be rigid. You just need identify terrain and strategise your response and if you can identify their algo patterns , it becomes your niche.
They may also try build fuzzy logic in their rigidity. Which makes for them dummies. If you can understand their logics.
Mostly they will have rigidities which you can exploit when your terrain reads are above average.
If they try to read you moves , they will have to content with market pressures as well.
They are not the only balls in the park.



regards
  • #56,467
  • Edited Nov 21, 2016 3:29am Nov 20, 2016 11:39pm | Edited Nov 21, 2016 3:29am
Quoting fti
{quote} if you didn't understand my drift about the 4 wheeler. you do realise that if your scouts are trapped. you don't have to send rescue until if you have experience resd the terrain send a big force capture rations and quickly withdraw the big force and your scoutd may have rations stand there forever if required. Flexibility in thoughts of how utilise mo is important hor. be flexible use your niches. Rigidity is a curse. their robots if build on algo will be rigid. You just need identify terrain and strategise your response and if you can...
ah, yea, i guess what killed me was size, was trying to increase my size comfort level on friday, was definitely an experience, as i have always been trading a small acount size, and trying to scale back to the basic skew size of 1 1 2

yep, some algos seems always go for stops at around 00 levels, some like the 25 levels, some the 50 levels, seems some their mo is similar to sitting ducks
  • #56,468
  • Nov 21, 2016 1:00am Nov 21, 2016 1:00am
Quoting fti
{quote} their robots if build on algo will be rigid. You just need identify terrain and strategise your response and if you can identify their algo patterns , it becomes your niche. They may also try build fuzzy logic in their rigidity. Which makes for them dummies. If you can understand their logics. Mostly they will have rigidities which you can exploit when your terrain reads are above average. If they try to read you moves , they will have to content with market pressures as well. They are not the only balls in the park. regards
interesting...

rgds
Fall in love with the process, and the outcome takes care of itself.
  • #56,469
  • Edited 3:50pm Nov 21, 2016 3:31pm | Edited 3:50pm
Hey Chief,

After all these years I finally did the required reading.. and re-reading.

I remembered correctly, you really did quote IF by Rudyard Kipling in the very beginning of the thread.
  • #56,470
  • Edited 9:47pm Nov 21, 2016 6:47pm | Edited 9:47pm
Quoting fti
Quoting Gro
{quote} no Gro bear not that. Its just that after more than 14 hours of buillding up bear positions. She gets a little overweighted. Then mkt must find an excuse to shake the weak holders off the trail.The sell off point was 00. how the market dance the 00 will tell us whats her mood. there are only two possibilities, so watch out for tell tale signs, She will signal you at least 3 times before her move, probably more. so you may want to prepare another scout, the earlier scout had done his job. If the other scout deploy, also
...
Ah, another gem here, scouting without scout, the hip lop while in formation indicates support and resistance, when uses with ro3k and the general form, is the basis for my reading of pa without scout, and the deployment of scouts here offer scalp opportunities to tp if the feel is not right enough for a committed attack, with respect to the current leg range, and order of manifestation of the stick and their speed and thrust factor.

another read of ro3k which shows the hidden strength and weakness is also, who leads and who follows and the relative thrust and impulse factor or lack thereof and form as ro3k moves, as well as whose diverging from the pack. can also be used to read market form till satisfied then deploy scout

When people are buying/selling the failure swing in progress, whose on the other side? Well people like fti. then when would i be able to see when is the time to get in? when i see people being trapped, they become my scouts
  • #56,471
  • Nov 22, 2016 1:57am Nov 22, 2016 1:57am
Quoting CookieMonsta
{quote}{quote} Ah, another gem here, scouting without scout, the hip lop while in formation indicates support and resistance, when uses with ro3k and the general form, is the basis for my reading of pa without scout, and the deployment of scouts here offer scalp opportunities to tp if the feel is not right enough for a committed attack, with respect to the current leg range, and order of manifestation of the stick and their speed and thrust factor. another read of ro3k which shows the hidden strength and weakness is also, who leads and who follows...
the function of scout is for feel.
The method of victory is the strategy derived..
The scout must always win, but to rush to win will be a mistake/ In stalled situations. ability regroup ie damage control is vital.

Now i very eagle eyes at whats happening at fukushima.
will tell you things later.
regards

Inserted Video
  • #56,472
  • Edited 5:12am Nov 22, 2016 2:00am | Edited 5:12am
http://earthquaketrack.com/p/japan/recent
  • #56,473
  • Edited 5:49am Nov 22, 2016 5:24am | Edited 5:49am
tired eyes.

But i will spend a little time on higher ground for a holiday.
Wait see damage report.

ok back to chit chat.
if you extend for rescue, you know your safety is at fibo.
so if you extend for attack , where should you roll back for regrouping, if necessary?

And where do you replenish your logistics from?

Unless of course you had determined that the scout is dead in the waters.

Las thingy one would do is to panic retreat. So the stages of regrouping and exposures.
what is best practise?

One not want to rush.
that would be damage control of last resort.

And one doesn't want to go into death battle. That would be dangerous , also last resort.
Did you drive ego, even on attack? yu drive ego and may end up in death match.
What would be the strategy?

Think a little, it may come to you, cookie.

regards

hint: its a capitals game.

so where is point of no return. (refer the table that was given begining of thread)
so on normal book performance , where would the exposure rest.
unless one was forced into death battle.

Did you lose 3x daily average performance?
Did you protect from full exposure?
Or you too profitable , that you think all situation can be managable?
Do you understand the difference riding a trend and riding a loss?

Maybe if you think.
If one can win, winning should be effortless.
If its struggling, then one is not winning. refer bingfa.

You don't make the profits in 1 trade, try not to spend it all in 1 drinkhole.
its ok, ok lesson , you just lost some pee for a lesson.
remember it. its not a mistake, only a lesson.
is better than lost capital and spend few months recovering.
  • #56,474
  • Nov 22, 2016 5:31am Nov 22, 2016 5:31am
Quoting fti
you know your safety is at fibo.
Hey fti , Do you know the steepest angle that they are able to build a walking path?

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=ecuC8Iumd2A
Time hides Nothing
  • #56,475
  • Edited 8:40am Nov 22, 2016 5:53am | Edited 8:40am
Quoting CindyXXXX
{quote} Hey fti , Do you know the steepest angle that they are able to build a walking path? https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=ecuC8Iumd2A
For a healthy person, if the gradient not exceed fibo, should be ok.
Foe peeps like me who depend on wheel chair, flat is best.

but if you are willing to push chair for me, we can try 45 degrees?
If you are rocket scientist(or lift attendant) , we go straight up.



regards
  • #56,476
  • Nov 22, 2016 5:57am Nov 22, 2016 5:57am
Quoting fti
{quote} For a healthy person, if the gradient not exceed fibo, should be ok. Foe peeps like me who depend on wheel chair, flat is best. regards
61.9 degrees my friend... psychologically speaking anything more is "too steep" for most mortals

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=CoOibAstPJ4
Time hides Nothing
  • #56,477
  • Nov 22, 2016 6:00am Nov 22, 2016 6:00am
Hope you're well man,

they should be paying you,
do i need to crack some skulls?


https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=GmoS_E4qhDs
Time hides Nothing
  • #56,478
  • Nov 22, 2016 6:30am Nov 22, 2016 6:30am
Quoting fti
tired eyes. But i will spend a little time on higher ground for a holiday. Wait see damage report. ok back to chit chat. if you extend for rescue, you know your safety is at fibo. so if you extend for attack , where should you roll back for regrouping, if necessary? And where do you replenish your logistics from? Unless of course you had determined that the scout is dead in the waters. Las thingy one would do is to panic retreat. So the stages of regrouping and exposures. what is best practise? One not want to rush. that would be damage control...
well, i will reaverage, and as market swing up i bring troops out, say im in with 1 1 2 3 then at 5, i reavgerage in, 2 3 is be with 5 cap, but market turning, i take 2 3 5 out leave 2, then if im still quite a distance away i put 3 to take 1 then another 3 to take 1

no in fact i have been trying to move away from the 3x p&l benchmark for losses taking, to move towards a fixed loss, standard, so performance is benchmarked to r&r, so accuracy rate is not as huge an impact, but now r&r is focused as directed by attacks, so that the p&l has enough characteristics of richard dennis style, while being nimble to scalp profits as way to try for nice swings, hence hip lop turning poimts are sly for timing advantages. this is so that the loss table can be mitigated and the is an implied edge, implications is accuracy rate will suffer some but recovery should be swift. the maxim is to not let losses get so far out that it becomes difficult to handle. however there is rigidity in terms of the loss amount, but the dancing of pa should allow for scaling of at least some amount of volatility range. that was the reason i asked for your opinion of richard dennis, as there was some implied edge in his mo, except there is the rigidity, if that can be taken out, it should be even more powerful.

This experiment is also to see if it's possible to use some leverage, for a fixed sum while keeping my networth unexposed to sudden crashes and the like, like if my networth is 50k, only 5k will be exposed, and each trade, only 50 dollars is exposed, but returns hopefully is more than 50 to 100 dollars.
  • #56,479
  • Nov 22, 2016 6:30am Nov 22, 2016 6:30am
Mama duck , did you see how fast that duck went?
yaya, if your tail was on fire, you'll go that fast too.

hahahahahaha
regards
  • #56,480
  • Nov 22, 2016 6:36am Nov 22, 2016 6:36am
Quoting fti
Mama duck , did you see how fast that duck went? yaya, if your tail was on fire, you'll go that fast too. hahahahahaha regards
Egocentrically speaking

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=Q_WHGV5bejk
Time hides Nothing
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