The Swamp | Page 120 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread
Attachments: The Swamp
Exit Attachments

The Swamp

  • #2,381
  • Apr 1, 2016 4:34pm Apr 1, 2016 4:34pm
live acct closed 1393, above the purple. other than some retrace. its eu bullish to me still. when added with month pa. purple zone may end up being support
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 52 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #2,382
  • Apr 1, 2016 4:38pm Apr 1, 2016 4:38pm
Quoting gatorinla
No trolls allowed. professional oriented trading only. i dont check pm much. current personal outlook eu to test 1.17 in pursuit of 1.2470 valid target or a break of db at 05xx/046x, at the same time a market drop catalist on all world equity markets indicated . u.s. markets indicated to fall to summer 2013 levels. silver to 16.22 targeted and should pull gold to 13xx with it. brent oil targeted for 14.11 but its normal to got to 56.xx before. euro and yen gain strength on market drop till funding redemptions slow/stop. then eu can drop and...
if the glove dont fit, u gotta git
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #2,383
  • Apr 1, 2016 6:25pm Apr 1, 2016 6:25pm
Quoting gatorinla
live acct closed 1393, above the purple. other than some retrace. its eu bullish to me still. when added with month pa. purple zone may end up being support {image}

  1. Last ditch to beat 1.05203 in my books (bottom chart)
  2. Looking to reload in blue, and to give hints for 1.05203 (top chart)
  3. EJ has a give-me short @ 131.746, I'll take that one loaded to the teeth

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Untitled1.png Size: 14 KB
Attached Image
  • #2,384
  • Apr 2, 2016 8:44am Apr 2, 2016 8:44am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} little bears may be above 1401.3... but i dont think they will do much damage
little bears held it down after that new high. the close with the hh and all the other crap i have spewed since november. has not changed my bullish 1.17 test view. 1.7xx is a high, i respect it. but further out 1.22xx is normal.. 1.2470 was pa built, not by me. those mentioned purple lines are probably now support as far as closes go. the uj ended near the lows of the day under its purple lines in chart. eu wise i dont have a problem early week to pass below those purple lines. some support and a possible entry at 1.1347 is reasonable. as for as 1.2470 goes 1347 is the lm, and 1465 the mid 1584 the um..

fundie wise i said many times a tick or 2 unemployment up is a good sign. i am not that smart to have a reason only understood be the elite figureheads, selling reasons. the reason is simple, because it has happened over and over statistically. the logical reason is more people are out of work. another reason that happens most often, in most recoveries is. as employment market tightens, more people on the sidelines start looking for work. there's decades of data to support this. more people entering job market dilutes the pool. it makes the figure tick up a little. its also a time statistically people quit jobs for a better job. so some wage inflation usually is not far behind.

the jury is still out on my uj generated equity drop assertion. it is still in dead cat range, so still valid (uj and equities walk hand in hand). i dont know how it would or not affect employment. i still see long term heavy industrials returning to north america. in part of the world energy reset, where the last 40 years gets turned on its head. u.s. cars are at a record average age. each one sent to scrap heap, then replaced by a more energy efficient one. a million each month. i see opec as non existent. instead of burning oil, a better use of making crap is gaining a foothold. waiting for the scrap plastic yards to open, and have one listed on s/p
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #2,385
  • Apr 2, 2016 8:50am Apr 2, 2016 8:50am
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} Last ditch to beat 1.05203 in my books (bottom chart) Looking to reload in blue, and to give hints for 1.05203 (top chart) EJ has a give-me short @ 131.746, I'll take that one loaded to the teeth {image} {image}
if it cant b/o 1.17 .. its going to 0963..

first things first.. 1465 next challenge.. some rejection 1487 not surprising
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #2,386
  • Apr 2, 2016 9:21am Apr 2, 2016 9:21am
It is late but nothing to do during weekend so just for fun, my main entry area was 1.1110 but she does not reach, still a chance to visit that area, will lock profit on net working day.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: fraud.jpg Size: 257 KB
don't predict direction, but dance with flow of water
  • #2,387
  • Apr 2, 2016 11:29am Apr 2, 2016 11:29am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} if it cant b/o 1.17 .. its going to 0963.. first things first.. 1465 next challenge.. some rejection 1487 not surprising
I smell what yer stepping in
  • #2,388
  • Apr 2, 2016 1:06pm Apr 2, 2016 1:06pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} if it cant b/o 1.17 .. its going to 0963.. first things first.. 1465 next challenge.. some rejection 1487 not surprising
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} I smell what yer stepping in
What about 1.1436x rejection ? LM of top 1.1494x to 1.052x
  • #2,389
  • Apr 2, 2016 3:45pm Apr 2, 2016 3:45pm
Quoting Rockerzeus
{quote} {quote} What about 1.1436x rejection ? LM of top 1.1494x to 1.052x
That's what I was saying in bottom chart, in my opinion it shows there are still bears looking for below 1.052x

However; since it never had a norm set up- it's less likely
  • #2,390
  • Apr 2, 2016 4:08pm Apr 2, 2016 4:08pm
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} That's what I was saying in bottom chart, in my opinion it shows there are still bears looking for below 1.052x However; since it never had a norm set up- it's less likely
Sorry I was lazy to get your complete chart on my platform Yep same thing we pay attention.
1.1432 is also 76.4 retracement of 1.17 to1.05
  • #2,391
  • Apr 2, 2016 7:28pm Apr 2, 2016 7:28pm
Quoting Rockerzeus
{quote} Sorry I was lazy to get your complete chart on my platform Yep same thing we pay attention. 1.1432 is also 76.4 retracement of 1.17 to1.05
if uj is not lying eu should break 1.7xx high. it remains to be seen how they equalise during some consolidation..uj has a 1/2 norm 1100 pips below current levels. add 1100 to atm eu levels and the 1.2470 is right there.. one of the reasons i do think 1.7 will be tested..regardless of what c banks do
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #2,392
  • Apr 2, 2016 7:52pm Apr 2, 2016 7:52pm
audjpy has possible dead cat till 95.9x/98.1x ish with the target of 72.1x/67.4x , aj is good indicator of the market , as aussie is commo currency and yen is funddie one , dead cat fits with oil 56 ish dead cat and then 14.xx target with the equities possible drop which is Gator mentioning everytime , I may be wrong , I'll looking for shorts now as it is at the top of TL of monthly/weekly bearish trend ... let's see
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDJPYMonthly.png Size: 28 KB
  • #2,393
  • Apr 2, 2016 8:08pm Apr 2, 2016 8:08pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} if uj is not lying eu should break 1.7xx high. it remains to be seen how they equalise during some consolidation..uj has a 1/2 norm 1100 pips below current levels. add 1100 to atm eu levels and the 1.2470 is right there.. one of the reasons i do think 1.7 will be tested..regardless of what c banks do
meanwhile china is between a rock and a hard place. china mentioned those shorting yuan will be punished. the thing is, the china yuan is gaining verse usd. maybe to break the shorters is china's plan. i have a valid target where i want to long usd/cnh. china may not be worrying about the yuan gain verse usd because the euro is gaining also. the euro gaining lately is offsetting the usd dropping for china. i suspect china's exports to europe are rising, while dropping to u.s. maybe part of the trump effect or not. meanwhile the ez exports are getting more expencive for the emerging economies, including china. i doubt the rosy skies some are painting in europe are bs (deflation in the face of printing). meanwhile world copper demand is flat.. the euro rising and yuan rising verse usd isn't hurting u.s. exports so much. so far china is winning the currency war versus the euro. just another thorn to help the euro disappear
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 22 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #2,394
  • Apr 2, 2016 10:15pm Apr 2, 2016 10:15pm
I'd also wager, that the bulls beating the double top, as well as the last chance mofu says quite a bit about the strength
  • #2,395
  • Apr 3, 2016 6:20am Apr 3, 2016 6:20am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} if uj is not lying eu should break 1.7xx high. it remains to be seen how they equalise during some consolidation..uj has a 1/2 norm 1100 pips below current levels. add 1100 to atm eu levels and the 1.2470 is right there.. one of the reasons i do think 1.7 will be tested..regardless of what c banks do
Thanks Gator
  • #2,396
  • Apr 3, 2016 6:24am Apr 3, 2016 6:24am
this blue thing is called a cypher. i did not catch it in time.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDM5.png Size: 211 KB
  • #2,397
  • Apr 3, 2016 9:03am Apr 3, 2016 9:03am
Quoting Rockerzeus
{quote} Sorry I was lazy to get your complete chart on my platform Yep same thing we pay attention. 1.1432 is also 76.4 retracement of 1.17 to1.05
spooky
Attached Image
  • #2,398
  • Edited 10:41am Apr 3, 2016 10:28am | Edited 10:41am
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} spooky {image}
what is 1702.x to 2470?
Attached Image
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #2,399
  • Apr 3, 2016 10:54am Apr 3, 2016 10:54am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} what is 1702.x to 2470? {image}
That 1082 pips is the difference between friday close price and 2 period yearly average high target.
  • #2,400
  • Apr 3, 2016 11:08am Apr 3, 2016 11:08am
Quoting Rockerzeus
{quote} That 1082 pips is the difference between friday close price and 2 period yearly average high target.
show me
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
86 traders viewing now