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How to predict markets, Catch the moves at value

  • #1,521
  • Oct 22, 2016 2:06pm Oct 22, 2016 2:06pm
top down approach - remember top down approach


TYPE OF DAY IS NOT THE TOP

1 -Trend day
2 -Double Distribution Day
3- Typical Day
4- Expanded Typical Day
5 Range Day
6 -Sideways day

''those that deploy there capitol the right way on the day consecutively master the markets"

NOR IS TO DAYS CPR

ANALYSIS - MUST START WITH HIGH TIME FRAME BEFORE YOU DIAL INTO INSIDE LEVELS -INTRA- DAY TRADING


IF YOU HAVE NOTICED EVERY TA I HAVE DONE HAS BEEN 100% SINCE WE BEGAN THIS THREAD. TOP DOWN APPROACH
  • #1,522
  • Edited 2:44pm Oct 22, 2016 2:24pm | Edited 2:44pm
Quoting Dennis1468
Form Ellen the Queen of GU and EU Ahehehehehe... 7:12AM this morning f...k knows where its going.............i should stick to what i know hehe https://fbcdn-profile-a.akamaihd.net...fae5c35f378695 gold is going bullish.. stick to long... when gold goes long... aud, eu and gu goes long... uj short...

Remember the recent GU rally after the flop as per this old post above and re pasted below:

From Ellen the Queen of GU and EU

Ahehehehehe...
7:12AM this morning
f...k knows where its going.............i should stick to what i know hehe
https://fbcdn-profile-a.akamaihd.net...fae5c35f378695
gold is going bullish.. stick to long...
when gold goes long... aud, eu and gu goes long... uj short...

THE MOST BRILLIANT TOP DOWN TRADER OF ALL TIME: ON ANOTHER NOTE SHE WAS ALL IN MAX SIZE SHORT BREXIT UNTIL SHE CASHED IN ON THE DAY OF THE ABOVE POST AND WENT LONG

on another note : I remember on a skype group we were all pleased with ourselves about cashing in on a short from 1.4 on Euro and Ellen was not around that time. 4 months later Ellen opens her book and she still has 1.4 beyond 900 pips profit and still going. Not sure if she still has it, shes known to horde prime value for years. An absolute brilliant trader of 12 years experience.
  • #1,523
  • Oct 22, 2016 2:28pm Oct 22, 2016 2:28pm
https://fbcdn-profile-a.akamaihd.net...e489a3a0850ba6
10:27pm
Dennis Sherman
DO YOU WANT TO CONTRIBUTE ON MY THREAD
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...31#post9212731


Will try to get some quality maybe she will?
  • #1,524
  • Oct 22, 2016 2:30pm Oct 22, 2016 2:30pm
Enjoy your weekend I will put in my TA on UJ tomorrow:


will cover Maximize size minimize risk over the coming days
  • #1,525
  • Edited 10:22pm Oct 22, 2016 8:11pm | Edited 10:22pm
can use for horizontal line price day hilo NFP event.
Hai TooSlow, can you share your indicator for HL about NFP line

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: uji.png Size: 31 KB

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: uj.png Size: 112 KB

Attached File(s)
File Type: mq4 PriceAlert.mq4   8 KB | 298 downloads

Attached File(s)
File Type: ex4 PriceAlert.ex4   15 KB | 273 downloads

Attached File(s)
File Type: mq4 Symbol changer - limited 1.1.mq4   7 KB | 258 downloads
The Average Discount Everything
  • #1,526
  • Oct 22, 2016 10:22pm Oct 22, 2016 10:22pm
Quoting hesron
can use for horizontal line price day hilo NFP event. Hai TooSlow, can you share your indicator for HL about NFP line {image} 2046211 {file} {file}
Ah thanks Hesron, good stuff
  • #1,527
  • Edited 5:48am Oct 23, 2016 3:46am | Edited 5:48am
Pre Market TA UJ 10/24

Double Inside Day

The daily time frame shows UJ (White Chart) has formed a double Inside Day pattern, which occurs when price trades within the previous sessions range two days in a row. This is a fairly uncommon pattern, but typically has high odds of predicting impending expansion and this pattern can spark a move of in the direction of the break that can last days. We continue to look for signs of expansion.

Above 103 50 likely begins to squeeze bears defending at 104 50, and the ensuing move could lead price to key targets at 105 107. Currently, bulls are defending prices at 102 80 and 100 after turning prior resistance into support, which implies further expansion ahead.


Again, the battle will be won and lost at 103 20 and 102 80. Bulls are locked and loaded at this zone, and if they dont get paid we could see a big squeeze ahead. Failure to hold above 102 80 10 3 20 opens a re test to the Bulls last line of defense at 100

(Grey Chart)As we move down to the intra-day charts the Squeeze that opened the week at 103 20 to 104.20 has contracted further to 103 60 to 104.20 putting further pressure on the ADR and signifying a pending volatile break out to range expansion.

To Trade this look at longs at 103 40 /103.60 102 80 Hedge at 102 60. If we meet the 104 with these trades I will Short cover and hold instead of liquidating. This will give time to see how market reacts to 104 Levels and with profits covered we have time. But Take note of the Daily potential for a squeeze on bulls down, do not be left holding something that has no value. Maximize size but minimize risk. Take half profits on first bounce which minimizes risk.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Chart_USD_JPY_4 Hours_snapshot.png Size: 68 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Chart_USD_JPY_30 Mins_snapshot.png Size: 68 KB
  • #1,528
  • Oct 23, 2016 4:47am Oct 23, 2016 4:47am
alright thats the TA for next week if anyone has any questions or whats more info let me know.
  • #1,529
  • Oct 23, 2016 5:13am Oct 23, 2016 5:13am
Maximize size but minimize risk.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Chart_GBP_USD_15 Mins_snapshot.png Size: 61 KB
  • #1,530
  • Oct 23, 2016 8:01am Oct 23, 2016 8:01am
Hi Dennis ,
I use 3hrs before Tokyo open as my initial balance. Is my marking on the chart what you mean by intraday bias above/below IB?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: INTRADAY BIAS.png Size: 55 KB
  • #1,531
  • Oct 23, 2016 8:59am Oct 23, 2016 8:59am
Quoting hubby7
Hi Dennis , I use 3hrs before Tokyo open as my initial balance. Is my marking on the chart what you mean by intraday bias above/below IB? {image}
Your Chart is perfect:

My take on typology is as follows:

Initial Balance: Open first bar of a 15min Candle
Opening Range High low first 3 or 4 bars to establish a opening range, with a high and a low which will for resistance to support and support to resitance
  • #1,532
  • Oct 23, 2016 9:50am Oct 23, 2016 9:50am
Quoting Dennis1468
ADR - info 1 The first thing I want everyone to take note of is that the yellow lines are the high and low of the previous days ADR within the below
Did you actually mean to say RANGE ( High - Low ) and not ADR- Average Daily Range?
My Threads: Trading is as simple as 1-2-3, Highest Open / Lowest Open Trade
  • #1,533
  • Oct 23, 2016 9:57am Oct 23, 2016 9:57am
Quoting Dennis1468
Knowing your ACD Entry Techniques The Gap & Fade Entry Method We have already covered one entry technique on the above post entering on A up if price holds above initial balance for a certain period of time. Now my favorite method is the Gap & fade move. In this Example Price Gaped up from Opening Range Created an A up (Gap up) then faded back to open range low. Its at that point when price reaches back to the open range low I enter long and put stop at B. {image}
Dennis, will you please define gap?
I understood gap to mean the distance between current bar open and prior bar close.
Like what usually happens on Monday's open vs Friday's close.
There is no gap in the chart you posted based on my understanding.
Thank you.
Cheers.
My Threads: Trading is as simple as 1-2-3, Highest Open / Lowest Open Trade
  • #1,534
  • Oct 23, 2016 10:08am Oct 23, 2016 10:08am
Quoting hesron
can use for horizontal line price day hilo NFP event. Hai TooSlow, can you share your indicator for HL about NFP line {image} {image} {file} {file} {file}
The indicator comes from another galaxy
The code is copyrighted and cannot be shared.
My Threads: Trading is as simple as 1-2-3, Highest Open / Lowest Open Trade
  • #1,535
  • Oct 23, 2016 10:16am Oct 23, 2016 10:16am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: TooSlow.png Size: 52 KB


ATR minimum and ATR maximum drawn with prior day's high and low.
My Threads: Trading is as simple as 1-2-3, Highest Open / Lowest Open Trade
  • #1,536
  • Edited 11:38am Oct 23, 2016 11:23am | Edited 11:38am
ADR Average daily Range

GAP point A to B to C (A to B is the Gap. B to C is the Fade - C is your entry. C is always normally = to A (Hence Gap and Fade the move) Gap happen multiple times a day and this is how you enter the market. There is a Ton of charts if you look Back.

The Gap your thinking of is a open Block - A part of the chart there is no print. Theses are referred or open blocks. But has nothing to do with gap and fading moves.

A Gap simply means a move up, the market gaped up or the market gaped down to value.

When market gaps up and fades back your entry is C which is how you enter at value.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: rtChart_EUR_JPY_15 Mins_snapshot.png Size: 51 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: SSChart_EUR_JPY_10 Mins_snapshot.png Size: 47 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 1dtChart_EUR_USD_15 Mins_snapshot.png Size: 107 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: TooSlow.png Size: 38 KB
  • #1,537
  • Oct 23, 2016 4:26pm Oct 23, 2016 4:26pm
Quoting Dennis1468
ADR Average daily Range GAP point A to B to C (A to B is the Gap. B to C is the Fade - C is your entry. C is always normally = to A (Hence Gap and Fade the move) Gap happen multiple times a day and this is how you enter the market. There is a Ton of charts if you look Back. The Gap your thinking of is a open Block - A part of the chart there is no print. Theses are referred or open blocks. But has nothing to do with gap and fading moves. A Gap simply means a move up, the market gaped up or the market gaped down to value. When market gaps up and...
It will take me a while to automatically convert "gap" to "move" when I read your posts.
Thank you for explaining.

EDIT: HOLO seems to automatically get me in at "C".
My Threads: Trading is as simple as 1-2-3, Highest Open / Lowest Open Trade
  • #1,538
  • Edited Oct 24, 2016 12:58am Oct 23, 2016 9:41pm | Edited Oct 24, 2016 12:58am
Quoting TooSlow
{quote} It will take me a while to automatically convert "gap" to "move" when I read your posts. Thank you for explaining. EDIT: HOLO seems to automatically get me in at "C".

Yes I understand, my terminology is Floor Trader driven.

How the Gap and fade plays out in live trading you see A establishing itself which is then Confirmed by B. All you have to do from that point is leave your Market order At C which you forecast to be near = to A

This not only get you a better price then jumping in to early it also means your fading the move which when you see any chart is optimum.

To ensure its optimum with best ratio, your C entry to be placed when A is value at Key Level. Only time this is not going to be the right type of entry on C when there is massive momentum and B and C never develops. This type of trade is when you go in at A, fast momentum means massive rejection like a NFP Spike
  • #1,539
  • Oct 24, 2016 12:49am Oct 24, 2016 12:49am
EUR USD

For those who have IM me on EU Questions, I can only IM once every 24 hours as Commercial Member so below Chart is for you:

The Horizontal lines on below 4 H EU chart is your Key areas of potential rejection or Failure. We see now we are at the key Area marked in yellow/current price for potential up swing if Bulls can defend. If they cant defend then the bears get paid all the way down to the Green line for fight on there
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 4hChart_EUR_USD_4 Hours_snapshot.png Size: 67 KB
  • #1,540
  • Oct 24, 2016 1:06am Oct 24, 2016 1:06am
Quoting Dennis1468
ADR Average daily Range GAP point A to B to C (A to B is the Gap. B to C is the Fade - C is your entry. C is always normally = to A (Hence Gap and Fade the move) Gap happen multiple times a day and this is how you enter the market. There is a Ton of charts if you look Back. The Gap your thinking of is a open Block - A part of the chart there is no print. Theses are referred or open blocks. But has nothing to do with gap and fading moves. A Gap simply means a move up, the market gaped up or the market gaped down to value. When market gaps up and...
Last Chart on Gap and Fade is the break-out Method: This method I dont like so much but use it sparingly

Break B Entry: in Red simple as described in Chart
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1dtChart_EUR_USD_15 Mins_snapshot.png Size: 148 KB
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