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GBP/USD outlook

  • #1,581
  • Apr 21, 2016 12:26am Apr 21, 2016 12:26am
Quoting Ill-b-back
UJ going lower for the retest within the channel? {image}
Retest of the weekly break out near monthly resistance would be a good short for lots of pips
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPYMonthly.png Size: 35 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPYWeekly.png Size: 28 KB
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  • #1,582
  • Apr 21, 2016 7:34pm Apr 21, 2016 7:34pm
UC finding equilibrium around the main 50 fib after a straight down retrace.

A bit lower down to weekly reaction zone near the channel retest and I think it's a buy

Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCADMonthly.png Size: 31 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCADWeekly.png Size: 24 KB
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  • #1,583
  • Apr 23, 2016 2:41am Apr 23, 2016 2:41am
Quoting Ill-b-back
heads up on Kiwi. We close this week below the red TL, and I think it's short baby {image}
Got the closed break and wekly shows the bears off the monthly 200ema.
targets below
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NZDUSDWeekly.png Size: 28 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: NZDUSDWeekly1.png Size: 33 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: NZDUSDMonthly.png Size: 29 KB
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  • #1,584
  • Apr 23, 2016 3:03am Apr 23, 2016 3:03am
Aussie dropping off the retest
1st target about 100 pips below to daily support
once red TL broken, could get a decent bounce off 7330 back up to 76 for the retest and a great spot to short for longer term off top of the weekly/monthly trading range
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDMonthly.png Size: 30 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDWeekly.png Size: 24 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDDaily.png Size: 24 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDDaily1.png Size: 21 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDH4.png Size: 28 KB
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  • #1,585
  • Apr 23, 2016 11:32pm Apr 23, 2016 11:32pm
Nice bullish weekly candle break above TL
Will put an order in on the blue 4hr 200ema, targetting 2.15
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPNZDWeekly.png Size: 32 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPNZDDaily.png Size: 30 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPNZDDaily1.png Size: 29 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPNZDH4.png Size: 39 KB
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  • #1,586
  • Apr 30, 2016 1:05am Apr 30, 2016 1:05am
eu (off strong resistance), latest 4hr upswing looks very stretched

eg (off good resistance also)

can short both I think but will stick with just eg, as a more clear target in sight
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDDaily.png Size: 36 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH4.png Size: 31 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURGBPH4.png Size: 33 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURGBPDaily.png Size: 37 KB
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  • #1,587
  • Apr 30, 2016 3:21am Apr 30, 2016 3:21am
great opp to go long GCAD off support soon I think back to resistance
Lower TF's are starting to compress with demand

There's a TL in there somewhere on the daily
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPCADMonthly.png Size: 38 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPCADWeekly.png Size: 32 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPCADDaily.png Size: 36 KB
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  • #1,588
  • Apr 30, 2016 5:30am Apr 30, 2016 5:30am
UC still has a lot of bearish power after that wick.

I think it's heading to the 1.18 region where I think the bears will meet their maker and the bulls will take charge, smack on the wedge retest, 50 fib, support, weekly and monthly 200emas'.

If the bulls don't come in then, they must be at the slaughter house
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCADWeekly.png Size: 26 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCADMonthly.png Size: 30 KB
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  • #1,589
  • Apr 30, 2016 6:42am Apr 30, 2016 6:42am
UC could be better drawn this way probably, fits better for a retest of 2830 area resistance before moving on down again.
Def worth a shot short from 2826, or even a long up to there first from 2390 area next week
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCADWeekly.png Size: 24 KB
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  • #1,590
  • Apr 30, 2016 7:36am Apr 30, 2016 7:36am
some eg targets if it goes bearish
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURGBPH4.png Size: 29 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURGBPDaily.png Size: 26 KB
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  • #1,591
  • Apr 30, 2016 4:52pm Apr 30, 2016 4:52pm
ec in strong selling mode on the monthly.
Retracing to 4440 area?

, will wait for 1/4 TL break for targets below
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURCADMonthly.png Size: 30 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURCADWeekly.png Size: 31 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURCADH4.png Size: 30 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURCADH1.png Size: 29 KB
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  • #1,592
  • May 1, 2016 7:02am May 1, 2016 7:02am
AU is in an interesting situation. Revisiting my analysis, I see that after the rebound off the monthly TL, we had a very strong push down on Wednesday last week. No way, no how Aussie rates going up and with China looking fragile, we are only going to struggle more.
Looks to me like we congest in the shaded daily area before breaking south of the TL to retest 72xx at untested 61.8 fib and monthly dividing line

see how it goes
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDMonthly.png Size: 35 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDDaily.png Size: 31 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDH4.png Size: 36 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDWeekly.png Size: 31 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDWeekly1.png Size: 32 KB
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  • #1,593
  • May 1, 2016 7:28am May 1, 2016 7:28am
Quoting Ill-b-back
AU is in an interesting situation. Revisiting my analysis, I see that after the rebound off the monthly TL, we had a very strong push down on Wednesday last week. No way, no how Aussie rates going up and with China looking fragile, we are only going to struggle more. Looks to me like we congest in the shaded daily area before breaking south of the TL to retest 72xx at untested 61.8 fib and monthly dividing line see how it goes {image} {image} {image} {image} {image}
Actually, I think the 50 fib support is more likely
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDWeekly.png Size: 26 KB
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  • #1,594
  • May 4, 2016 6:45am May 4, 2016 6:45am
That descending GA TL retest is gone, looking up now

So Aussie down, she's been good to me
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPAUDDaily.png Size: 24 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPAUDWeekly.png Size: 24 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDH1.png Size: 37 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDH4.png Size: 30 KB
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  • #1,595
  • May 4, 2016 7:02am May 4, 2016 7:02am
eu
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDDaily.png Size: 40 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH4.png Size: 32 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH1.png Size: 19 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDWeekly.png Size: 36 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDMonthly1.png Size: 28 KB
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  • #1,596
  • May 6, 2016 1:19am May 6, 2016 1:19am
GA on a rampage
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPAUDH4.png Size: 27 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPAUDH1.png Size: 23 KB
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  • #1,597
  • May 6, 2016 2:09am May 6, 2016 2:09am
eu
monthly is bullish with a closed break and retest of strong 23.6 previous resistance, in march/April.

weekly showing momentum (overall)

watching level immediately below around 1.1356 for signs of a bounce and 4hr TL break
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDMonthly.png Size: 27 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDWeekly.png Size: 32 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDDaily.png Size: 42 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH4.png Size: 27 KB
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  • #1,598
  • May 6, 2016 4:25am May 6, 2016 4:25am
waiting for bearish break
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH1.png Size: 24 KB
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  • #1,599
  • May 6, 2016 5:00am May 6, 2016 5:00am

waiting for candle close
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDDaily1.png Size: 22 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDDaily.png Size: 29 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDH4.png Size: 24 KB
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  • #1,600
  • May 6, 2016 5:29am May 6, 2016 5:29am
Quoting Ill-b-back
waiting for bearish break {image}
or, a daily candle puke into support in line with bullish monthly?

Not trading this today with nfp, will wait for dust to settle
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH4.png Size: 28 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDDaily.png Size: 39 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDWeekly.png Size: 33 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDMonthly.png Size: 27 KB
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