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How to predict markets, Catch the moves at value

  • #1,541
  • Oct 24, 2016 1:33am Oct 24, 2016 1:33am
Quoting Dennis1468
EUR USD For those who have IM me on EU Questions, I can only IM once every 24 hours as Commercial Member so below Chart is for you: The Horizontal lines on below 4 H EU chart is your Key areas of potential rejection or Failure. We see now we are at the key Area marked in yellow/current price for potential up swing if Bulls can defend. If they cant defend then the bears get paid all the way down to the Green line for fight on there {image}
08580 support is forming
  • #1,542
  • Edited 4:46am Oct 24, 2016 4:21am | Edited 4:46am
  •  Hpt
  • Joined Jun 2015 | Status: everybody trade at one`s own risk | 648 Posts
UJ trendline

longterm view and look at the 200 line , goes back into the 80s

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zoom

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zoom 2 with cup pattern

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may be price comes back to the lower tl or pivot M , before ......

you can have an additional input about level and cup here
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...73#post8637073

green pips
HPT
from level to level - you need mental strength to reach the summit
  • #1,543
  • Oct 24, 2016 4:44am Oct 24, 2016 4:44am
  •  Hpt
  • Joined Jun 2015 | Status: everybody trade at one`s own risk | 648 Posts
UJ

price is rangig inside MC 23.6.16

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from level to level - you need mental strength to reach the summit
  • #1,544
  • Edited 8:23am Oct 24, 2016 7:41am | Edited 8:23am
Quoting Hpt
UJ price is rangig inside MC 23.6.16 {image}
Thanks HPT for brilliant informative charts and there helpful to me as well, I have put a spin on your UJ chart below. Bulls and bears are being compressed inside the fork, and have identified within chart the core area of S&R from the past. The market is setting up for a big move and I expect 105 will cut through like butter if bulls can brake the upper bear defense. However bear defense is solid at these 104 + levels and bulls although having moved the line forward to 103 20! 103.20 certainly is not a concrete defensive position. I Continue to buy/longs on dips 103 20 103 60 and will only be optimistic if we get paid. Market stands ready for a break-out so we can get to our goals of a Trending market.

Bull break-out is certainly in my interest as then I am left with optimal Value in hand. If short break I will have no choice but to liquidate at best price I can get. However I am hedging longs at 104 104 20 to minimize risk
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  • #1,545
  • Oct 24, 2016 9:07am Oct 24, 2016 9:07am
Quoting Dennis1468
Pre Market TA UJ 10/24 Double Inside Day The daily time frame shows UJ (White Chart) has formed a double Inside Day pattern, which occurs when price trades within the previous sessions range two days in a row. This is a fairly uncommon pattern, but typically has high odds of predicting impending expansion and this pattern can spark a move of in the direction of the break that can last days. We continue to look for signs of expansion. Above 103 50 likely begins to squeeze bears defending at 104 50, and the ensuing move could lead price to key targets...
Pre Market TA UJ 10/24 pay day

Double Inside Day

The daily time frame shows UJ (White Chart) has formed a double Inside Day pattern, which occurs when price trades within the previous sessions range two days in a row. This is a fairly uncommon pattern, but typically has high odds of predicting impending expansion and this pattern can spark a move of in the direction of the break that can last days. We continue to look for signs of expansion.

Above 103 50 likely begins to squeeze bears defending at 104 50, and the ensuing move could lead price to key targets at 105 107. Currently, bulls are defending prices at 102 80 and 100 after turning prior resistance into support, which implies further expansion ahead.


Again, the battle will be won and lost at 103 20 and 102 80. Bulls are locked and loaded at this zone, and if they dont get paid we could see a big squeeze ahead. Failure to hold above 102 80 10 3 20 opens a re test to the Bulls last line of defense at 100

(Grey Chart)As we move down to the intra-day charts the Squeeze that opened the week at 103 20 to 104.20 has contracted further to 103 60 to 104.20 putting further pressure on the ADR and signifying a pending volatile break out to range expansion.

To Trade this look at longs at 103 40 /103.60 102 80 Hedge at 102 60. If we meet the 104 with these trades I will Short cover and hold instead of liquidating. This will give time to see how market reacts to 104 Levels and with profits covered we have time. But Take note of the Daily potential for a squeeze on bulls down, do not be left holding something that has no value. Maximize size but minimize risk. Take half profits on first bounce which minimizes risk.


Yes we nailed it again - King of JPY, king of bling
  • #1,546
  • Oct 24, 2016 9:09am Oct 24, 2016 9:09am
only 104 40 to stop us from the prize
  • #1,547
  • Oct 24, 2016 10:20am Oct 24, 2016 10:20am
  •  Hpt
  • Joined Jun 2015 | Status: everybody trade at one`s own risk | 648 Posts
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} Thanks HPT for brilliant informative charts and there helpful to me as well, I have put a spin on your UJ chart below. Bulls and bears are being compressed inside the fork, and have identified within chart the core area of S&R from the past. The market is setting up for a big move and I expect 105 will cut through like butter if bulls can brake the upper bear defense. However bear defense is solid at these 104 + levels and bulls although having moved the line forward to 103 20! 103.20 certainly is not a concrete defensive position. I Continue...

Upper NFP 02.09. took a hedge ( short)

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from level to level - you need mental strength to reach the summit
  • #1,548
  • Edited 10:25pm Oct 24, 2016 10:29am | Edited 10:25pm
Summary - of our journey so far

''Remember the market is 6 months short and we went long at the point its stopped going short"

Well guys we been buying UJ for a month now From the 100 Level then 100 50 then we started on the 101 then more buying at 102 and 103 20 last week and today filled 103 60ish.

So lets all relax and see if we can reach the promised land.

I would like all of you to take some time out and reflect on this Journey. From the beginning we nailed our first NFP to the dime and then nailed all UJ entry levels. We got some pull back unexpectedly to 100 but we fixed that by buying 100 50 and holding to 102.

We had to fight the Trolls at one stage and at that time we said, its ok because when we cover psychology of a trader it will all come apparent. Now we stand from short T1 by 60 pips from 105 and if we reach it or not...does not really matter?, not at all! earning between 350 pips to 70 pips per every planned entry, is a Masters goal. Our TA's is always at a standard of perfection that no one can possibly produce except right here, and Another 60 from here wont really make a difference but it would sure feel good.

Range expansion from this point would be welcoming. And if in case it does not! Start Hedging profits on the way up.

Back to psychology. The Conviction to attack at the levels!Is enspired by brite understanding of the markets repetitions. The plan is the plan. And a good plan = results. Trade the plan and not your fears. Make a good plan and how to is covered in this thread.

I am an old school trader - pure chartist and hope I have helped to get everyone on track, my mentors saved my trading Career and now I am there source for trading EJ and UJ. And the Queen of EU GU was once my student and now is my source for EU and GU.

We share what we know and ask advise on what we dont know. Thats the mentality of a trader. = wise
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  • #1,549
  • Oct 24, 2016 10:59am Oct 24, 2016 10:59am
Quoting Hpt
{quote} Upper NFP 02.09. took a hedge ( short) {image}

Yes thats why I am hedging longs - thank you for a brilliant summary on the NFP
  • #1,550
  • Oct 24, 2016 11:00am Oct 24, 2016 11:00am
  •  Hpt
  • Joined Jun 2015 | Status: everybody trade at one`s own risk | 648 Posts
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} Thanks HPT for brilliant informative charts and there helpful to me as well, I have put a spin on your UJ chart below. Bulls and bears are being compressed inside the fork, and have identified within chart the core area of S&R from the past. The market is setting up for a big move and I expect 105 will cut through like butter if bulls can brake the upper bear defense. However bear defense is solid at these 104 + levels and bulls although having moved the line forward to 103 20! 103.20 certainly is not a concrete defensive position. I Continue...
things like this helps me to find confluence (Jun)

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from level to level - you need mental strength to reach the summit
  • #1,551
  • Edited 11:35am Oct 24, 2016 11:10am | Edited 11:35am
Quoting Hpt
{quote} things like this helps me to find confluence (Jun) {image}
June 17.................your the man open block - not filled so let fill the slots - now is the time

We above the high of Thursday 104 20 edit I mean high of Friday
  • #1,552
  • Edited 11:40am Oct 24, 2016 11:25am | Edited 11:40am
At this point as a Trader I would like to Send a thank you to My Mentors over the Years:

Mark B - Your the man
Frank your the tech of Techs
Esprit you make math look like math
Rock Star - your so mad it must make sense and it does

Thanks for letting me own the market, well 99% of the time.................

Everyone have a great evening - We got paid so time to chill and transfer some out into the pocket.

Ah Oli, I did not forget you make so much sense and if you listened to yourself you would profit from your own reason -your brilliant
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  • #1,553
  • Oct 24, 2016 11:44am Oct 24, 2016 11:44am
Late night C-Cup
  • #1,554
  • Oct 24, 2016 7:01pm Oct 24, 2016 7:01pm
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At the time of my short entry, there were 3 missed daily pivots in a row
And price popped through a NFP high.
Something had to give.
Thanks Dennis.
Cheers Mate!
My Threads: Trading is as simple as 1-2-3, Highest Open / Lowest Open Trade
  • #1,555
  • Edited 10:29pm Oct 24, 2016 10:18pm | Edited 10:29pm
Quoting TooSlow
{image} At the time of my short entry, there were 3 missed daily pivots in a row And price popped through a NFP high. Something had to give. Thanks Dennis. Cheers Mate!

Awesome trade - CAD is nuts at the moment - brilliant

Ah now you remind me of 3 outside 4 V up, ah not covered
  • #1,556
  • Oct 25, 2016 4:47am Oct 25, 2016 4:47am
Today, some big swings ahead. Prediction Volatile - I have added additional buy as pending market order buy UJ 104 20 Hedge below 103 80


CB Consumer Confidence
BOE Gov Carney Speaks
ECB President Draghi Speaks
  • #1,557
  • Oct 25, 2016 5:14am Oct 25, 2016 5:14am
Quoting Dennis1468
EUR USD For those who have IM me on EU Questions, I can only IM once every 24 hours as Commercial Member so below Chart is for you: The Horizontal lines on below 4 H EU chart is your Key areas of potential rejection or Failure. We see now we are at the key Area marked in yellow/current price for potential up swing if Bulls can defend. If they cant defend then the bears get paid all the way down to the Green line for fight on there {image}
Hi Dennis,
Can we consider the level as having been defended yet. If yes what are the possible upside target?
And again under what condition will you consider a level either defended or having been violated?
Thanks and regards.
  • #1,558
  • Oct 25, 2016 6:00am Oct 25, 2016 6:00am
Quoting ayoayo
{quote} Hi Dennis, Can we consider the level as having been defended yet. If yes what are the possible upside target? And again under what condition will you consider a level either defended or having been violated? Thanks and regards.

Ah yes we reached.

Not much response from market but we have edged up a bit. Targets 1 0920 1 0980 1.1000 should be a pullback at 1.100 to 1 0960 enter again on the pull back from 1.1000
  • #1,559
  • Oct 25, 2016 7:20am Oct 25, 2016 7:20am
EA Forecast on test. Little fun project
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  • #1,560
  • Oct 25, 2016 8:34am Oct 25, 2016 8:34am
UJ T1
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