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High probability live trades

  • #801
  • Jun 3, 2016 5:19am Jun 3, 2016 5:19am
Quoting asgcorp
solid deep house track https://www.youtube.com/watch?featur...&v=rno5AoQeGJs

Hi asgcorp,

the track is absolutely awesome!

I would like to thank you for foundation of this thread and also thank to all contributors who keep this thread alive. Guys you are doing great work!

I hope I will join you with my views and predictions of markets soon. Keep going and green pips to all.
  • #802
  • Jun 3, 2016 5:24am Jun 3, 2016 5:24am
Quoting Earleone
{quote} Good plan. Are looking to get in with shorts NSD/USD ( Are heavy overbought) On its way to Resistance at .6870 ) So try to get in at extremes with small SL. Will possible be bumpy friday .

Hey Earleone I spotted the possible short on NZD/USD also. I'm short from .6845. There is a bit of a golden level from about .6838-.6847. Last two times it hit here it was turned back for at least 100 pips.
  • #803
  • Jun 3, 2016 5:30am Jun 3, 2016 5:30am
Quoting Blackopal
{quote} Hey Earleone I spotted the possible short on NZD/USD also. I'm short from .6845. There is a bit of a golden level from about .6838-.6847. Last two times it hit here it was turned back for at least 100 pips.
I am also in, but think it can go higher ( up to 6870 and even a little above ) so I will average down and scale in to this one We are close to retracement .
Trading in the shadow of SM
  • #804
  • Jun 3, 2016 5:38am Jun 3, 2016 5:38am
Quoting Earleone
{quote} I am also in, but think it can go higher ( up to 6870 and even a little above ) so I will average down and scale in to this one We are close to retracement .

Agreed. It spent most of last year in sideways channel topped by around .688...Should be strong resistance at that level
  • #805
  • Jun 3, 2016 7:04am Jun 3, 2016 7:04am
yeah going short NZD USD sounds like a good plan.
  • #806
  • Jun 3, 2016 7:05am Jun 3, 2016 7:05am
6870-6890
  • #807
  • Jun 3, 2016 7:35am Jun 3, 2016 7:35am
bought silver and gold
  • #808
  • Jun 3, 2016 7:36am Jun 3, 2016 7:36am
big miss on NFP this is very dollar negative.
  • #809
  • Jun 3, 2016 7:38am Jun 3, 2016 7:38am
coin flip sofa experts
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  • #810
  • Jun 3, 2016 7:39am Jun 3, 2016 7:39am
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  • #811
  • Jun 3, 2016 8:04am Jun 3, 2016 8:04am
Quoting asgcorp
{image}

Took a full SL for NZDUSD . + a gamble EURUSD short just before Nonfarm in the Sisse game + even slipped to loss for long USDJPY that was protected BE. Well it is for being risky trading nonfarm. Prepare for the unexpected. It makes the total week very bad for me.

With this I think we can forget about rate hike in June. Also July.
Trading in the shadow of SM
  • #812
  • Jun 3, 2016 8:09am Jun 3, 2016 8:09am
Quoting Earleone
{quote} Took a full SL for NZDUSD . + a gamble EURUSD short just before Nonfarm in the Sisse game + even slipped to loss for long USDJPY that was protected BE. Well it is for being risky trading nonfarm. Prepare for the unexpected. It makes the total week very bad for me. With this I think we can forget about rate hike in June. Also July.
I am sorry to hear that my friend, I have the feeling some times that authorities (Fed officials, etc) set the little guys up for failure. I mean the level of talking the rate hike up has been unprecedented in the past days. Is it really possible that they didnt know anything about the NFP? I mean I dont like to get involved in conspiracy theories and the likes but today's number was a real shocker to a lot of people as we see in the market.
"Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered"
  • #813
  • Jun 3, 2016 8:16am Jun 3, 2016 8:16am
Quoting Earleone
{quote} Took a full SL for NZDUSD . + a gamble EURUSD short just before Nonfarm in the Sisse game + even slipped to loss for long USDJPY that was protected BE. Well it is for being risky trading nonfarm. Prepare for the unexpected. It makes the total week very bad for me. With this I think we can forget about rate hike in June. Also July.
Yeah that's for sure. Hope you had a tight SL in NU bro!

The implied probability of rate hike was 30% before today. After I think it's more like 10% we will see fed funds rate futures EOD today.

Overall not very surprised dollar had a strong runup but it can't be sustained for that long period of time.

For metals definately bullish today's price action probably would be mellow since most traders won't hold into the weekend. However next week starting Monday upside momentum should pickup in gold and silver.

I will hold through the weekend since I see good potential in metals.
  • #814
  • Jun 3, 2016 8:26am Jun 3, 2016 8:26am
Quoting asgcorp
bought silver and gold
I am more bullish on silver, it has been lagging so we should see a nice rally.
"Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered"
  • #815
  • Jun 3, 2016 8:30am Jun 3, 2016 8:30am
Quoting manosk
{quote} I am sorry to hear that my friend, I have the feeling some times that authorities (Fed officials, etc) set the little guys up for failure. I mean the level of talking the rate hike up has been unprecedented in the past days. Is it really possible that they didnt know anything about the NFP? I mean I dont like to get involved in conspiracy theories and the likes but today's number was a real shocker to a lot of people as we see in the market.
Yeah, I am sure a lot off people in the industry know the numbers before they are released. We the small players can only predict and try to guess right.
It is even not illegal in most countries when it comes to inside information for Forex.
Trading in the shadow of SM
  • #816
  • Jun 3, 2016 8:38am Jun 3, 2016 8:38am
Quoting asgcorp
what's up guys. Not much to update really. Silver is getting close to a buying point. Today is NFP so I can't recommend taking up a position. Post-NFP Monday price action will determine further trend. So I'd wait before Monday sets the tone to take up a position. {image}
well it was failry obvious that silver was preparing for a run up. it's built a solid base to take on 17.50 +
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  • #817
  • Jun 3, 2016 8:38am Jun 3, 2016 8:38am
Quoting asgcorp
bought silver and gold
silver

thats an account builder if i ever saw one. no joke 24-27 easy
  • #818
  • Jun 3, 2016 8:40am Jun 3, 2016 8:40am
Quoting raiders
{quote} silver thats an account builder if i ever saw one. no joke 24-27 easy
+++
  • #819
  • Jun 3, 2016 8:51am Jun 3, 2016 8:51am
Quoting Earleone
{quote} Yeah, I am sure a lot off people in the industry know the numbers before they are released. We the small players can only predict and try to guess right. It is even not illegal in most countries when it comes to inside information for Forex.
You are absolutely right. During my professional trading days we knew that the investment banks that donated to U of M, had earlier access to the numbers of the confidence index which was a big market mover...
"Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered"
  • #820
  • Jun 3, 2016 9:01am Jun 3, 2016 9:01am
Quoting asgcorp
{quote} Yeah that's for sure. Hope you had a tight SL in NU bro! The implied probability of rate hike was 30% before today. After I think it's more like 10% we will see fed funds rate futures EOD today. Overall not very surprised dollar had a strong runup but it can't be sustained for that long period of time. For metals definately bullish today's price action probably would be mellow since most traders won't hold into the weekend. However next week starting Monday upside momentum should pickup in gold and silver. I will hold through the weekend...
Much wider then I normally has. It was like an emergency SL ( 90 pips but with 2 positions in NZDUSD with risk 2% each so set me back 4% + -2% on the eurusd trade where I also had 100 pips SL ) So it is like a normal weeks profit gone in 60 seconds. But it is OK. Without risk we can not gain anything. And sometimes we get hit with full force. And to trade Nonfarm days is not easy to do with an 10 pips SL. So when trading Non farm days I trade smaller positions and bigger SL.
Trading in the shadow of SM
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