>>>Artificial Intelligence ~ EA Available ~ FREE Daily Signal<<<

Artificial Intelligence meets Automated Trading

Become part of the trading revolution and profit from state-of-the-art artificial intelligence using our automated Metatrader4 EA

1. This Algorithm is based on many years of serious research [0] [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6]
2. No bullshit promises like "100% in a month" or "99% success rate". This is a solid and honest investment strategy!
3. You don't have to believe us blindly! You can access our system's trades without paying (posted here, and on myfxbook)
4. Follow our system manually for as long as you want and make sure it does what we promise

How does it work?
Simple. Our Algorithm trades the AUS200 in an attempt to exploit very fundamental market conditions that can be exploited best by trading a very unbiased market. And what is best for this? Australia, of course!

So, every day before AUS200 markets open, I will post my prediction in this thread, for you to follow manually if you want.

The trade will then last the whole Australian Session and is closed right before it ends! (Should be 18:00-00:00 o'clock New York time, and 00:00-06:00 o'clock Berlin time)

Thats it! One Trade per day, predicting the AUS200 Close. Nothing complicated, keep it simple is our motto (tough, the AI behind it is not that simple haha)


How does the logic behind the AI work?
It has nothing to do with most trading systems out there, that rely on some black magic Indicator setup. It does not rely on Support/Resistance, Fibonatchi Levels, Candle Charts, Indicators or anything like that!

It is more or less a system that is exploiting the general trend of the global markets. Like all of them, in one huge model, because global markets are tied together, they go down or up because of global events and sentiment. And that is exactly what the AI is exploiting.

Why AUS200? Because when Australia is trading, most of the other major markets are more-or-less closed, which reduces the amount of noise you get for your signal.



What about Backtests?
Backtests are only good for prototyping, NOT for profit-forecasting! Here you can read more about why I did not include Backtest Results



What can I expect in this Thread?
Every trade that is executed by the AI is posted here beforehand, so you can follow the system manually and for free if you like.
This thread is kept alive until the critical amount of users is reached - then the thread and the selling of the system will be stopped.
Thats it! If you have any questions, feel free to post here or use the contact form on the website.

((Visit Myfxbook.com Live Profile!))

This test is using low-risk settings. Want more profit?

Just increase the contracts-per-trade!

((Visit the EA's Website!))

For the first 10 Users there is a special offer:

49€ for 2 Months

Questions? Skype : Darwin-FX or use the contact form on the website

Notice: This thread is the reboot of my old one - the old one went into a very off-topic discussion about the moralities of selling Expert Advisors, about the difficulties of PAMM investments and even the funding amount of some totally unrelated trading accounts.
For transparency reasons - here is the old thread: http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=581268

PLEASE, KEEP IT ON TOPIC THIS TIME. QUESTIONS - EVEN CRITICAL ONES - ABOUT THE SYSTEM AND ITS PERFORMANCE AND EVERYTHING THAT IS RELATED CAN BE POSTED - BUT NOTHING ABOUT GENERAL TOPICS! THANKS!

Prediction for next AUS200 Session: LONG @ 38%(!) Signal Strength

Result for last trade: +11 pips (+0.15%)

Quoting Darwin-FX

Disliked

Result for last trade: +11 pips (+0.15%)

Ignored

Nice and safe +9 pips (+0.61%) on a small live account with signal subscription.

Hopefully a lot more good trades will follow (with better profits as well, the 11 pips was one of the smallest)

Prediction for next AUS200 Session: LONG @ 95% Signal Strength

Result for last trade:-58 pips (-2.40%)

Very bad trade, but still in the realm of expected outcomes. (Btw, the reason for this were unexpectedly bad news from china http://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-economy-trade-idUSKCN0WA09C ).

hi

what influences your position sizes (and in turn the trade results)?

so far on this thread you posted 3 trade results,
11 pips = 0.15% (38% signal strenght)
9 pips = 0.61%
58 pips = -2.4% (95% signal strenght)

assume position size differ on the signal strenght?
though that wouldnt line up with the copy trader's results.

mind any insights?

It is


:-)

Prediction for next AUS200 Session: LONG @ 35(!)% Signal Strength

Result for last trade:+60 pips (+0.85%)

So while it did recover the full amount of pips from yesterday's losing trade, it did not recover the full loss in terms of money, as it did trade with more caution, because of the very mixed signals the global markets delivered yesterday.

Subscribed..

Do you have back testing of the your signals ?

So, you are the 3rd person to ask this today. Give me a moment, I will format the answer for the other 2 into a more structured writeup and will then post it here

I wouldn't be surprised that people would like to see backtesting results including signals at Open, Performance , Equity Curve, MaxDrawDown etc. I too take directional trades on the underlyings and thus interested in your model.

So, let me cite what I did just put on the website:

About Backtests - and why they don't matter
Backtests are only good for prototyping, NOT for profit-forecasting!



You are looking for the mandatory backtest? Sorry, I have to disappoint you!
See, it is very easy to create an EA that look totally legit, has great backtests but nevertheless fails miserably in live trading.
Backtests are not really worth that much, they are only good for prototyping (and fooling potential buyers into wasting money).
Let me make that very clear: Backtests are not usefull for profit-forecasting!
That beeing said: Of course I do have simulations, after all they are the only practicable way of optimising and prototyping.

They show a simulated maxDrawdown of ~13% (depending on the risk-settings you choose).
They also show a Profit Factor of 3.77 and a Profit per Drawdown of 23.

Note: From above figures, the maxDD is the most realistic one - because it is caluclated in the most conservative way possible.
So, it could hold true, but even if it does, it totally depends on the chosen Risk (Contracts per Trade per money in your account) you use to trade.

But the other figures are NOT realistic for the future, but totally legit for the intendet purpose of optimisation!
Because when talking about backtests, we are talking about an optimisation process (not a profit-forecasting-process, for which they are commonly miss-used).
And that means the parameters have been chosen - with hindsight - to produce the best return/drawdowns over the past. Thats why the figures can not be trusted as forecast!

And thats also why I am using the simulated drawdown together with the worst historical drawdown of AUS200 as a benchmark for risk-per-trade calculations.
That allows me to arrive at a "conservative" Contracts/Account-size of ~1 Contract per 1666 in the Myfxbook-Account!

Btw: I did write an article about the dangers of Backtesting, which sheds some light on other problems as well : The dangers of Backtests for automated algorithmic trading

Sidenote: The AI and its Backtester is written from scratch in C++, so even if I would want to, I could not show you some fancy MT4-backtest-reports, sorry!

I was not expecting MT4 backtesting reports mate. I am more than aware of back-testing limitations but even an excel file with your historical signals with strengths and corresponding returns based on risk taken is more than sufficient to see how it would have performed in history ( with no guarantee of future ). Of-course you can manipulate numbers and can show imaginary insanely good numbers but that is where the trust factor comes in.

I hope you understand that i am interested in seeing how it 'would' have performed ( not how it would perform in future as no one knows..even MC simulations and more sophisticated walk-forward simulations will simply be a 'good guesstimate')

But i totally respect whatever you want to show us in terms of back testing .

The excel file would show the same limitations in terms of unrealistic trades, just broken down to single trades
So I really fear it would not be of any help for you. Again, it is a heavily optimised - and therefore biased - outcome.

That beeing said - and in the hope that all the others that will come across this thread are aware of it, here is the POST-OPTIMISATION Backtest for 2012-2016:

Equity-Curve
Raw Trades

Edit: If you find any oddity in the results, please tell me, I did just hack a bit of code to even be able to produce these files, so there might be errors in it

Fixed 1 lot trades.

Yeah, the fixed lotsize was favourable for the last 2 trades, that way the loss has been recovered fully

in retrospect a bunch of things would be great.
like only trading on the odd days, skipping Tuesday.

but that isnt your system.