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Help Me Establish The GbpUsd After Dinner Club 40 replies

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The Club!

  • #21,181
  • Mar 24, 2016 12:54pm Mar 24, 2016 12:54pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} added you to my Twitter List of the Elliott Wave favourite https://twitter.com/singulorum/lists...oriten/members

can not understand why I lost you in the Internet

a) had suddenly no Link to your Blog on the Link-List of my Blog and did not notice it

b) did not spot you on Twitter last year when I created the Twitter-lists


Did you change your Blog-Name or addresse?

  • #21,182
  • Mar 24, 2016 1:00pm Mar 24, 2016 1:00pm
Quoting PrincipleAn
{quote} I'm actually long term bullish the dollar so that makes me a Euro bear, although I'm not sure the Euro's correction higher is complete. I have to count it as complete at this point until it proves me wrong. I'm posting my daily count, then zoom in on the 4 hr chart for some channel and wave relation analysis for the next big projected move lower. It's an aggressive count, but it's what the market is giving me at this point. What do you think? {image} {image}

A wave 2 has high chances to retrace high. So far it would have only retraced less than 38%.

If your thought is right, we may be in a wave 2 which is still unfolding. In this case I would look for targets up to the 1.2645 area (61.8% retracement). 1.2228 would be the 50% retracement and is a nice resistance level, anyway (1.2064 to 1.2228)
  • #21,183
  • Mar 24, 2016 1:01pm Mar 24, 2016 1:01pm
Quoting RamsesII
{quote} (i) or v, let's get the elliott wave technicians on it! extended 5th or top? {image} {image}

looking at the first wave up on your chart I have a hard time to count it as an impulsive wave 1 - looks more like a zigzag
  • #21,184
  • Mar 24, 2016 1:03pm Mar 24, 2016 1:03pm
Quoting PrincipleAn
{quote} My take on crude is similar to yours although I might be a bit more immediately bearish than you are. {image}

on Monday Crude had nearly 80% bulls

so there might have been a setting supporting your count
  • #21,185
  • Mar 24, 2016 1:13pm Mar 24, 2016 1:13pm
Quoting PrincipleAn
Here is my analysis of Cable though. It is long term bearish, but I see a great long opportunity setting up here with a wave ((ii)) rally. I detail the trade setup on my blog, but I'm basically waiting for a GBPUSD hourly close above 1.4122 to get long for about a 100 pip rally higher at a minimum. {image} {image}

monthly perspective on GU

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Chart_GBP_USD_Monthly_snapshot.png Size: 43 KB


the test of the lower line of the wedge could be a wave 1, followed up by wave 2, now in developing wave 3


targets could be:

wave 1 = wave 3 = 1,3311

wave 3 = 1.618x wave 1 = 1,1682


or

blue A = blue C = 0.9562
  • #21,186
  • Mar 24, 2016 1:22pm Mar 24, 2016 1:22pm
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
{quote}

:nerd:


  • #21,187
  • Mar 24, 2016 1:31pm Mar 24, 2016 1:31pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} monthly perspective on GU {image} {image} the test of the lower line of the wedge could be a wave 1, followed up by wave 2, now in developing wave 3 targets could be: wave 1 = wave 3 = 1,3311 wave 3 = 1.618x wave 1 = 1,1682 or blue A = blue C = 0.9562

Hi Inf ...
completely agree.. if we are in wave 3

1.3290/3350 ZONE seems to me the minimum target.
  • #21,188
  • Mar 24, 2016 1:43pm Mar 24, 2016 1:43pm
Holy Moly,

an execution in the public at daylight


Unbelievable:

https://www.rt.com/news/337046-israe...s-palestinian/
  • #21,189
  • Mar 24, 2016 1:54pm Mar 24, 2016 1:54pm
Quoting infinitus
Holy Moly, an execution in the public at daylight Unbelievable: https://www.rt.com/news/337046-israe...s-palestinian/
human values are very close to hate..
  • #21,190
  • Mar 24, 2016 2:31pm Mar 24, 2016 2:31pm
Hi Guys, where is Jan ? Didn't see his post lately ... missed his writing.
  • #21,191
  • Mar 24, 2016 2:33pm Mar 24, 2016 2:33pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} see here few postings back http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...16#post8832216
Thanks, Markus, I missed them.

D.P.
Hunting High and Low
  • #21,192
  • Mar 24, 2016 2:40pm Mar 24, 2016 2:40pm
Quoting andexQ
Hi Guys, where is Jan ? Didn't see his post lately ... missed his writing.
  • #21,193
  • Mar 24, 2016 2:42pm Mar 24, 2016 2:42pm
Quoting andexQ
Hi Guys, where is Jan ? Didn't see his post lately ... missed his writing.

see here:

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=577609
  • #21,194
  • Mar 24, 2016 9:34pm Mar 24, 2016 9:34pm
I'm looking for a quick 50 pip profit a short trade on the USDCAD.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #21,195
  • Mar 24, 2016 9:37pm Mar 24, 2016 9:37pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} I am not so sure about the EU at the moment. My main count is described here: http://singulorum001.blogspot.de/201...erm-count.html There you will find the rationale for counting the bottom at 1,04x as the end of a wave 3. After that the high at 1.1714 is now the wave 4. Problem with this count is: the wave 4 should have concluded. When we trace out a higher high above 1.1714, then this count is probably wrong. The wave 5 down may trace out a leading diagonal, where we would now be in the wave 4 up, or...

That's a pretty darned good assessment. The EURUSD is a bit of a mess when you go back forever, so I try to chop it up into smaller timeframes that are more easily consumable for developing wave counts.
  • #21,196
  • Mar 25, 2016 1:06am Mar 25, 2016 1:06am
nice

http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdat...-the-Spot.aspx
  • #21,197
  • Mar 25, 2016 2:33am Mar 25, 2016 2:33am
Quoting infinitus
nice http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdat...-the-Spot.aspx
  • #21,198
  • Mar 25, 2016 2:51am Mar 25, 2016 2:51am
Quoting andexQ
US OIL Next week is tricky to trade ... could go both direction, it seem. However i favor to continue up after a little more down or re-test of 38 - 39 area. Daily chart: {image}

Look like 38 - 39 area successfully re-tested, should continue up ... level to watch for confirmation is 40.25

H4 chart:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #21,199
  • Mar 25, 2016 4:05am Mar 25, 2016 4:05am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} see here: http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=577609
thanks for the link, good to have
"Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered"
  • #21,200
  • Mar 25, 2016 4:10am Mar 25, 2016 4:10am
Quoting andexQ
{quote} Look like 38 - 39 area successfully re-tested, should continue up ... level to watch for confirmation is 40.25 H4 chart: {image}
I agree with you andexQ, I have the feeling that we saw the retracement in oil and now we are off to new highs for this move. As I had posted also in the oil and natural gas thread (see below), I was expecting 2-5 dollars pullback, which we got.

Quoting manosk
{quote} I am with you on that, that is why I said 2-5 dollars, and if you see the rise from the low of below 26 to 41, it hasn't been one straight shot, there were minor healthy pullbacks from 31 to 28, from 37.90 to 35.6, from 38.90 to 35.90, so I expect something similar. And yes it will be quick, meaning it would last between 1-3 days. It is ripe for a pullback and I see multiple indicators as I said, among them the cross USD/RUB. It is also at a level that it needs a pullback. My humble opinion.
So now as far as I am concerned it is time to rise.
"Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered"
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