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Help Me Establish The GbpUsd After Dinner Club 40 replies

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The Club!

  • #21,621
  • May 7, 2016 4:45am May 7, 2016 4:45am
Quoting manosk
It is so interesting to see supposed investors talking about oil prices with terms like supply and demand just to be creamed by events like McMurray, which has resulted in a decrease of 20% in the Canadian oil production, and unrest in Libya, which has also resulted in severely decreased Libyan oil output, but all this upheaval has not resulted in any spike not even increase in the oil price. In fact it dropped. So much for supply and demand...

Hi Manosk,

can not agree more.

Same with people arguing about fundamentals in EURUSD, with stating, that the EURUSD should have dropped all the way/time below parity, because of "better" fundamentals in USA vs Europe and the yield differences, etc.

It boils all down simply to social mood. EWI had a nice article about such a topic recently:

http://www.elliottwave.com/Articles/...source=Twitter
  • #21,622
  • May 7, 2016 4:51am May 7, 2016 4:51am
Quoting Lavanda
{quote} The dxy regrets more or less at the place you said, but as you stated, rarely will come back over 96'00 isnt' it?



Did I say that?


Quoting infinitus
DXY most probable we are in a wave 4 correction this wave 4 looks like a regular flat correction. Thus the ongoing wave C is expected to terminate slightly below the end of the wave A. The 92 would be fine for me. Also keep in mind: wave 4's rarely do retrace more than 50% of the wave 3. {image}
Think it has good chance to make new highs
  • #21,623
  • May 9, 2016 12:25am May 9, 2016 12:25am
Obama: TTIP Necessary So As To Protect Megabanks From Prosecution

snippet:

The Obama Administration (through its Italian Ambassador) seems thus to be saying, in effect, that unless TTIP is passed into law, Europe’s megabanks (and the U.S. bond-rating agencies, S&P, Moody’s and Fitch) will be able successfully to be sued by cheated investors, just as has been happening with such American banks as JPMorgan/Chase and Goldman Sachs in the United States, which — since TTIP hasn’t yet been in force anywhere, including in the U.S. — were forced to pay billions to cheated investors. Apparently, Obama would be happier if those suits had been impossible in the U.S. The argument here, though only implicitly, seems to be that TTIP is the way to protect megabanks and the bond-rating firms. It concerns specifically the selling of sophisticated derivative investments.
  • #21,624
  • May 9, 2016 12:28am May 9, 2016 12:28am
"Mother Of All Short Squeezes" Looms For Bitcoin


have to do some ElliottWave for Bitcoin the next days
  • #21,625
  • May 9, 2016 12:33am May 9, 2016 12:33am
Hillary Vs Donald: How The Next US President Will Impact FX Trading And The US Dollar

  • #21,626
  • May 9, 2016 12:38am May 9, 2016 12:38am
80 Countries Just Slammed The US Over Habit Of Bombing Hospitals


Saudi Arabia, the United States, and their allies have developed a nasty habit of epidemic proportions in various military theaters, particularly around the Middle East bombing hospitals, healthcare facilities, and, in at least one instance, an ambulance. But despite countless pleas from humanitarian organization Mdicins Sans Frontires (MSF, Doctors Without Borders), that bombing continues, so the United Nations was finally forced to issue its own resolution on the matter.
  • #21,627
  • May 9, 2016 12:41am May 9, 2016 12:41am
Quoting infinitus
80 Countries Just Slammed The US Over Habit Of Bombing Hospitals Saudi Arabia, the United States, and their allies have developed a nasty habit of epidemic proportions in various military theaters, particularly around the Middle East bombing hospitals, healthcare facilities, and, in at least one instance, an ambulance. But despite countless pleas from humanitarian organization Mdicins Sans Frontires (MSF, Doctors Without Borders), that...

snippet


One egregious example came at the end of April in the conclusion of an investigation into the targeted bombing of an MSF hospital facility in Kunduz, Afghanistan, on October 3 of last year. Though 16 U.S. service members were found responsible for the attack, accountability in the form of punishment lacked the severity warranted for the deaths of 42 medical staff, patients, and civilians.
“The 16 found at fault include a two-star general, the crew of an Air Force AC-130 attack aircraft, and Army special forces personnel, according to U.S. officials who spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss the internal investigations” with the Los Angeles Times. “One officer was suspended from command and forced out of Afghanistan. The other 15 were given lesser punishments: Six were sent to counseling, seven were issued letters of reprimand, and two were ordered to retraining courses.”
It would be difficult, when taken with the magnitude of what actually took place in the Kunduz hospital attack, to classify such a punishment as even slaps on the wrists of those responsible.
  • #21,628
  • May 9, 2016 3:18am May 9, 2016 3:18am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} Hi Manosk, can not agree more. Same with people arguing about fundamentals in EURUSD, with stating, that the EURUSD should have dropped all the way/time below parity, because of "better" fundamentals in USA vs Europe and the yield differences, etc. It boils all down simply to social mood. EWI had a nice article about such a topic recently: http://www.elliottwave.com/Articles/...source=Twitter
excellent thanks
"Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered"
  • #21,629
  • May 9, 2016 5:57am May 9, 2016 5:57am
some ideas.... that do not go very far.... from what we have analyzed here...


http://www.ino.com/blog/2016/05/the-...k#.VzBpiHiOWbg
  • #21,630
  • May 9, 2016 6:11am May 9, 2016 6:11am
Quoting chess king
some ideas.... that do not go very far.... from what we have analyzed here... http://www.ino.com/blog/2016/05/the-...k#.VzBpiHiOWbg
what do you mean? That usually these guys are wrong?
"Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered"
  • #21,631
  • May 9, 2016 6:20am May 9, 2016 6:20am
Quoting chess king
{quote} {image}

this chart...
  • #21,632
  • Edited 6:49am May 9, 2016 6:23am | Edited 6:49am
Quoting manosk
{quote} what do you mean? That usually these guys are wrong?
nothing assures me that I or someone is right.. I found curious approach to DOLLAR INDEX only that.. and I liked the charts of them
  • #21,633
  • Edited May 10, 2016 12:16am May 9, 2016 11:36pm | Edited May 10, 2016 12:16am
Quoting chess king
{quote} nothing assures me that I or someone is right.. I found curious approach to DOLLAR INDEX only that.. and I liked the charts of them
My long-term view still bearish however recently USD got a lot of buyers/support as a result of commodities sell-off so until commodities found strong support USD for mid-term/short-term should be bullish and atm. seem heading back to 95 area ... maybe the battle for 95 is not really over.

ADDED:
as for euro, atm. is the strongest among usd basket and at major support area .. so let's see if it can hold.
  • #21,634
  • May 10, 2016 12:06am May 10, 2016 12:06am
USD

Daily chart,
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: `2.png Size: 12 KB
  • #21,635
  • May 10, 2016 2:25am May 10, 2016 2:25am
Quoting andexQ
USD Daily chart, {image}
interesting, thanks for that might explain a lot. The million dollar question is, and there is for sure no consensus here, where is USD index headed? I think, given how evenly split the camps are, it will stay around here, between 93-95, with the rebalancing that we have talked about, EU/GU/AU up, UF, UJ up, so USD will lose ground on side and gain on another.
"Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered"
  • #21,636
  • May 10, 2016 2:28am May 10, 2016 2:28am
Quoting andexQ
{quote} My long-term view still bearish however recently USD got a lot of buyers/support as a result of commodities sell-off so until commodities found strong support USD for mid-term/short-term should be bullish and atm. seem heading back to 95 area ... maybe the battle for 95 is not really over. ADDED: as for euro, atm. is the strongest among usd basket and at major support area .. so let's see if it can hold.
my previous comment supports what you said on EU. and by AU I mean petrocurrencies and commodity currencies in general excluding UC because of its own problems.
"Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered"
  • #21,637
  • Edited 4:10am May 10, 2016 3:55am | Edited 4:10am
Quoting manosk
{quote} interesting, thanks for that might explain a lot. The million dollar question is, and there is for sure no consensus here, where is USD index headed? I think, given how evenly split the camps are, it will stay around here, between 93-95, with the rebalancing that we have talked about, EU/GU/AU up, UF, UJ up, so USD will lose ground on side and gain on another.
Yes i thinks so, If EU current support area can hold we should see usd visit 93.00 - 93.50 area first maybe before continue to 95
otherwise usd might straight to 95, but this is less likely in my opininion..
  • #21,638
  • May 10, 2016 3:57am May 10, 2016 3:57am
Quoting andexQ
{quote} My long-term view still bearish however recently USD got a lot of buyers/support as a result of commodities sell-off so until commodities found strong support USD for mid-term/short-term should be bullish and atm. seem heading back to 95 area ... maybe the battle for 95 is not really over. ADDED: as for euro, atm. is the strongest among usd basket and at major support area .. so let's see if it can hold.

E/U for me... at the moment is neutral testing PP months.
  • #21,639
  • May 10, 2016 10:06am May 10, 2016 10:06am
you might be interested in

Beringia and the Global Dispersal of Modern Humans
By Dr. JOHN F. HOFFECKER

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D.P.
Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf Beringia_and_the_Global_Dispersal_of_Mod.pdf   630 KB | 473 downloads
Hunting High and Low
  • #21,640
  • May 11, 2016 2:05am May 11, 2016 2:05am
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
you might be interested in Beringia and the Global Dispersal of Modern Humans By Dr. JOHN F. HOFFECKER Best D.P. {image}
thanks for that, reading it
"Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered"
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