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Trading Institutional Order Flow

  • #1,221
  • Sep 20, 2016 8:33am Sep 20, 2016 8:33am
Quoting tripr
{quote} I pm'd you my email, Akt. Hopefully it will be recorded in case I can't make it due to time difference. Love your stuff and thanks for hosting the webinar !
Hello tripr

Sorry, my bad, i omitted to mention it, yes it will be recorded.
Also the webinar is only open to the first 30 email addresses that come through (if i even get anywhere near that number)

best wishes
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #1,222
  • Sep 21, 2016 11:42am Sep 21, 2016 11:42am
Quoting Pipsalon
Dax index(german 30) Analysis from a Weekly income perspective. Weekly supply is in control. Weekly demand below. Price is in consolidation. I am looking to buy low or sell high.{image} Daily supply indentified at weekly supply zone. Daily demand identified at weekly demand zone. Momentum on the daily is to the downside. If price reaches the weekly demand zone, I will look for confirmation entries on the lower timeframes 1hr - 4hr.{image}
Hello Pipsalon
thank you for sharing your idea on the Dax
Love the thought process.

best wishes
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #1,223
  • Sep 21, 2016 11:43am Sep 21, 2016 11:43am
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Hello everyone.

An example of an arrival to a zone that is not suitable but can often be hidden if one does not investigate appropriately or know how to

on the EURAUD.

Best wishes
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #1,224
  • Sep 21, 2016 11:54am Sep 21, 2016 11:54am
Hello everyone.
The 4h chart of the USD ahead of the news today.
We know the dollar is sideways on the M chart and is in tested W & D SZs at present.
It is seeking direction.
Here is an idea of what is currently deducible from the charts.
I post the 4hr because it is the clearest and cleanest in terms of zones

best wishes
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Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #1,225
  • Sep 23, 2016 3:59am Sep 23, 2016 3:59am
AEX index (The Netherlands 25) Analysis from a weekly income perspective.

Weekly demand is in control. Fresh weekly supply above. Price is in consolidation.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AEX weekly.PNG Size: 88 KB

New daily demand zone created by the break of the momentum line. DZ is on top of another daily demand zone (level on top of level), inside the weekly demand zone.
Above current price there is a LOL supply zone. I will look for shorts at the higher supply level, but price might break the daily supply levels and head towards the weekly supply level. If price comes back down I will look for buys at the demand zone.
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  • #1,226
  • Sep 23, 2016 5:41am Sep 23, 2016 5:41am
Quoting Pipsalon
AEX index (The Netherlands 25) Analysis from a weekly income perspective. Weekly demand is in control. Fresh weekly supply above. Price is in consolidation.{image} New daily demand zone created by the break of the momentum line. DZ is on top of another daily demand zone (level on top of level), inside the weekly demand zone. Above current price there is a LOL supply zone. I will look for shorts at the higher supply level, but price might break the daily supply levels and head towards the weekly supply level. If price comes back down I will look...
Hello Pipsalon.
Thank you for sharing your idea on this index, it's my first time seeing it.
Great view on it. Much obliged.

You are correct in that we are now in a "buy low, sell high" scenario with price being between supply above and demand below.

Just a note on the daily chart...you might want to include that green candle between the 2 supply zones into the upper zone.

best wishes
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #1,227
  • Sep 23, 2016 11:12am Sep 23, 2016 11:12am
Hello everyone.

Twitter, ticker symbol TWTR
S.A.D analysis

best wishes
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Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #1,228
  • Sep 23, 2016 12:23pm Sep 23, 2016 12:23pm
Hello everyone.

Thought I would share the most recent trade on Crude Oil, taken using supply and demand analysis and principles.
to show what is possible for an average rule and methodology based retail trader.

Please understand there are losses as well, it is not all wins. However, seeing and ensuring the wins far outweigh the losses is by far
the most important thing to understand when viewing these trades.

best wishes
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Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #1,229
  • Sep 24, 2016 1:30am Sep 24, 2016 1:30am
Hello everyone.

A S.A.D analysis of Microsoft, ticker symbol MSFT

best wishes
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Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #1,230
  • Sep 24, 2016 1:44am Sep 24, 2016 1:44am
Hello everyone.

I wanted to briefly talk about a challenge traders generally face, regardless of the system or methodology they apply to the markets.

The challenge is that of being in a trade, seeing price head your way for a particular reward to risk ratio, say 1:1, then coming back on you
and taking out the stop.
Has that happened to anyone before?
It has happened to me more times than i care to think about.

If for example, the rule the trader has set for him/herself is that i will not move my stop till i reach 2:1 reward to risk, then the trader described above is just following
their own rules and should be proud of themselves for doing what many of us struggle to do.

So why is it then that there is so much discomfort and annoyance, even pain, when the scenario I described above occurs?
Basically, the trader in that scenario feels the market has punished him/her for following their rules.

One way a trader can maintain his/her psychological capital and not have their trading damaged by such an occurrence is to ask himself/herself a question:

"what is the more painful thing for me - is it putting on a trade and being stopped out? or is it putting on a trade, seeing it go my way and then come back on me to stop me out without me taking any money off the table when the market presented me with it?

I would like to encourage traders having the above challenge to ask this question thereby using the pain and other emotions they feel in helping them in a constructive way, to arrive at a psychologically comfortable plan that fits their own personality, one that will not result in negative, destructive actions in the market following a stop out.

If the pain is greatest when a trade has gone your way for example to 1:1, then one way to manage that pain would be to include in the trading plan a statement like, "once price reaches 1:1, i will reduce my stop by half" or "once price reaches 1:1 I will take some profit off the table and leave the rest to see what happens".

A trader can come up with infinite psychologically fitted plans observing his/her emotions and using them as feedback in this way.

I know this probably goes against what many of s have been taught, that we must work to remove emotions entirely from our trading.

I am entirely for keeping emotions as part of trading and utilizing the valuable information provided in helping the trader become more self aware and as Shakespeare said, "to thine own self be true"

Sorry for the long post.

best wishes
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #1,231
  • Sep 24, 2016 4:00am Sep 24, 2016 4:00am
Quoting Akt
Hello everyone. I wanted to briefly talk about a challenge traders generally face, regardless of the system or methodology they apply to the markets. The challenge is that of being in a trade, seeing price head your way for a particular reward to risk ratio, say 1:1, then coming back on you and taking out the stop. Has that happened to anyone before? It has happened to me more times than i care to think about. If for example, the rule the trader has set for him/herself is that i will not move my stop till i reach 2:1 reward to risk, then the trader...
Hello Akt.
I think this trade is a good example, when price is moving in your favour, but I ended up with nothing.
I took this trade on EURUSD last thursday. It missed my tp by 4 pips and stopped me out exactly at Breakeven.

Best wishes
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #1,232
  • Sep 24, 2016 4:24am Sep 24, 2016 4:24am
Quoting Pipsalon
{quote} Hello Akt. I think this trade is a good example, when price is moving in your favour, but I ended up with nothing. I took this trade on EURUSD last thursday. It missed my tp by 4 pips and stopped me out exactly at Breakeven. Best wishes {image}
Hello Pipsalon.

That is a great example. thank you.
I am sure that must have hurt...getting so close to profit, only to be left with nothing.
Now, it may help to reflect on such trades and ask the helpful questions that can help the trader continue to develop his/her trading personality.

What would you do different in future, if anything please?

best wishes
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #1,233
  • Sep 24, 2016 4:31am Sep 24, 2016 4:31am
Hello everyone.

@Pipsalon, i was reviewing the AEX index you posted recently.
Here are my thoughts on it.

best wishes
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Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #1,234
  • Sep 24, 2016 5:29am Sep 24, 2016 5:29am
Quoting Akt
{quote} Hello Pipsalon. That is a great example. thank you. I am sure that must have hurt...getting so close to profit, only to be left with nothing. Now, it may help to reflect on such trades and ask the helpful questions that can help the trader continue to develop his/her trading personality. What would you do different in future, if anything please? best wishes
Hello Akt.

I see it very often that price exactly comes back to my entry point and stops me out at breakeven. And than moves in the right direction again.
What happens now at EURUSD.
I am thinking about lowering my stop with 50%, so that price still has enough room to breathe and if I get stopped out that it's just half my risk.

Best wishes
  • #1,235
  • Sep 24, 2016 8:35am Sep 24, 2016 8:35am
Quoting Pipsalon
{quote} Hello Akt. I see it very often that price exactly comes back to my entry point and stops me out at breakeven. And than moves in the right direction again. What happens now at EURUSD. I am thinking about lowering my stop with 50%, so that price still has enough room to breathe and if I get stopped out that it's just half my risk. Best wishes
Hello Pipsalon.

that's one way to go.
Another way may be to say take half off at 1:1 and have the trade "pay for itself" that way.
That approach may reduce your overall R:R ratio by a point but it helps your psychological capital.

best wishes
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #1,236
  • Sep 24, 2016 2:25pm Sep 24, 2016 2:25pm
Hello,

Few days ago I mentioned about AUD/USD http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...33#post9133033.
Now that SZ was testet and price start drop, will see how it will ends.

I pass that pair and choose other: AUD/DKK.
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Supply & Demand trading
  • #1,237
  • Sep 24, 2016 5:51pm Sep 24, 2016 5:51pm
Hello Akt ! First off all sorry for my English ) I just started to learn It . Any way , I found your topic and liked It . Your approach in trading is close for me. I want to share my system and view on the market , its little bit simple and different , with your permission of course. May be youll give me some advice. Always tracking your posts with great interest .
  • #1,238
  • Sep 24, 2016 10:57pm Sep 24, 2016 10:57pm
Quoting Ajay999
Hello Akt ! First off all sorry for my English ) I just started to learn It . Any way , I found your topic and liked It . Your approach in trading is close for me. I want to share my system and view on the market , its little bit simple and different , with your permission of course. May be youll give me some advice. Always tracking your posts with great interest .
Hello Ajay999. Good to meet you. Welcome.

The thread is based entirely on Supply and Demand trading.
It makes it easier for everyone to focus on one methodology without distraction, whatever stage they are at.

I am humbled to think you would want any advice from me. Thank you.
If there are challenges you have with your trading then by all means ask questions here.

best wishes
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #1,239
  • Sep 24, 2016 11:43pm Sep 24, 2016 11:43pm
Hello everyone

Its free webinar day today!!

If you are not able to attend but have questions, please feel free to ask them here and we will answer them in the webinar Q&A section.

For everyone who is attending, thank you for sending your email address.

Some more details for attendees.

Start time - 8.30pm UK time.
Run time - 60 - 90 minutes

Structure:
1. The tenets of Supply and Demand
2. Determinants of Supply and Demand
3. The analysis style of Supply and Demand
4. Zone theory
5. Types of supply & demand zones
6. Market analysis
7. Question and answer session

The session will be recorded. Recordings will be sent out within a few hours post webinar

Link to meeting will be sent out via email today so check you emails this afternoon (UK time) please.

Looking forward to meeting you all.

best wishes
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #1,240
  • Sep 25, 2016 4:59am Sep 25, 2016 4:59am
Good morning everyone,

I want to share a loss I had this week on EURCAD, to learn from it.
The before and after analysis. Now I know why this trade failed. Something I need to learn from this is to look more at the whole picture, I was to focused on one thing which was looking for shorts.

Before:
The weekly is high on the curve I was looking for short opportunities.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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On the daily we can see that a demand area has been taken out. I had a confirmation for a downtrend now, since demand was taken out and supply created.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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I started looking for short opportunities on the lower timeframes. I found a supply area at the 3 hour chart where I put a pending order short at. With a big bullish candle price reached that area, the same candle stopped me out as well.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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After analysis:
I was only focused on shorting EURCAD. So focused that I did not look at the reason why price started rising from that point. It is clearly to see that price started rising because it hit a fresh demand zone at the 4hr. And this 4hr demand is a bigger force than the 3hr supply area. Remember what Akt told us about Newtons law of motion? http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...84#post8914984
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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