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How to predict markets, Catch the moves at value

  • #1,601
  • Edited 11:46pm Oct 30, 2016 10:40pm | Edited 11:46pm
Quoting Hpt
UJ D1 106.75 is last place to close my longs, but between is red 200 line , wait and see what short hedge gives me NFP high 104 has confl. with fork ML , TP has confl. too {image}
Thanks HPT I see it the same way and good stuff............Lets make sure we get it right on NFP. lets see be careful in case market discounts prior to release, let get filled at value
  • #1,602
  • Oct 31, 2016 2:16am Oct 31, 2016 2:16am
Quoting Dennis1468
Pre Market TA UJ 10/30 Expected range Expansion Achieved last week to 105 80 and engulfing pattern ended the week for a retest of resistance turned support at 104.40. In reality we can assume that the market is awaiting NFP results due on Friday and is therefore discounting. Next week look to buy at 104 40 104 and 103 80. Any brake below 103 20 could be considered as a Bearish run to 102 80 last support to 100. Path of least resistance remains up. Volatility expected ahead as Pre NFP week. All key ranges marked below on...

Almost to a dime 104 40
  • #1,603
  • Oct 31, 2016 3:48am Oct 31, 2016 3:48am
  •  Hpt
  • Joined Jun 2015 | Status: everybody trade at one`s own risk | 648 Posts
NZDUSD

my view HS ?

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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from level to level - you need mental strength to reach the summit
  • #1,604
  • Oct 31, 2016 9:59am Oct 31, 2016 9:59am
  •  Hpt
  • Joined Jun 2015 | Status: everybody trade at one`s own risk | 648 Posts
Quoting Hpt
NZDUSD my view HS ? {image}
I think you donīt forget the elections in the US , so next NFP cycle is important... in the run up to the election USD may have

lack of strength. Maybe I change my stops and addon at right levels

just my thoughs
from level to level - you need mental strength to reach the summit
  • #1,605
  • Oct 31, 2016 11:58pm Oct 31, 2016 11:58pm
Quoting Hpt
{quote} I think you dont forget the elections in the US , so next NFP cycle is important... in the run up to the election USD may have lack of strength. Maybe I change my stops and addon at right levels just my thoughs

SPOT ON - it a lot crazy stuff ahead this NFP will help with the interest rate policy and the Mad Elections ...........gonna get wild
  • #1,606
  • Nov 1, 2016 2:01am Nov 1, 2016 2:01am
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} Almost to a dime 104 40

Let do a reality check.

100% accurate forecast on where to buy since thread day 1.
80% target Achievement

So why do traders loose money

1 - Over-leverage
2 - They manage winners badly and manage looser terribly
3- Have not mastered the basics of understanding the pre determined levels that have been already determined.

Psychology - This question we have covered - Answer Fear will always be a problem if your plan is garbage. Fear disappears when you know what you are doing.


How to be a Master of the Market is all been covered in this Thread. Brilliant stuff, we make brilliant traders.
  • #1,607
  • Edited 3:12am Nov 1, 2016 2:31am | Edited 3:12am
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} So summary: your TA starts with top down approach by marking the significant levels form higher time frames. Those levels from the higher time frame I then use A 15 bar to buy at the pre determined levels when fading edges and to perceive longer term targets.
So summary:
Your TA starts with top down approach by marking the significant levels form higher time frames. Those levels from the higher time frame I then use A 15 bar to buy at the pre determined levels when fading edges and to perceive longer term targets.

How to Trade it
Then you need to decipher initial Balance and initial Range whats type of Market day it is. In combination with CPR rolling relationships and pivot levels for big time pivs and intra-day. Then you can determine which type of trader is going to be entering at which values:

Types of Market Days

1 -Trend day
2 -Double Distribution Day
3- Typical Day
4- Expanded Typical Day
5 Range Day
6 -Sideways day

Why? because Your ability to determine which market participants are influencing price will allow you to judge the conviction and behavior of price movement"

And then work out which type of traders will be entering and what levels and then work out there stops

Types of Professional Traders

1 Investors
2 Position Traders
3 Swing Traders
4 Day Traders

How to work out stops average of 30 pips from a significant level.

Engaging Market:

Determine size - ie go back to whos influencing the market

Gap and Fade the move or trade the break out. Why I prefer G&F Method /Fade back to A enter on C is a consistent repetition and when it fails you know its not working immediately
.
  • #1,608
  • Nov 1, 2016 2:44am Nov 1, 2016 2:44am
Good stuff Dennis Was recommended by HPT to look here some weeks ago,

Keep up the good work. And happy trading .
Trading in the shadow of SM
  • #1,609
  • Nov 1, 2016 2:54am Nov 1, 2016 2:54am
Quoting Earleone
Good stuff Dennis Was recommended by HPT to look here some weeks ago, Keep up the good work. And happy trading .

Thanks bro, this will complement what your already doing or re write it thanks for joining the journey
  • #1,610
  • Edited 3:41am Nov 1, 2016 3:19am | Edited 3:41am
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} So summary: Your TA starts with top down approach by marking the significant levels form higher time frames. Those levels from the higher time frame I then use A 15 bar to buy at the pre determined levels when fading edges and to perceive longer term targets. How to Trade it Then you need to decipher initial Balance and initial Range whats type of Market day it is. In combination with CPR rolling relationships and pivot levels for big time pivs and intra-day. Then you can determine which type of trader is going to be entering at which values:...
Poor planning on your part does not constitute to a crises on my part. ItS how we Win.

So Basically these key ways to engage the market is the opposite to what 90% of traders are doing. That is the reality. To make this work you must follow the levels and not the fuss of candles printing and re-printing. And always/Always give yourself room to be wrong BECAUSE THE 90% ARE RIGHT SOMETIMES.
  • #1,611
  • Edited 3:47am Nov 1, 2016 3:23am | Edited 3:47am
how to manage a trade - will be the next part to be continued


engaging entries
engaging setting targets

the importance of a close price

Inserted Video
  • #1,612
  • Nov 1, 2016 8:52am Nov 1, 2016 8:52am
BOC Gov Poloz Speaks 5 minutes from now
  • #1,613
  • Nov 1, 2016 9:08am Nov 1, 2016 9:08am
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} Almost to a dime 104 40
uoting Dennis1468
Pre Market TA UJ 10/30 Expected range Expansion Achieved last week to 105 80 and engulfing pattern ended the week for a retest of resistance turned support at 104.40. In reality we can assume that the market is awaiting NFP results due on Friday and is therefore discounting. Next week look to buy at 104 40 104 and 103 80. Any brake below 103 20 could be considered as a Bearish run to 102 80 last support to 100. Path of least resistance remains up. Volatility expected ahead as Pre NFP week. All key ranges marked below on...

Almost to a dime 104 40


HERE WE GO AGAIN 104 40 BEST OF LUCK

  • #1,614
  • Nov 1, 2016 9:10am Nov 1, 2016 9:10am
If it dont work out this time hedge at 103 90.
  • #1,615
  • Nov 1, 2016 9:13am Nov 1, 2016 9:13am
Market pending order gu buy 1.215 target 1.225
  • #1,616
  • Nov 1, 2016 5:00pm Nov 1, 2016 5:00pm
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Are the BULLS playing POSSUM?
My Threads: Trading is as simple as 1-2-3, Highest Open / Lowest Open Trade
  • #1,617
  • Nov 1, 2016 7:48pm Nov 1, 2016 7:48pm
Quoting TooSlow
{image} Are the BULLS playing POSSUM?

Ah maybe this is a tweet on the networks!

0:53
A fall in the price of the dollar to a three-week low against the yen and the euro was blamed by traders on uncertainty caused by opinion polls showing Donald Trump had gained ground on Hillary Clinton.
"While Clinton may still hold a lead over Trump, the dollar could suffer another round of declines if new polls show Trump catching up," Shin Kadota, chief Japan FX strategist at Barclays in Tokyo told Associated Press.
At the same time, the price of gold, a traditional safe haven for investors, rose to a four week high.
  • #1,618
  • Nov 2, 2016 4:16am Nov 2, 2016 4:16am
Quoting Dennis1468
If it dont work out this time hedge at 103 90.

Stay hedged leave it locked until we u turn. not a big deal its only 40 pip hedge easy to fix later, yen will stay at these levels until EU reaches 1.12
  • #1,619
  • Nov 2, 2016 7:14am Nov 2, 2016 7:14am
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Time for DA BEARS!
My Threads: Trading is as simple as 1-2-3, Highest Open / Lowest Open Trade
  • #1,620
  • Nov 2, 2016 7:15am Nov 2, 2016 7:15am
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Are the BEARS hibernating?
My Threads: Trading is as simple as 1-2-3, Highest Open / Lowest Open Trade
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