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Technical Analysis Fallacy

  • #56,221
  • Edited 4:40am Oct 20, 2016 4:05am | Edited 4:40am
Quoting fti
{quote} because feel is human's greatest motivator of actions. A hungry person behave different from one who is not. Different disiree pitch. Pain is also strongest motivators. also because its the highest intelligence a human can master. Some how we are more cunning when hungry. When we cannot feel , we becomes stupid? hahahaha talk about hungry. hahahaha pls excuse, kitchen raiding party. i need go kitchen loong fu tou.(green dragon yellow tiger battle)hahahahahahahaha {hug} regards https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pFZXdI6d7Lg...
X

so feel: relaxed constant awareness + prepared to face any danger + ready for action

Alex
check out the terrain - follow never lead
  • #56,222
  • Oct 20, 2016 5:13am Oct 20, 2016 5:13am
Quoting fti
ahhhh beautiful. whats happening on thread. {hugs} just needed show face, to make sure my friends knows I am still breathing. anyway i have been thinking about the gardener lately.

Excuse me... why you thinking of the gardener?

Alex
check out the terrain - follow never lead
  • #56,223
  • Edited 5:52am Oct 20, 2016 5:34am | Edited 5:52am
Quoting alexandria
{quote} Excuse me... why you thinking of the gardener? Alex
That was his final occupation./final tasks.
Aisin Gioro Henry Pu Yi
Like mine now is watch make sure oxy compressor in good condition, From watching after markets. My final tasks.
hahahahaha it's called devilbliss. the compressor.
life's mysterious paths.

if only you understand the lyrics.
sorry no english version.
eeeeeer english version......maybe desiderata?

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regards
  • #56,224
  • Oct 20, 2016 7:00am Oct 20, 2016 7:00am
Quoting fti
{quote} That was his final occupation./final tasks. Aisin Gioro Henry Pu Yi Like mine now is watch make sure oxy compressor in good condition, From watching after markets. My final tasks. hahahahaha it's called devilbliss. the compressor. life's mysterious paths. if only you understand the lyrics. sorry no english version. eeeeeer english version......maybe desiderata? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pFZXdI6d7Lg regards
Miss having you around
Glad to know you're alright.

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rgds
Fall in love with the process, and the outcome takes care of itself.
  • #56,225
  • Oct 20, 2016 9:37am Oct 20, 2016 9:37am
Quoting fti
{quote} That was his final occupation./final tasks. Aisin Gioro Henry Pu Yi Like mine now is watch make sure oxy compressor in good condition, From watching after markets. My final tasks. hahahahaha it's called devilbliss. the compressor. life's mysterious paths. if only you understand the lyrics. sorry no english version. eeeeeer english version......maybe desiderata? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pFZXdI6d7Lg regards
Ahhh...thank you.....

X

Alex
check out the terrain - follow never lead
  • #56,226
  • Edited 6:03am Oct 21, 2016 1:25am | Edited 6:03am
Quoting fti
{quote} When we cannot feel , we becomes stupid? hahahahahahahaha {hug} regards http://www.tudou.com/listplay/L6j1Bp...yesjxmaD8.html
hahahahaha
ai ya
a friend called.
Told me, is unlike me to call people stupid.
so i asked her, do you think your computer is clever?

anyway i didn't get a reply yet. maybe still thinking.


so i think i try explain a little.
we are all stupid, sometimes in life.
happens to all of us. no exceptions.
There is only a problem , if we remain stupid.
Stupid is ok, happens.
but to remain stupid, now thats hahahahahahahahahahahahahah..not clever.

regards

eeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeer version 0.2 ,version 0.3.2....................v1.......v2...........v45?
eeeeer notwithstanding, some older versions are more clever than the newer versions?
maybe more efficient ? task directed?

i like my light switches the way it is. is either on or is off. problem arises when add "IF".


2's company 3 is a mess....... a party?
skew properly.
hahahahaha and they complain i never giv trading tips?


Which is more powerful?
A pair of kings or a pair of queens.
eeeeer, are we playing with or without the joker?
  • #56,227
  • Edited 2:09pm Oct 21, 2016 7:24am | Edited 2:09pm
Quoting agent005
{quote} Thank you CookieMonsta for your insights! I'll be digging into ro3k next! Happy trading!
an example if you are interested,happened just this week.
tearing of ro3k from audusd because of the news on thursday morning, what alerted us to it was commodity relation has tearing/divergence, boc rates did nothing to audusd, nzdusd had very tame volatility, but lethargic to both, probably because caught between these 2 guys fundamentals.
rates has lasting impact, while audusd figs may not have so much lasting impact compared to cad rates, so after the audusd figs came out, they came back in sync, with audusd swinging back viciously, usdcad itself just chugged along like its no problem. this is a case of strength in weak market and weakness in strong market. notice the news did the probing for us, without us needing to have positions in market.

should be able to reasonably deduce that the tearing is because of thursday audusd news, right after the cad statement is out and the pa just slam upwards. should be in sync, but audusd decide not to follow usdcad, so something else driving it, looking at calendar, high probability is audusd. but ultimately, impulse pullback should be the most important entry criteria, aka feel the market.

though this is on hindsight, if you looking to play this, a reasonable strategy is to look for impulse move after thursday when the news came out, and play the impulse then pullback from audusd after the news.

btw, don't look at the numbers, it means nothing much, for day trading, just see that the events are happening and how price action unfold from it.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audusd_ro3k.JPG Size: 425 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: nzdusd_ro3k.JPG Size: 420 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: usdcad_ro3k.JPG Size: 433 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: ff_calendar_ro3k.JPG Size: 254 KB
  • #56,228
  • Oct 21, 2016 11:52am Oct 21, 2016 11:52am
Quoting CookieMonsta
{quote} it means nothing much, for day trading, just see that the events are happening and how price action unfold from it. {image} {image} {image} {image}
very interesting mind you have.
yu seem understand lots of things i talk about. hopefully with some depth.
but again, like i said, you have very interesting mind and
some thing in your mind is worrying me a little. I concur with what you said mostly, except.....

You wanna daytrade?
well thats your choice.
But i didn't say that i day traded.
Are you broker trained?
I said i traded daylight limits and carry limits.
if you have the stamina, you could trade daylight limits for 2 weeks, if you position required.
i have done before ocassionally. Even have handheld examples on thread.
but you must baby sit your positions, if you are trading daylight limits.
Otherwise you find ways, position down to "carry limits"/overnight/sleeping, if you going leave the girls unattended.

Its not easy your book exceed your overnight limits boundaries if you was trading the mo i showed. Only if you was market making.
So if you positions are within the "carry limit" risk profile, It can be left overnight, with "little" chance of the markets screwing you too badly.

To me there is no such division as day traders and night traders. Only competent and incompetent traders.

I hope you think about it a little.
i hope is only your linguistics thats disarrayed, hopefully your mind's not.
But you give me the impression that you mind may have problem.
Because you taking what i showed you and begining boxing it in rigid boxes you was trained in?

Is dangerous. Your rigidity is showing.Think about it.

regards
  • #56,229
  • Oct 21, 2016 2:08pm Oct 21, 2016 2:08pm
Quoting fti
{quote} very interesting mind you have. yu seem understand lots of things i talk about. hopefully with some depth. but again, like i said, you have very interesting mind and some thing in your mind is worrying me a little. I concur with what you said mostly, except..... You wanna daytrade? well thats your choice. But i didn't say that i day traded. Are you broker trained? I said i traded daylight limits and carry limits. if you have the stamina, you could trade daylight limits for 2 weeks, if you position required. i have done before...
sorry, my bad, what I mean was dancing pa instead of looking at the numbers and become biased because of the numbers, that is to become too obsessed with the number, and forget to dance the pa.

Yep, managing position has no time frame, just stamina to cope and if situation allows for it and preference. Well, just personal preference, because sometimes the counter trend trades offer some good swing's too. So if not married to carry position, I'm open to these retraces. It's mainly opportunity cost which bugs me.
  • #56,230
  • Oct 21, 2016 9:22pm Oct 21, 2016 9:22pm
Quoting CookieMonsta
{quote} sorry, my bad, what I mean was dancing pa instead of looking at the numbers and become biased because of the numbers, that is to become too obsessed with the number, and forget to dance the pa. Yep, managing position has no time frame, just stamina to cope and if situation allows for it and preference. Well, just personal preference, because sometimes the counter trend trades offer some good swing's too. So if not married to carry position, I'm open to these retraces. It's mainly opportunity cost which bugs me.
its noted.

Good that you understand.

regards
  • #56,231
  • Oct 21, 2016 9:34pm Oct 21, 2016 9:34pm
Quoting fti
{quote} its noted. Good that you understand. regards
typed too fast, i guess, so close to 8.30pm figs release.

something light for the saturday morning

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  • #56,232
  • Edited 10:05pm Oct 21, 2016 9:45pm | Edited 10:05pm
i am thinking of a friend who started a restaurant in a very expensive hotel.
Was too expensive for anyone start a restaurant. But since he owns it, he tried.

His strategy, to keep business afloat.
The waitress comes with thick menu.

You can choose anything in it.
But waitress make point.
The food in the 1st page, our chef can do for you.
The rest , we sent our boys out to tapau for you.
so you may need wait abit.

i was once in hk. Asked for 打包tapau.
The girl stared at me from the corner of her eyes. hahahahahahahahaha

regards
  • #56,233
  • Edited Oct 22, 2016 1:15am Oct 21, 2016 10:18pm | Edited Oct 22, 2016 1:15am
also started piano lounge on the 3rd floor.
business was a standstill, until he started the massage joint on the 2nd floor.
hehehe , wipe mouth say again.
started spa in the 2nd floor.
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regards
  • #56,234
  • Edited 11:49pm Oct 21, 2016 11:33pm | Edited 11:49pm
Inserted Video


i have reverse problem.
still look like teen. hahahahahahahaha younger everyday?
maybe too much meditation and sleeping?
maybe because loosing muscle mass.

drink too much water?
hope i don't become too young , need be fed. hahahahahahahahaha
i still remember, grandpa became like a kid, at 100 years old.


regards
  • #56,235
  • Oct 22, 2016 12:28am Oct 22, 2016 12:28am
Quoting fti
i am thinking of a friend who started a restaurant in a very expensive hotel. Was too expensive for anyone start a restaurant. But since he owns it, he tried. His strategy, to keep business afloat. The waitress comes with thick menu. You can choose anything in it. But waitress make point. The food in the 1st page, our chef can do for you. The rest , we sent our boys out to tapau for you. so you may need wait abit. i was once in hk. Asked for 打包tapau. The girl stared at me from the corner of her eyes. hahahahahahahahaha regards...
wah, he not just selling food, he selling service and ambience too
  • #56,236
  • Edited 3:52am Oct 22, 2016 3:27am | Edited 3:52am
Quoting CookieMonsta
{quote} wah, he not just selling food, he selling service and ambience too
nah, i don't see him selling anything.
he's building a business.
selling is for things people not need. He provided not sold anything.
But you can call it selling if you so wish.



so happens his business. is hospitality and food.
did i mentioned he bought the land and created the construction firm that built the hotel?
he built it on a row of coffeeshops he inherited. and since then he has bought up all the surrounding neighbourhood and businessess incorporated into his business.

he nearly went chapter 11 few times, when his expansion flooded when he was building. But he think his way out. Good mind super spirit for a coffeeboy.



regards
  • #56,237
  • Oct 22, 2016 4:29am Oct 22, 2016 4:29am
Quoting fti
{quote} nah, i don't see him selling anything. he's building a business. selling is for things people not need. He provided not sold anything. But you can call it selling if you so wish. so happens his business. is hospitality and food. did i mentioned he bought the land and created the construction firm that built the hotel? he built it on a row of coffeeshops he inherited. and since then he has bought up all the surrounding neighbourhood and businessess incorporated into his business. he nearly went chapter 11 few times, when his expansion...
Haha, AOW at work here I think, know your customers and satisfy em well. he is a self made success.

Well in all business, goodwill and intangibles are the superior, hard-to-replace edge you have on competitors after all.
  • #56,238
  • Edited 8:31am Oct 22, 2016 5:22am | Edited 8:31am

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  • #56,239
  • Oct 22, 2016 9:17am Oct 22, 2016 9:17am
Quoting CookieMonsta
{quote} an example if you are interested,happened just this week. tearing of ro3k from audusd because of the news on thursday morning, what alerted us to it was commodity relation has tearing/divergence, boc rates did nothing to audusd, nzdusd had very tame volatility, but lethargic to both, probably because caught between these 2 guys fundamentals. rates has lasting impact, while audusd figs may not have so much lasting impact compared to cad rates, so after the audusd figs came out, they came back in sync, with audusd swinging back viciously,...
Thank you CookieMonsta, I'll have to digest this for a little bit
  • #56,240
  • Edited 10:36am Oct 22, 2016 10:24am | Edited 10:36am
Quoting fti
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2FyUE_WHL8I regards
still cannot find clip with english subtitles.
can visit this clip for the love story.
long story short.

she left husband. and husband searched for her for half a year before the show helped found her for him.
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regards
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