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Technical Analysis Fallacy

  • #54,801
  • Jun 17, 2016 7:49am Jun 17, 2016 7:49am
Quoting fti
{quote} oooi, kaya is very rich, sugar and eggs and special ingerdient at special temperature. The result is always brown. Green? green? pandan ka, green green is chemicals la. Ai ya you so high tech , already eat chemical meals? Are you a asstronaut? regards ai yoi, my Dad when he was teenager learned special skills from taiping coffee shop. he knows super secret kaya formula. These days i never eaten any kaya even close to what he can make. best and smoothest kaya in world i believe. The chap Dad learned friom, i heard he made millions when he...
haha, sometimes is got some pandan flavour inside also, so the green colour.
wah, u say like that, i saliva dripping also, best is if can add some brown sugar on top of the solid piece of butter then sandwich with the kaya bread and eat together, will have some distinct brown sugar taste on top of the kaya and butter.
  • #54,802
  • Jun 17, 2016 7:59am Jun 17, 2016 7:59am
Quoting priceaction1
she was just come back to drop me at plate form and run away it was kind of chase I have to do what a chase it was!!!! heat of kitchen was so high!!!!!!!! {image}
becareful of next week too, i have been suspecting this kind of moves since earlier this week, where fomc and afew other big news are around and next week is brexit.
  • #54,803
  • Jun 17, 2016 9:39am Jun 17, 2016 9:39am
Quoting CookieMonsta
{quote} becareful of next week too, i have been suspecting this kind of moves since earlier this week, where fomc and afew other big news are around and next week is brexit.
yayaya let me check my blood sugar first, you want me pop meh?
wah have kaya , still add sugar?

and please hor, every day need be careful, not only next week.
worst thing that can happen to trader is get killed by stray bullet.

Next week is bring out the big knife?

Good fortune.

regards
  • #54,804
  • Jun 17, 2016 9:15pm Jun 17, 2016 9:15pm
Quoting fti
{quote} yayaya let me check my blood sugar first, you want me pop meh? wah have kaya , still add sugar? and please hor, every day need be careful, not only next week. worst thing that can happen to trader is get killed by stray bullet. Next week is bring out the big knife? Good fortune. regards
Haha, just a little sprinkle to enhance the taste only, as long is not everyday eat.
Yep, but once can recognise such scenarios, means can turn on wind and play both waves, not just ur risk is lower since u do know such moves are prone to developing, can tone down the attack abit more, and that means exposure lesser while being able to play both moves, exposure smaller profits more also.
Nah, next week is making me kind of jittery, and market not letting in much, I probably only taking reduced exposure next week before Wednesday, close all by Wednesday and then see what happens when the poll come out then look for the momentum wave and enter on pullback. The best ones to trade are after the big news and the momentum wave come out, lesser 2 sided hunting, and so it's easier to carry a larger line, and I'm thinking this might lead to daily trend change and trend persistence, so might be good to play the wave after the news, and pyramid it heavily, so I might trade the small waves before the news, but the primary goal is the new trend after the news, and need to see next Friday how market close. Next next monday should be where the action is.
  • #54,805
  • Jun 18, 2016 1:07am Jun 18, 2016 1:07am
Quoting CookieMonsta
{quote} Haha, just a little sprinkle to enhance the taste only, as long is not everyday eat. Yep, but once can recognise such scenarios, means can turn on wind and play both waves, not just ur risk is lower since u do know such moves are prone to developing, can tone down the attack abit more, and that means exposure lesser while being able to play both moves, exposure smaller profits more also. Nah, next week is making me kind of jittery, and market not letting in much, I probably only taking reduced exposure next week before Wednesday, close all...

Wah spoken like a master trader.
becarefful not be rigid in your planning hor.
Flow with the poll.

You just telling me. Is no promise.
do whatever fits the moment. cheat me a little is ok.

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regards
  • #54,806
  • Edited 4:05am Jun 18, 2016 1:23am | Edited 4:05am
just be profitable.
baby $$$$$$$$$$ you'll be mine.
yayaya hold , hold only, no squeezing.
everytime they have position they wanna squeeze.
Becareful stone no blood, it will be your own.
smart peeps already peed, escape the volitility.
Once i hear taxi drivers or ministers also know i start peeing.
going for a ride? no thank you ,another day . today busy.


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regards
  • #54,807
  • Edited 4:46am Jun 18, 2016 4:25am | Edited 4:46am
ai ya grandpa.
what was great grandpa's mission again?
why we have no 家 to return to?
Even Dad not knows.
  • #54,808
  • Edited 2:24pm Jun 18, 2016 4:53am | Edited 2:24pm
Dad just said, The nut meg we found.
who the fuck to send to , our mother ship got confiscated 1912

ai ya that boy.
count yourself lucky you not at mawei, otherwise you home is in the sea.
  • #54,809
  • Edited 5:37am Jun 18, 2016 5:12am | Edited 5:37am

yaya mawei, horse arse.

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  • #54,810
  • Jun 18, 2016 5:30am Jun 18, 2016 5:30am
Quoting fti
{quote} Wah spoken like a master trader. becarefful not be rigid in your planning hor. Flow with the poll. You just telling me. Is no promise. do whatever fits the moment. cheat me a little is ok. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EmTBKbyaEjU regards
thank you.

know your enemy and know yourself and a hundred battle you need not fear.
analysis and planning before entrance into market to identify where the weaker side is, mo and mm to strategise oneself, and against sudden trend changes.
and also one more, i would like to add, when you not know ur enemy, aside is a good position until you can sense your enemy's movements.

yep, trading is a continuous process, the battlefield is always changing, so got to see what market does and flow with it.

though recently i been experimenting with scout deployment, the mm skew comes out to be 1 3 6 10 10 10 and so on, where 1 3 6 are moved in counter trend to the current swing and they are marked with a risk parameter, inline with major swings and 10 10 10 are when momentum of major trend kicks in, and 1 3 6 is tied to capital risk of a specified risk parameter dependent on how much risk is desired, and the 1 3 6 are all in profits to provide a strong base for further linear attack for with trend rides.
  • #54,811
  • Edited 7:52am Jun 18, 2016 5:39am | Edited 7:52am
Quoting CookieMonsta
{quote} thank you. know your enemy and know yourself and a hundred battle you need not fear. analysis and planning before entrance into market to identify where the weaker side is, mo and mm to strategise oneself, and against sudden trend changes. and also one more, i would like to add, when you not know ur enemy, aside is a good position until you can sense your enemy's movements. yep, trading is a continuous process, the battlefield is always changing, so got to see what market does and flow with it. though recently i been experimenting with...
????? ahhhh NgTzeLIk , either that or WongKeiKeok.
Why you hate 135 so much you ever build a pyramid before meh.
Don't understand safety?

You can ask why to maths physical head damaged.
you never majored maths, correct?

10 10 10, no balls meh
ooooi curi makan ka?



regards
  • #54,812
  • Jun 18, 2016 5:42am Jun 18, 2016 5:42am
Quoting fti
{quote} ????? ahhhh NgTzeLIk , either that or WongKeiKeok. regards
erm, i don't get what you mean
  • #54,813
  • Jun 18, 2016 6:06am Jun 18, 2016 6:06am
Quoting fti
{quote} ????? ahhhh NgTzeLIk , either that or WongKeiKeok. Why you hate 135 so much you ever build a pyramid before meh. Don't understand safety? is actually 1381321 and i not going tell you why. You can ask why to maths physical head damaged. regards
nop, i never majored maths, just basic understanding of the rate of expansion of the skew, and their properties.
i see the one you have is fibo skew's net position after each level of addition.

i realized that having a higher skew need not mean more risk though, it can also mean the position per unit is smaller. say using a standard lot of 1.0
budgeting for 1 3 5, would make each unit approx 0.11

while if i went 1 3 6 the lot sizing is instead 0.10 so the sigma move to account's actual value at risk is toned much smaller, while having the properties to stay nearer the market. the skew can act as a multiplier rather than an actual lot sizing, and instead of increasing actual lot sizing, if kept the same, the risk is smaller, since the position delta nets to be the same.

the original one i came up with was 1 3 12 16 16 16

well that is taking 1 swing only, so if the next pullback was good, and 16 16 16 is already tp-ed and left with 1 3 12 to ride, this is where the real fun begins, the other mm skew for this since already riding so much profits is that u have 16, so can go 48 and 160.
  • #54,814
  • Edited 6:23am Jun 18, 2016 6:12am | Edited 6:23am
Quoting CookieMonsta
{quote} nop, i never majored maths, just basic understanding of the rate of expansion of the skew, and their properties. i see the one you have is fibo skew's net position after each level of addition. i realized that having a higher skew need not mean more risk though, it can also mean the position per unit is smaller. say using a standard lot of 1.0 budgeting for 1 3 5, would make each unit approx 0.11 while if i went 1 3 6 the lot sizing is instead 0.10 so the sigma move to account's actual value at risk is toned much smaller, while having the...
1 3 12 16 16 16 you have balance problem.

ok since you want, find and study this , have 8.
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  • #54,815
  • Jun 18, 2016 6:16am Jun 18, 2016 6:16am
Quoting fti
{quote} you have balance problem. ok since you want, find and study this , have 8.
ah, ok, so is mindset problem?
  • #54,816
  • Jun 18, 2016 6:37am Jun 18, 2016 6:37am
Quoting CookieMonsta
{quote} ah, ok, so is mindset problem?
hahahaha no your pocket cannot balance.

In all strategies and formulaes, have such thing as an EDGE.
Its not a brothel.
Abuse of edge is where greed will cut your throat.
Try understand. there is such thing as safe extension and unsafe extension.


regards
  • #54,817
  • Edited 7:04am Jun 18, 2016 6:54am | Edited 7:04am
long can mean unbalance.
short does not mean is balanced.

simularly a trade surplus does not mean things are good, esp in the long run.
Neither can any one spur grow for an economy by make big fu king trade deficit.
These the tools of greedy shortsighted fools that seeks their own destruction.

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regards
  • #54,818
  • Edited 7:34am Jun 18, 2016 7:18am | Edited 7:34am
Quoting fti
{quote} hahahaha no your pocket cannot balance. In all strategies and formulaes, have such thing as an EDGE. Its not a brothel. Abuse of edge is where greed will cut your throat. Try understand. there is such thing as safe extension and unsafe extension. regards
yep, thats the unsafe extension, that is to trade too big.

and the safer extension, is to use smaller unit size, since skew is multiplier factor, to see if it is possible to achieve same profits with smaller unit sizing and lesser exposure, the main idea would be lesser net lot sizing at risk in red, so im thinking it could be used for multiple purposes, one is as u mentioned, too large that it goes into leverage, or go smaller and it becomes more capital efficient. so skew multiplier factor when used as a first level mm and then customizing the actual unit size to fit the risk amount which principle is put at risk is say 1% withstanding maybe 300pips volatility at skew of size of 16 with 1 3 12, compared to a skew of 1 3 5, and this would mean unit size of much lesser by a factor of 2, maybe instead of 0.1 lot now scout sizing is 0.05 lot.

so all this is done so that the r&r can be stretched out, while actual value put at risk is capped to a limit which is optimized for book, not too big and not too small too.
  • #54,819
  • Jun 18, 2016 7:34am Jun 18, 2016 7:34am
Quoting CookieMonsta
{quote} yep, thats the unsafe extension, that is to trade too big. and the safer extension, is to use smaller unit size, since skew is multiplier factor, to see if it is possible to achieve same profits with smaller unit sizing and lesser exposure, the main idea would be lesser net lot sizing at risk in red, so im thinking it could be used for multiple purposes, one is as u mentioned, too large that it goes into leverage, or go smaller and it becomes more capital efficient. so skew multiplier factor when used as a first level mm and then customizing...
NO


based on what you saying, you still very far from understanding.
you not not understanding relationships of strength of material, tolerance and point of tear.

I already gave you stuff to research for at leat 6 months already, just today.
is ok i will not waste my energies.


regards
  • #54,820
  • Jun 18, 2016 7:39am Jun 18, 2016 7:39am
Quoting fti
{quote} NO based on what you saying, you still very far from understanding. you not not understanding relationships of strength of material, tolerance and point of tear. I already gave you stuff to research for at leat 6 months already, just today. is ok i will not waste my energies. regards
ok, ill go research it first.

relationships of strength of material, tolerance and point of tear.

got the hint.
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