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Trading Institutional Order Flow

  • #1,201
  • Sep 14, 2016 5:17am Sep 14, 2016 5:17am
Hello Traders!

AKT pls, I would like your opinion about my analisys on AUDCAD.
I am focussing on trend and figure out when It is up, down or in consolidation.

I show you 2 charts, Monthly and Weekly: both are in consolidation, explanations on chart.

My personal thought about AUDCAD:
We are high on the curve. I want to see the W DZ remove than join the new W down trend if price will retests the new W SZ create.

Thanks for your time.
Hope this can help

Mauro

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Monthly.png Size: 60 KB


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Weekly.png Size: 66 KB
Limit your loss, save partial gain and let the profit run!
  • #1,202
  • Sep 14, 2016 10:57am Sep 14, 2016 10:57am
Quoting MadMojosss
Hello Traders! AKT pls, I would like your opinion about my analisys on AUDCAD. I am focussing on trend and figure out when It is up, down or in consolidation. I show you 2 charts, Monthly and Weekly: both are in consolidation, explanations on chart. My personal thought about AUDCAD: We are high on the curve. I want to see the W DZ remove than join the new W down trend if price will retests the new W SZ create. Thanks for your time. Hope this can help Mauro {image} {image}
Hi Mauro. Let me ask you dear friend. Where is an imbalance in yellow rectangle on monthly chart.?
  • #1,203
  • Sep 14, 2016 11:42am Sep 14, 2016 11:42am
Quoting MadMojosss
Hello Traders! AKT pls, I would like your opinion about my analisys on AUDCAD. I am focussing on trend and figure out when It is up, down or in consolidation. I show you 2 charts, Monthly and Weekly: both are in consolidation, explanations on chart. My personal thought about AUDCAD: We are high on the curve. I want to see the W DZ remove than join the new W down trend if price will retests the new W SZ create. Thanks for your time. Hope this can help Mauro {image} {image}
Hello Mauro.
Thank you for the question. Tough chart no?

Here are my thoughts. I hope it helps

best wishes
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audcad mauro.PNG Size: 85 KB
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #1,204
  • Sep 14, 2016 1:57pm Sep 14, 2016 1:57pm
Hello everyone.

Please allow me to share a trade on crude oil closed today.
It shows the thought process, explaining some of the validity of the trade.
As always, no brag please. Just an example of following process.

best wishes
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: crudeoil M.PNG Size: 75 KB
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: crudeoil W.PNG Size: 51 KB
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Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #1,205
  • Sep 15, 2016 2:56am Sep 15, 2016 2:56am
Quoting Akt
{quote} Hello Mauro. Thank you for the question. Tough chart no? Here are my thoughts. I hope it helps best wishes{image}
Thank you AKT for your chart. Mine is not very different to your.
Usually, I consider a level tested and able to remove if is penetrate more than 50%

Quoting conom589
{quote} Hi Mauro. Let me ask you dear friend. Where is an imbalance in yellow rectangle on monthly chart.?
Hi Conom! I show you a more complete chart with all steps. Hope it is comprehensible. Can this response to your question?

Mauro

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: M.png Size: 85 KB
Limit your loss, save partial gain and let the profit run!
  • #1,206
  • Sep 15, 2016 11:01pm Sep 15, 2016 11:01pm
Hello everyone.

Video analysis on GBP/CAD.

I hope you find it useful

best wishes
Inserted Video
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #1,207
  • Sep 16, 2016 4:52am Sep 16, 2016 4:52am
Quoting Akt
Hello everyone. Video analysis on GBP/CAD. I hope you find it useful.
Hello Akt,
Thank You for shearing Your video analysis I agree that to trade 'long' from that W1 DZ better wait until price remove opposing D1 SZ.

I also have a technical question: what software do You use for video recording?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPCADDaily.png Size: 40 KB
Supply & Demand trading
  • #1,208
  • Sep 16, 2016 4:59am Sep 16, 2016 4:59am
Quoting CoolRain
{quote} Hello Akt, Thank You for shearing Your video analysis I agree that to trade 'long' from that W1 DZ better wait until price remove opposing D1 SZ. I also have a technical question: what software do You use for video recording? {image}
Hello CoolRain.

I use OBS most times.

I was looking at translating some of the videos because i know not everyone speaks English but i haven't found a good enough software i like yet

best wishes
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #1,209
  • Sep 16, 2016 5:14am Sep 16, 2016 5:14am
Hello everyone.

Institutional order flow Analysis on the largest stock market in the world, the S&P 500 index.

I show this because of a recent conversation i had with a good friend who saw the large drop in stock prices last week and
felt the stock market was about to crash because of the violent nature of the sell off at the end of last week.

One man's sell off is another man's opportunity, i guess

best wishes
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #1,210
  • Sep 16, 2016 5:27am Sep 16, 2016 5:27am
Hello everyone.

Buying opportunity in the S&P 500.
This is a trading idea, not a recommendation to do anything.

best wishes
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: sp 4h.PNG Size: 68 KB
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #1,211
  • Sep 16, 2016 5:58am Sep 16, 2016 5:58am
Akt nice to see that my analysis for S&P500 is similar to your.
For me to go 'long' I will wait when price back to W1 DZ and then create conformation on D1 chart, because I would like to see better price imbalance than actual, all time I'm waiting on 2:1.

Going down to H4 chart as You pointed there is new H4 DZ, but on my chart from my broker it not remove any opposing SZ so also here will wait on confirmation.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: #S&P500_U6H4.png Size: 40 KB
Supply & Demand trading
  • #1,212
  • Sep 16, 2016 6:08am Sep 16, 2016 6:08am
Quoting CoolRain
Akt nice to see that my analysis for S&P500 is similar to your. For me to go 'long' I will wait when price back to W1 DZ and then create conformation on D1 chart, because I would like to see better price imbalance than actual, all time I'm waiting on 2:1. Going down to H4 chart as You pointed there is new H4 DZ, but on my chart from my broker it not remove any opposing SZ so also here will wait on confirmation. {image}
Hello Coolrain.

Thanks for sharing your clear thought process.

Best wishes
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #1,213
  • Sep 16, 2016 12:36pm Sep 16, 2016 12:36pm
Hello everyone.
A look back at a chart i posted here over the weekend on CHK, a US based stock

before and after...

best wishes
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: chk d after.PNG Size: 112 KB
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #1,214
  • Sep 18, 2016 6:33am Sep 18, 2016 6:33am
Hello, #Gold still running.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2016-09-18-132958_1920x1080_scrot.png Size: 108 KB
To break the rules you must first master them.
  • #1,215
  • Sep 18, 2016 12:06pm Sep 18, 2016 12:06pm
Quoting Mr.PhiBo
Hello, #Gold still running.{image}
Hello Mr.Phibo.

Nice. Well done to you.
Is your stop at the higher line of the zone as in the chart or above there please?

best wishes
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #1,216
  • Sep 19, 2016 6:56am Sep 19, 2016 6:56am
Hello everyone.

I would like to discuss a topic again with you all, one that is a constant source of division amongst traders.

I refer to that 6 letter word....TRENDS, from the perspective of their impact on profitability relative to position sizing.

There is a prevalent school of thought that traders can only be profitable trading big trends like daily and weekly trends.

Whilst I agree bigger trends could potentially give bigger profits, at the end of the day, that in itself is dependent on the level of skill of the trader and importantly, their position sizes, more than how long the trend has been in place.

I know traders who trade 15min, 5min, trends who have done well for themselves and continue to. They were able to develop the required skill to trade these trends, including the mindset required in that process.

The thing about trends is that no trader makes money without them. From the minute a trader places a trade, he needs a trend to develop in his direction to be profitable.

The amount of money he/she makes is partly dependent on the size of the trend the trader trades, but more importantly, profit is largely determined by the position size deployed, more than how long the trader stays with the trend or how big a trend is.

Depending on the position size, a small move could result in a large profit for the trader, a profit that another trader staying with a trend but with a small position size is not likely to have.

Certainly a trader trading daily trends technically is more likely to make more money than the trader trading a 5 minute trend.
However, if we think about it more in-depth, the amount of money made in real terms will depend on the position size the trader used when placing the trade.

A trader trading a 5 minute trend and manages to get on the right side of that trend with a large position size could actually make more money than the trader trading a daily trend but is not able to put on a large enough position because of the size of his stop on a daily chart.

So, proper position sizing is critical, even in trend trading.

I will probably write more about this in future

best wishes
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #1,217
  • Sep 19, 2016 10:23am Sep 19, 2016 10:23am
Quoting Akt
{quote} Hello Mr.Phibo. Nice. Well done to you. Is your stop at the higher line of the zone as in the chart or above there please? best wishes
Hello Akt. Upper line + spread. No margin this time
To break the rules you must first master them.
  • #1,218
  • Sep 20, 2016 2:10am Sep 20, 2016 2:10am
Hello everyone.

Public invite for a webinar this sunday night.
If anyone is interested, please send me your email to get the link and info.
No strings attached.


best wishes
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #1,219
  • Sep 20, 2016 3:46am Sep 20, 2016 3:46am
Dax index(german 30) Analysis from a Weekly income perspective.

Weekly supply is in control. Weekly demand below. Price is in consolidation. I am looking to buy low or sell high.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Ger30 weekly.PNG Size: 93 KB


Daily supply indentified at weekly supply zone. Daily demand identified at weekly demand zone. Momentum on the daily is to the downside.
If price reaches the weekly demand zone, I will look for confirmation entries on the lower timeframes 1hr - 4hr.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Ger30 daily.PNG Size: 103 KB
  • #1,220
  • Sep 20, 2016 6:44am Sep 20, 2016 6:44am
Quoting Akt
Hello everyone. Public invite for a webinar this sunday night. If anyone is interested, please send me your email to get the link and info. No strings attached. best wishes
I pm'd you my email, Akt. Hopefully it will be recorded in case I can't make it due to time difference. Love your stuff and thanks for hosting the webinar !
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