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Technical Analysis Fallacy

  • #54,561
  • May 23, 2016 1:19am May 23, 2016 1:19am
ai ya no more polling.

reminise
Inserted Video


regards
  • #54,562
  • May 23, 2016 3:14am May 23, 2016 3:14am
Quoting fti
still no answers. all those in favour of new avatar say i ya. those who are against , say nothing. voteing booth that way. ﹀ ﹀ ﹀ regards {image}
Interesting............what ya saying with it?......... in classical mode (sorreeee not being rude)
check out the terrain - follow never lead
  • #54,563
  • May 23, 2016 6:12am May 23, 2016 6:12am
Quoting alexandria
{quote} Interesting............what ya saying with it?......... in classical mode (sorreeee not being rude)
the things i learned from half a century of markets.
Its the same as life.
Kill or be killed.
eat or be eaten.
Don't ever let the bodyguards rest.
I put my guards down and will be the burial.
just like the body,
never be weak and contantly be sending out the white corp.
Any weakness and the virus and germs will destroy one,
not withstanding the bastards who create viruses because they want to depopulate so that they can control more resources.
trade to kill em , no mercy. i am no god. no mercy.
learn karate?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Priscilla_Presley
less men more share.
In a nut shell, it takes balls to play.
Just as in life, balls required on the table but don't ever show em.
They think its not polite. They'll shoot you, when your backs turned.
These the gentlemen left. The real ones all left, they forgot turned their backs.
i think maybe i had a stroke while i sleeping.
my right palm is numbed whole day.
i can move it but hand and fingers are numb,
feels swollen althouggh i not see it, feels same as the heart.
lots pins and needles.
when i move chi there it relieves, but the moment i retract its back numb.
anyway, i cannot remember much people's names already.
now i making file of peeps with photos in case i forgets who they are.

eeeer where am i going?
i think i will make another coffee.
better than grumbling.
regards

peaches still sending me songs.
Inserted Video
  • #54,564
  • May 23, 2016 6:29am May 23, 2016 6:29am
Quoting fti
{quote} the things i learned from half a century of markets. Its the same as life. Kill or be killed. eat or be eaten. Don't ever let the bodyguards rest. I put my guards down and will be the burial. just like the body, never be weak and contantly be sending out the white corp. Any weakness and the virus and germs will destroy one, not withstanding the bastards who create viruses because they want to depopulate so that they can control more resources. trade to kill em , no mercy. i am no god. no mercy. learn karate? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Priscilla_Presley...
Take care of self FTI ...... you need to go to hospital if you have numbness like that and pins and needles...... really please do so... then tell us how you are doing/.... you are worrying me

... are you on your own or someone at home with you

Alex.
check out the terrain - follow never lead
  • #54,565
  • May 23, 2016 6:44am May 23, 2016 6:44am
eeer long story short.
now that a no joystick writes anything they can speculate.
suddenly now evey joystick need to prove that they not classical.

regards
  • #54,566
  • Edited 7:08am May 23, 2016 6:47am | Edited 7:08am
Quoting alexandria
{quote} Take care of self FTI ...... you need to go to hospital if you have numbness like that and pins and needles...... really please do so... then tell us how you are doing/.... you are worrying me ... are you on your own or someone at home with you Alex.
Jokes aside.
They dare not take me. None.
They take me then i will need go thru sign disclaimers again to get released.
i no want get any of em in trouble again la.

i have numbness at chest center always.
they said cannot get pass 8 months.
that was 5 years ago.

Please do no worry.
Is just numbness. Still managable. no worries. I am prepared for the worst.
I outlived all expectations already.

Was thinking to start smoking again get some relieve. maybe
and don't you worry about that also.
I have mastered the capacity to smoke or to quit smoking at the drop of a hat.

Ahhh mom's started the car, we go out buy some smokes. i like.
1st time no need to beg.



regards
  • #54,567
  • May 23, 2016 7:01am May 23, 2016 7:01am
Quoting fti
{quote} Jokes aside. They dare not take me. None. They take me then i will need go thru sign disclaimers again to get released. i no want get any of em in trouble again la. i have numbness at chest center always. they said cannot get pass 8 months. that was 5 years ago. regards

But if you are getting pins and needles and new numbness in hand ... you should seek help or guidance. Look after yourself.............. we are all on a journey. Maybe you too naughty to go anywhere...

Alex
check out the terrain - follow never lead
  • #54,568
  • May 23, 2016 7:07am May 23, 2016 7:07am
[quote=fti;8940768]{quote} Jokes aside. They dare not take me. None. They take me then i will need go thru sign disclaimers again to get released. i no want get any of em in trouble again la. i have numbness at chest center always. they said cannot get pass 8 months. that was 5 years ago. Please do no worry. Is just numbness. Still managable. no worries. I am prepared for the worst. I outlived all expectations already. Was thinking to start smoking again get some relieve. maybe and don't you worry about that also. I have mastered the capacity to smoke or to quit smoking at the drop of a hat. Ahhh mom's started the car, we go out buy some smokes. i like. regards[/quo..te]

You xiao argh thinking smoking.....since master smoking like on off tap then smoke in your dreams lo.

Doctor say can't get past 80years old not 8months, you hear wrongly oredi

Anyway who knows what number we can't get pass.
  • #54,569
  • May 23, 2016 8:41am May 23, 2016 8:41am
Quoting skyway
Quoting fti
{quote} Jokes aside. They dare not take me. None. They take me then i will need go thru sign disclaimers again to get released. i no want get any of em in trouble again la. i have numbness at chest center always. they said cannot get pass 8 months. that was 5 years ago. Please do no worry. Is just numbness. Still managable. no worries. I am prepared for the worst. I outlived all expectations already. Was thinking to start smoking again get some relieve. maybe and don't you worry about that also. I have
...
ahhhh nice.

+some ginseng rice wine.
wow, life is beautiful.

sorry i selfish enjoy by myself.

regards
  • #54,570
  • May 23, 2016 9:58am May 23, 2016 9:58am
Quoting fti
{quote} Jokes aside. They dare not take me. None. They take me then i will need go thru sign disclaimers again to get released. i no want get any of em in trouble again la. i have numbness at chest center always. they said cannot get pass 8 months. that was 5 years ago. Please do no worry. Is just numbness. Still managable. no worries. I am prepared for the worst. I outlived all expectations already. Was thinking to start smoking again get some relieve. maybe and don't you worry about that also. I have mastered the capacity...
hey friend.. Jokes really aside, please take care of yourself and not smoke too much .. or not smoke... as always you are pilot take care my friend, do update when sober.. lol

Regards
Fall in love with the process, and the outcome takes care of itself.
  • #54,571
  • Edited 11:14am May 23, 2016 10:43am | Edited 11:14am
Quoting RelaxRay
{quote} hey friend.. Jokes really aside, please take care of yourself and not smoke too much .. or not smoke... as always you are pilot take care my friend, do update when sober.. lol Regards
no wings more than 30 some years already.
They no allow me touch the joystick.

nothing extravgant. just get some narco flow with some ginseng wine, try see if can get the blocks of cement flowing in my veins again.
just a little irrigation works. no worrys.if no impact will reach out for blood thinners again. Still have 3 alternatives.+ the trusty oxygen compressor.

now doing lots chi moving. sweating like a dog. ai yoi what time already.
the lingzhi should be ready double boiled already. lingzhi with muknee(black fungus) and sexy dates(giant red dates).




regards
  • #54,572
  • Edited 8:46pm May 23, 2016 8:23pm | Edited 8:46pm
a passing thought in the morning
we have to trade small with no/low leverage to survive in the markets
but the retail book size is too small , that if we were to trade small, the returns are not justifiable for the time invoked
so brokers introduce leverage to try and get retails to blow up their accounts and take their money
and retails are happy to take the leverage cos they are too small for their returns to mean anything so most might as well wager against the market
so the whole retail fx trading game turns into a casino with the brokers turning up as brokers but playing the part of the casino and the retails turning up as traders but playing the role of gamblers
while they are in this game, the brokers flood the internet with free guides on "how to be successful traders" "how to catch trends" and other "how to ..." instructions that completely sell to the retails misguided concepts, accelerating their demise.
sigh.
  • #54,573
  • May 23, 2016 10:08pm May 23, 2016 10:08pm
Quoting fti
{quote} no wings more than 30 some years already. They no allow me touch the joystick. nothing extravgant. just get some narco flow with some ginseng wine, try see if can get the blocks of cement flowing in my veins again. just a little irrigation works. no worrys.if no impact will reach out for blood thinners again. Still have 3 alternatives.+ the trusty oxygen compressor. now doing lots chi moving. sweating like a dog. ai yoi what time already. the lingzhi should be ready double boiled already. lingzhi with muknee(black fungus) and...
haha. ok, better not let the dates be waiting, least they turn old cold and wrinkle.

Rgds
Fall in love with the process, and the outcome takes care of itself.
  • #54,574
  • May 23, 2016 11:35pm May 23, 2016 11:35pm
Quoting RelaxRay
{quote} haha. ok, better not let the dates be waiting, least they turn old cold and wrinkle. Rgds
Ahhh seems i lost a day and gained a life.
all is fine, the numbness is gone. feel like going for a swim
BUT i know better, i think.

Thanks to God.
Thanks to mom running around get this get that like headless chicken.
Thanks to my friends and prayers, and to little bit of this and little bits of that.

A Ok now. feels great.
but i think i will meditate s little.
but first need take care of the hunger.

regards
Attached Image
  • #54,575
  • May 23, 2016 11:42pm May 23, 2016 11:42pm
Quoting appleboy
a passing thought in the morning we have to trade small with no/low leverage to survive in the markets but the retail book size is too small , that if we were to trade small, the returns are not justifiable for the time invoked so brokers introduce leverage to try and get retails to blow up their accounts and take their money and retails are happy to take the leverage cos they are too small for their returns to mean anything so most might as well wager against the market so the whole retail fx trading game turns into a casino with the brokers turning...

eeeer 1st , help you with the thinking.
You are not so much wrong, just a little extreme in the thoughts.

Look around you, everything in life is driven by commerce and business models.
Everything.
Its called commerce. Its called business. Its market economics.

Think deep.
Peeps may give you a gun for a present,
but you don't have to shoot yourself.
If you learn use it skillfully , may even put food on the table.
excuse me i need go satisfy my hunger.


regards
  • #54,576
  • Edited 1:14am May 24, 2016 12:53am | Edited 1:14am
back

Structure
---------
ok you already addressed the leverage issue for retail.
The system is called margining.

margining is a tool.
is introduced so that peeps can trade without forking out the full extent of the exposure.
Mostly is for hedgers who have already a physical position.
Since markets paper positioning entails only the volatility factor.
The broker do not require full cover for the physicals.
only the few % of the volatility risk daily.
used wisely allows mobility of capital.
abused and it places traders to very dire corners.
wisely is a judgement call.
Brokers can do what you described, but only if the trader allows it to happen.

How To/ knowledge
-------------------
In world, knowledge is everywhere.
In free world is available freely.
There is such thing in world known as theorys and such things as market tested.
All tools have behaviourial characters.
Is performance critical to match tools to market behaviours get the efficiency of performance.
experience allows one able identify correct strategy to manage the market terrains.

regards
  • #54,577
  • Edited 2:54am May 24, 2016 2:25am | Edited 2:54am
by assessing the terrain, eg, by looking at the RO3K,
we would already be forming an opinion, and thus creating a bias on the USD.
how then does a trader stay unbiased ? ( quoting : "unbiased is supreme" )
would eliminating the USD from a chosen trading instrument/pair be considered elimination of the USD bias ?

i have found that i perform best when i ignore my USD bias , and for that matter ignore the USD entirely, and just flow with the market,
but it goes against the grain of assessing the terrain through the RO3K to assess USD strength/weakness

some music

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  • #54,578
  • May 24, 2016 2:47am May 24, 2016 2:47am
Hi appleboy

if i may..

1. we do not 'marry' our opinion/bias.

2. we listen to our scouts and if price is going against them you do what is needed.

3. we must accept that we can be and are often 'WRONG'...... no ego.

4. practice/use the teachings in AOW.

regards

Phil.
-be careful about what you allow to be put in your mind-
  • #54,579
  • May 24, 2016 3:37am May 24, 2016 3:37am
Thanks Phil
  • #54,580
  • May 24, 2016 6:03am May 24, 2016 6:03am
Quoting appleboy
by assessing the terrain, eg, by looking at the RO3K, we would already be forming an opinion, and thus creating a bias on the USD. how then does a trader stay unbiased ? ( quoting : "unbiased is supreme" ) would eliminating the USD from a chosen trading instrument/pair be considered elimination of the USD bias ? i have found that i perform best when i ignore my USD bias , and for that matter ignore the USD entirely, and just flow with the market, but it goes against the grain of assessing the terrain through the RO3K to assess USD strength/weakness...
I am still learning this stuff... but if I may....

.....bias kills... if we ignore what PA is actually doing... there is all sorts of bias we can have - bias a currency or bias news or even bias HTF trend (I am not saying ignore HTF trend)... and market has other ideas. Rigidity and ego and crystal ball thinking also kill.

I think we can only follow what it is doing as best we can and manage it... we need to find where momentum is now and go with it while it lasts and if wrong manage .

I also feel when I am wrong/biased I get sort of sucked into every little detail and need to make myself back off to see what is really going on...not sure if that makes sense sort of need to take a wider view.

Alex (sounds like you need one)
check out the terrain - follow never lead
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