Trading Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump? | Forex Factory

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Trading Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?

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  • Donald or Hillary ?
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  • #1
  • First Post: Nov 4, 2016 1:30am Nov 4, 2016 1:30am
USDMXN Divergence tells me a Clinton Win

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDMXNWeekly.png Size: 35 KB
practising coitus interruptus
  • #2
  • Nov 4, 2016 2:13am Nov 4, 2016 2:13am
Quoting avibe
USDMXN Divergence tells me a Clinton Win {image}
USD/RUB trend suggests a narrow Trump victory
  • #3
  • Nov 4, 2016 2:17am Nov 4, 2016 2:17am
Quoting shiva
{quote} USD/RUB trend suggests a narrow Trump victory
Ruble strength - Trump?

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practising coitus interruptus
  • #4
  • Nov 4, 2016 10:58am Nov 4, 2016 10:58am
Hillary will war

Trump will peace

Trump for president
  • #5
  • Nov 4, 2016 11:26am Nov 4, 2016 11:26am
Quoting ghostbiker
Hillary will war Trump will peace Trump for president
Seriously? First, who gave you the right to vote? After all, you are no politician, especially in forex.

Second, who voted you for grand master anyway?
  • #6
  • Nov 4, 2016 5:05pm Nov 4, 2016 5:05pm
Hi friends.

EUR/USD... in the next week... on monday... maybe is the target could be 1.1200? The indecision about the presidential elections can affect it... or is a bearish option coming?

Thanks...
  • #7
  • Nov 4, 2016 6:15pm Nov 4, 2016 6:15pm
Clump for president
Attached Image
"You may say I am a dreamer .... but I am not the only one."
  • #8
  • Nov 4, 2016 9:08pm Nov 4, 2016 9:08pm
market structure suggests buy rumor sell fact...eerily like Brexit fractal
practising coitus interruptus
  • #9
  • Nov 5, 2016 12:00am Nov 5, 2016 12:00am
Quoting ghostbiker
Hillary will war Trump will peace Trump for president
I think you have it the other way around.
Anyhow. A Clinton victory is currently getting priced in the Euro.
  • #10
  • Nov 5, 2016 1:52am Nov 5, 2016 1:52am
Guys, don't argue on this, remember that If voting made any difference they wouldn't let us do it (Mark Twain said it). History is never about past events, it's written in advance, so what it's meant to happen, will happen. And the confirmation is that it repeats itself. Of course it does!!! It's written my the same moth**f***ers!!!

Charts will never tell you who will become president, at least not now. It's more probable that they'll drive you offroad. As for the markets, wait for it to do whatever it likes, and if you can, wisely anticipate and take advantage of it big time.

I can't wait to long gold and short S&P if it will be the case.
Ionut
  • #11
  • Nov 5, 2016 2:05am Nov 5, 2016 2:05am
Quoting PainKillerRO
I can't wait to long gold and short S&P if it will be the case.
Dnt you think that play is too obvious . Most are anticipating that. Crowded trade?
practising coitus interruptus
  • #12
  • Nov 5, 2016 2:13am Nov 5, 2016 2:13am
it appears then

Clinton Win : Long DXY, short GCF , long DJIA/SP500

Trump Win : short DXY, long GCF , short DJIA/SP500

what's the options activity on VIX?
practising coitus interruptus
  • #13
  • Nov 5, 2016 6:15am Nov 5, 2016 6:15am
Quoting avibe
{quote} Dnt you think that play is too obvious . Most are anticipating that. Crowded trade?
that's why it will be a winner trade. If it happens I mean, ONLY if it happens.
Ionut
  • #14
  • Nov 5, 2016 11:09pm Nov 5, 2016 11:09pm
What is GCF?

Also, wouldn't a long on the VIX be the ultimate trump winning trade?

I am here to figure out how currency pairs will respond to Trump victory. I trade AUD/USD and USD/JPY primarily.
  • #15
  • Nov 6, 2016 4:23am Nov 6, 2016 4:23am
Quoting Starcraftmaz
What is GCF? Also, wouldn't a long on the VIX be the ultimate trump winning trade? I am here to figure out how currency pairs will respond to Trump victory. I trade AUD/USD and USD/JPY primarily.
GC==Gold Futures
practising coitus interruptus
  • #16
  • Nov 6, 2016 4:29am Nov 6, 2016 4:29am
Quoting avibe
USDMXN Divergence tells me a Clinton Win {image}
You mean like GBP divergence told you Brexit will not win, and later on market was completly wrong? Or like in 2000 when markets were pricing internet stocks on 10 times the size for further next 5 years of expansion and 1 week later it crashed 99%? Or like in 2007 when MBS were priced at nearly 0 risk, and later on they crashed 99% in oposite way? Or in 2014 when markets were pricing in trough majority of economists further expansion in yuan strenght, and 2 years later we are in largest decline on that currency?

Think again, market is very often wrong, all it matters are probabilities that you calculated trough enough historical data to know when odds are stacked in your favour.
  • #17
  • Nov 6, 2016 4:35am Nov 6, 2016 4:35am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} You mean like GBP divergence told you Brexit will not win, and later on market was completly wrong? Or like in 2000 when markets were pricing internet stocks on 10 times the size for further next 5 years of expansion and 1 week later it crashed 99%? Or like in 2007 when MBS were priced at nearly 0 risk, and later on they crashed 99% in oposite way? Or in 2014 when markets were pricing in trough majority of economists further expansion in yuan strenght, and 2 years later we are in largest decline on that currency? Think again, market is very...
Yes..stocks were too bulllish on Bremain...then snap ...BREXIT!....working along that logic ....stocks are now..too bearish...on probable trump win...could it be that Clinton win based on div

sell rumor (trump win)..buy the fact (clinton win)?
practising coitus interruptus
  • #18
  • Edited 8:10am Nov 6, 2016 4:43am | Edited 8:10am
I lost 80 % on brexit bs. I ain't trading this event which will be even more of a shit storm. I don't care who wins, I'll trade the aftermath.
  • #19
  • Nov 6, 2016 8:29am Nov 6, 2016 8:29am
yeah, I'm using brexit experience I got, I didn't lose that time. I broke even with a little profit..

Yes I was long GU, then H4 close, and I opened a biggr opposite trade (Sell GU), and eventually, broke even with a little profit.

Will wait and let the markets decide. Take care guys.
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