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How to predict markets, Catch the moves at value

  • #1,101
  • Sep 30, 2016 9:06am Sep 30, 2016 9:06am
Quoting davidman
ATTENTION... ATTENTION... Will Dennis please report to his workstation !!! I think its time you set up a meeting with Janet, Mario and Abe and remind them that us traders need to make some pips. Have a great day!
hehe, difficult week....there were signs of break out but flopped. We generally are coiling up. keep buying yen on the lows then you be holding a bag of the good stuff when eventually breaks. 100 well defended
  • #1,102
  • Sep 30, 2016 9:08am Sep 30, 2016 9:08am
Quoting Hpt
EURCHF M15 example how level works .... and never trade against a national bank (SNB) {image} stress-free money Hpt

Yes Good stuff.
  • #1,103
  • Sep 30, 2016 9:11am Sep 30, 2016 9:11am
Quoting pipsquick16
Dennis, what price did you buy the GU at ?? You also said that the target is 1.3240, do you know how much time it will take for price to reach that target ??
February March...................
  • #1,104
  • Sep 30, 2016 9:16am Sep 30, 2016 9:16am
so not exactly energized been signs of a break out but really the edges just got wider. Grumpy...Naa......Make money Yea...a little not much
  • #1,105
  • Sep 30, 2016 9:26am Sep 30, 2016 9:26am
Quoting dabs99
{quote} Yes understand thanks and looks right on review except try to avoid the news as usdcad was lower value friday and if yu tried to short the ov level you got creamed when the news came out. I think caution on narrow days and overlapping days as well? but apart from this buy low sell high. Also any comments on the gap above below cpr at the open in Asia? cheers
That was it and thats what we got from out TA

UJ Overview Pre - Market 9/24

Keep in mind, bulls will be looking to defend the previous weeks low of 100, for a shot at taking price bid through 102 80 NFP Low and into the 2 weeks high of 103 +. And if the bulls can reestablish acceptance above 102 80 , much more upside could be seen, likely into 104 and 107
Given recent rejection below 102 80 and 101 50, the 100 previous weeks low remains the major level to watch for early directional bias.

Failure to hold this level, and certainly a daily close below it, would easily pave the way to new lows into downside targets at 99 and 80 50.

The path of least resistance is still down, but bulls have a shot for a decent bounce if they can defend 100 NFP JULY LOW and 101 50/HANDLE/HALF

Take note Finger prints traded at 103.40 but were rejected, Bears narrowed to the stop 103 60 At the print
  • #1,106
  • Sep 30, 2016 9:28am Sep 30, 2016 9:28am
uj may just well close at 101 70 tonight
  • #1,107
  • Sep 30, 2016 10:06am Sep 30, 2016 10:06am
Quoting Hpt
{quote} Hello TowSlow RDL= RangeDayLow, RWL= RangeWeekLow , ..etc. The boxes are what?... Look at the timeline.... What do you think ? mq4 files i can`t share , sorry .. for indicators search for TraderAtHome (TAH) here on ff green pips Hpt
Can't tell from the timeline.
Not sure.
Do not want to make assumptions.
Thank you, Hpt.
Cheers.
My Threads: Trading is as simple as 1-2-3, Highest Open / Lowest Open Trade
  • #1,108
  • Sep 30, 2016 11:13am Sep 30, 2016 11:13am
Quoting Dennis1468
uj may just well close at 101 70 tonight
Clock is ticking to reach a 101 70 close,

I will post the usual stuff before next weeks open Tech Analysis on UJ Saturday or Sunday PRe - Market - Ground as slightly shifted - last pre market is still pretty
much in play however line of defense for bulls is a solid 100 80 (Plus 80 pips from Last Week and Bears Narrowed there Advance only to 101 80.

Lines have narrowed a break out Squeeze on the Horizon

and pre massive break out applies -
Inserted Video
  • #1,109
  • Sep 30, 2016 12:45pm Sep 30, 2016 12:45pm
Dont worry once this endless after Brexit Ranging gets over with we can get back to this
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  • #1,110
  • Sep 30, 2016 1:32pm Sep 30, 2016 1:32pm
Quoting Dennis1468
Dont worry once this endless after Brexit Ranging gets over with we can get back to this {image}

Weekend pics https:

Inserted Video
  • #1,111
  • Sep 30, 2016 1:37pm Sep 30, 2016 1:37pm
Inserted Video
  • #1,112
  • Edited 6:31am Oct 2, 2016 5:53am | Edited 6:31am
UJ Overview Pre - Market 10/2

Essentially no net change from Last week, As we said Keep in mind, bulls will be looking to defend the previous weeks low of 100 and they certainly did , for a shot at taking price bid through 102 80 NFP Low! Progress stalled at 101 80 = over bought Order Flow situation.

Narrowed Stops for Bulls were hit at 100 80 on the Dip and the market then closed the week above 101.

Bulls looking to reestablish acceptance above 102 80 , for a push likely into 104 and 107 as stated in prior pre-market)

100 - 101 seems to be the key level to watch for next week. Any move back down to 100 would be considered as potential bull failure at the level. Bulls would likely tire defending that level for a 3rd time.

The path of least resistance has switched to up from down however this close to Octobers NFP may hold any advance for now.

Take note market has significantly narrowed between 100 80 and 101 80. This Coincides with the 161 and 61 Fibonacci which makes 101 20 the waterline as centred - and 100 80 is the S1 Monthly Pivot Point /Bulls may use last week as an advance from 100 to a new line of defense on S1. On the move down on the the Dip the S1 clearly Held
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  • #1,113
  • Oct 2, 2016 8:08am Oct 2, 2016 8:08am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: TooSlow.png Size: 41 KB


Dennis thank you for sharing the NFP day high/low idea.
A brief look at these levels before entering creates better timing.
Thank you.
Cheers.
My Threads: Trading is as simple as 1-2-3, Highest Open / Lowest Open Trade
  • #1,114
  • Oct 2, 2016 8:15am Oct 2, 2016 8:15am
Quoting TooSlow
{image} Dennis thank you for sharing the NFP day high/low idea. A brief look at these levels before entering creates better timing. Thank you. Cheers.
My pleasure. Makes it all that bit easier, you know what being defended, then you know whos in control ...............and good chart
  • #1,115
  • Oct 2, 2016 8:39am Oct 2, 2016 8:39am
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} My pleasure. Makes it all that bit easier, you know what being defended, then you know whos in control ...............and good chart
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Makes it easier to know what to wait for - price getting close to a NFP level.
Check the weekly and monthly pivots.
Enter the trade.
My Threads: Trading is as simple as 1-2-3, Highest Open / Lowest Open Trade
  • #1,116
  • Oct 2, 2016 9:56am Oct 2, 2016 9:56am
Quoting TooSlow
{quote} {image} Makes it easier to know what to wait for - price getting close to a NFP level. Check the weekly and monthly pivots. Enter the trade.

Yes and you cant go wrong now, it just gets better. Money management and execution then you have nailed it
  • #1,117
  • Oct 3, 2016 12:28am Oct 3, 2016 12:28am
Hey Dennis, can you give us an up date on the GU please. I know its making lower lows but do you think that we will get
a bounce off of these lows at 1.2800 area ??
  • #1,118
  • Oct 3, 2016 2:49am Oct 3, 2016 2:49am
  •  Hpt
  • Joined Jun 2015 | Status: everybody trade at one`s own risk | 648 Posts
Quoting Hpt
EURGBP H4 the upper NFP level is from 2013, but .....you see {image} make your own decision Hpt
hey hey.... Theresa May

EURGBP H1

its visible that old Levels work perfect, look at the chartstructure and surch for a corresponding level

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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that was a low risk entry

HPT
from level to level - you need mental strength to reach the summit
  • #1,119
  • Oct 3, 2016 3:17am Oct 3, 2016 3:17am
  •  Hpt
  • Joined Jun 2015 | Status: everybody trade at one`s own risk | 648 Posts
Quoting Hpt
My view GBPUSD H4 you see how the levels work, LL cores. with S1 and see the fork {image} decide for yourself Hpt
GBPUSD H4

level works out ,but this is an example for an bad entry , there was much better one. look for confluence and see the fork
levels are from 8.7.16 NFP , channelstarts 2.9.16 NFP


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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HPT
from level to level - you need mental strength to reach the summit
  • #1,120
  • Edited 9:40am Oct 3, 2016 9:29am | Edited 9:40am
Quoting pipsquick16
Hey Dennis, can you give us an up date on the GU please. I know its making lower lows but do you think that we will get a bounce off of these lows at 1.2800 area ??

Would expect S1 monthly to be defended 1.2793 then a move up subdued later in the week to fill the Gap. NFP personally would stay away from GU there are some unknown forces at work,

I closed a bad entry last week on GU. lost 60 pips and figured its not worth even hedging. Should have paid more attention to HBT s Channel, I bought for a break there of... Not a good idea....................Yes I would like to buy at these levels but its not exactly a certainty. There is huge money doing what they want and what they want i really do not know. I would say its pretty nuts right now. This move down may be bull stops? may not be. Have doubt on this pair wont trade it................

My friend is doing nicely on it, he thinks it can drop further. below S1. I think HBT is a GU man and is nailing it
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