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How to predict markets, Catch the moves at value

  • #1,441
  • Oct 17, 2016 10:48am Oct 17, 2016 10:48am
8:35pmEUR
ECB President Draghi Speaks
  • #1,442
  • Oct 17, 2016 1:08pm Oct 17, 2016 1:08pm
  •  Hpt
  • Joined Jun 2015 | Status: everybody trade at one`s own risk | 648 Posts
USDCHF weekly

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCHFWeekly 10.png Size: 65 KB


see what this is and where we are

Happy trading
from level to level - you need mental strength to reach the summit
  • #1,443
  • Oct 17, 2016 1:20pm Oct 17, 2016 1:20pm
Quoting Hpt
USDCHF weekly {image} see what this is and where we are Happy trading
Pitchfork Art - there are some interesting intersections levels there...

As per my TA for this week I got in at 103 80 about 15 minutes ago on UJ in case we dont get to 103 20 at least i can take a shot from here. Got filled earlier on PP but got shook out for 0.3 pip.
  • #1,444
  • Oct 17, 2016 1:27pm Oct 17, 2016 1:27pm
  •  Hpt
  • Joined Jun 2015 | Status: everybody trade at one`s own risk | 648 Posts
I prefer to trade USDCHF instead of EU , so I add on long here (0.9872)
from level to level - you need mental strength to reach the summit
  • #1,445
  • Oct 17, 2016 1:28pm Oct 17, 2016 1:28pm
I am not optimistic at all - never am on Mondays and theirs not much liquidity in the market
  • #1,446
  • Oct 17, 2016 1:32pm Oct 17, 2016 1:32pm
Quoting Hpt
I prefer to trade USDCHF instead of EU , so I add on long here

Awesome - Euro coins are freaking me out at the moment - I just have to stay with what I know to survive - good to have some more input on other pairs as I have traded some of your charts successfully. I also like your charting its professional as well is Go Slow. I would like to see you both posting your TA on your favorite pairs each week. It builds your confidence as you put your thoughts to the print. Its ok if there not nailed. We cant expect perfection in a in perfect market.
  • #1,447
  • Oct 18, 2016 5:21am Oct 18, 2016 5:21am
  •  Hpt
  • Joined Jun 2015 | Status: everybody trade at one`s own risk | 648 Posts
Quoting Hpt
USDCHF weekly {image} see what this is and where we are Happy trading

So I´m not sure about the data feed for the spike down I have different lows , check it in your data.
I think price reached an very important area long /short ???

The big fork isn´t drawn correct after the rules, but it shows the trend

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: CHF D.png Size: 38 KB


here is zoom in

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: CHFD2.png Size: 44 KB


so make your own decision, I can´t show trades here because they could be totally wrong

sorry for this post its Dennis thread about NFP

trade well
HPT
from level to level - you need mental strength to reach the summit
  • #1,448
  • Oct 18, 2016 10:16am Oct 18, 2016 10:16am
red alert


Market Correction GU will knock on all Dollar pairs - UJ reached yesterdays low if you bullish be cautious as this may flop. Take a look at GU. UJ I stand aside right here 103 80not going in on this one
  • #1,449
  • Oct 18, 2016 10:17am Oct 18, 2016 10:17am
Quoting Hpt
{quote} So Im not sure about the data feed for the spike down I have different lows , check it in your data. I think price reached an very important area long /short ??? The big fork isnt drawn correct after the rules, but it shows the trend {image} here is zoom in {image} so make your own decision, I cant show trades here because they could be totally wrong sorry for this post its Dennis thread about NFP trade well HPT

Dont be sorry, its valuable information I love it.
  • #1,450
  • Oct 18, 2016 10:25am Oct 18, 2016 10:25am
Form Ellen the Queen of GU and EU

Ahehehehehe...
7:12AM this morning
f...k knows where its going.............i should stick to what i know hehe
https://fbcdn-profile-a.akamaihd.net...fae5c35f378695
gold is going bullish.. stick to long...
when gold goes long... aud, eu and gu goes long... uj short...
  • #1,451
  • Oct 18, 2016 10:27am Oct 18, 2016 10:27am
Basically I was talked into buying GU this morning it kind of paid of
  • #1,452
  • Oct 18, 2016 10:29am Oct 18, 2016 10:29am
So will be carefull what we do at 103 80 which market has reached now as predicted.
  • #1,453
  • Oct 18, 2016 10:41am Oct 18, 2016 10:41am
See what we talking about, she breaks, UJ will Collapse
  • #1,454
  • Oct 18, 2016 1:11pm Oct 18, 2016 1:11pm
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} Do you guys want to cover scalping next? or any other subject? I am a mean scalper
Your daily entries based on daily PP, Initial Balance, CPR (gap and fade) etc, cant this be regarded as scalping?
  • #1,455
  • Oct 18, 2016 4:32pm Oct 18, 2016 4:32pm
Quoting ayoayo
{quote} Your daily entries based on daily PP, Initial Balance, CPR (gap and fade) etc, cant this be regarded as scalping?
That will be nice... i'm a scalper for now as for some reason i don't have sucess with targets/stop loss but i'm trying and learn as that way will be less stressfull i think.
I'm somewhat lost in gap and fade concepts.

JL
Started a blog: terraceman blogspot com
  • #1,456
  • Oct 19, 2016 3:50am Oct 19, 2016 3:50am
Quoting ayoayo
{quote} Your daily entries based on daily PP, Initial Balance, CPR (gap and fade) etc, cant this be regarded as scalping?
Yes it can be and the TC BC and Daily PP are great place to Scalp and so are the handles. like 100 102 103 104 105 these place always bounce. If I am in the right frame of mind I will scalp for about 4 hours until i am pretty done. Taking anything from 5 pips minus to 5 pips plus per trade.

Most CPR Scalps will give minimum 5 to 40 pips and you only need to say bail at minus 5 to 10.

A lot depends on your broker off course. i.e. Slippage and charges.

Also, in the professional trading world any trade that is opened and closed within the same day is considered a scalp regardless of pips.
  • #1,457
  • Oct 19, 2016 3:53am Oct 19, 2016 3:53am
Quoting jlongo
{quote} That will be nice... i'm a scalper for now as for some reason i don't have sucess with targets/stop loss but i'm trying and learn as that way will be less stressfull i think. I'm somewhat lost in gap and fade concepts. JL

I will cover Gap and fade more. during this week.
  • #1,458
  • Oct 19, 2016 4:56am Oct 19, 2016 4:56am
Quoting Dennis1468
UJ Overview Pre - Market 10 /17 Failed Range Expansion Last week failed to advance any range expansion however price was not dramatically rejected. This can only lead us to conclude only 2 scenarios: Bull: Price could be headed for a break out to 105 plus this can only be confirmed as long at the lower value continues to be defended at 102 80. For a trade plan buying at 103.20 and 102 80 are good value for attempting a push to 105. Any break below 102 80 would be considered failure for Bulls. Bear: A failed range expansion is one of the best true...

Really works does it not?

UJ Overview Pre - Market 10 /17

Failed Range Expansion

Last week failed to advance any range expansion however price was not dramatically rejected.

This can only lead us to conclude only 2 scenarios:

Bull:
Price could be headed for a break out to 105 plus this can only be confirmed as long at the lower value continues to be defended at 102 80.
For a trade plan buying at 103.20 and 102 80 are good value for attempting a push to 105. Any break below 102 80 would be considered failure for Bulls.

Bear:
A failed range expansion is one of the best true indicators of an upcoming reversal in price, so it pays to pay attention to this very telling market tendency.
Taking a look at the daily time frame of UJ, you’ll notice a key range developed in the month and price has not gained significant acceptance above 104 for a shot at further range expansion to 105. However, after price held above the 104 on 3 attempts bulls failed to get paid and instead were forced to liquidate positions, which triggered the recent selling pressure into the center of the key range at 102 80 104. We would look for bearish Continuation at a break of 102 80
  • #1,459
  • Oct 19, 2016 4:58am Oct 19, 2016 4:58am
Quoting Dennis1468
Form Ellen the Queen of GU and EU Ahehehehehe... 7:12AM this morning f...k knows where its going.............i should stick to what i know hehe https://fbcdn-profile-a.akamaihd.net...fae5c35f378695 gold is going bullish.. stick to long... when gold goes long... aud, eu and gu goes long... uj short...

And did GU fly? shes brilliant
  • #1,460
  • Oct 19, 2016 9:47am Oct 19, 2016 9:47am
UJ Overview Pre - Market 10 /17

Failed Range Expansion

Last week failed to advance any range expansion however price was not dramatically rejected.

This can only lead us to conclude only 2 scenarios:

Bull:
Price could be headed for a break out to 105 plus this can only be confirmed as long at the lower value continues to be defended at 102 80.
For a trade plan buying at 103.20 and 102 80 are good value for attempting a push to 105. Any break below 102 80 would be considered failure for Bulls.


And thats how you scalp
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