Experiment - %20

Hello zigler,
I didn't know if I have understand all your statements and questions in the right way.
So let me say the following:
(1) I like to trade at all time frames, it could be scalping, swinging trades and longer term trades. So Scalp M1 refer only to some aspect of my trading concepts and was really not the most part of my actions.
(2) Nothing is wrong!
(3) Yes, I have manged services.
(4) I didn't understand what you mean with the sentence: "Heck I see you doubling accounts every other day since 2006, why not?" What do you mean with "why not?". Right is that I have doubling my accounts and then I like to change these accounts and begin new ones. Why should I publish accounts where you could see +400% Profit, +700% or so...I'm not interested in it.
(5) I don't think so that you need time machines on weekly & daily charts. History Charts could deliver you some arguments for doing this or doing that, maybe there are not much reliable for prognostic action into the future.
No demo account has got a margin call due to the fact of reduced risk tolerance.
(6) Posting or typing alone is the only reason why I'm always here at FF. The most comments at FF members are new or low level traders, sorry to say it but I can sh*tcan it. There are approximately 15 excellent traders here at FF with high-level professionalism, other ones has left FF. I'm now nearly 52 years young - felt sense. So I have read & listen a lot of crap from the other part. (...& no sh*tstorm yet, please).
(7) Life could be also great for you if you didn't trade with History charts with or without time machines.
(8) Life is so beautiful!
(9) When life gives you lemons, make lemonade!
Hope it helps & you won't get angry about one or two statements.
Kindest regards
FXcube

http://www.actionforex.com/

e.g. pivotals
http://www.actionforex.com/markets/p...2010040848154/

Forex leverage: How it works, why it's dangerous
Dominic Chu | @TheDomino
Friday, 16 Jan 2015 | 1:08 PM ET

http://www.cnbc.com/2015/01/16/forex...dangerous.html

Never trade more than you can afford to lose.:nerd:

Google search; "how dangerous is forex trading"
Ungefähr 145'000'000 Ergebnisse (0.48 Sekunden)

http://www.wsj.com/articles/SB100014...84111852016334

 

1. Weekend Investor

Is Currency Trading Worth the Risk?
The Foreign-Exchange Market Is Luring Record Numbers of Retail Investors—but the Potential Pitfalls Are Huge
By Stephen L. Bernard
July 9, 2011

Michael Bolduc has seen his account wiped out three times since he started trading currencies. Yet he still keeps returning to the high-risk, high-reward foreign-exchange market for more.

Many people call it gambling—and he agrees.

Mr. Bolduc, a 52-year-old bill collector in Denver who began currency trading in 2003 after trading stocks for years, cites the ease of opening an account and getting a free charting program up and running quickly. He is one of a rapidly growing number of retail forex traders around the world.

"There seems to be so much money that can be made," he says.
Tips for Forex Traders

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Brand Nu

Forex is the biggest financial market in the world, with some $4 trillion traded each day. While it is dominated by big banks, corporations and private investment funds, the retail segment is the fastest-growing, according to Bank for International Settlements. Daily retail volume in 2010 was $313 billion, up from $300 million in 2000, according to Boston-based research firm Aite Group LLC—which estimates volume will rise by at least 14% in 2011 alone.

Many forces are driving the boom, from stock-market volatility to a rise in online programs that have made forex easier than ever to trade. Giants like Citigroup Inc. have launched online currency-trading platforms geared toward smaller account sizes. Yet upstart online platforms like Oanda Corp. and Forex Capital Markets' FXCM are capturing much of the retail sector with smaller balance requirements, tighter trading spreads and low fees. A customer can open an account at Oanda with just a $1 balance, for example, while Citi FX Pro requires a minimum balance of $10,000.


All this comes at a time of rising volatility in currency markets caused by looming debt problems in the U.S. and Europe and signs of slowing U.S. growth. That volatility has been especially magnified in currency trading. In recent months the dollar fell to a record low against Japan's yen, dropping by more than 4% on the day it sank to that record low. Within 24 hours of hitting the low, the dollar was back up 7.5% against the yen from its record bottom.


Forex's frenetic pace can be brutal to rookies and sophisticates alike. Managing proper trade sizes and rapid price movements—all while using "leverage," or borrowed money, to amp up bets—can be devilishly difficult; one bad trade can blow up an entire account.
The bottom line: Proceed with caution.

"I think individuals should allocate zero dollars to currency trading," says Joshua Brown, vice president of investments at Fusion Analytics Investment Partners LLC, an asset-management firm in New York. "To go to an online brokerage and think you're doing anything more than gambling is foolish."
Some advisers say there is a place for trading currencies—albeit as part of a broader investment strategy.

"If you are an investor looking for diversification, FX offers a real opportunity," says David Rodriguez, currency strategist at dailyFX.com, the research arm of FXCM. For example, traders looking to reduce the interest-rate risk of their overseas bond investments can buy the currency of that same country, since a currency often strengthens when rates rise, he says.

For those who want to try their luck, here are some tips:
The Biggest Brokers

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The Basics

Currencies trade in pairs, with investors buying one currency and selling another at the same time. The U.S. dollar/yen and euro/U.S. dollar are two of the most popular trading pairs; other popular ones include the British pound, Swiss franc and the Canadian and Australian dollars.
In a U.S. dollar/yen trade, for example, the amount of yen you can buy for one dollar is currently ¥80.65. If you bet on the dollar, the higher the number rises, the more you would make, and vice versa.

Mostly, the vice-versa scenario plays out: Only about 30% of all retail forex trades are profitable, according to Aite Group, largely because of traders' lack of education and experience in dealing with a market dominated by institutions. Commission costs, which run about $10 to $20 for a standard contract, also can add up quickly.

Traders often make bad trades far more damaging by using leverage, which can be as high as 50-to-1. Sure, profitable trades can be big: A fully leveraged $1,000 bet the euro would fall in relation to the U.S. dollar on July 1, for example, could have netted as much as $500 by Thursday afternoon. But even a small move the other way could wipe out your entire stake.

Forex used to be even riskier: Late last year, the National Futures Association, an independent self-regulator of futures trading in the U.S., cut the maximum ratio level for common currency pairs, such as the euro/U.S. dollar or U.S. dollar/yen, to 50-to-1 from 100-to-1. More-obscure pairs, which don't trade in such high volumes and thus are prone to bigger swings, are now restricted to a 25-to-1 leverage ratio, such as the U.S. dollar/Czech koruna and U.S. dollar/Mexican peso.

The lower leverage ratios mean a retail customer who put $1,000 into an account before the ratio was changed, and earned $100 in a month of trading euro/U.S. dollar or U.S. dollar/yen pairs, would now need to start with $2,000 in the account to earn that same $100. The new rules also reduce potential losses by an equal amount.

Until the retail forex market's explosive expansion, regulators generally assumed the sophisticated institutional investors who dominated the currency market could look after themselves without extra regulatory checks and balances.

Now, regulators like the NFA and Commodity Futures Trading Commission are trying to figure out how to protect ordinary folks from being crushed in a market whose genesis was as a hedging tool for big companies and investors, not as a betting vehicle for day traders.
Regulators often focus more on simple warnings than actually educating customers on how to set up trades and manage the pitfalls of trading, analysts say. As a result, many traders enter the market, quickly lose their initial investment—and never trade again. Professionals call them the "one and dones."

How to Trade Safely

• Limit your forex trading. In general, experts recommend that small investors devote no more than a few percentage points of their overall portfolio to forex trading in order to limit any possible damage.

• Size your bet right. Among the risks that traders should be aware of before they make their first transaction: "overtrading." That happens when customers trade a position that is too large compared with the size of their account. Brian Dolan, chief currency strategist at GAIN Capital Holdings Inc.'s Forex.com trading platform and co-author of the book "Currency Trading for Dummies," recommends never putting more than 5% to 10% of an account balance into one trade. Overtrading often comes from a lack of a plan, Mr. Dolan says. Traders need to develop a strategy based on fundamental and technical analysis before initiating a trade.

Novice traders often get caught up in quick price movements and the potential for huge gains. That can lead them to lose focus on their strategy and ultimately end up with big losses. Yet the allure and adrenaline of a high-risk environment draw some back repeatedly. Others' lack of tolerance for steep losses means they lose their initial investment and never return.

Timing—and luck—play a big role in many forex trades. Mr. Bolduc, the Denver day trader, says his worst-ever trade, which involved multiple currencies, including the dollar, euro and Swiss franc, lost $8,000 over a long period of time. Conversely, he says he once made $2,500 "in a very short period of time" trading the euro-dollar pair by error—he mistakenly left open a trade order during the release of an economic report, leading to a rapid payoff.

• Set limits. One way to limit the damage is to set up a "stop-loss" order, which automatically exits a position when a certain price is hit, limiting losses.
Following Mr. Dolan's advice, for example, a trader with a $5,000 account wouldn't want to risk losing more than $500 on any particular trade and should set up a stop-loss order accordingly.

A trader might determine that the euro is about to go up against the U.S. dollar, and that a nice entry point is $1.4500. If that investor buys euros and sells dollars, he might place a stop-loss order at $1.4460, limiting his losses. If the trade is a standard-size one—often measured as 100,000 units—a drop from $1.4500 to $1.4460 would be equivalent to a loss of $400.

Traders also can use "take-profit" levels, or orders set up to automatically cash out at a preset profit, Mr. Dolan says. Take-profit levels keep traders from losing profits when currencies abruptly change direction, which often happens when economic reports or announcements are released. In the earlier scenario of the euro and the dollar, the trader could set up a take-profit order at $1.4600, which would lock in a profit of $1,000.

• Beware of trading programs. Most small investors also should avoid automated-trading programs that promise huge returns in a short time period. These programs—also known as "expert advisers," or EAs—execute trades in milliseconds and may raise even greater risks for unsophisticated investors. New EAs pop up online all the time and have names like IrisFx, Kangaroo EA and Forex Combo System. Their prevalence has grown rapidly in the past few years, analysts say. The Bank for International Settlements cited the rise of automated-trading systems as one of the key drivers of the market's growth in recent years.

The systems, which are similar to the ones used by hedge funds, can automatically execute trades when specific parameters such as price levels are hit. Those trades often occur at much faster speeds than a human could input and click through a trade online. That faster execution can enable better pricing and the ability to take advantage of smaller moves in markets.

But for all but the most experienced traders, the systems can have hidden dangers. As market dynamics change or news alters trends, the programs often "collapse at some point," says Walter Peters, an American living in Sydney. Mr. Peters started out as a retail trader and went on to develop his own automated programs, and now manages other people's forex accounts.

The programs that advertise huge returns in short periods are likely to crash and burn the fastest, he says. Computer programs that show smaller but steadier gains over long periods are the best bets.

• Research. Retail brokerages often provide vast amounts of data and historical trading information that can help inform trades and be used to spot trends. Some platforms, like Forex.com, also provide news feeds that give customers information that could be affecting the foreign-exchange market.
Nearly any major economic report or major news event can affect a currency, so news websites also can be tapped as resources for determining which way currencies might move.


• Diversify. There are other ways to minimize those potential losing periods that can frustrate and eventually drive retail customers away. Traders should diversify trading across multiple currencies or simultaneously use strategies that work in different market conditions, analysts say.
Mr. Peters says he puts only 10% of his money into automated trading programs, leaving the rest for manual trades. Winsor Hoang, who lives in Vancouver, British Columbia, and sells access to his trading strategies, has three automated-trading systems running at all times. The programs perform best in different market conditions, so when one might be losing, the others might be winning, he says.
Write to Stephen L. Bernard at [email protected]

http://www.financemagnates.com/forex...erous-futures/

Trading Forex Is Hardly More Dangerous Than Futures, But…
The retail forex industry could continue to suffer damaging comments from the mass media as the warning labels on a
Victor Golovtchenko | Brokers (Retail FX) | Tuesday, 03/03/2015|00:48 GMT

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Photo: Victor Golovtchenko


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There’s been an ongoing debate about the dangers of trading foreign exchange across the mass media, with some pundits arguing that excessive risk taking is characteristic of the forex market. While there are many cases where excessive leverage has been the cause of busted savings accounts and detrimental trading decisions, this notion is rather one-sided.

Since the dawn of financial markets, investors have started looking for and employing riskier strategies. Nowadays, a number of institutional and retail participants have access to leverage, and it is true, that sometimes, especially in the retail sector, those levels are incredibly high and increasingly risky.

Financial Risk Taking Is Rarely Free

Risk is a two-way weapon and bigger risk takers have a bigger chance of becoming big winners, but also, they are more likely to get the principal on their accounts lost. One of the big brokers that suffered through the Swiss franc crisis, Interactive Brokers, has been at the forefront of the media, explaining that the company’s losses were mostly in the futures sector.

So what can be done to mitigate risks on the financial markets for brokers and for customers alike? – Not much really, the financial markets will always represent a risk, unless grossly manipulated by authorities which have the ability to distort prices.


In the bond markets, these are the central bankers, in the foreign exchange fixings markets, we have seen that a number of commercial banks have been bold enough to conduct manipulation on a large scale. If anything, the recent Swiss National Bank (SNB) shock is the precise demonstration of what the ramifications of fully trusting a central bank are.

But where does the market leave the risks and why is foreign exchange not much riskier than any other asset class? What has been the issue with retail forex trading? We spoke to a couple of experts before and after the Swiss National Bank event, who shared their views on risk taking and the forex market today.

Interactive Brokers’ CEO Thomas Peterffy

Speaking to Forex Magnates’ reporters quite some time after the 15th of January, the Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of Interactive Brokers, Thomas Peterffy, explained, “A trader should be aware that there is a time when they can lose more money than what they deposited with their broker and they have to be good for it. It does not happen often, but it does happen from time to time.”


The shock and awe that followed the SNB decision have left many professionals scratching their heads, Mr Petterffy said, “I do not recall a currency peg that was broken in such a manner as the recent Swiss Bank event. This event was reminiscent of the stock market crash of 1987 where markets lost nearly 25%, and several price moves in markets in 2008-9 that approached 10%.”

“But those large price moves did not occur in an instant, but rather occurred in the span of minutes or hours, providing Brokers and customers sufficient time to liquidate. There are many occurrences in other markets, but moves in individual stocks are the most likely comparisons that come to mind,” he concluded.


The New Role of the Forex Broker in a Changing Market

So what has been done wrong on the forex market? According to the Head of Analysis of NetDania, Klaus Ikast, recent media comparisons between the forex market and a casino are not entirely out of touch with reality.

He elaborated, “If traded right, the forex market does not even remotely resemble a casino. It is a matter of focus – the retail business is only around 6% of the total market turnover. Granted, some retail brokers run their trading business like a casino! And the biggest scam in retail forex industry is to give customers the impression that it is easy to make money.”

There are those spots on the internet that do proclaim easy and excessive returns. Trading the financial markets have never been more accessible for retail investors, but it hasn’t become much easier.

Mr. Ikast explained, “Successful forex trading requires a high level of knowledge and skills. The investor can, at least in part, control outcomes. He is not able to control whether a trade ends at a profit or a loss, but he can in fact control the monetary impact of his trades by proper position sizing, and calculated risk-reward ratios – i.e. through money management. Practice can make a person a better trader.”

“The trader’s biggest enemy will always be himself. Not anyone else or the market. Traders are humans and they have emotions that get in the way if they do not know how to manage them. True strength is the courage to admit our own weaknesses,” he said.

Once again, it does come down to leverage and Mr. Ikast is amongst the few who are very conservative when advising retail forex traders about gearing, “Until the novice trader has built specialized knowledge and strong skills, the leverage should be kept between 1:1 to 1:3. Leverage of 200:1 or 500:1 has no place in a serious trading strategy. Use common sense.”

The comment above was made by Mr. Ikast before the Swiss National Bank event hit the wires, the traders and the brokers. Has a big chunk of the retail forex industry gone ahead of itself?

“There is no magic short cut when it comes to developing trading skills. No special indicator or system is going to accomplish what proper training and experience can do. Forex trading is a full time business. It’s better to go slowly in the right direction than go speeding off in the wrong direction,” Mr. Ikast concluded.

Arguably, there will never be an optimal market for retail traders. Some of them will always be prone to take more risks, despite what they are being told. While regulators do have a role in ensuring a fair market place, the choice of how much risk a trader can take should ultimately be up to the trader.
Brokers should be busy with providing a level playing field and a fair market place, this is clear. However there is more – the fact that so many traders had no idea that their accounts could go into negative territory, says that there’s been a great misconception about the product of retail foreign exchange.

An element of over exaggeration which is bringing a set of challenges to the industry right now, especially after a month of dwindling volumes due to some new range trading in majors. Brokers shouldn’t be here to protect their clients against their bad decisions, but the least they could do is spread no illusions about how easy it is to make money on any financial market.

German DAX Trading Portal
http://www.daxtrader.co.uk/news-and-updates/

Is it a joke?
http://longforecast.com/stock/dax-forecast.html

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GER30/

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/it-...-30-2015-03-20

http://www.nasdaq.com/article/german...p-500-cm600084

DAX 10'325 actual

http://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/controve...akers/41645292

Swiss National Bank still investing in arms makers
Sep 6, 2015 - 11:55

http://www.swissinfo.ch/image/416452...692475-jpg.jpg
Cluster bombs are reviled for their indiscriminate effect and potential to kill and maim people if unexploded
(Keystone)

The banks portfolio includes investments in manufacturers of controversial weapons like cluster bombs and mines despite pledging in 2013 to distance itself from such companies. It blames the discrepancy on specialist firms that handle its investments.


According to German-language paper NZZ am Sonntag, the SNB holds CHF550 million ($565.5 million) worth of shares in US arms manufacturers that produce internationally proscribed weapons like cluster bombs and anti-personnel mines. For example, by the end of July, SNB held shares worth CHF37 million in Lockheed Martin - the world's largest arms company, which also manufactures anti-personnel mines and cluster munitions and almost CHF27 million in Raytheon, a company that also sells cluster munitions.

The SNB blamed specialist investment firms for the violation of its internal guidelines on responsible investment. According to a bank spokesperson, it is these firms that handle its investments and they often come to a different conclusion when choosing whether to invest in a company or not. The SNB also did not want to comment on why investments were made in specific weapons manufacturers but claimed that it had already excluded certain companies whose activities did not meet its investment criteria.

Switzerland is among 117 countries that have signed the Convention on Cluster Munitions, an international treaty that prohibits the use, transfer and stockpile of cluster bombs.


swissinfo.ch

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