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How to predict markets, Catch the moves at value

  • #141
  • Sep 2, 2016 1:32pm Sep 2, 2016 1:32pm
look at the CPR GU
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  • #142
  • Sep 2, 2016 1:37pm Sep 2, 2016 1:37pm
GU Two groups of 3 days in each circle - Lower value inside then higher value outside break away to the upside - 2 break away plays on to different days same story same CPR Widths. Repetition - imprinting..............

We leading into the footprints and how they trade
  • #143
  • Sep 2, 2016 1:46pm Sep 2, 2016 1:46pm
night everyone thanks for being awesome ...night..........will leave on a note: trading is not like what they told ya,! .................................its not like they told ya.........When your trading its a zero sum game. Your trading against professionals........................The Good news is the banks cant get us because we good enough to not need them. Only advantage they have is size and data

.............................................................................................................................................................................................................
  • #144
  • Edited 2:41pm Sep 2, 2016 1:56pm | Edited 2:41pm
0
Quoting Dennis1468
Types of Market Days 2 -Double Distribution Trend Day The double distribution trend day opens with a narrow initial balance. The initial balance is the base for any day 's trading. A narrow initial balance breaks easerly, but a wide initial balance is harder to break. The fact that the initial balance is narrow on this type of day indicates that there is a good possibility of a breakout from the opening range and subsequent initial range, indicating that you will see a move toward new value. Below chart demonstrate DDT Day. {image}

Please check if this one looks like single distribution trending day only... then it breaks, short... and continues to do so. It may continue to do so till Monday, that might begin with an IB which breaks, then short once again... like a continuation that looks like a double distribution trending day.
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Since Frank Sinatra sings in his own way, my chart sing... I did it, my way
  • #145
  • Sep 2, 2016 2:12pm Sep 2, 2016 2:12pm
Quoting v2vboni
0{quote} Please check if this one looks like single distribution trending day only... then it breaks, short... and continues to do so. It may continue to do so till Monday, that might begin with an IB which breaks, then short once again... like a continuation that looks like a double distribution trending day. {image}

Similar......to a DD Day what you have there is a Expanded Typical Day..............Initiative Sellers at the lower high

Keep in mind that during an Expanded Typical Day, both the upper and lower boundaries of the initial balance are susceptible to violations. On any given day, you will see one, or both, of the boundaries violated, as buyers and sellers attempt to push price toward their own perceived levels of value
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  • #146
  • Sep 2, 2016 2:34pm Sep 2, 2016 2:34pm
Food for thought

Amid oil's worst week in 2 months (and a big bounce today on the back of Putin's comments) following large inventory builds and disappointing demand factors (PMI, ISM, shipping), Baker Hughes reports the US Oil Rig count rose by 1 to 407 (following last week's unchanged) - the highest in 7 months. This is the 10th straight week no decline in the rig count and crude is sliding on the print.
  • #147
  • Sep 2, 2016 2:38pm Sep 2, 2016 2:38pm
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} Similar......to a DD Day what you have there is a Expanded Typical Day..............Initiative Sellers at the lower high Keep in mind that during an Expanded Typical Day, both the upper and lower boundaries of the initial balance are susceptible to violations. On any given day, you will see one, or both, of the boundaries violated, as buyers and sellers attempt to push price toward their own perceived levels of value {image}

Thanks for your prompt response.

For this USDCAD, it might go to another typical day.

Note: I updated the previous image accordingly -- from my previous post.
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Since Frank Sinatra sings in his own way, my chart sing... I did it, my way
  • #148
  • Sep 2, 2016 2:54pm Sep 2, 2016 2:54pm
Quoting Dennis1468
Food for thought Amid oil's worst week in 2 months (and a big bounce today on the back of Putin's comments) following large inventory builds and disappointing demand factors (PMI, ISM, shipping), Baker Hughes reports the US Oil Rig count rose by 1 to 407 (following last week's unchanged) - the highest in 7 months. This is the 10th straight week no decline in the rig count and crude is sliding on the print.

Thanks a lot for your update, I'll closely monitor my open UC right at the next opening day.
Since Frank Sinatra sings in his own way, my chart sing... I did it, my way
  • #149
  • Sep 2, 2016 5:13pm Sep 2, 2016 5:13pm
Quoting VEEFX
{quote} "Denis is quite right with the map thing." - no idea what this map thing is and simply don't care "Try this experiment." - I will share the findings of my long and ongoing experient since Oct 2014. "Choose a direction" - Dont care about the direction.... just follow the price on all pairs and across all timeframes (Yes! that's 21 pairs * 9 timeframes = 189 charts excluding chf pairs) "based on what you see on the chart." - dont care how the chart looks "Use some MA or something similarly useless, if that would help you." - All indicators...
don't think the post will expire after i quote you...lol
Nothing stands in the way of a person's will -THE MYSTICS
  • #150
  • Sep 2, 2016 5:13pm Sep 2, 2016 5:13pm
Quoting VEEFX
{quote}.... :- - Vee (This post is going to expire in 24 hours)
"Denis is quite right with the map thing." - no idea what this map thing is and simply don't care
"Try this experiment." - I will share the findings of my long and ongoing experient since Oct 2014.
"Choose a direction" - Dont care about the direction.... just follow the price on all pairs and across all timeframes (Yes! that's 21 pairs * 9 timeframes = 189 charts excluding chf pairs)
"based on what you see on the chart." - dont care how the chart looks
"Use some MA or something similarly useless, if that would help you." - All indicators are crap. Just buy if up and sell if down works
"Stick to the direction." -don't care about the direction. go long if up, go short if down using a simple and consistent rule
"Increase the trades size on next trade" - Nope! do this only based on the max of Account Balance and Equity i.e. add to existing positions in the same direction only after they are all in profit...on the same pair/timeframe).
"Prepare for a DD" - Smart move but put a max loss limit per trade and let the profit run just a little more
"You will be amazed how you are going to be -50 pips in loss and still maintaining profits." - the most beautiful 'magic' to watch. This sentence is really what caused me to type this post.
"balls is something I do not posses" - you don't need balls! just a decent capital, conservative position size, good leverage and capital you are willing to lose without putting your financial security at risk to trade emotion-free.
"Btw this works in both ways" - Exactly
"Trend and counter trend" - Exactly
"At the very same time" - exactly
"The success lies in the trades volume and proper distribution" - EXACTLY
"And balls. Lots of balls" - NOPE
"this seems to be the hardest part of everything" - It doesn't have to be.
Support, Resistance, Supply, Demand, Pivots, Fibs, trending, range, grids, gaps, patterns, price action, trend lines, charts, COT etc are all utter nonsense! That's all I got to say :-


Just Great!
Now, it is saved. No expiry.
No guts, no glory
  • #151
  • Sep 2, 2016 5:14pm Sep 2, 2016 5:14pm
Quoting abokwaik
{quote} "Denis is quite right with the map thing." - no idea what this map thing is and simply don't care "Try this experiment." - I will share the findings of my long and ongoing experient since Oct 2014. "Choose a direction" - Dont care about the direction.... just follow the price on all pairs and across all timeframes (Yes! that's 21 pairs * 9 timeframes = 189 charts excluding chf pairs) "based on what you see on the chart." - dont care how the chart looks "Use some MA or something similarly useless, if that would help you." - All indicators...
Nothing stands in the way of a person's will -THE MYSTICS
  • #152
  • Sep 2, 2016 9:00pm Sep 2, 2016 9:00pm
Quoting v2vboni
{quote} Thanks for your prompt response. For this USDCAD, it might go to another typical day. Note: I updated the previous image accordingly -- from my previous post. {image}
Comments in your Chart in yellow
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  • #153
  • Sep 2, 2016 9:32pm Sep 2, 2016 9:32pm
Quoting VEEFX
{quote} "Denis is quite right with the map thing." - no idea what this map thing is and simply don't care "Try this experiment." - I will share the findings of my long and ongoing experient since Oct 2014. "Choose a direction" - Dont care about the direction.... just follow the price on all pairs and across all timeframes (Yes! that's 21 pairs * 9 timeframes = 189 charts excluding chf pairs) "based on what you see on the chart." - dont care how the chart looks "Use some MA or something similarly useless, if that would help you." - All indicators...

Yes exactly..........Could not agree more.............let the market work for you. Its a business and no business puts all in unless its in Vegas. Trading used to be challenging for me to, it take years to be a prat

What is challenging - Over leveraged , entries at poor value and MT4 charts

The key is is understanding what value is. You know it when your in the supermarket but people get lost in the trading music and start buying nuts when chicken was on the shopping list. What happens is traders under 6 years of experience generally keep loosing there points of reference. Thats why as mentioned prior we have to cover Market Cycles a bit of Dow Theory in a big cheese sandwich
  • #154
  • Sep 2, 2016 9:46pm Sep 2, 2016 9:46pm
Dow first used his theory to create the Dow Jones Industrial Index and the Dow Jones Rail Index (now Transportation Index), which were originally compiled by Dow for The Wall Street Journal. Dow created these indexes because he felt they were an accurate reflection of the business conditions within the economy because they covered two major economic segments: industrial and rail (transportation). While these indexes have changed over the last 100 years, the theory still applies to current market indexes.

Much of what we know today as technical analysis has its roots in Dow's work. For this reason, all traders using technical analysis should get to know the six basic tenets of Dow theory. Let's explore them.

Descriptive later
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  • #155
  • Edited 10:42pm Sep 2, 2016 10:08pm | Edited 10:42pm
Buy at support in a up trend and sell at resistance in a downtrend.

Only do the above if the fundamentals are on your side to if there not do nothing. If you fail to take this advise then you will end up holding a empty bag.

Increase your success Fundamentals on your side - Market trend agrees with fundamentals - Market cycle shows value right here. Thats a trade now just find the entry.

Use your CPR to time the market and get in on the dips or rips:

Fundamentals on the basic level:

Know your 3 kings and 1 queen ! USD .........Euro ...........JPY...................GBP
Know there Administrator...............Fed...............ECB.............BOJ................BOE

Hear to there minutes. What your looking for are as follows: Do they support there currency at current price. Expected rate hikes or suggested Quantitative easing.

What you do with it: When the Techs = fundamentals you then know if your a bull or a bear.

Simple analysis ..........Trade rate hike currencies against QE currencies when techs and Market Cycles align /sing the same tune dont fight the market you wont win its bigger and more patient then you
  • #156
  • Sep 2, 2016 10:42pm Sep 2, 2016 10:42pm
Quoting Dennis1468
Buy at support in a up trend and sell at resistance in a downtrend. Only do the above if the fundamentals are on your side to if there not do nothing. If you fail to take this advise then you will end up holding a empty bag. Increase your success Fundamentals on your side - Market trend agrees with fundamentals - Market cycle shows value right here. Thats a trade now just find the entry. Use your CPR to time the market and get in on the dips or rips: Fundamentals on the basic level: Know your 3 kings and 1 queen ! USD .........Euro ...........JPY...................GBP...

TO BE CONTINUED
  • #157
  • Sep 2, 2016 11:14pm Sep 2, 2016 11:14pm
Dennis, thank you for sharing your wisdom, I wonder please if you could have a look at the recent AUDUSD please? I think the thurs/friday charts would be considered a higher relationship value? I am very interested in your analysis here, could you do an analysis of the recent AUDUSD if possible please? Thank you very much in advance!
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  • #158
  • Sep 2, 2016 11:34pm Sep 2, 2016 11:34pm
Quoting vwap
Dennis, thank you for sharing your wisdom, I wonder please if you could have a look at the recent AUDUSD please? I think the thurs/friday charts would be considered a higher relationship value? I am very interested in your analysis here, could you do an analysis of the recent AUDUSD if possible please? Thank you very much in advance!{image}
possible they drop down
email me : pipspro88@gmail
  • #159
  • Edited 1:04am Sep 3, 2016 12:36am | Edited 1:04am
Quoting vwap
Dennis, thank you for sharing your wisdom, I wonder please if you could have a look at the recent AUDUSD please? I think the thurs/friday charts would be considered a higher relationship value? I am very interested in your analysis here, could you do an analysis of the recent AUDUSD if possible please? Thank you very much in advance!{image}
no explanation REQUIRED ITS ALL IN THE CHART

we GOT THIS COVERED ALREADY LAST TRADING DAY OUTSIDE HIGH VALUE ON FIRST TICK OF THE CANDLE OPEN. POSITION traders are LONG ON S1 MONTHLY TARGET R 1 IF ONE BAR CLOSE ABOVE THE CENTER LINE 0.76 . IF FAILURE TO CLOSE ABOVE 0.76 MARKET WILL FILL THE GAP AT 0.75. DOUBTFUL SIZE MATTERS FOOT PRINTS ALL OVER 0.75 POSTION TRADERS WITH TARGETS. RESISTANCE AT 0.76 IT AINT, IRS SIZE COVERING THERE LONG POSITIONS/END OF THE WEEK ZIP LOCKS. (FEAR)

Easy to see there play by play coz the road map is there in front of you. get profesional charting package if your a visual trader. not required if you trade ea
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  • #160
  • Sep 3, 2016 12:38am Sep 3, 2016 12:38am
I manage to figure out the pivots. Also realized that we need to avoid market noise as well as forum noise, even in this thread, and stay focus.
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