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How to predict markets, Catch the moves at value

  • #841
  • Sep 22, 2016 12:32pm Sep 22, 2016 12:32pm
Quoting davidman
{quote} Hi Dennis, You've mentioned you never/don't use a stop loss but instead use correlation hedging. Are we going to get into this at all? Otherwise can you recommend further reading/study material. Looking at UJ... would not be a surprise to retest 100.00 and maybe lower to take out a few stops. 99.50 might also be at risk. Any thoughts... ??

Easiest way to start hedging is start with profits.

Lets say your 50pips up and you want to take profit, dont just hedge the profit with a short. ok so you loose a few pips on the spread. just leave it ans see which side grows by pip value and start adding on one side. Just by doing that you will be at the beginning of understanding the tools. to be continued...managing GU
  • #842
  • Sep 22, 2016 11:10pm Sep 22, 2016 11:10pm
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} Dave look at this in reverse: Earlier we got kicked back hard and fast on the dime at NFP low. We said its being defended. We said if break down below 101 50 bulls get smashed flight to Gold. Now this place, Last line of Defense right here/ last correction Zone take bull stops last of the last 100 / below that Death Cross

DEFENDED................................................................GOT IT ?
  • #843
  • Sep 22, 2016 11:15pm Sep 22, 2016 11:15pm
Go back and find this UJ
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: forecast current Chart_USD_JPY_30 Mins_snapshot (1).png Size: 66 KB
  • #844
  • Sep 22, 2016 11:21pm Sep 22, 2016 11:21pm
Quoting davidman
{quote} Pity you closed this trade. I use the "Position Size Calculator" mt4 indicator. If you put the green line on your entry and the red on your intended stop loss it will instantly calculate the Lot Size you should trade based on your Risk, Equity or Balance settings which you can alter to your personal preferences. So if your entry was 101.50 and you used Dennis' plan and used either 100.00 or 99.50 as your stop loss you would still be in this trade and well within your 1% risk. The torquiose line simply shows profit to risk ratio if you use...

hello, I was ok to close with 2 more cb's to speak, you have no idea what they are going to say plus the day looked rangy from the box views while usd appears downwards for a day or 2. Today ej appears on a break out but will wait for euro open to see which way they boot it. If you can trade prior to thes cb's then ok just its not for me, would rather buy the pullback. Lower value day on uj again so interesting to see how this pans out.
  • #845
  • Sep 22, 2016 11:25pm Sep 22, 2016 11:25pm
Quoting Dennis1468
Buy order pending 100
.
  • #846
  • Sep 22, 2016 11:26pm Sep 22, 2016 11:26pm
Quoting dennis1468
{quote} buy buy buy as per plan/ bulls defending nfp is the goal up then above {image} {image}

refer to chart in this post prior
  • #847
  • Sep 22, 2016 11:30pm Sep 22, 2016 11:30pm
Quoting michisuperfr
Quoting for OWN words doesn't make him a troll - Full time trader - Running a 250 million fund - "Having access to some of the best traders on the planet" - While working full time jobs - Offering basic forex training over skype and a 5$ website - Asking in babypips for other peoples money...
  • #848
  • Sep 22, 2016 11:56pm Sep 22, 2016 11:56pm
Hi Dennis, Any thoughts on how to play the break out days?
  • #849
  • Sep 23, 2016 12:20am Sep 23, 2016 12:20am
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} DEFENDED................................................................GOT IT ?
Dennis I have no words..... well OK maybe I do.... INCREDIBLE....AWESOME.... UNBELIEVABLE !!!

Thank you Sir.
  • #850
  • Sep 23, 2016 1:49am Sep 23, 2016 1:49am
Quoting dabs99
Hi Dennis, Any thoughts on how to play the break out days?

This we need long sideways what some would call consolidation:

the CPR's will be narrow/ overlap/and inside values almost sideways for a few days or many can be weeks. CPR width will see new value that normally in the direction of the break away. So I normally leave my Limit order below value to catch the stops to get filled in the below chart You can see how I got the break away play with first half profit at 50 pips 100.90.

Note the values narrow CPR preceding day to break out. Note My market Buy order was set to the low of the prior day, always calculate the stops plus 30
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: break out Chart_USD_JPY_15 Mins_snapshot.png Size: 48 KB
  • #851
  • Sep 23, 2016 1:59am Sep 23, 2016 1:59am
Ok im gonna share something in a minute its massive you may have worked this out already from prior posts now before I share lets explain something.

Now your seeing how more predictable the market is because its influenced by a few big players in terms of contract values. Then as we covered the different type of professional traders and the pivots they plot to get values.

Thats the tiny tiny picture in Technical terms. Now after NFP I said mark your NFP High low this sets you for the month.

I will share more on this now! dont have trolls get me down/only my girls can do that ......................massive next
  • #852
  • Sep 23, 2016 2:02am Sep 23, 2016 2:02am
This will require a clean chart
  • #853
  • Sep 23, 2016 2:05am Sep 23, 2016 2:05am
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} Dave look at this in reverse: Earlier we got kicked back hard and fast on the dime at NFP low. We said its being defended. We said if break down below 101 50 bulls get smashed flight to Gold. Now this place, Last line of Defense right here/ last correction Zone take bull stops last of the last 100 / below that Death Cross

Yes take note
  • #854
  • Sep 23, 2016 2:06am Sep 23, 2016 2:06am
Quoting Dennis1468
Plan posted on Saturday - we are right 100% on it: re posting: Analysis If 101. 50 Collapses this will be devastating to Bullish sentiment NFP Low under Constant Attack last week and Bulls are winning, if Current attempted fails to break up above mid point NFP Bulls will Collapse Above 104.50 plain sailing Rally to 107 below 101.50 Market correction and liquidity will take flight out from Dollar to Gold safe havan Post 660 Cleanup Quote...

Take note
  • #855
  • Sep 23, 2016 2:07am Sep 23, 2016 2:07am
Quoting Dennis1468
Plan posted on Saturday - we are right 100% on it: re posting: Analysis If 101. 50 Collapses this will be devastating to Bullish sentiment NFP Low under Constant Attack last week and Bulls are winning, if Current attempted fails to break up above mid point NFP Bulls will Collapse Read always word for word there massive information in a few lines in the plan. So bulls as they rebuild at value will be at the expence intially of Bears narrowing stops closer to value to lock in prohets

Take note
  • #856
  • Sep 23, 2016 2:07am Sep 23, 2016 2:07am
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} 102. 80 hit NFP LOW next trade...............................................................................{quote} {image}

Take note
  • #857
  • Sep 23, 2016 2:08am Sep 23, 2016 2:08am
Quoting Dennis1468
Today will attack nfp low will fade the moves as we go 2nd time BUY S 1 DAILY

Take note
  • #858
  • Sep 23, 2016 2:11am Sep 23, 2016 2:11am
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} Chart is why the plan was to attack the bear stops on NFP failed to break NFP in Blue trading what we planned, ending up dumping all longs as plan stoped working. We closed on maximum highest value {image}

take note go back and review chart from this post
  • #859
  • Sep 23, 2016 2:19am Sep 23, 2016 2:19am
Will get into it, i have to make descriptive chart Im working on it...will be done in 30 minutes...then we can get back to trading live
  • #860
  • Sep 23, 2016 2:28am Sep 23, 2016 2:28am
Quoting Dennis1468
Will get into it, i have to make descriptive chart Im working on it...will be done in 30 minutes...then we can get back to trading live
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