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  • #61
  • Mar 25, 2016 2:26am Mar 25, 2016 2:26am
Quoting trader34
Why would you even give an alert on a day where the ASX is closed?
It was the AI who came up with the prediction/precognition. It would not know about the AU Holiday based on recent historical price data.
  • #62
  • Mar 25, 2016 7:01am Mar 25, 2016 7:01am
Quoting MasterGuru
{quote} It was the AI who came up with the prediction/precognition. It would not know about the AU Holiday based on recent historical price data.

Yes, but the "AI" didn't write the post did it?
OP should have know, it is a holiday.
Post should have simply said: Public holiday, no trade day.
Wealth comes from what you keep, not what you earn
  • #63
  • Mar 25, 2016 7:46am Mar 25, 2016 7:46am
Quoting trader34
{quote} Yes, but the "AI" didn't write the post did it? OP should have know, it is a holiday. Post should have simply said: Public holiday, no trade day.
He is a messenger of a higher "Precog Artificial Intelligence", so:
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  • #64
  • Mar 25, 2016 4:55pm Mar 25, 2016 4:55pm
Prediction for next AUS200 Session: NEUTRAL - do not trade!
  • #65
  • Mar 28, 2016 5:00pm Mar 28, 2016 5:00pm
Prediction for next AUS200 Session: NEUTRAL - do not trade!
  • #66
  • Mar 29, 2016 4:55pm Mar 29, 2016 4:55pm
Prediction for next AUS200 Session: SHORT @ 36% Signal Strength
  • #67
  • Mar 30, 2016 6:44am Mar 30, 2016 6:44am
Quoting Darwin-FX
Prediction for next AUS200 Session: SHORT @ 36% Signal Strength
Just looking at the profit curve it seems that the fixed lot size version is doing better.

FIXED:
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VARIABLE:
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  • #68
  • Mar 30, 2016 8:09am Mar 30, 2016 8:09am
The fixed lotsize is basically the "more risk" version, which can indeed yield better results in the short term, but in the long term a more conservative approach of scaling the trades should have the better risk per reward balance


Result for last trade:+30 pips (+0.43%)
  • #69
  • Mar 30, 2016 3:56pm Mar 30, 2016 3:56pm
Prediction for next AUS200 Session: NEUTRAL - do not trade!
  • #70
  • Mar 31, 2016 3:47pm Mar 31, 2016 3:47pm
Aaaand yet again: Prediction for next AUS200 Session: NEUTRAL - do not trade
  • #71
  • Apr 3, 2016 4:13pm Apr 3, 2016 4:13pm
Looking at the exact data the AI is currently training on (which is always the last X weeks), I expect this week will again not see much trading action. Afterwards it looks more like action (but that was only a quick look at the data, no exact prediction). So excuse the slow days, but if the algo decides not to trade, who am I to tell it to trade?

Prediction for next AUS200 Session: NEUTRAL - do not trade
  • #72
  • Apr 3, 2016 4:14pm Apr 3, 2016 4:14pm
Quoting Darwin-FX
Looking at the exact data the AI is currently training on (which is always the last X weeks), I expect this week will again not see much trading action. Afterwards it looks more like action (but that was only a quick look at the data, no exact prediction). So excuse the slow days, but if the algo decides not to trade, who am I to tell it to trade? Prediction for next AUS200 Session: NEUTRAL - do not trade
OK. Thanks for the update!
  • #73
  • Apr 3, 2016 4:17pm Apr 3, 2016 4:17pm
Quick explanation: Data the algo generated to trade on does show some high deviation/variance/"noise"/howeveryoumaycallit, so the AI decides not to trade in these uncertain enviroment.

So, to avoid pushing the thread for nothing, I will not post signals this week if it is NEUTRAL - because we are right in the most noisy window now.
However, I will post here if the AI decides to trade anyways
  • #74
  • Apr 10, 2016 3:59pm Apr 10, 2016 3:59pm
Hi Darwin-FX
I just wanted to ask whether the recent lack of trade signals is consistent with what you have seen
during your back tests, and is this a function of volatility or any other factor?

Cheers
  • #75
  • Apr 11, 2016 4:40pm Apr 11, 2016 4:40pm
Hello,

yes it is consistent with backtesting

Prediction for next AUS200 Session: LONG @ 40% Signal Strength
  • #76
  • Apr 12, 2016 5:35am Apr 12, 2016 5:35am
Result for last trade:+33 pips (+0.49%)
  • #77
  • Apr 12, 2016 4:45pm Apr 12, 2016 4:45pm
Prediction for next AUS200 Session: LONG @ 100% Signal Strength
  • #78
  • Apr 13, 2016 4:24am Apr 13, 2016 4:24am
Result for last trade:+20 pips (+0.90%)
  • #79
  • Apr 13, 2016 3:46pm Apr 13, 2016 3:46pm
Prediction for next AUS200 Session: LONG @ 100% Signal Strength
  • #80
  • Apr 13, 2016 7:25pm Apr 13, 2016 7:25pm
Nice bounce back of late.
I see your account is still in Demo mode on Myfxbook. Can I ask when you plan on making the switch to LIVE?
For myself personally, I would pay for a system such as yours, but I would want the owner to have some skin in
the game before doing so.

Cheers,
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