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The Swamp

  • #6,021
  • Jun 20, 2016 5:21am Jun 20, 2016 5:21am
Quoting stylinex
{quote} What do you think of DAX gains for today? Will hold for this week?
i dont know, and neither does anyone else. i dont know what brexit result will be, and if i did. i dont know if markets will react in the same direction as most believe w/o a exit.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #6,022
  • Jun 20, 2016 5:24am Jun 20, 2016 5:24am
Quoting PayTheLimit
{quote} FWIW...1388 is 150% of last weeks range...
depending on close time used.. 1376/88 is the q1 close
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #6,023
  • Jun 20, 2016 9:51am Jun 20, 2016 9:51am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} depending on close time used.. 1376/88 is the q1 close
AU too.
usoil at mofu i may short it after q1. cause it may be a last weeks target counting up to the gap..
  • #6,024
  • Jun 20, 2016 10:51am Jun 20, 2016 10:51am
Quoting longshot_nl
{quote} AU too. usoil at mofu i may short it after q1. cause it may be a last weeks target counting up to the gap..
dont know if it makes it there.. 56.26 is where brent oil should be toppy.. 56.26 should embolden bulls and kill weak bears. just in time for a deep dive toward 14.xx handle target.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #6,025
  • Jun 20, 2016 11:26am Jun 20, 2016 11:26am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} dont know if it makes it there.. 56.26 is where brent oil should be toppy.. 56.26 should embolden bulls and kill weak bears. just in time for a deep dive toward 14.xx handle target.
I see what you mean. thanks for that.
I had this (crude) setup, got stopped out before it went down:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...82#post8969282
The technical target is 42
Now it went up there is another chance for 42 after which it can still move up towards your level.

was talking about q1 from 51.64 to 48.14.
  • #6,026
  • Jun 20, 2016 11:39am Jun 20, 2016 11:39am
uj approaching 103.56 again.
Attached Image
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #6,027
  • Jun 20, 2016 7:22pm Jun 20, 2016 7:22pm
Good Morning !

Today's SR levels on MT4 Templates for EURO, CABLE, DAX, USDJPY & EURGBP
FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #6,028
  • Jun 20, 2016 8:05pm Jun 20, 2016 8:05pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #6,029
  • Jun 20, 2016 8:18pm Jun 20, 2016 8:18pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDiDaily.png Size: 60 KB
  • #6,030
  • Jun 20, 2016 8:42pm Jun 20, 2016 8:42pm
Quoting Pharm0r
{image}
Thanks...this chart gave me a clearer view on how this actually works and the levels too.
Nothing stands in the way of a person's will -THE MYSTICS
  • #6,031
  • Edited 11:46pm Jun 20, 2016 10:40pm | Edited 11:46pm
Pending BUY
Cancelled
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #6,032
  • Jun 21, 2016 1:07am Jun 21, 2016 1:07am
still caught between 105.599 and 103.565.. 104.58
Attached Image
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #6,033
  • Jun 21, 2016 3:47am Jun 21, 2016 3:47am
I wonder if something like this is plausible...
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Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPYH1.png Size: 57 KB
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #6,034
  • Edited 7:24am Jun 21, 2016 7:05am | Edited 7:24am
Quoting cspip
{quote} After 0.7433, expecting more up for AUDUSD to around 0.7500 {quote} and after 1.1370, more up for EU to 1.1428.......though first could be 1.1262 / 1.1240

AU touched 0.7500 and dropped........EU went down to the expected, 1.1262 and 1.1240

EU could go further down to 1.1222 or some up, before going into the 1.11xx's
  • #6,035
  • Edited 8:47am Jun 21, 2016 8:23am | Edited 8:47am
eurgbp may go up soon.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURGBPDaily.png Size: 143 KB


gu is a bit late.

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Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDWeekly.png Size: 163 KB


one currency i find more bearish then jpy is aud.

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Click to Enlarge Name: AUDJPYDaily.png Size: 164 KB
  • #6,036
  • Jun 21, 2016 10:49am Jun 21, 2016 10:49am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i dont know, and neither does anyone else. i dont know what brexit result will be, and if i did. i dont know if markets will react in the same direction as most believe w/o a exit.
hello Gator. do you have open positions then? would you enter with those positions thru Brexit or will u close em before?

I really wonder what would happen in such an event-never seen before

on 12:00 london time, I heard that initial results would be published. what would happen in 1st minutes?

1) would gbpusd hit from 1.45 yo 1.40 in seconds? or vice versa, would it reach 1.50 in minutes?
2) how about spreads? would 10 points spread would 100 and hunt open positions?
money ain't shit,i'm the shit..
  • #6,037
  • Edited 12:16pm Jun 21, 2016 11:29am | Edited 12:16pm
Quoting roadtogo
{quote} hello Gator. do you have open positions then? would you enter with those positions thru Brexit or will u close em before? I really wonder what would happen in such an event-never seen before on 12:00 london time, I heard that initial results would be published. what would happen in 1st minutes? 1) would gbpusd hit from 1.45 yo 1.40 in seconds? or vice versa, would it reach 1.50 in minutes? 2) how about spreads? would 10 points spread would 100 and hunt open positions?
Everyone has questions about how this will go down, myself included. Not that you asked but my plan is to play it like I play every event..(or non-event for that matter) Deep breath, manage my risk. If I made the right calls then I'll be happy about it. If I didn't, then I'll be happy about that too cuz I managed my risk and the market will always be there. I f it up when I try to to create a clearly defined projection of what will happen; answers to all the questions in my head. Not advice or anything just my 2 cents (before taxes)
  • #6,038
  • Jun 21, 2016 12:00pm Jun 21, 2016 12:00pm
Quoting roadtogo
{quote} hello Gator. do you have open positions then? would you enter with those positions thru Brexit or will u close em before? I really wonder what would happen in such an event-never seen before on 12:00 london time, I heard that initial results would be published. what would happen in 1st minutes? 1) would gbpusd hit from 1.45 yo 1.40 in seconds? or vice versa, would it reach 1.50 in minutes? 2) how about spreads? would 10 points spread would 100 and hunt open positions?
flat.. i tried to s the uj at 104.83.x, so far its a miss.. i was just going to risk 6. for 104.19 +-
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #6,039
  • Jun 21, 2016 12:19pm Jun 21, 2016 12:19pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} flat.. i tried to s the uj at 104.83.x, so far its a miss.. i was just going to risk 6. for 104.19 +-
s/o just that quick

after this pop tires.. 104.19 may come again.. lookin to s 105.59 or 107.9x.. subject to change
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #6,040
  • Jun 21, 2016 3:55pm Jun 21, 2016 3:55pm
Quoting goosebone
{quote} Everyone has questions about how this will go down, myself included. Not that you asked but my plan is to play it like I play every event..(or non-event for that matter) Deep breath, manage my risk. If I made the right calls then I'll be happy about it. If I didn't, then I'll be happy about that too cuz I managed my risk and the market will always be there. I f it up when I try to to create a clearly defined projection of what will happen; answers to all the questions in my head. Not advice or anything just my 2 cents (before taxes)
hey goosebone,

first I thought the same but now I doubt it. I remember the time when EURCHF changed dramatically last year in a minute. I have just looked up for the chart again but it is hard to find it.

If we are to face such a rapid move with gap, there are 3 risks

- cannot do much profit right after because there will be a gap
- cannot(or better not) hold a position before the event as SL will be hit by a large spread if we are in counter position
- stop outs may occur
-specultive move would make this case even more crazy

so I am not sure..I still cannot understand how fast big traders would get a position causing gaps thou..

they are clicking that fucking button in miliseconds right after they see the numbers on tv???
money ain't shit,i'm the shit..
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