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Help Me Establish The GbpUsd After Dinner Club 40 replies

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The Club!

  • #21,361
  • Apr 5, 2016 11:29am Apr 5, 2016 11:29am
Quoting PrincipleAn
{quote} Sweet!!! Do you have a target yet?
Set up is still valid
However the target might be shifted to 1,6724, if traded it intraday
Awaiting still

D.P.
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Hunting High and Low
  • #21,362
  • Apr 5, 2016 12:25pm Apr 5, 2016 12:25pm
Quoting andexQ
USDx 3rd testing, i begin to think that 95 could be tested forever... {image}
maybe tomorrow... say yes to somewhere
  • #21,363
  • Apr 5, 2016 12:38pm Apr 5, 2016 12:38pm
Quoting chess king
{quote} maybe tomorrow... say yes to somewhere
Yes
  • #21,364
  • Apr 5, 2016 3:37pm Apr 5, 2016 3:37pm
Quoting MissPips
{quote} This was a better one. That is when the train was really leaving the station. http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...44#post8199044 http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...01#post8240201


thank you MissPips


at that time we both had nice exchanges, battles, rants, enlightments

you warned the people, I warned, but still there were a lot of people reluctant to see and understand the presented facts/analyses
  • #21,365
  • Apr 5, 2016 3:50pm Apr 5, 2016 3:50pm
Quoting Rosey76
{quote} All the 5 reasons have nothing to do with the rate hike. It is already predicted by ffleo more than half a year ago. http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...80#post8397480

If you ask me as Elliottican, I will say, that fundamental data have barely a meaning to price movements. It is all about sentiment and group dynamics.

I pointed out in a following posting, that the reason

2. Dollar Weakened 3 out of Last 5 Times Fed Tightened When ECB Eased Periods

was a weak argument/fallacy


But nevertheless: with her call she was spot on. But only today I noticed, that she made her call in Dec of 2015. That was far too late, because the EU had staged a 1500 pips rally earlier in the year.

Usually, some people here in FF get the "truth" deciphered much earlier than the average paid analyst.


Sad that FFLeo is not around anymore
  • #21,366
  • Apr 5, 2016 3:58pm Apr 5, 2016 3:58pm
Quoting Rosey76
{quote} the dollar is just doing a retrace and is near its end. the dollar is going to rally again when the global equities market begin to tank like year 2008. When nikkei and asia markets tank, the wave will spread across the world. Nikkei and dax already gave a clue. The US dollar is still the safest currency right now when the world is going into another financial turmoil.

for me the story mainly goes like this:


we live in over- indebted world
world has to deleverage
most debt is denominated in USD worldwide

deleveraging means deflation in the end

to pay back the debt, the USD has to be bought

that is the first positive for USD

most debt is IOU's
most IOU's are denominated to USD
if only part of this IOU's can not be paid back, it simply vanishes in the end

that means: the USD does not get "diluted" by this IOU's
the USD's in the system goes higher in value

that is the second positive for USD



but all of this may not prevent us from visiting the 1.20's first
  • #21,367
  • Apr 5, 2016 3:59pm Apr 5, 2016 3:59pm
Quoting Rosey76
{quote} will post serious analysis here and joke around in other places.

you are welcome

and bring some jokes here too
  • #21,368
  • Apr 5, 2016 4:02pm Apr 5, 2016 4:02pm
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
{quote} Glad to see. Publish it once a week at least, please. D.P.


keep in mind:

this volume data is from FXCM


my spreadsheet for the Dukascopy SWFX Volume data freezes my Excel and my whole computer, but still can not find the error
  • #21,369
  • Apr 5, 2016 4:05pm Apr 5, 2016 4:05pm
Quoting PrincipleAn
Here is my take on the S&Ps. I've been projecting a pullback as weak price action has ruled the day the past week or so. I'm still not convinced the bull run is over....at least not yet. I detail it some more on my blog. {image} {image}

seems to be very reasonable at the moment

so far, the bigger moves down have not produced a clear impulsive pattern.

So way seems to be up
  • #21,370
  • Apr 5, 2016 4:20pm Apr 5, 2016 4:20pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} for me the story mainly goes like this: we live in over- indebted world world has to deleverage most debt is denominated in USD worldwide deleveraging means deflation in the end to pay back the debt, the USD has to be bought that is the first positive for USD most debt is IOU's most IOU's are denominated to USD if only part of this IOU's can not be paid back, it simply vanishes in the end that means: the USD does not get "diluted" by this IOU's the USD's in the system goes higher in value that is the second positive for USD but all of this...
I agree, it is not easy to see the direction, there are a lot of confounding factors. But the point is that there are different ways USD can gain strength without gaining strength ultimately. Of course EU is about 52% of the total trade but we can see the USD strengthen against JPY for example or CHF. So we might not see an overall change in the strength of the USD but a reshuffling of the balance.
"Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered"
  • #21,371
  • Apr 5, 2016 4:23pm Apr 5, 2016 4:23pm
Inserted Video


ElliottwaveForex on EU
  • #21,372
  • Apr 5, 2016 4:25pm Apr 5, 2016 4:25pm
Quoting manosk
{quote} I agree, it is not easy to see the direction, there are a lot of confounding factors. But the point is that there are different ways USD can gain strength without gaining strength ultimately. Of course EU is about 52% of the total trade but we can see the USD strengthen against JPY for example or CHF. So we might not see an overall change in the strength of the USD but a reshuffling of the balance.

agree


good point
  • #21,373
  • Apr 5, 2016 4:43pm Apr 5, 2016 4:43pm
Triffin's Paradox Revisited: Crunch-Time For The U.S. Dollar & The Global Economy
  • #21,374
  • Apr 6, 2016 12:19am Apr 6, 2016 12:19am
Shots Fired: Wikileaks Accuses Panama Papers' Leaker Of Being "Soros-Funded, Soft-Power Tax Dodge"


#PanamaPapers Putin attack was produced by OCCRP which targets Russia & former USSR and was funded by USAID & Soros. pic.twitter.com/tgeKfLuROn
WikiLeaks (@wikileaks) April 5, 2016
#PanamaPapers: WikiLeaks' Kristinn Hrafnsson calls for data leak to be released in full https://t.co/5FAOtaO2Ix
WikiLeaks (@wikileaks) April 5, 2016
Should we release all 11 million #PanamaPapers so everyone can search through them like our other publications?
WikiLeaks (@wikileaks) April 3, 2016
And so, a new contest is born: one between the "old" source of mega leaks, and the new one. We wonder if and when Edward Snowden and/or Glenn Greenwald will also chime in.

But we are far more interested if now, that there appears to be a war brewing between Wikileaks and ICIJ, who what "information" will be released next, and whether whatever comes out will put the entire Panama Papers project in a different perspective, one which, as even Bloomberg has hinted, may have been to benefit the last remaining global tax haven around, the United States itself, as well as the most notorious provider of "tax haven" services in in said country: Rothschild.
  • #21,375
  • Apr 6, 2016 1:33am Apr 6, 2016 1:33am
EU
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  • #21,376
  • Apr 6, 2016 9:48am Apr 6, 2016 9:48am
Quoting RamsesII
{quote} (i) or v, let's get the elliott wave technicians on it! extended 5th or top? {image} {image}
Update
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Don't have an ego. Always question yourself and your ability.
  • #21,377
  • Apr 6, 2016 9:53am Apr 6, 2016 9:53am
Quoting andexQ
{quote} ok thanks but i think uc won't break out from current level ... blue box is possible area it seem {image}

Current event :

- CAD released bad data but UC seem not able to cross 1.3190
- Oil inventories data is bullish for crude

my interpretation is big players is buying CAD (sell UC) on weakness ... added some shorts.
  • #21,378
  • Apr 6, 2016 10:18am Apr 6, 2016 10:18am
EU

channel games continue
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  • #21,379
  • Apr 6, 2016 11:17am Apr 6, 2016 11:17am
Quoting PrincipleAn
{quote} Sweet!!! Do you have a target yet?
AND

Quoting Dr.Phoenix
{quote} Set up is still valid However the target might be shifted to 1,6724, if traded it intraday Awaiting still D.P. {image}
Take profits on EURNZD reached.

What about you?
Have you had your target at 1,666 on EURNZD?

Best
D.P.
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Hunting High and Low
  • #21,380
  • Apr 6, 2016 12:03pm Apr 6, 2016 12:03pm
The #PanamaPapers: If it was a US/Soros-backed plot it backfired badly
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