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The Swamp

  • #161
  • Mar 12, 2016 5:53pm Mar 12, 2016 5:53pm
hop on
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #162
  • Mar 12, 2016 6:00pm Mar 12, 2016 6:00pm
Quoting gatorinla
hop on {image}
this guy took the top right direction =)
  • #163
  • Mar 12, 2016 6:07pm Mar 12, 2016 6:07pm
Now I have that song Amos Moses by Jerry Reed in my head....damnit
How many people here have telekenetic powers?...raise my hand
  • #164
  • Edited 9:33pm Mar 12, 2016 9:07pm | Edited 9:33pm
Quoting MCFly
{quote} The problem is he isn't spoon feeding. His knowledge is very well encrypt and it's very hard up to impossible to learn what he's doing.
i will be a old man maybe when this happens or not. in late 1929 the u.s. markets crashed. it recovered mostly due to world war 2 spending/demand almost a decade after. between 1929 and ww2 u.s. stock markets had a dead cat bounce (like now). before crashing again.. then ww2 happened.. eventually creating a rising trend for a few decades not based on devalued u.s.d. oil changed that, along with the floating usd that happened during nixon administration. gold was unpegged to usd. meanwhile arabs had an oil embargo at the same time u.s. oil production peaked. about 6 years ago oil production in the u.s. botomed, a 35 year trend reversed imo.

i call it the world energy reset. the anomaly of the last 40 years will reverse. since energy is the most expencive cost in heavy industrial production. large industrial companies will go where energy is cheaper. in places with decent infrastructure, a stable government, and a stable labor pool. places like n. america will attract money (whether industry knows it or not yet). energy is so important that all u.s. recessions since 1973 started with a oil spike.. 2008 150$ oil was the mother of all oil spikes 700ish% in 6 years.

opec is over, so one needs to adjust its importance. we had numerous world unrest events since 2009, with a muted effect on oil price comparable to pre 2009. this crap isn't something i am today posting in hindsight. i posted this many years ago. along with crash crap in 2007/08 due to the oil spike recession cycle. hey i may be wrong. if so, sue me. i will go out on a limb, in case my uj charts are 1/2 right. my large uj chart points to 100.49 (100.71) meaning equities drop. a dead cat on s&p was expected to 1981.88 minimal. that has happened, some others like dax still have a path in its dead cat higher. but with s&p reaching its normal retrace. i am cautious . the actual uj target is 68.09, if it can break 75.5 double bottom. tinfoil hat stuff, but indicated. i think 100.71 is a givme. remember i am posting this against what boj is doing. meanwhile the kneejerk of boj may bounce uj some. personally i will be shorting. i dont see anything cryptic here. the swap rate will slow speed unless it starts capitulation in equities. i just dont have the timing.. smaller uj target at 106.5x/6x

1929 was due to high leverage and free money. kinda like what the boj and ecb are proposing/doing on steroids. they dont give medicine to healthy patients. this is a shell game bailout for e-banks. meant to fool the public perception. a bank can borrow a trillion euros.. then collect interest on it. it gives the bank liquidity and a income. meanwhile any upset in world economy such as china, can cause a redemption collapse. we saw a taste of this at .17xx.. techs point to 1.2470 eu.. it fits well with uj drop

yeah yeah.. its opposite of what the experts say.. with interest differentiation. those guys are smarter than me. so take what i say with a grain of salt. i reserve the right to be full of shit
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #165
  • Edited 10:14pm Mar 12, 2016 9:59pm | Edited 10:14pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} . i will go out on a limb, in case my uj charts are 1/2 right. my large uj chart points to 100.49 (100.71) meaning equities drop. a dead cat on s&p was expected to 1981.88 minimal. that has happened, some others like dax still have a path in its dead cat higher. but with s&p reaching its normal retrace. i am cautious . the actual uj target is 68.09, if it can break 75.5 double bottom. tinfoil hat stuff, but indicated. i think 100.71 is a givme. remember i am posting this against what boj is doing. meanwhile the kneejerk of boj may bounce...
Ok, it's saturday night, I'm trying to learn this stuff so I will see if I can pick through and find the gold.

my large uj chart points to 100.49 (100.71) The uj closed at 113.775 on friday, so there is a set up to go short, target 100.71
i think 100.71 is a givme This trade has a very high probability
the actual uj target is 68.09, if it can break 75.5 double bottom Over all the target is 68.09, but it has to break the double bottom(not sure if he is referring to the double bottom back in Feb on the Daily TF) first on it's way down from 100.71

So what I get is...go short uj with a first target at 100.71, second target is 68.09 after the double bottom, with a chance of a bounce (retrace) along the way due to boj bs

Ok so now he will tell me I'm close....or go slam my balls in the drawer again....
How many people here have telekenetic powers?...raise my hand
  • #166
  • Edited 11:05pm Mar 12, 2016 10:18pm | Edited 11:05pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i will be a old man maybe when this happens or not. in late 1929 the u.s. markets crashed. it recovered mostly due to world war 2 spending/demand almost a decade after. between 1929 and ww2 u.s. stock markets had a dead cat bounce (like now). before crashing again.. then ww2 happened.. eventually creating a rising trend for a few decades not based on devalued u.s.d. oil changed that, along with the floating usd that happened during nixon administration. gold was unpegged to usd. meanwhile arabs had an oil embargo at the same time u.s. oil...
There is something poetic ....in this....
Poetry dude just fucking poetry

(great examples in eur/usd thread)

westcoastcat..... I don't think he'll spoon feed ya like that, imho, use as indicator, to keep your eyes open
really, really like (and agree with many times) fundamental analysis
after that its a question of interpretation (poetry)
MOFU--- now thats just ?????
don't get in love with pairs ... up or down is the same pip value
  • #167
  • Mar 12, 2016 11:43pm Mar 12, 2016 11:43pm
ju simple price action point of interest.
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don't predict direction, but dance with flow of water
  • #168
  • Mar 13, 2016 12:31am Mar 13, 2016 12:31am
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Does anybody else see a slight price divergence ?
don't get in love with pairs ... up or down is the same pip value
  • #169
  • Mar 13, 2016 12:54am Mar 13, 2016 12:54am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i will be a old man maybe when this happens or not. in late 1929 the u.s. markets crashed. it recovered mostly due to world war 2 spending/demand almost a decade after. between 1929 and ww2 u.s. stock markets had a dead cat bounce (like now). before crashing again.. then ww2 happened.. eventually creating a rising trend for a few decades not based on devalued u.s.d. oil changed that, along with the floating usd that happened during nixon administration. gold was unpegged to usd. meanwhile arabs had an oil embargo at the same time u.s. oil...
Experts smecperts, yep they finally got bearish on oil at 30 lol, the markets dont come close to doing what they say either man, lot of experts said it would never be under 100 again , lots of experts started their gold hedge funds at 2000/oz , gold was never gonna be below that , dont hear a peep out of them today , ya dont need to reserve that right lol, evryone is full of it , just some get it right more than others , glad ya got a thread going man. Keep on keeping on .
  • #170
  • Mar 13, 2016 3:33am Mar 13, 2016 3:33am
Quoting priceaction1
ju simple price action point of interest. {image}
seems like we are in chop zone will look for shorts around 115 and bids around 100 , I guess we gonna stay for a while around here , here is the chart from last years PA
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Quoting gatorinla
hop on {image}
you sure you can take all of us ?
  • #171
  • Mar 13, 2016 4:40am Mar 13, 2016 4:40am
USDP debt now 600% of GDP.
AND unfunded liabilities of 18 Trillion for the next 12 years'
The petro dollar is shot and will decline.
God bless America.

Buy the Aussi- No- Buy gold!
  • #172
  • Mar 13, 2016 7:41am Mar 13, 2016 7:41am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} kinda like what the boj and ecb are proposing/doing on steroids. they dont give medicine to healthy patients. this is a shell game bailout for e-banks. meant to fool the public perception. a bank can borrow a trillion euros.. then collect interest on it. it gives the bank liquidity and a income. meanwhile any upset in world economy such as china, can cause a redemption collapse. we saw a taste of this at .17xx.. techs point to 1.2470 eu.. it fits well with uj drop yeah yeah.. its opposite of what the experts say.. with interest differentiation....
So true. Currency wars, zero interests (keeps alive the zombie banks, debt devaluation and on the other hand savings account devaluation), bond buying programms (illegal government financing) and not to forget lying thats what we are loving our central banks especialliy the ecb for.
It's horrible what they do. The rules and mechanisms which keeps under normal circumstances markets in balance get's invalidated.
  • #173
  • Mar 13, 2016 9:21am Mar 13, 2016 9:21am
Quoting MCFly
{quote} So true. Currency wars, zero interests (keeps alive the zombie banks, debt devaluation and on the other hand savings account devaluation), bond buying programms (illegal government financing) and not to forget lying thats what we are loving our central banks especialliy the ecb for. It's horrible what they do. The rules and mechanisms which keeps under normal circumstances markets in balance get's invalidated.
ecb is trying to counter the effect of -rates on banks profit. banks make less money at low rates. the drop in rates is raping banks and savers, banks already weak. they have now offered to pay banks to borrow. in hope they will borrow more, and let this liquidity seep out to economy. money stored in a bank, is not liquid till loaned. meanwhile banks know whats happening, they may just hold the euros for the positive interest. why loan it out for little of nothing for the associated asset deflated risk. if all the banks do this, you have a liquidity risk like 2008 on steroids. many e banks have money in china. copper has shown me, the china tiger is papper. dragis can loan e banks hundreds of trillion to e banks, e banks should borrow all they are allowed. that dont mean a single euro will go to economy. it's just zeros on a balance sheet sitting inside a computer. until it goes into the real economy through loans. in 2008 the ez had a lack of usd. banks didnt trust other banks enough to loan. unless e banks loan money creating liquidity in this ponzi scheme. the ez may find itself with a lack of euros in the places it counts. what dragis has done, is desperate, an experiment.

a risk of anything monetary of value, for the benefit of a greater monetary unknown outcome, is gambling. it is possible e banks will still not loan money. it is possible to have deflation, as ecb eases. if the e banks dont loan. tin hat theory, because we all know whats going to happen in the future right? i dont know admittedly, my chart differs from ecb and boj intentions. yes, i may be wrong. but the euro and the yen have gone up.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #174
  • Mar 13, 2016 11:14am Mar 13, 2016 11:14am
Quoting Hollyforex
{quote} westcoastcat..... I don't think he'll spoon feed ya like that, imho, use as indicator, to keep your eyes open really, really like (and agree with many times) fundamental analysis after that its a question of interpretation (poetry) MOFU--- now thats just ?????
I know going in he may respond to my take...or not, which is fine. Still it's an exercise for my own benefit and to just throw it out there.
Sometimes he does respond...hence the reference to slamming my balls in the drawer.....lol

As far as gator's posts, you just have to read it, check it out, watch it....see what happens. The proof is usually in the pudding.
The infamous MOFU......I hope one day someone will explain that to me in simple terms that I can understand....lol

Thanks for your take and responding, good luck in the future!
How many people here have telekenetic powers?...raise my hand
  • #175
  • Mar 13, 2016 11:49am Mar 13, 2016 11:49am
Nice thread Gatorinla..... I have been a silent lurker and reader of your post for some time. I personally have to agree with your fundamental diatribe.

You have a unique way of explaining your fundamental outlook, when I read it, I understand what you are saying but I would never be able to put it to words as you do.
Hope to learn more from you.
Live today like theres no tomorrow-- Prioritize like you will die today
  • #176
  • Mar 13, 2016 3:30pm Mar 13, 2016 3:30pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i dont rule out 1022 just yet, but as info changes. so will i. i do expect 1.7 test,, but how it gets there is the question,, some r at 1214 1228 on chart. if we get some h closes below 1165.. its probably less bullish,, maybe retrace next week.. 1022 or 0963,,, or not.. {image}
week closed bullish, and i am not in long atm. i cant long here. 1165 may be a support or it may be R this week. some respect may be shown this week after such a large move w/o retrace. its cheaper to buy lower. its free to miss a trade. atm level at 1165. ny closed below 1165.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #177
  • Mar 13, 2016 6:21pm Mar 13, 2016 6:21pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} week closed bullish, and i am not in long atm. i cant long here. 1165 may be a support or it may be R this week. some respect may be shown this week after such a large move w/o retrace. its cheaper to buy lower. its free to miss a trade. atm level at 1165. ny closed below 1165.
a few weeks back uj, had made a 115.36 setup. it still hasnt reached it but between i took some smaller bearish setups. if the eu takes the 1022/19 path. uj may reach 115.36/40.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #178
  • Mar 13, 2016 11:43pm Mar 13, 2016 11:43pm
LONG
S/O
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A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #179
  • Mar 13, 2016 11:46pm Mar 13, 2016 11:46pm
Good luck on the new thread your work is much appreciated
The things that we love tell us what we are Thanks Redsword11 and Tim Morge
  • #180
  • Mar 14, 2016 2:35am Mar 14, 2016 2:35am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} a few weeks back uj, had made a 115.36 setup. it still hasnt reached it but between i took some smaller bearish setups. if the eu takes the 1022/19 path. uj may reach 115.36/40.
risking 18 at 113.5 for 114.5 bounce toward 115.xx against 113.32 st support.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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