Supply and demand in a nutshell by Alfonso Moreno | Page 402 | Forex Factory

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Supply and demand in a nutshell by Alfonso Moreno

  • #8,021
  • Sep 29, 2016 4:07am Sep 29, 2016 4:07am
Quoting xichenuk
Hi Alfonso Thank you for sharing your knowledge on SD. I am new in forex trading and I believe I have found a great methodology of SD trading. I have learned from your trading method and practised on my account. So far I have win and lost but overall it's a win. I have one question regarding multiple timeframes. I have seen in your main article there are sequence and realignment rules. However I am not able to understand it very well or completely, even I have been watching your videos on youtube as well. Would you mind give me some lead on this...
Glad to see you have embraced supply and demand technical analysis as your trading methodology. The realignment rules are long to explain, I can't go in detail in a post sorry, too much writing. There are some videos where I have dealt with the basics, there is much more to it, but you can learn the basics from them.

Cheers,
Alfonso
www.set-and-forget.com
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,022
  • Sep 29, 2016 4:21am Sep 29, 2016 4:21am
Quoting shahss71
Hi Alfonso, Great work !!. I am practicing SD levels since 1 Year, I am trained under Sam Seiden academy from Mumbai, India. You bring SD levels at new high of accuracy, I loved it.I always confused at levels in following attachment when price come to Demand zone should I take or not , because levels looks very intresting but when price comes to that level trend may be down. My question is should I take it or I leave it. Thanx in adavance {image}
Thanks for sharing your supply and demand analysis on KirlosBros stock. There are rules that will tell you you can take a trade or not, by doing at least a three timeframes top down analysis and many other strict rules set. That level of demand looks great, both H4 and Daily timeframes are up, as per those timeframes it's a valid long at demand, but don't know about the bigger picture trend.

Cheers,
Alfonso
www.set-and-forget.com
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,023
  • Oct 1, 2016 3:55am Oct 1, 2016 3:55am
NIFTY Index supply and demand technical analysis update. Too high in the monthly range, monthly supply in control. Price retraced to weekly demand zone where some longs can happen. There is an aggressive daily demand playing out now at 8611, too high. No shorts allowed, longs on new demand zones. Too many bigger timeframe confluences to go short, still long bias.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: nifty_index.png Size: 239 KB
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,024
  • Edited 6:36am Oct 2, 2016 5:57am | Edited 6:36am
Quoting panoramia
NIFTY Index supply and demand technical analysis update. Too high in the monthly range, monthly supply in control. Price retraced to weekly demand zone where some longs can happen. There is an aggressive daily demand playing out now at 8611, too high. No shorts allowed, longs on new demand zones. Too many bigger timeframe confluences to go short, still long bias. {image}
hi Alfonso, can you elaborate on this please?

http://prntscr.com/couq2m

My comment on bottom of the screenshot was erased during making a screenshot. So here is my question.

That daily demand I am pointing to in my screenshot is perfect for taking a long, but its too high for you. Any new created demands from here on will also be too high. Also no shorts are allowed, which is strange given that monthly supply is in control. Taking longs also are not allowed cause we are too high. I dont think you were specific enough here what to do. Are we waiting for monthly supply to be taken on out before making new longs? Now that make take a while before making a trade I assume, but why not taking shorts is strange for me.

Can you be more specific please what actually are we waiting here to make a trade?
  • #8,025
  • Oct 2, 2016 8:09am Oct 2, 2016 8:09am
Quoting M3d
{quote} hi Alfonso, can you elaborate on this please? http://prntscr.com/couq2m My comment on bottom of the screenshot was erased during making a screenshot. So here is my question. That daily demand I am pointing to in my screenshot is perfect for taking a long, but its too high for you. Any new created demands from here on will also be too high. Also no shorts are allowed, which is strange given that monthly supply is in control. Taking longs also are not allowed cause we are too high. I dont think you were specific enough here what...
I think it's very specific. you can neither go long or short, what CBS you do then? Nothing it's very specific.

Doing nothing is the first most important decision in trading, the forgotten one. We want either to buy or sell, but what about doing nothing?

Cheers,
Alfonso
www.set-and-forget.com
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,026
  • Oct 4, 2016 5:55am Oct 4, 2016 5:55am
GBPUSD breaking lower creating new areas of supply. Short at new levels of supply.

Have a great day!
Cheers,
Alfonso
www.set-and-forget.com
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gbpusd.png Size: 177 KB
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,027
  • Oct 5, 2016 1:13am Oct 5, 2016 1:13am
DAX 30 German Index supply and demand technical analysis. Six months and quarterly chart in a clear uptrend. 3 months demand in control, long bias in lower timeframe sequences using Daily and H4 charts as entry. Shorts? No way!

Supply and demand works with any timeframe and market, remember.

Cheers,
Alfonso
www.set-and-forget.com
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,028
  • Oct 6, 2016 12:50am Oct 6, 2016 12:50am
Two daily demand zones to buy on Apple american stock, upper one around 109 and bottom one at 105ish with a weekly uptrend and W bullish engulfing pattern. Long bias on new areas of demand if it keeps on rallying

Cheers,
Alfonso
www.set-and-forget.com
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: apple.png Size: 68 KB
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,029
  • Oct 7, 2016 1:34am Oct 7, 2016 1:34am
Weekly + Daily demand holding on Nifty 50 Index, last aggressive opportunity to go long on Daily demand happened and played out. First monthly bearish engulfing pattern and daily downtrend. Shorts if weekly demand is clearly eliminated.

Cheers,
Alfonso
www.set-and-forget.com

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: nifty.png Size: 170 KB
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,030
  • Oct 8, 2016 5:14am Oct 8, 2016 5:14am
Quoting FxSwordfish
Please comment on EURCAD charts. I see nested supply zones. Do I have a short pretty soon? {image}
Short EURCAD? Bigger picture trend is up my friend, monthly and weekly demand in control, and you want to go short? By the way, please do NOT upload H1 charts, they are not allowed in this thread, please delete your previous post and upload one without H1 chart.

Cheers,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,031
  • Oct 10, 2016 3:24am Oct 10, 2016 3:24am
New areas of demand created on monthly, weekly and daily chart on EURGBP. Long bias at daily demand levels since the bigger picture bias is bullish.

Cheers,
Alfonso
www.set-and-forget.com

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 191 KB
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,032
  • Oct 10, 2016 3:25am Oct 10, 2016 3:25am
Long bias on Ruchira Papers Indian Stock, new levels of demand on daily, weekly and monthly, long at daily areas of demand.

Cheers,
Alfonso
www.set-and-forget.com

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 261 KB
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,033
  • Oct 10, 2016 8:16am Oct 10, 2016 8:16am
Quoting panoramia
Long bias on Ruchira Papers Indian Stock, new levels of demand on daily, weekly and monthly, long at daily areas of demand. Cheers, Alfonso www.set-and-forget.com {image}
Dear Alfonso
I wanted to ask you, why do not the EUR GBP Supply D1 / W1 / MN
best regards
  • #8,034
  • Oct 10, 2016 8:58am Oct 10, 2016 8:58am
Quoting draugas2
{quote} Dear Alfonso I wanted to ask you, why do not the EUR GBP Supply D1 / W1 / MN best regards
Not good supply zone on monthly on EURGBP, so I don't draw bad quality ones
Cheers,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,035
  • Oct 10, 2016 9:07am Oct 10, 2016 9:07am
Quoting panoramia
{quote} Not good supply zone on monthly on EURGBP, so I don't draw bad quality ones Cheers, Alfonso
thank you
  • #8,036
  • Oct 11, 2016 12:20am Oct 11, 2016 12:20am
Hello, Alfonso!

I cannot decide whether this is a valid demand zone on USD.SGD Weekly and should I draw it at all? As per rules, the level (created on 06/03/2016) has removed 2x opposing demand levels (CPs) as I showed in the picture attached, but the price has really not consolidated away from the level, all I see is a fall right after the level and then the next blue candle right back into the level. Additionally, the level is made of a pin bar. Could you please give your input and view on this?


Cheers,
Richard
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USD.SGD.PNG Size: 43 KB
  • #8,037
  • Oct 11, 2016 2:43am Oct 11, 2016 2:43am
Quoting SweetPapaya
Hello, Alfonso! I cannot decide whether this is a valid demand zone on USD.SGD Weekly and should I draw it at all? As per rules, the level (created on 06/03/2016) has removed 2x opposing demand levels (CPs) as I showed in the picture attached, but the price has really not consolidated away from the level, all I see is a fall right after the level and then the next blue candle right back into the level. Additionally, the level is made of a pin bar. Could you please give your input and view on this? Cheers, Richard {image}
I guess you mean valid monthly supply zone on USDSGD. It removed opposing demand and consolidated away, so it's valid. There is no pin bar at that level either, well it depends on what you consider to be a pin bar. I see none at that supply zone in the orange circle. That one consolidated away, removed opposing zone, tested, not tradable now.

Cheers,
Alfonso
www.set-and-forget.com
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,038
  • Oct 11, 2016 2:47am Oct 11, 2016 2:47am
New Daily, weekly and monthly supply zones created on GBPUSD. Short bias with Monthly, Weekly and Daily downtrend.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gbpusd.jpg Size: 165 KB
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,039
  • Oct 11, 2016 3:03am Oct 11, 2016 3:03am
Hi Alfonso
The graph touched a six-month demand still look for a shorting it?
  • #8,040
  • Oct 11, 2016 4:29am Oct 11, 2016 4:29am
Quoting panoramia
{quote} I guess you mean valid monthly supply zone on USDSGD. It removed opposing demand and consolidated away, so it's valid. There is no pin bar at that level either, well it depends on what you consider to be a pin bar. I see none at that supply zone in the orange circle. That one consolidated away, removed opposing zone, tested, not tradable now. Cheers, Alfonso www.set-and-forget.com
I mean USD.SGD Weekly precisely. Could I ask you to draw the levels on USD.SGD Weekly timeframe as you see them right now? Would answer my questions, hopefully.

P.S. Sorry, in the first post I meant to ask if that is a valid Supply zone, not Demand zone.

Richard
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