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High probability live trades

  • #521
  • May 23, 2016 9:45am May 23, 2016 9:45am
today the markets are done that's almost guaranteed. (GBP USD)
  • #522
  • May 23, 2016 9:46am May 23, 2016 9:46am
Quoting MisterG
GBPCAD short TP 1.89
Market is soo slow today. My stop is on the breakeven. But back to EURAUD , price is about to move ?
That's my idea , we will see
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Man lie, woman lie, numbers don't
  • #523
  • May 23, 2016 10:02am May 23, 2016 10:02am
yeah markets are crap today, though GU did give 40 points or so with proper entry, GJ was good for 60+ but you had to get in and get out fast.
  • #524
  • May 23, 2016 12:22pm May 23, 2016 12:22pm
Most likely I am going for one last try to long AUDNZD
1) H1 trendline is finally broken
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2) we have a so called fakey pattern with a confluence of a bullish pinbar on a daily tf ( I am waiting for the close )
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3) Signal formed at the daily trendline
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If that is not confluent than I must be at the wrong forum...
G.
Man lie, woman lie, numbers don't
  • #525
  • May 23, 2016 12:29pm May 23, 2016 12:29pm
EURAUD----update

Perhaps Stevens will set it in motion later
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  • #526
  • May 23, 2016 12:41pm May 23, 2016 12:41pm
Also, my UJ and GU charts have not changed at all. This is great and very exciting. That said:

UJ - 5 up off of the 105.54 low. Targets into at least the 113ish after this retrace but lots of potential for higher action if it gets impulsive which i think is very much a possibility.

GU - 5 down off of the 1.4662 high. Targets into 1.40ish after this retrace with potential for much more with brexit on the cards.

GJ - Still aiming for at least the bottom of the triangle. Potential for at least 1 pip lower than the 4/7 low if it gets funky
  • #527
  • May 23, 2016 1:49pm May 23, 2016 1:49pm
yeah that's possible, but I got 157.25 GJ and 1.4325-50 GU as pin risk reversal areas for this week.

Besides I ain't interested in big moves, I'm looking for 40 points GU / trade and 80 points GJ / trade, that's all I got, I move in pretty big and collect points get paid move to the next one. Direction does serve a purpose in my trading strat but only to a small extent.
  • #528
  • Edited 2:45pm May 23, 2016 1:53pm | Edited 2:45pm
re-cap and current watchlist for Tuesday:

GBP USD looking for pin-risk reversal @ 4325-4350 area (LONG)
GBP JPY looking for pin-risk reversal @ 157.25 area (LONG)
GBP NZD looking for breakout higher @ 2.1450 (LONG) potential long trade SL 50 points TP 2.1750 (+300 points)
USD PLN looking for pin-risk reversal @ 3.95-4.00 area (SHORT)
GOLD looking for pin-risk reversal @ 1232-1235 area (LONG)
LONG GBP CAD @ 8950 SL 75 points TP 9250 (300).

PS: I could be somewhat wrong on GBP USD pin-risk area - it could come earlier than expected @ 4380-4420.
So yeah - 2 areas to watch for reversal in GU - 4380-4420 and 4325-4350
  • #529
  • May 23, 2016 1:57pm May 23, 2016 1:57pm
I will post now why I think GBP NZD will reach 2.1750 this week
  • #530
  • May 23, 2016 1:59pm May 23, 2016 1:59pm
NZD USD H4 we are going to 6650 this week guys. see below.
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  • #531
  • May 23, 2016 2:02pm May 23, 2016 2:02pm
meanwhile I can recommend to tune into an amazing chill out track

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  • #532
  • May 23, 2016 2:12pm May 23, 2016 2:12pm
I've seen a post on GBP CAD here today. GCAD is in full bull mode atm guys, 9250 easy target on downside upside, we are trading above WP/MP and QP is @ 9350 so the price will very likely test quarter pivot soon. For this week 9250 is a good target.

Projected price action see attached. for a better risk entry wait for a dip towards 8950 potential trade LONG GBP CAD @ 8950 SL 75 points TP 9250 (300).
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  • #533
  • May 23, 2016 2:17pm May 23, 2016 2:17pm
Quoting asgcorp
yeah that's possible, but I got 157.25 GJ and 1.4325-50 GU as pin risk reversal areas for this week. Besides I ain't interested in big moves, I'm looking for 40 points GU / trade and 80 points GJ / trade, that's all I got, I move in pretty big and collect points get paid move to the next one. Direction does serve a purpose in my trading strat but only to a small extent.
this strat yields much better results as it's based on H4/D1 ranges and pretty much if you are taking 40/80 GU/GJ approach to TP your probability of TP without SL is 75% if you are doing 80/160 your probability would be 50% and 160/320 25% or less, the probabilities are for illustration purposes but you get my drift I guess. The higher your potential TP the lower probability that it would get reached.
  • #534
  • May 23, 2016 2:43pm May 23, 2016 2:43pm
Quoting asgcorp
looking @ dollar index daily, I'd say we are up for at least some form of retrace before we go higher. Price exhausted, RSI overbought, overhead supply entered. This should support the above GBP USD scenario. {image}
dollar not doing much progress since last post on H4. price is still stuck and exhausted.
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  • #535
  • May 23, 2016 10:58pm May 23, 2016 10:58pm
Quoting asgcorp
GBP NZD longs got good potential but we are not there yet some reason. Let's wait and see what GU does next few. {image}
as expected GNZ made a run for it, though it's just a start atm
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  • #536
  • May 23, 2016 11:20pm May 23, 2016 11:20pm
currently can't see decent R/R trade setups in GU/GJ GU in/close to ugly range/conestion zone where price can get whipsawed big time.
no positions taken.

Gold slow mover also trading @ 1245 we need it to get to 1232-1236
  • #537
  • May 23, 2016 11:21pm May 23, 2016 11:21pm
if it does I'll be buying it
  • #538
  • May 23, 2016 11:26pm May 23, 2016 11:26pm
yeah it's a slow game in gold but it will get to 1232-1236 90% confident about that, this will be the BEST place to go LONG guys.
  • #539
  • May 23, 2016 11:29pm May 23, 2016 11:29pm
GU doesn't change also, thought the buy signal could be triggered somewhat sooner than expected. This is a swing trade.
Potentially we can have other intraday trades before that.
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  • #540
  • May 23, 2016 11:31pm May 23, 2016 11:31pm
GBP JPY no changes also. looking for long entries @ 157.25 area.
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