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How to predict markets, Catch the moves at value

  • #461
  • Sep 9, 2016 7:41am Sep 9, 2016 7:41am
Quoting vwap
{quote} Nice one Dennis!
I will sort out more indis in a while time to enjoy my Chicken Dinner
  • #462
  • Sep 9, 2016 7:50am Sep 9, 2016 7:50am
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} I never close a loosing trade! as that is down to your perspective on time and fear, for me its a opportunity to make money, I was forced to double up on EU which took me into a small profit overall. On the other side As mentioned I bought UJ Weekly PP which went into loss then bought daily CPR now at 102.50 current price I am twice the size as the current price of the loss. AS PP UJ Trade is now + 21 pips and CPR trade is now + 90 pips up. If I took a direct hedge i.e short on UJ and Long. That just locks you in. I only hedge direct hedge...
Hi Dennis I have no experience of hedging in anyway shape or form, so with the usd/jpy going your way again how do you handle the trade now
  • #463
  • Sep 9, 2016 7:57am Sep 9, 2016 7:57am
Quoting OAPDave
{quote} Hi Dennis I have no experience of hedging in anyway shape or form, so with the usd/jpy going your way again how do you handle the trade now
Simple answer to a Complicated question. Basically ? Do nothing let the market work for you, however there was some twigging nothing to Complexed.


Remember I bought EU Doubled up size over UJ a few days back which due to its Volatility and to save my butt, wiped out the running loss on UJ longs. Correlation Hedge/LONG EU LONG UJ

At the CPR today I bought UJ back and closed EU longs at the CPR 1.28

Massive profits always when at risk.......Now no need to fiddle let the market do its thing
  • #464
  • Sep 9, 2016 8:04am Sep 9, 2016 8:04am
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} Simple answer to a Complicated question. Basically ? Do nothing let the market work for you, however there was some twigging nothing to Complexed. Remember I bought EU Doubled up size over UJ a few days back which due to its Volatility and to save my butt, wiped out the running loss on UJ longs. Correlation Hedge/LONG EU LONG UJ At the CPR today I bought UJ back and closed EU longs at the CPR 1.28 Massive profits always when at risk.......Now no need to fiddle let the market do its thing
Thanks Dennis, looks like something else I need to get my head round, just hope I do not have to go there very often.
  • #465
  • Sep 9, 2016 8:05am Sep 9, 2016 8:05am
Quoting OAPDave
{quote} Thanks Dennis, looks like something else I need to get my head round, just hope I do not have to go there very often.

No problem.........The only motivation we have to make money is when we loosing it!................When you not loosing the only motivation is beating the market

Current use of of leverage 1 %
  • #466
  • Sep 9, 2016 8:22am Sep 9, 2016 8:22am
Hello,

Slowly getting in to this. Bagged 70 on gbpjpy just now but had to survive a 2 pip scare on the stop loss below the bc but worked nicely. Missed usdcad that looked perfect.



Home work this weekend!

cheers
dabs
  • #467
  • Sep 9, 2016 8:25am Sep 9, 2016 8:25am
Quoting dabs99
Hello, Slowly getting in to this. Bagged 70 on gbpjpy just now but had to survive a 2 pip scare on the stop loss below the bc but worked nicely. Missed usdcad that looked perfect. Home work this weekend! cheers dabs

Oh well done.....................now your entering at Value and your predicting.
  • #468
  • Sep 9, 2016 8:27am Sep 9, 2016 8:27am
Quoting vwap
{quote} Nice one Dennis!

Now some traders will being buying the fade back to R1 daily to try and break the 103 Handle push through
  • #469
  • Sep 9, 2016 8:52am Sep 9, 2016 8:52am
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} Now some traders will being buying the fade back to R1 daily to try and break the 103 Handle push through

Should happen, Should breakthrough as you have a failed Monthly S1 Pivot, Conviction will build as position traders take note to Target Take note to Target 104 80 this month

If we dont do it now will trade 100 80 to 103 next week. But 104 80 by end of month
  • #470
  • Sep 9, 2016 8:57am Sep 9, 2016 8:57am
Thanks Dennis by your answers and for trying to enlightenment me and us.

Trying a something i figured out, and i think your lessons can help me to define the boundaries for the trades... Yesterday i booked 256 pips and today 295 pips on EU... minus cost of trading. Done for today...

JL
Started a blog: terraceman blogspot com
  • #471
  • Sep 9, 2016 9:01am Sep 9, 2016 9:01am
Quoting jlongo
Thanks Dennis by your answers and for trying to enlightenment me and us. Trying a something i figured out, and i think your lessons can help me to define the boundaries for the trades... Yesterday i booked 256 pips and today 295 pips on EU... minus cost of trading. Done for today... JL

Very Good. This stuff works. And you make your own way of trading it because you already have watermarks to predict and catch the moves..that is why /I came here

Now lets break that handle and get the hell out of here
  • #472
  • Sep 9, 2016 12:05pm Sep 9, 2016 12:05pm
mmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmNFP railtracks

The Train from the positioning of NFP Starts next week, Are you marking your NFP High to NFP low. We approaching the Zone


To be covered determine which market participants are influencing price

102.80 on the Yen is Nfp spike low that anit no coincidence
  • #473
  • Sep 9, 2016 2:37pm Sep 9, 2016 2:37pm
Good Stuff for the weekend: Trader Stuff

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  • #474
  • Sep 9, 2016 2:44pm Sep 9, 2016 2:44pm
Quoting Dennis1468
Good Stuff for the weekend: Trader Stuff https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ed2FWNWwE3I https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JYTyluv4Gws https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cxSZzTYpZAg

Thanks Dennis!!!
Since Frank Sinatra sings in his own way, my chart sing... I did it, my way
  • #475
  • Sep 9, 2016 2:48pm Sep 9, 2016 2:48pm
good stuff enjoy
  • #476
  • Sep 9, 2016 8:35pm Sep 9, 2016 8:35pm
Morning,

GBPJPY hit the trend channel and reversed, UJ hitting pivot at same time and gu dropped down through the IB, = take profits. I was looking for R3 but you dont get everything you wish for on the day you wish for it lol.

Interesting for Monday, gu is closing in on weekly pivot, while gj and uj are in hv mode so should gu hit the weekly and uj be in position to rise then gj should take off, could start asia time.

Im looking at a few charts here and noticing the weekly pivot popping up, that makes me think Monday will be a DD day.

cheers
dabs
  • #477
  • Sep 9, 2016 9:47pm Sep 9, 2016 9:47pm
Gaps...still working on these. Whose got the best gap trade for Monday, could anyone post so I can dissect thanks? 1st prize gets a night with tradability, 2nd prize gets 2 nights!​


And I will share with you what looks like a snooter of a trade. EURAUD, squeeze the 4hour chart up and you have a Dennis cup and handle in the making, large degree, also looks like a reverse head and shoulders pattern and is closing in on breaking the sequence of LL LH.

Hopefully Dennis can comment on euraud as it looks like a whopper!

Yes I could be wrong
  • #478
  • Sep 10, 2016 1:51am Sep 10, 2016 1:51am
Quoting dabs99
Morning, GBPJPY hit the trend channel and reversed, UJ hitting pivot at same time and gu dropped down through the IB, = take profits. I was looking for R3 but you dont get everything you wish for on the day you wish for it lol. Interesting for Monday, gu is closing in on weekly pivot, while gj and uj are in hv mode so should gu hit the weekly and uj be in position to rise then gj should take off, could start asia time. Im looking at a few charts here and noticing the weekly pivot popping up, that makes me think Monday will be a DD day. cheers dabs...

Exactly the Correlation you will read it after time. Lets say UJ is moving up and it stops dead at the CPR. Then you look at the EU Chart and see that still Moving down.

Then EU hits a key level. And the breaks through. Then UJ lifts of again/ Some time EU leads UJ sometime visa versa. Everything has to Correlate and when there not Co-relating market becomes extremely volatile.
  • #479
  • Sep 10, 2016 4:45am Sep 10, 2016 4:45am
Quoting VEEFX
Thanks for your response Dennis. I was trying to create a trader profile using QnA format to see if it aligns with mine. Mine is way different. The post of Order flow was also a nice read.
Thanks bro..........Any feedback positive or negative is a great Data, for personal development and is appreciated
  • #480
  • Sep 10, 2016 6:42pm Sep 10, 2016 6:42pm
VEEFX,your millipede is still alive and growing
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