Supply and demand in a nutshell by Alfonso Moreno | Page 376 | Forex Factory

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Supply and demand in a nutshell by Alfonso Moreno

  • #7,501
  • Apr 13, 2016 4:36pm Apr 13, 2016 4:36pm
Hello alfonso, I am new to this strategy, which looks really interesting. Can I post charts with my own rectangle reader indicator, I made it my self for me, so I could open trades with one button with my own wanted risk.
Was this trade valid (USDCHF weekly) ?
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  • #7,502
  • Apr 14, 2016 3:48am Apr 14, 2016 3:48am
Quoting rokutata
Hello alfonso, I am new to this strategy, which looks really interesting. Can I post charts with my own rectangle reader indicator, I made it my self for me, so I could open trades with one button with my own wanted risk. Was this trade valid (USDCHF weekly) ? {image}
You can post any charts as long as you follow the rules and you add no indicators. In order to know if that weekly demand was valid on USDCHF you need to upload a top down analysis or at least 3 timeframes my friend. One is not enough.

Cheers,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #7,503
  • Apr 14, 2016 3:49am Apr 14, 2016 3:49am
Quoting Risingup
My first chart will be on Japan225 , Monthly Down trend , monthly demand in control , Price now is in the middle of the monthly curve . Weekly Broken down trend and have been retested , daily Down trend , and high in the curve , so are we allowed to short on the daily SZ ?! {image} {image} {image}
Three months demand zone in control on Nikkei Japan index, confirmation for shorts, tested weekly supply above. Cheers, Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #7,504
  • Apr 14, 2016 4:14pm Apr 14, 2016 4:14pm
Alfonso, sorry for lazy question, but I am a bit confused about one rule in first post.

Quote
A zone or imbalance is validated under these 2 specific circumstances:

  1. Imbalance took out an opposing zone
  2. A Trendline has been broken

So zone validated when imbalance took out an opposing zone and a trendline has ben broken, or when there been 1 or 2 scenario of these two
  • #7,505
  • Apr 15, 2016 1:06am Apr 15, 2016 1:06am
Quoting rokutata
Alfonso, sorry for lazy question, but I am a bit confused about one rule in first post. {quote} So zone validated when imbalance took out an opposing zone and a trendline has ben broken, or when there been 1 or 2 scenario of these two
It's explained in the rules. An imbalance is validated when either of both of them happens. Cheers
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #7,506
  • Apr 15, 2016 2:21am Apr 15, 2016 2:21am
Alfonso could You show in rule where is wroten about new zone must have 2:1 imbalances to be valid to trade?
Supply & Demand trading
  • #7,507
  • Apr 15, 2016 3:18am Apr 15, 2016 3:18am
Quoting CoolRain
Alfonso could You show in rule where is wroten about new zone must have 2:1 imbalances to be valid to trade?
That's one of the rules, we must have 2:1 and consolidation away from the potential imbalance. Cheers
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #7,508
  • Apr 15, 2016 8:20am Apr 15, 2016 8:20am
Thanks Alfonso for your reply and i have another analysis on AUD/CAD , Monthly broken descending trend line monthly supply in control , weekly up ( is it Valid trendline as i draw it ? ) daily Down and and supply in control which broke the opposing daily demand ., i went short on this daily supply and already in a trade ! what do you think ?! cheers
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  • #7,509
  • Apr 15, 2016 9:20am Apr 15, 2016 9:20am
hi guys and Mr Alfonso,

i have a short set up done in gbpjpy, Montly is down and making a cp, weekly is down to, i saw the set up un daily but i drilled to h1 to lower my risk. this is simething im working on. i only risk 30 pips and now is on be wating to catch 200+ pips.
have a good one guys.
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passion and discipline
  • #7,510
  • Apr 16, 2016 12:14pm Apr 16, 2016 12:14pm
Quoting rohule
...I have a short set up done in gbpjpy, Montly is down and making a cp, weekly is down to, i saw the set up un daily but i drilled to h1 to lower my risk...
Hello rohule and thanks for sharing your charts but...

1) you need to share always 3 time frame for your analysis.

2) minimum TF allowed for the charts to be displayed on this thread is H4 (read below).

I think the above are some of the thread rules.

Quoting panoramia
{quote} Hi again, Post a H4 chart with a similar scenario and I will tell you No timeframes lower than H4, they are not allowed remember. Cheers, Alfonso
Cheers
  • #7,511
  • Apr 16, 2016 12:42pm Apr 16, 2016 12:42pm
Hi Merka,

the set up was on daily. montly and weekly are heading down. on weekly we could have the begining of a cp. on h4 we have a downtrend broken by a SZ, i place my trade regarding all that. im drilling down to h1 to lower my sl and risk but the entry was related to D1.

this is something that im working on and i just wanted to share it with you guys.

Alfonso, if you dont like this kind of set ups let me know and i will stop posting that.

have a good one all
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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passion and discipline
  • #7,512
  • Apr 17, 2016 2:17am Apr 17, 2016 2:17am
Hello fellow trader,

I hope you are having a great weekend. Markets have been moving nicely on many Forex pairs, the same has happened on S&P 500, Nasdaq and other indexes, where there have been some long positions available. GBP/NZD breaking lower, NZD/USD and AUD/USD are about to break higher, lots of opportunities ahead.

A new live webinar will be held next Wednesday 20th April 2015 from 9:30 PM - 11:30 PM CEST. We'll go through a bunch of currency pairs, Stocks and Indexes and locate potential trade setups and IF THEN scenarios. Those that have been following me for some time will know what an IF THEN scenario is all about. You will be able to tell me which instrument to analyse, à la carte

Last week was a long one for me since I organized a full week seminar for Set and Forget community members in Tenerife island (Spain). We did live seminars at early am every day at the hotel and then departed to explore the island's gastronomy and trekking trails. We had such a great time! I've also been asked by some traders in Singapore to go there and hold a 3 days live workshop Singapore at the end of May, then Jakarta and Saudi Arabia, and USA. All this has happened overnight without expecting it since holding live workshops was not in my agenda.

You can check some pictures of the event on my Instagram Account.

  1. SUBJECT: Supply and Demand Live Analysis
  2. DATE: Wednesday 20th April 2016
  3. TIME: 9:30 PM - 11:30 PM CEST | 7:30 PM GMT | 2:30 PM EST
  4. LINK TO JOIN: http://www.set-and-forget.com/free_webinars
    If you have joined any of my previous webinars, you should have received an email with the the steps to follow

You can join now, you will be notified by email 1 day and 1 hour before it starts. The webinar will be recorded as always

I'll try to cover all these topics:

  1. Swing and long term trading
  2. We'll use the Sequence and The Realignment to locate setups
  3. How to trade with the D1 supply and demand imbalances
  4. Under which conditions we should hold a trade and how

Have a great weekend,
Alfonso

Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #7,513
  • Apr 17, 2016 10:47am Apr 17, 2016 10:47am
Mr alfonso, as you said I need to post top down analysis, I am not sure if I made it correct, but if everything would be clear to me, I woun't be posting and asking for advice.
Montly TL is broken, consolidating up.
Weekly I am not sure how to draw a TL, but I think it's also consolidating up.
Daily is UP.
Question - demand on D is valid ? Top down analysis is correct ?
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  • #7,514
  • Apr 18, 2016 9:39am Apr 18, 2016 9:39am
Quoting rokutata
Mr alfonso, as you said I need to post top down analysis, I am not sure if I made it correct, but if everything would be clear to me, I wouldn't be posting and asking for advice. Montly TL is broken, consolidating up. Weekly I am not sure how to draw a TL, but I think it's also consolidating up. Daily is UP. Question - demand on D is valid ? Top down analysis is correct ? {image} {image} {image}
Good supply and demand analysis on AUDUSD. The weekly timeframe is up since price removed 2 areas of supply, if price makes a higher higher then we will be able to draw a weekly bullish trendline.

Find attached a 6 and 3 months supply and demand analysis for AUDUSD. Hope this helps.
Cheers,
Alfonso

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Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #7,515
  • Apr 18, 2016 10:28am Apr 18, 2016 10:28am
AUDUSD has now monthly out of alignment for shorts, brand new level of monthly demand at 0.7150. Weekly timeframe is in an uptrend now after taking out a couple of weekly supply imbalances. Recently the Daily chart has created 5 consecutive bullish engulfing patterns, and a couple on the weekly timeframe. Temporary long bias with new levels of daily demand being created. The aussie is getting stronger on all cross pairs, that can help us to buy AUDUSD. Refer to previous a last two previous posts to see monthly, weekly, 3 and 6 months supply and demand analysis on audusd.

Have a great day.
Cheers,
Alfonso

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Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #7,516
  • Apr 18, 2016 2:15pm Apr 18, 2016 2:15pm
USDCAD topdown analysis:
Monthly: Bulish TL was broken, consolidating down.
Weekly: Not sure how to draw TL but I think Trend is down, because removed demand zone (not marked).
Daily: Trend is down, we can set and forget a trade at 1.3083, I think so,
Is my topdown analysis correct?
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #7,517
  • Apr 18, 2016 3:18pm Apr 18, 2016 3:18pm
Quoting rokutata
USDCAD topdown analysis: Monthly: Bulish TL was broken, consolidating down. Weekly: Not sure how to draw TL but I think Trend is down, because removed demand zone (not marked). Daily: Trend is down, we can set and forget a trade at 1.3083, I think so, Is my topdown analysis correct? {image} {image} {image}
USDCAD has a monthly downtrend according to our supply and demand imbalances rules, so short bias! Your analysis is correct!
Cheers,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #7,518
  • Apr 19, 2016 10:56am Apr 19, 2016 10:56am
Hello, seems like I have lost you, Alfonso. I'm in Spain for 2 months. Let's meet in few weeks in Marbella, or you can come and visit me here in Aguilas. I will host you any day. My skype is still the same: clapan

Let's keep in touch
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  • #7,519
  • Apr 19, 2016 1:59pm Apr 19, 2016 1:59pm
GBPJPY topdown analysis:
Monthly: Trend is down, we are near demand zone.
Weekly: Trend is down, but soon can be broken.
Daily: Trend is down, if we remove firs supply zone, we will be in UP trend. I am confused with orders, can we place sell limit on first CP ? Or we have to wait 161.201, but then we will be removed one supply zone and in up trend? Alfonso, could you please help me with this ?
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  • #7,520
  • Apr 19, 2016 2:12pm Apr 19, 2016 2:12pm
GBPCHF topdown analysis:
Monthly: Trend down.
Weekly: Trend down, but it might break it.
Daily: Trend is down, sell limit 1.3868
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