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The Swamp

  • #5,481
  • May 24, 2016 2:36am May 24, 2016 2:36am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} pissing in the wind fighting the fed.. i have 1.2470 as valid. the same as posted for a year. that attraction should yield 1.17. is it 100%, probably not. its likely. like others have posted, 1080. 1115 or 1087 would probably be a better wait. these are not 100% either. 7 days left in month.. down to 108x and back to 1451 is possible. that widow is getting tight..
R u looking at Aussie right now? I actually have 0.814 as a target.
  • #5,482
  • May 24, 2016 4:29am May 24, 2016 4:29am
Quoting gatorinla
is buffet slipping? it seems so, in my view. china slipping means less coal needed on buffet's rails. buffett's stake in apple to me, may get toppy above 107$..i have a 61$ target in apple. dead cat to 107$ normal before. brent oil 56.xx$ before deep drop
Interesting topic, the APL move seems to support your hypothesis. The BNSF bet as a bet on the whole US economy still makes sense in my opinion, but the IBM, APL-combo is strange.
Fail better.
  • #5,483
  • May 24, 2016 6:14am May 24, 2016 6:14am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} too early. 109.94 needs to be dropped accordingly.
109.84 would is enough from what i was seeing st. usdx may need more. so it may go higher than i see the 109.84 is mostly st.. the closes after concerning 109.55 is the key.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #5,484
  • May 24, 2016 6:25am May 24, 2016 6:25am
Quoting LarryDarrell
{quote} Interesting topic, the APL move seems to support your hypothesis. The BNSF bet as a bet on the whole US economy still makes sense in my opinion, but the IBM, APL-combo is strange.
buffet bet on rail movement to and from china. he is smart.. if ng replaces coal, it can be piped. so can oil. even a 10% drop in shipments can be big. with the abundance of ng, coal is a dinosaur. the last buggy whip factory.. china on its own is looking to clean up its smog problem is some cities. facking has made ng cheap. coal can't compete with cheap,,
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #5,485
  • May 24, 2016 6:32am May 24, 2016 6:32am
Quoting TuTang
{quote} R u looking at Aussie right now? I actually have 0.814 as a target.
a surprise is coming in deflation.. negative rates can absorb some not all.. invest in bell bottom pants because a world energy reset hasnt hit the shores fully yet.. i am thinking sometime after brent 56.xx oil..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #5,486
  • Edited 7:12am May 24, 2016 6:33am | Edited 7:12am
Tp hit on eu shorts from 1320. Pending longs at 1171 1165 and 1146 stops at 113
  • #5,487
  • May 24, 2016 6:35am May 24, 2016 6:35am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote}. if ng replaces coal, it can be piped. so can oil. ,,
Maybe that's why he likes kmi?
  • #5,488
  • May 24, 2016 6:46am May 24, 2016 6:46am
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} shes alive
In for that second entry?
  • #5,489
  • May 24, 2016 6:52am May 24, 2016 6:52am
Quoting gatorinla
closed 1/3 uj, london closed below 109.55 that's bearish to me day wise. and goes along with my 100.x view. i also was s/o eu long. i will re-sell uj if it can manage to get above 109.55 r. atm 109.94 i have a pending. its either going there or 108.61 i figure. just looking to sell a bounce.. eu wise, i am flat.. the st 1274 is valid still w/o a LL(1178). eu moves are stiff adr wise lately. 1080 may get me interested.. st can lie more often..
eu did break 1178, voiding 1274. its making 1080 more likely.. months end is getting close. a brisk bounce after 1080 if month is still unclosed possible. toward 1451. usdx has room for this..

the uj making 109.84 in st pa likely. if eu drops as usdx climbs toward 96.70.. uj may reach 110.6x again.. play by ear. uj did closed london and day below 109.55.

still flat eu.. a s scalp may set up sometime after 1203 speculation..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #5,490
  • May 24, 2016 7:34am May 24, 2016 7:34am
Quoting edyraper
looking for bids around 1.1140/1088 Yearly PP and couple of stuffs between... Gbpaud {image}
watching 1140/1088 on eurusd for bids.
  • #5,491
  • May 24, 2016 7:35am May 24, 2016 7:35am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} a s scalp may set up sometime after 1203 speculation..
1210/42
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #5,492
  • May 24, 2016 7:52am May 24, 2016 7:52am
Quoting goosebone
{quote} In for that second entry?
mmhm
  • #5,493
  • May 24, 2016 8:07am May 24, 2016 8:07am
bull not even attempted to break 1.1X50 in this 4 weeks dropping session
Could be very strong bear or bull gathering to do something different after brexit poll but problem is bull cannot lose 1080-50 whatever happens before brexit drama
You cannot learn better without losing
  • #5,494
  • May 24, 2016 8:25am May 24, 2016 8:25am
eg possible bounce 7631 area. watching.. entered a small long on 7632 touch
Attached Image
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #5,495
  • May 24, 2016 9:07am May 24, 2016 9:07am
Quoting gatorinla
eg possible bounce 7631 area. watching.. entered a small long on 7632 touch {image}
a stall here could send it back to 7874. i think it's going to 7524..and eventually 57 lt.. but before st 7874 if this atm low held/ and lt before 57xx, 8779. unless either implode before
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #5,496
  • May 24, 2016 9:31am May 24, 2016 9:31am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} a stall here could send it back to 7874. i think it's going to 7524..and eventually 57 lt.. but before st 7874 if this atm low held/ and lt before 57xx, 8779. unless either implode before
UJ not holding back...its more than a bounce if this rally doesnt fade soon
Get Rich or Die Tryin
  • #5,497
  • May 24, 2016 10:31am May 24, 2016 10:31am
Let see,first atack on red line wasnt good...
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  • #5,498
  • May 24, 2016 10:52am May 24, 2016 10:52am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} a surprise is coming in deflation.. negative rates can absorb some not all.. invest in bell bottom pants because a world energy reset hasnt hit the shores fully yet.. i am thinking sometime after brent 56.xx oil..
True that... I Also have eu 1.22x still valid target as long as 1.114 hold til M close, which could make Aussie 0.81 look more plausible. The tech is showing clearly on monthlies......
  • #5,499
  • May 24, 2016 11:40am May 24, 2016 11:40am
Quoting JustAndy
Back on topic: If this daily candle closes under 1.1248 that would be a kickass scenario for the bears in my book and I will be keeping an eye for 1.1223, 1.1180, 1.1154 and the classical 1.080.

Well...looks like bears FUBAR all the levels with only 1.080 left untouched and we might get there in a hurry if the bulls don't show some cojones.

TBH there isn't much favoring the bulls at the moment and I have no levels on my charts (maybe the older members have) that can prevent the bears from rolling the price to 1.080. If the bulls make a move, IMHO it has slim chances to outlive 1.1318.
Why sell the bottoms when you can buy the tops...
  • #5,500
  • May 24, 2016 11:47am May 24, 2016 11:47am
Quoting JustAndy
{quote} Well...looks like bears FUBAR all the levels with only 1.080 left untouched and we might get there in a hurry if the bulls don't show some cojones. TBH there isn't much favoring the bulls at the moment and I have no levels on my charts (maybe the older members have) that can prevent the bears from rolling the price to 1.080. If the bulls make a move, IMHO it has slim chances to outlive 1.1318.
Tech still favor upside move but doesnt mean it will
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