Supply and demand in a nutshell by Alfonso Moreno | Page 364 | Forex Factory

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Supply and demand in a nutshell by Alfonso Moreno

  • #7,261
  • Mar 15, 2016 6:25am Mar 15, 2016 6:25am
Quoting shanmaz
{quote} Dear lakis071051 in his videos, Alphonso mentioned that if a zone is broken by 1 pip also its considered broken so this DZone is not valid. We may consider the next zone with the pin candle or the next last weekly CP pattern as DZ
Yes, you are right. But in a video of Alfonso, of 19-06-2015 if I remember good, has mentioned that if it is a Zone of bigger TF like WK or MN, because these TFs are big and more reliable, we can take then in account these zones although they are broken. Alfonso can correct me if I understood wrong
  • #7,262
  • Mar 15, 2016 6:28am Mar 15, 2016 6:28am
Quoting projectaha
{quote} Hello lakis071051 ! I think this is not a valid Demand zone, becouse of the big wick on the right site, and that zone what you marked didn't removed any supply zone. I think the right zone would by the bottom of your trendline, for that zone reacted all of the wicks there on the right site. ( i would drawn there my D zone) That is just my oppinion, others with more experience can my theory negated.
Yes you are right
Thanks
  • #7,263
  • Mar 15, 2016 6:29am Mar 15, 2016 6:29am
Quoting panoramia
{quote} Lakis, that AUDCHF weekly zone is not demand. It did not take out any supply zone or broke a bearish trendline. Cheers, Alfonso
Yes
Thanks
  • #7,264
  • Mar 15, 2016 6:42am Mar 15, 2016 6:42am
Quoting projectaha
Hi Guys! This is GBPAUD Daly! I want to ask from the community, and form panoramia taht, on this chart we are at a demand zone, and this is the first touch. But you can see, the price is now slowed down. Can this zone be a good opportunity for buy, or for that reason - the price slowed down - this is not a good idea? In all timeframe we are at a demand zone... more or less. I think that is the origin of the move, the demand zone in the daly, becouse from this has the price...
If I am not wrong, the arrival at this zone not is very optimal. Strongest turn in price level is where supply and demand is most out of balance. Maybe panoramia could give us his opinion
  • #7,265
  • Mar 15, 2016 9:13am Mar 15, 2016 9:13am
Quoting Keenk123
{quote} Hi Alfonso, Sure that is fine. The picture was more just to explain my example. This happens on any time frame. Lets say that say scenario happens on a 4H?
Hi again,

Post a H4 chart with a similar scenario and I will tell you No timeframes lower than H4, they are not allowed remember.
Cheers,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #7,266
  • Mar 15, 2016 12:01pm Mar 15, 2016 12:01pm
If the price is in the zone rectangle indi does not show correct the color of the zone. It should be green.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #7,267
  • Mar 15, 2016 12:11pm Mar 15, 2016 12:11pm
In this case rectangle indi is showing the color of the zone correct. Any idea?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #7,268
  • Mar 15, 2016 12:27pm Mar 15, 2016 12:27pm
What is happening if my Entry has hit and later the zone is broken. Do I stay in the trade?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #7,269
  • Mar 15, 2016 2:00pm Mar 15, 2016 2:00pm
I'm in that trade too

My Tp is abowe your demand zone and i put my stop in breakevent. Now i'm waiting for Fortuna!
  • #7,270
  • Mar 16, 2016 12:26am Mar 16, 2016 12:26am
Quoting projectaha
I'm in that trade too My Tp is abowe your demand zone and i put my stop in breakevent. Now i'm waiting for Fortuna!
I wish you a nice profit
  • #7,271
  • Edited 4:14am Mar 16, 2016 2:12am | Edited 4:14am
Are we measuring the Departure strength of a zone from the Proximal Line of the Zone or from the origin of the departure Leg Candle?
Thanks
  • #7,272
  • Mar 16, 2016 3:51am Mar 16, 2016 3:51am
Hello everybody.

This is my first post on FF. I have been following and learning from Alfonso for a while. The method taught is excellent! Thank you Alfonso.
I have a few trade ideas which I will be posting. Please criticize my analysis. Thank you.

First trade idea is ZARJPY

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ZARJPYMonthly.png Size: 36 KB


MN is down

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Click to Enlarge Name: ZARJPYWeekly.png Size: 37 KB


W1 is down with supply in control.

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D1 has broke ascending trend line. Short opportunity on retest of supply zone that broke trend line.
  • #7,273
  • Mar 16, 2016 4:27am Mar 16, 2016 4:27am
Quoting lakis071051
Are we measuring the Departure strength of a zone from the Proximal Line of the Zone or from the origin of the departure Leg Candle? Thanks
It's all explained in the posts and videos my friend Base---- DROP.... the measure happens in the drop!
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #7,274
  • Mar 16, 2016 5:48am Mar 16, 2016 5:48am
Hello everyone.
I thought I would update you on the USDCAD trade i discussed i think about a week ago.
I am in the trade and taken some profits off the table already.
I no longer have any risk in the trade.
S&D does work when you learn how to work it.

Please remember, that this is not to brag. I don't have to post this trade or any other trade
It only serves as reinforcement for me, of the results i can get following a clear set of rules; and as encouragement to those new to this method, that it is possible and do-able.

best wishes

Before
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After
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Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #7,275
  • Mar 16, 2016 5:59am Mar 16, 2016 5:59am
well done ..

i am sure nobody sees it as a brag .. but most grateful for the share and showing others the way..

It is not easy but agree it works !!!
  • #7,276
  • Mar 16, 2016 8:01am Mar 16, 2016 8:01am
Quoting n_aftab
well done .. i am sure nobody sees it as a brag .. but most grateful for the share and showing others the way.. It is not easy but agree it works !!!
Thank you aftab
It is a simple strategy but as you rightly said it is not easy.
No strategy is "easy" really, because the term simple would imply that emotions don't play a role
We all know they do play a role.
The only thing that stands in the way of emotions taking over is having a set of rules to follow.
Experience is only the best teacher if I learn from my experiences.

Best wishes
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #7,277
  • Mar 16, 2016 8:04am Mar 16, 2016 8:04am
Hello AKT
Thank you for sharing your trade
  • #7,278
  • Mar 16, 2016 8:33am Mar 16, 2016 8:33am
Hello everyone,
Here are my thoughts on EUR-GBP

Price into monthly supply. High on the curve
Lower time frame trends are likely to pause or even reverse according to S&D rules.
Buying now in lower time frame demand would mean buying after a rally in price, and buying into a price level where supply objectively exceeds demand
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Appropriate action:
Look to exit longs taken from lower price levels
Watch and observe on lower time frames for evidence of supply taking control

Evidence of supply taking over include:
1. Trend line breaks on weekly and/or daily - signifying a loss in upward buying momentum
2. Violation of lower time frame demand levels - confirms the assumption of supply taking over from demand

At the very least do not buy this high on the curve
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #7,279
  • Mar 16, 2016 10:27am Mar 16, 2016 10:27am
Quoting panoramia
{quote} It's all explained in the posts and videos my friend Base---- DROP.... the measure happens in the drop! Alfonso
I have read many times the first page but I did not get any answer to my question. I am speaking for the departure leg of the zone. From where do we calculate the 2:1 or 3:1 between the zone range and the begin of the return leg to the zone (Departure-Begin of return to the level). I cannot see many hours of videos to find in which video is this mentioned. If you can help with only three words, is OK. If not it doesn't matter. I thank you anyhow.
  • #7,280
  • Edited 11:16am Mar 16, 2016 11:00am | Edited 11:16am
Quoting lakis071051
{quote} I have read many times the first page but I did not get any answer to my question. I am speaking for the departure leg of the zone. From where do we calculate the 2:1 or 3:1 between the zone range and the begin of the return leg to the zone (Departure-Begin of return to the level). I cannot see many hours of videos to find in which video is this mentioned. If you can help with only three words, is OK. If not it doesn't matter. I thank you anyhow.
As Alfonso said, measurement should happen in "drop", it should have at least 2 times much pips of the base, hence at least 2:1
Attached Image
Trade what you see..
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