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How to predict markets, Catch the moves at value

  • #401
  • Sep 6, 2016 11:47am Sep 6, 2016 11:47am
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} Momentum just stoped on Release, I woke up this morning with 50 pips on a trade, took a shower and back to - 2.........You cant win em all. But I am gonna let it run this week. Unless we get a major correction. I have a market order to buy on S3 daily....If this does not work out will trade out on opposite correlation which will be motivating and challenging.

S3
  • #402
  • Sep 6, 2016 11:50am Sep 6, 2016 11:50am
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} S3

Do notget freaked out by short term news: Its not the big picture, its just a repetition
  • #403
  • Sep 6, 2016 12:34pm Sep 6, 2016 12:34pm
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} S3
UJ S3 reached; reversing......
  • #404
  • Sep 6, 2016 2:56pm Sep 6, 2016 2:56pm
Quoting dcbsod
{quote} UJ S3 reached; reversing......
.. you are sure ?

some golden level in the north, also MA240 and MPP now acts as R-Level - we will see :-)
  • #405
  • Sep 6, 2016 4:57pm Sep 6, 2016 4:57pm
Quoting Mucky
{quote} .. you are sure ? some golden level in the north, also MA240 and MPP now acts as R-Level - we will see :-)
Oh yes lets see.....:-)
  • #406
  • Edited Sep 7, 2016 9:41am Sep 6, 2016 8:06pm | Edited Sep 7, 2016 9:41am
Today looks interesting. My thoughts and could be completely wrong so don't trade this thanks.

1) EurCAD EurGBP opened above bearish range so could be a nice buy back at tc.

2) Audusd created a gap but also looks bullish opening out above the range so could drop first then rise.

3) UJ gbpjpy wide range so may need to set up a larger move up for tomorrow.

4) Eurusd gbpusd gaps that could drop in to support. struggling a bit looking at these 2.

Just my thoughts and it would be great if I am wrong and someone could explain their thoughts.

cheers

completely beyond my imagination.......Dennis's thread, 7 hours of jim dalton videos and frankies pivots, I should redo all again and see if I missed anything...... I do most types of technical analysis and have been swimming (flapping) in the dark for far too long, muchas grasias!!!!
  • #407
  • Sep 6, 2016 9:47pm Sep 6, 2016 9:47pm
Quoting tradeforlife
{quote} thanks a lot mate, appreciate your effort... this is very helpful to us... just one small request... when there is sunday candles in the chart, the monday pivots are not calculated correctly as it is considering the sunday candles to calculate pivots. is there any way to avoid this sunday candles please? other than changing the broker....
Hi tradeforlife,

I am not a coder, modifying a written one is all i could do at the moment, sorry. I have came across a Pivot ind called "###Auto Pivot2" in FF, please search for it, it has a setting that avoid sunday data. There is another which is call "manual pivot" which i believe it allows you to set the data start and end time which is a easy fix for avoiding sunday data.
Then again, all these doesn't means we "collectively" are in sync, due to broker time, we will have different pivot level when it is printed. All i can say is Prices are manipulate by MM, move by them, NOT us, retail traders. What we are doing here is understanding how they (MM) operate and swim along with them.
  • #408
  • Sep 7, 2016 1:08am Sep 7, 2016 1:08am
AUDUSD higher value relationship
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Chart_AUD_USD_Hourly_snapshot.png Size: 15 KB
  • #409
  • Sep 7, 2016 1:33am Sep 7, 2016 1:33am
Quoting vwap
AUDUSD higher value relationship{image}
With a higher value relationship, we are looking for break of high, which happens to be around Previous day High and IB range High. Confluence and off to a Trend day.
Hope I am right on this?
  • #410
  • Sep 7, 2016 5:31am Sep 7, 2016 5:31am
I am reading some really good things, keep it going guys! To be continued.
  • #411
  • Sep 7, 2016 6:15am Sep 7, 2016 6:15am
Fireflies: My 2 cents- look back in August AUDUSD now at a strong Resistance level. I would watch for a breakout above.
Anyway, thanks for the heads-up.
  • #412
  • Sep 7, 2016 6:46am Sep 7, 2016 6:46am
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} Momentum just stoped on Release, I woke up this morning with 50 pips on a trade, took a shower and back to - 2.........You cant win em all. But I am gonna let it run this week. Unless we get a major correction. I have a market order to buy on S3 daily....If this does not work out will trade out on opposite correlation which will be motivating and challenging.
probably you are already in the correlation trade or at least thinking about that eh
added into i see.. mm trade . dont know whats your risk .but seems 104 is getting off. whats wrong with folding the wrong hand and reentering
. eventually throwing risk on and the keys on the table could mean hard landing on that turn you aint expecting
  • #413
  • Sep 7, 2016 7:17am Sep 7, 2016 7:17am
Still new to this method of trading, so would like to know if my interpretation of this is correct: On EG chart below we had the day open slightly lower than yesterday, and price then rallied into into R1, and has now started reversing from there, so I assume we expect the PP to be the short term target here?

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 48 KB
Better to run, than curse the road
  • #414
  • Sep 7, 2016 8:16am Sep 7, 2016 8:16am
Hi Dennis,
I have posted 3 charts in the old/other thread for you to look at in your own time, with my thoughts that you requested. They represent Monthly, Weekly, Daily. Pivots
  • #415
  • Sep 7, 2016 8:22am Sep 7, 2016 8:22am
Quoting 21vs7
{quote} probably you are already in the correlation trade or at least thinking about that eh added into i see.. mm trade . dont know whats your risk .but seems 104 is getting off. whats wrong with folding the wrong hand and reentering . eventually throwing risk on and the keys on the table could mean hard landing on that turn you aint expecting

Yes I am still holding a auto stop to buy euro if uj breaks short. so I am up 50 pips on euro and down 90 pips on uj over all. So bit of patience to get out both sides but I will hold both locked together until I am certain uj moves to bull mode. However long it takes does not matter. But I prefer to get out both positive on News if volatility is there. Volatility momentum is what needed.
  • #416
  • Sep 7, 2016 8:46am Sep 7, 2016 8:46am
Hi Dennis

Can you please explain why you don't rather set an auto stop to sell UJ rather than a correlation pair. Would it not be easier to monitor?

Much appreciated.
  • #417
  • Sep 7, 2016 9:29am Sep 7, 2016 9:29am
Quoting davidman
Fireflies: My 2 cents- look back in August AUDUSD now at a strong Resistance level. I would watch for a breakout above. Anyway, thanks for the heads-up.
You're right David, and a BRN in sight. it was a good double touch Day PP and attempt new higher value but met with strong resistance as pointed out by you, thanks.
Gonna pay more attention to "Look Left",
  • #418
  • Edited Sep 8, 2016 6:19am Sep 7, 2016 10:43pm | Edited Sep 8, 2016 6:19am
Quoting davidman
Hi Dennis Can you please explain why you don't rather set an auto stop to sell UJ rather than a correlation pair. Would it not be easier to monitor? Much appreciated.
Sometimes I do that / direct hedge, but leverage is low its not worth it. Left the trade open and its doubled up on EU anyway. So when I release EU it will be first hedged as a sell order then sell down and let UJ naturally come up.
  • #419
  • Sep 7, 2016 11:16pm Sep 7, 2016 11:16pm
Hello,

GU- was there any clue that it would drop through the value area yesterday, would it be that the first move back in to value dropped through the other side which would give you the idea that the gap would be completed.

NZD looks strong today.

cheers
dabs
  • #420
  • Sep 8, 2016 2:21am Sep 8, 2016 2:21am
nice vwap scooped 25 myself, out just before the uk
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