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The Swamp

  • #8,761
  • Sep 2, 2016 6:52am Sep 2, 2016 6:52am
weak nfp will take the dollar/yen sub 102. strong will take it to 104
  • #8,762
  • Sep 2, 2016 6:54am Sep 2, 2016 6:54am
NFP Expectations

+150k JPM
+160k DB
+165k Goldman
+170k Citi
+176k Wells
+185k MS
+200k UBS
+200k Barclays
+200k Nomura
+200k CS
  • #8,763
  • Sep 2, 2016 6:55am Sep 2, 2016 6:55am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} or not
why not?? euro area inflation has been pathetic and there is talk ecb is not comfortable with the strength in the euro in past 2 months
  • #8,764
  • Sep 2, 2016 7:14am Sep 2, 2016 7:14am
Quoting edyraper
Anyone interested in NZDCAD, it's around all time highs, (according to my chart) ATH 9653 , atm 9548 worth a look {image} looks bullish
i got a trendline on there now and thats it.... ill close if it gets convincingly above
  • #8,765
  • Sep 2, 2016 7:28am Sep 2, 2016 7:28am
Quoting giveachance
{quote} why not?? euro area inflation has been pathetic and there is talk ecb is not comfortable with the strength in the euro in past 2 months
what many don't grasp is the market is self leveling like water. if the expectations r near what most expect, when the number is released. it will knee jerk less. this week the usd is strong verse yen and weak toward euro and gbp. that's a little mixed. for example the uj push up before a nfp news release all week. it pushed to the norm 103.5x. its harder to rise because its been pushed already before nfp. so a lot of a good number it baked in already. a bad number would probably have an easier path to go further. the rubber band stretched.. yes it can go higher.. i am not saying it can't or won't
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #8,766
  • Sep 2, 2016 7:34am Sep 2, 2016 7:34am
Quoting edyraper
bought euro 1174 SL 1165 atm 1176 low 1173, for few e: moved sl to 1171. (eurusd)
bastards took my stop and went up .... the other long from 1128 is alive.
  • #8,767
  • Sep 2, 2016 7:36am Sep 2, 2016 7:36am
Quoting edyraper
{quote} bastards took my stop and went up .... the other long from 1128 is alive.
mine doing fine
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #8,768
  • Sep 2, 2016 7:37am Sep 2, 2016 7:37am
Quoting edyraper
{quote} bastards took my stop and went up .... the other long from 1127 is alive.
mine was close, stop is at 1.1152...

hovering at min target from 1.1129 -1.12 @ 1.1246... im watching for 1.132 ish to see what happens, current tp is there, i may delete it and hedge shorts, although i think dollar may be dumped, rate hike not happening imo
  • #8,769
  • Sep 2, 2016 7:44am Sep 2, 2016 7:44am
Quoting giveachance
{quote} even if NFP disappoints buying euro would be the worst trade. next week ECB will remove the lid out of the euro downside
yes, always horrible to make money
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Image1.png Size: 12 KB
Fix up, trade sharp ...
  • #8,770
  • Sep 2, 2016 7:44am Sep 2, 2016 7:44am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} mine doing fine
Cool
  • #8,771
  • Sep 2, 2016 7:46am Sep 2, 2016 7:46am
any one else watching for a GPB/USD short entry? i'm waiting for this run up to stabiliz and then I''ll jump in
  • #8,772
  • Sep 2, 2016 7:47am Sep 2, 2016 7:47am
Quoting Amg63
any one else watching for a GPB/USD short entry? i'm waiting for this run up to stabiliz and then I''ll jump in
41/67/71
  • #8,773
  • Sep 2, 2016 7:49am Sep 2, 2016 7:49am
E/U pointing down now
Fking weird
You cannot learn better without losing
  • #8,774
  • Sep 2, 2016 7:50am Sep 2, 2016 7:50am
Quoting forexings
E/U pointing down now Fking weird
  • #8,775
  • Sep 2, 2016 7:50am Sep 2, 2016 7:50am
Quoting Don96
{quote} 41/67/71
Thanks, 3350 was my first pick, i'm just looking to scalpe a few to close out the week. my EUR/USD hit nicely. I should close up but I cant help my self i'll only risk a few
  • #8,776
  • Sep 2, 2016 7:51am Sep 2, 2016 7:51am
Quoting giveachance
{quote} and how will you get back to be with the kiwi rising. you need a good nfp for the position to be profitable.
#8'757

I don't understand your statement.
Are you thinking that I didn't work well with some money- & risk-management concepts?
FXcube
  • #8,777
  • Sep 2, 2016 7:53am Sep 2, 2016 7:53am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} what many don't grasp is the market is self leveling like water. if the expectations r near what most expect, when the number is released. it will knee jerk less. this week the usd is strong verse yen and weak toward euro and gbp. that's a little mixed. for example the uj push up before a nfp news release all week. it pushed to the norm 103.5x. its harder to rise because its been pushed already before nfp. so a lot of a good number it baked in already. a bad number would probably have an easier path to go further. the rubber band stretched.....
that baked in rise on uj before nfp.. makes it easier to return to last week's levels,, never certain. 101.75 or 102.23 may end up a target.. once 103.55 stops rising.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #8,778
  • Sep 2, 2016 7:57am Sep 2, 2016 7:57am
Quoting Forexcube
{quote} Are you thinking that I didn't work well with some money- & risk-management concepts? FXcube
lol
  • #8,779
  • Sep 2, 2016 7:58am Sep 2, 2016 7:58am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} what many don't grasp is the market is self leveling like water. if the expectations r near what most expect, when the number is released. it will knee jerk less. this week the usd is strong verse yen and weak toward euro and gbp. that's a little mixed. for example the uj push up before a nfp news release all week. it pushed to the norm 103.5x. its harder to rise because its been pushed already before nfp. so a lot of a good number it baked in already. a bad number would probably have an easier path to go further. the rubber band stretched.....
yen is a different story boss. I got hit on the yen as well today but euro is a done deal after it did not get past 1.14
  • #8,780
  • Sep 2, 2016 8:00am Sep 2, 2016 8:00am
Bastard CB started their fking game to cool down the market
You cannot learn better without losing
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