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Technical Analysis Fallacy

  • #56,401
  • Nov 10, 2016 9:25pm Nov 10, 2016 9:25pm
Quoting RelaxRay
I always like Garfield. he is my favourite comic. He have introduced me, with great success to the world of lasagna. haha, but, I stand against his stance on Mondays. rgds {quote} ok noted on gameplan. thanks. i am actually trying to find more data for next year potential red flag event. i found there might be a slight possibility of a "fraxit" too, if French President don't run. http://www.france24.com/en/20160907-...idacy-suspense still doing my research there, anyone kind to chip in? One thing...
well rate hike is a major one, new management on board, market trying to sense fed position and waiting fed to show some moves first, diff management diff style, so market may be trying to pulse and sense new management direction and fed.

yesterday market already showed that they maybe unsure moving into new management. going into fed's speech yesterday, market showed hesitation. and with philipines now changing alliance from us to china, maybe china is showing signs of poising up to make a move? seems china trying to be big brother in sea region, with the kra canal, allying more with malaysia and all, makes me wonder how this might hit usd.
  • #56,402
  • Nov 10, 2016 11:48pm Nov 10, 2016 11:48pm
hi. what you can says about COT analisys from CME?

i use COT analysis, and get well direction to trade. and i have profit.

breakdown trade systems always give some profit every week.
  • #56,403
  • Nov 11, 2016 11:47am Nov 11, 2016 11:47am
Quoting maximka1980
hi. what you can says about COT analisys from CME? i use COT analysis, and get well direction to trade. and i have profit. breakdown trade systems always give some profit every week.
eeeeeeer nothing, i don't use it.

if you are profits, good for you.

regards
  • #56,404
  • Nov 11, 2016 11:22pm Nov 11, 2016 11:22pm
Quoting RelaxRay
{quote} hehe, paying attention to somewhere else? rgds so captivating... . her voice her voice!
eeeer she is professional radio DJ.

usually DJ only spin records. in china DJ has additional entertainer skills.
radio is changing.

I like her natural internalised skills ride air waves.
Smooth......

regards

Inserted Video
  • #56,405
  • Edited Nov 12, 2016 12:05am Nov 11, 2016 11:41pm | Edited Nov 12, 2016 12:05am
Quoting CookieMonsta
{quote} garfield chair
good dancers. wonder who choreography this.
good ballet with breaking furnitures.

Inserted Video


ok who is paying for the broken furnitures?

ai ya he probably breaks garfield.
Inserted Video


seee i told you. where garfield?
Inserted Video


regards
  • #56,406
  • Nov 12, 2016 3:19am Nov 12, 2016 3:19am
Quote
The way that orders are executed on Trade platform is changing to an Order Driven Model.
As we informed you on 2016 10 ...th newsletter starting from 2016 11 ...th the way that orders are executed on ...Trade platform is changing from a Quote Driven Model to an Order Driven Model.
A Quote Driven Model (green pricing) provides an executable full amount price. It is liquid model but lacks transparency by creating a Liquidity Mirage i.e. allowing clients to receive a guaranteed price for full order amount, when there may be no such...

Quote
price in a disorderly market.
An Order Driven Model provides an executable price provided to ...clients that is based on market makers own liquidity, in addition to liquidity available on a DMA (Direct Market Access) basis in the broader market. The client is provided with greater control over the way that their order is traded through user defined Price Tolerance, with the potential for benefiting from price improvement. An Order Driven Model may result in partial fills, but under normal market conditions a Market IOC order will be...

Quote
An instruction to buy or sell as much of the order as possible within pre-defined tolerances of a limit price, immediately. Immediately means the order is placed with a 5 second Time-to-Live (TTL). This can result in a partial fills. The order will not continue working until the full amount is filled. If a partial amount is done, any residual amount will be cancelled.

Hello FTI and Colleagues Retail Traders,

I have just received the above quoted notification from my broker and starting to realize what is it about. At the very first glance, it is something formally new to feed us - retailers. Presumably, it would challenge me and one must see how it works in reality. And I can only ASSUME so far what might be behind this broker move.

I would much appreciate if any of you have had such experience in trading execution mode and, if so, please share you knowledge and opinion.

Many thanks for your contribution.

Kind regards, Exnav

P.S. I marked some text in bold so to high highlight the most curious data
Not to Advance is to Fall Back
  • #56,407
  • Nov 12, 2016 3:56am Nov 12, 2016 3:56am
eeeer there is an issue that was brought to my attention.
This friend's electronic access went into black out during the us elections.

do not use brokers who's only market access is electronic.
use brokers who has manual telephone services as well as platform.
for your own peace of mind.
If you are caught in position and has no airwaves access ,
or electronic is hacked.
then you need depend on land lines access markets.
also trade electronic few days and manual tele few days.
to make sure the telephone access is always available.
also help create jobs. Lots people have no work. This helps them, also keeps you always able access markets in multiple channels.
No one should use services that have no alternative market access, unless you like get caught in positions with no way out.

In deal room, we have telephone, telex, dealing platforms, and counters.
If need bring gunny sacks of currencies to exchange when necessary.

no one knows, cannot tell what can happen.
Learn be safe than be sorry. esp if you are trading good sizes.

regards
  • #56,408
  • Edited 4:31am Nov 12, 2016 4:01am | Edited 4:31am
Quoting Exnav
{quote} {quote} {quote} Hello FTI and Colleagues Retail Traders, I have just received the above quoted notification from my broker and starting to realize what is it about. At the very first glance, it is something formally new to feed us - retailers. Presumably, it would challenge me and one must see how it works in reality. And I can only ASSUME so far what might be behind this broker move. I would much appreciate if any of you have had such experience in trading execution mode and, if so, please share you knowledge and opinion. Many thanks for...
eeeer that's why you need to read your contracts with your brokers carefully.
ask questions before sign, or ask experienced lawyer vet contract.
You can sign first, but if you detect anything withdrawal all your money until you find it safe continue.

would you sign a check that gives me all your money?

teach broking whats international standards. Otherwise find one who is professional and well regulated.

Your description indicates you are trading illiquid markets.
1 experience of unable fill without acceptable explaination and you dump broker or market. understand?

That makes sure 1. that you are trading in liquid market conditions that is not eaisly manipulated.
2. that you market access is professional.



regards

I don't think you broker is trying to bend you.
i Think they trying to tell you, what can happen to your trades in illiquidity. so choose your trade instruments/counters carefully.
seems its saying they broking and not market making.

they making sure you understand the risk of trading with them.
If they no market access, you no get prices. Understand?

You can ask them how many or if they have primary market access.
and if you are BIG, you can ask them who these are.
  • #56,409
  • Edited 6:10am Nov 12, 2016 4:35am | Edited 6:10am
Quoting Exnav
{quote} {quote} {quote} Hello FTI and Colleagues Retail Traders, I have just received the above quoted notification from my broker and starting to realize what is it about. At the very first glance, it is something formally new to feed us - retailers. Presumably, it would challenge me and one must see how it works in reality. And I can only ASSUME so far what might be behind this broker move. I would much appreciate if any of you have had such experience in trading execution mode and, if so, please share you knowledge and opinion. Many thanks for...
Hi exnav, possible for you to disclose who sent this? If this is true, there is no guarantee on execution order at a particular price, as there may not be guarantee on liquidity, in fast market conditions slippage will be extreme and you may not even be able to get out.

If you read Jesse Livermore reminiscence of a stock operator, the reason why he had so much slippage on execution orders is because of such conditions.
  • #56,410
  • Nov 12, 2016 4:43am Nov 12, 2016 4:43am
Quoting fti
{quote} good dancers. wonder who choreography this. good ballet with breaking furnitures. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UwHk3ZnLL28 ok who is paying for the broken furnitures? ai ya he probably breaks garfield. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_6baccbGUGc seee i told you. where garfield? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GGjAR8d57qs regards
Hehe, aunt thirteen, at the end

There's the cut and take two sign
  • #56,411
  • Nov 12, 2016 4:51am Nov 12, 2016 4:51am
Quoting fti
eeeer there is an issue that was brought to my attention. This friend's electronic access went into black out during the us elections. do not use brokers who's only market access is electronic. use brokers who has manual telephone services as well as platform. for your own peace of mind. If you are caught in position and has no airwaves access , or electronic is hacked. then you need depend on land lines access markets. also trade electronic few days and manual tele few days. to make sure the telephone access is always available. also help create...
These days it's not really that safe with landlines too, in SG they combining land lines to become digital, and phone lines and internet is together, if internet down, high chance landline is down too as all lines all go together in 1 connection box. example is, if your power is short circuits, your whole house down, even your landline as router is providing access to your internet and your landline.

In bank is different case I guess, got control over what and how it's designed and built, for small consumers, even that may not be as safe.

I have 1 mobile line and 1 home line for that reason, and my main execution machine got 2 a smartphone and a laptop, both have batteries embedded inside.
  • #56,412
  • Nov 12, 2016 5:02am Nov 12, 2016 5:02am
Quoting CookieMonsta
{quote} These days it's not really that safe with landlines too, in SG they combining land lines to become digital, and phone lines and internet is together, if internet down, high chance landline is down too as all lines all go together in 1 connection box. example is, if your power is short circuits, your whole house down, even your landline as router is providing access to your internet and your landline. In bank is different case I guess, got control over what and how it's designed and built, for small consumers, even that may not be as safe....
nonono. its you who choose merge your phone to the confuser.
digital does not mean everything is rolled into 1.
you think they no have contingencies if dataline goes down?

1 hack and all sg kaput? i don't think so. i think still have analog lines.

regards

eeeeeer can i take a look at your execution machine? please.
is it looks like this......
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: the_gallotine_by_darthwoo.jpg Size: 238 KB
  • #56,413
  • Nov 12, 2016 5:08am Nov 12, 2016 5:08am
Quoting CookieMonsta
{quote} I have 1 mobile line and 1 home line for that reason, and my main execution machine got 2 a smartphone and a laptop, both have batteries embedded inside.

eeeer i have generator set. you never heard of APS.
and i have solar water heater. also car which i can hook into if need. i think i am only one left who parks the car inside the house.
eeeeer garage. was all set for hybrid/alien car.


regards
  • #56,414
  • Nov 12, 2016 5:12am Nov 12, 2016 5:12am
Quoting fti
{quote} nonono. its you who choose merge your phone to the confuser. digital does not mean everything is rolled into 1. you think they no have contingencies if dataline goes down? 1 hack and all sg kaput? i don't think so. i think still have analog lines. regards eeeeeer can i take a look at your execution machine? please. is it looks like this...... {image}
Er, they already have talks about removing 2g networks in SG, so older mobile phones with only 2g networks will be unusable, words is that 2g utilisation is really low, and no point maintaining it.

http://info.singtel.com/personal/goo...dispatcher=302

I am not sure about the landline part, but not sure if the backend is digital, with VoIP. At some point I'm sure they will do it, not if they are smart or not, but greed can blind them.

If you look at smrt, they had a good leader from inception till somewhere near 2000s, then after that change in management, it just went down hill, so truth be told, I am very weary of what those so called "top management", for money they can do things which may not be in your favour.
  • #56,415
  • Nov 12, 2016 5:19am Nov 12, 2016 5:19am
Quoting CookieMonsta
{quote} Er, they already have talks about removing 2g networks in SG, so older mobile phones with only 2g networks will be unusable, words is that 2g utilisation is really low, and no point maintaining it. http://info.singtel.com/personal/goo...dispatcher=302
Ahhh lucky you, some of us still no G. my banker want make 2nd authetication need send people bring paper with funny words to my house still.

hahahahaha, and i confirm the funny words over the phone with the cashiers.



regards
  • #56,416
  • Nov 12, 2016 5:23am Nov 12, 2016 5:23am
Quoting fti
{quote} Ahhh lucky you, some of us still no G. my banker want make 2nd authetication need send people bring paper with funny words to my house still. hahahahaha, and i confirm the funny words over the phone with the cashiers. regards
Well, in terms of quality of life sure is, but for trading, it's risk, stability of execution is most important after all, better to bring paper manually do it than have no access at all. It's not what you know which kills you, it's what goes on behind your back.
  • #56,417
  • Edited 5:45am Nov 12, 2016 5:28am | Edited 5:45am
Quoting CookieMonsta
{quote} it's what goes on behind your back.
yeah , you are correct.
why do you think the divorce courts so full?
anyway changes.

like you said , it all depends on support.
peeps want cut their own throat or turn up the microwave, who can stop em.

i stlll waiting the send the micro wave and the ring ring explode. No need drones.
lap top. eeer maybe not. put a boom on my lap, no thanks.
have more efficient execution machine?

you are filled.................stable execution?



regards
  • #56,418
  • Nov 12, 2016 5:34am Nov 12, 2016 5:34am
Quoting fti
{quote} yeah , you are correct. why do you think the divorce courts so full? anyway changes. regards
Well, many stuff behind their backs eh, ah, matters of the heart, maybe not something which has any clear right or wrong, just cause and effect.

Ah well, good thing is at least the risk is identifiable

You mean this phone?

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=1SQ8-07ecOc
  • #56,419
  • Nov 12, 2016 5:57am Nov 12, 2016 5:57am
Quoting CookieMonsta
{quote} Well, many stuff behind their backs eh, ah, matters of the heart, maybe not something which has any clear right or wrong, just cause and effect. Ah well, good thing is at least the risk is identifiable You mean this phone? https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=1SQ8-07ecOc
eeeeeeeer this?
phone master.
eeer ok stand 10 feet there.

hello, hello, can you jear me?

Inserted Video


regards

I never thought that the day will come.

that i will be talking to plastic.
Twenty years ago, if i talk to plastic, they may institutionalise me.
  • #56,420
  • Nov 12, 2016 6:04am Nov 12, 2016 6:04am
Quoting fti
{quote} yeah , you are correct. why do you think the divorce courts so full? anyway changes. like you said , it all depends on support. peeps want cut their own throat or turn up the microwave, who can stop em. i stlll waiting the send the micro wave and the ring ring explode. No need drones. lap top. eeer maybe not. put a boom on my lap, no thanks. have more efficient execution machine? you are filled.................stable execution? regards
well, most efficient killing machine?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nineteen_Eighty-Four

crazy stuff, but you never know if this will happen.
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