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The Swamp

  • #9,021
  • Sep 12, 2016 4:44am Sep 12, 2016 4:44am
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #9,022
  • Sep 12, 2016 5:04am Sep 12, 2016 5:04am
swapped to a 1 minute chart to show 1222 h close just a 1 h, and not the best hour.. gu bear side, eu more neutral, from support.. uj bear.. some confusion. toward usd
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #9,023
  • Sep 12, 2016 5:18am Sep 12, 2016 5:18am
Quoting edyraper
{quote} Thanks to a friend, This is the true 50% on that swing : {image}
maybe but maybe not.
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  • #9,024
  • Sep 12, 2016 6:06am Sep 12, 2016 6:06am
I invest into west texas oil long @ ~44.82 the first time just now, ... & maybe at lower prices again & again.
(nasdaq, spx, dax, cac40 & Co seems more to play "the night of the falling knives" in this risk-taker market).
  • #9,025
  • Sep 12, 2016 6:18am Sep 12, 2016 6:18am
Petty Sell Order Triggered, Target 1 in view.
Ref..
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  • #9,026
  • Sep 12, 2016 8:36am Sep 12, 2016 8:36am
Natural Gas showing some solid upward pressure. I'm long from 2.85x
Focus.
  • #9,027
  • Sep 12, 2016 9:39am Sep 12, 2016 9:39am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} close was below. i suspect next week some will look to enter short 3342 or 3363 gu. eu 1261 or 1282 eu may have some s/r now 1122/25.. to bounce it would need 1125 + probably closed on the tf of ones choosing to trade with. gu 3259, uj 102.74.. uj closed below the norm at 102.75
3339 probably was a better guess. this was a st probability. on a larger one, 39xx is open as normal. never sure about this. i could be or not be time for 39xx.. but its why i went long weeks back.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #9,028
  • Edited Sep 13, 2016 7:52am Sep 12, 2016 5:41pm | Edited Sep 13, 2016 7:52am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 3339 probably was a better guess. this was a st probability. on a larger one, 39xx is open as normal. never sure about this. i could be or not be time for 39xx.. but its why i went long weeks back. {image}
Chilean Villa Las Estrellas, Chile

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Thank You !!!!!
  • #9,029
  • Sep 12, 2016 6:06pm Sep 12, 2016 6:06pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 3339 probably was a better guess. this was a st probability. on a larger one, 39xx is open as normal. never sure about this. i could be or not be time for 39xx.. but its why i went long weeks back. {image}
confluence @ 3025
without price going above 3443, this is my bias.
  • #9,030
  • Sep 12, 2016 6:46pm Sep 12, 2016 6:46pm
Quoting longshot_nl
{quote} confluence @ 3025 without price going above 3443, this is my bias.
china has some news tonight, a drop in markets could turn into usd bearish movements, if china hits the shitter. we will not know till it happens or not. i dont rule out redemptions in usd cross currencies. bad china news could cause the opposite effect until equalization (meaning demand in crosses, as the host currency is brought home {redeemed}). in theory the usd would get stronger, but the redemptions in the st such as days or weeks could cause usd weakness. although it may be gaining in underlying strength. the near term price could be opposite until the equalization levels are achieved . the usd may gain as the weaker equity players redeem those usd cross through margin calls etc. oil could also have the opposite effect and climb too 56.x brent. that climb in oil could give fed green light.. or the redemptions may give the fed a pause like last year. that climb in oil may just be a anomaly, and if it climbs or not. a drop is anticipated after in oil. it could pause the fed. (its hard to have inflation if oil is dropping) meanwhile 1.2470 eu valid target and a 1.390x norm is still there. its complicated in my view.

on the surface usd seems to be bullish, looking deeper i am not betting on it..

looking at the calendar, usd seems stronger in novemberish from past trading. nimble may be a good strategy for a few months. 1.39 is a attractant. i think. thinking is not a good strategy i find.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #9,031
  • Sep 12, 2016 6:59pm Sep 12, 2016 6:59pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} china has some news tonight, a drop in markets could turn into usd bearish movements, if china hits the shitter. we will not know till it happens or not. i dont rule out redemptions in usd cross currencies. bad china news could cause the opposite effect until equalization (meaning demand in crosses, as the host currency is brought home {redeemed}). in theory the usd would get stronger, but the redemptions in the st such as days or weeks could cause usd weakness. although it may be gaining in underlying strength. the near term price could...
uj .68 is a valid target too.. i am scared of 113 before atm.. the smaller 103.5 achieved last bounce

some china news in 2 hours
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #9,032
  • Sep 12, 2016 7:57pm Sep 12, 2016 7:57pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 3339 probably was a better guess. this was a st probability. on a larger one, 39xx is open as normal. never sure about this. i could be or not be time for 39xx.. but its why i went long weeks back. {image}
Was watching that speech and GU price moving simultaneously. Got to the point I thought made sense to enter short based on the small tf candles and how they looked near the end of it. Entered at 3339. Then switched over to the swamp to see you calling that number a full 2.5 hours prior to the speech. Unreal man. Wish I had your handle on it its uncanny. Took half off to pay for stops now. We'll see. Kudos.
  • #9,033
  • Sep 12, 2016 8:28pm Sep 12, 2016 8:28pm
Quoting goosebone
{quote} Was watching that speech and GU price moving simultaneously. Got to the point I thought made sense to enter short based on the small tf candles and how they looked near the end of it. Entered at 3339. Then switched over to the swamp to see you calling that number a full 2.5 hours prior to the speech. Unreal man. Wish I had your handle on it its uncanny. Took half off to pay for stops now. We'll see. Kudos.
friday it looked like 3342 while making those lows http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...18#post9130218
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #9,034
  • Sep 12, 2016 10:06pm Sep 12, 2016 10:06pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} friday it looked like 3342 while making those lows http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...18#post9130218 {image}
Awesome. I was focused away from gu on Fri. That one went over my head. Great calls as usual.
  • #9,035
  • Sep 12, 2016 10:21pm Sep 12, 2016 10:21pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} china has some news tonight, a drop in markets could turn into usd bearish movements, if china hits the shitter. we will not know till it happens or not. i dont rule out redemptions in usd cross currencies. bad china news could cause the opposite effect until equalization (meaning demand in crosses, as the host currency is brought home {redeemed}). in theory the usd would get stronger, but the redemptions in the st such as days or weeks could cause usd weakness. although it may be gaining in underlying strength. the near term price could...
china did better than forecast. i was looking for a catalyst to start a chain reaction. it didn't happen. the fuel is there, a spark is needed..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #9,036
  • Sep 12, 2016 10:34pm Sep 12, 2016 10:34pm
think i now have a clearer view of the market...thanks.
Nothing stands in the way of a person's will -THE MYSTICS
  • #9,037
  • Sep 13, 2016 1:37am Sep 13, 2016 1:37am
Good Morning !

Today's SR levels on MT4 Templates for EURO, CABLE, DAX, USDJPY & EURGBP
FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #9,038
  • Sep 13, 2016 4:14am Sep 13, 2016 4:14am
EU nice rejection of the daily pivot, opens up a 1.1207 test
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  • #9,039
  • Sep 13, 2016 4:20am Sep 13, 2016 4:20am
Play It Again Sam, (Woody Allen)
have invest some shorts
nzdcad, short @ 0.9600
  • #9,040
  • Sep 13, 2016 4:41am Sep 13, 2016 4:41am
GA short 1.7659
trading is simple but is simple is not easy.
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