Supply and demand in a nutshell by Alfonso Moreno | Page 353 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread

Similar Threads

Supply and Demand Zones 57 replies

Price movement as a function of Supply and Demand 43 replies

Supply and demand zones and EW principles 1 reply

How Markets Work, in a Nutshell! 32 replies

Demand and Supply 1 reply

Attachments: Supply and demand in a nutshell by Alfonso Moreno
Exit Attachments

Supply and demand in a nutshell by Alfonso Moreno

  • #7,041
  • Feb 11, 2016 4:09am Feb 11, 2016 4:09am
Hello everyone.

Just thought I would share my USDCAD Analysis

Alfonso and all, I would value your critical appraisal of the analysis as documented on the charts below please

best wishes
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdcad M.PNG Size: 80 KB
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdcad w2.PNG Size: 102 KB
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdcad D.PNG Size: 110 KB
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #7,042
  • Feb 12, 2016 3:56am Feb 12, 2016 3:56am
Quoting Akt
Hello everyone. Just thought I would share my USDCAD Analysis Alfonso and all, I would value your critical appraisal of the analysis as documented on the charts below please best wishes
Hello,
I've made exactly the same analysis... also looking to go long in that DZ
  • #7,043
  • Feb 12, 2016 8:04am Feb 12, 2016 8:04am
Quoting owal
{quote} Hello, I've made exactly the same analysis... also looking to go long in that DZ
Thanks Owal
Feedback much appreciated.

Best wishes
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #7,044
  • Feb 12, 2016 10:19am Feb 12, 2016 10:19am
Hello everyone

UKOil analysis

Your comments and critique please.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ukoil M.PNG Size: 89 KB
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ukoil w.PNG Size: 95 KB
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ukoil D.PNG Size: 84 KB
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #7,045
  • Feb 13, 2016 9:18am Feb 13, 2016 9:18am
Hello buddy, can supply and demand use in lower TF like H4 or lower TF. Thank you.
  • #7,046
  • Feb 13, 2016 11:53am Feb 13, 2016 11:53am
Quoting Akt
Hello everyone UKOil analysis Your comments and critique please.{image}{image}{image}
Hi Akt!
my thoughts are at the picture
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2016-02-13_222857.png Size: 68 KB
  • #7,047
  • Feb 13, 2016 12:56pm Feb 13, 2016 12:56pm
Quoting Cepbra
{quote} Hi Akt! my thoughts are at the picture {image}
Much appreciated.
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #7,048
  • Edited 9:33am Feb 14, 2016 9:15am | Edited 9:33am
Alfonso. Why did you say that we can short weekly or daily supply zone? MN Demand zone was hit so it is in control. And we can not trade against it. . Monthly supply is not valid because it didn't remove demand, therefore it invalidates the W1/D1 supply within. If we remove MN DZ then we will be looking to go short.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2016-02-14_19-27-12.png Size: 488 KB
  • #7,049
  • Feb 14, 2016 9:22am Feb 14, 2016 9:22am
Quoting conom589
Alfonso. Why did you say that we can short weekly or daily supply zone? MN Demand zone was hit so it is in control. And we can not trade against it. Price hasn't taken out monthly demand yet. If we remove MN DZ then we will be looking to go short. {image}

looking at your chart i think it is because that demand you have marked has not removed any supply, so it is not considered as demand until it does ... and so it is the supply that is on control
  • #7,050
  • Feb 14, 2016 9:59am Feb 14, 2016 9:59am
Quoting n_aftab
{quote} looking at your chart i think it is because that demand you have marked has not removed any supply, so it is not considered as demand until it does ... and so it is the supply that is on control
This chart is from Alfonso's webinar, he drew it and he said this is valid demand.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2016-02-14444.png Size: 453 KB
  • #7,051
  • Feb 14, 2016 10:05am Feb 14, 2016 10:05am
Quoting conom589
{quote} This chart is from Alfonso's webinar, and he said this is valid demand. {image}
you have switched to the monthly timeframe now .. it is valid demand i can see from the left side of the chart .. but i can see that supply is removing demand and there is a vaild trendline down ..
  • #7,052
  • Feb 14, 2016 10:47am Feb 14, 2016 10:47am
Quoting n_aftab
{quote} you have switched to the monthly timeframe now .. it is valid demand i can see from the left side of the chart .. but i can see that supply is removing demand and there is a vaild trendline down ..
Trendline is valid because the second peak made lower low, But supply didn't remove demand.it's not taken out by as little as 1 pip
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 131k4.png Size: 25 KB
  • #7,053
  • Feb 15, 2016 12:03am Feb 15, 2016 12:03am
Quoting mil4
Hello buddy, can supply and demand use in lower TF like H4 or lower TF. Thank you.
Supply and demand can be used on all timeframes my friend, all timeframes and instruments. You simply need to make a decision on which type of trader you are and which will be your timeframe sequence. The lower the timeframe, the more noise you'll see, the more experienced trader you will need to be and the more losses you are going to have. Just make up your mind on the sequence of timeframes and practice!

Cheers,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #7,054
  • Feb 15, 2016 12:05am Feb 15, 2016 12:05am
Quoting conom589
Alfonso. Why did you say that we can short weekly or daily supply zone? MN Demand zone was hit so it is in control. And we can not trade against it. . Monthly supply is not valid because it didn't remove demand, therefore it invalidates the W1/D1 supply within. If we remove MN DZ then we will be looking to go short. {image}
MN supply was drawn as inherited, not a valid supply by itself, I just wanted to know where that inherited zone was. Price went through it. Similar on Silver, but silver is holding WK supply nested within a very similar zone.

Monthly supply is higher on Gold and it's been tested once.

Cheers,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #7,055
  • Feb 15, 2016 9:26am Feb 15, 2016 9:26am
Hello to all.
My analisys on USDCHF

Monthly is up and reached tested SZ making little bigger penetration
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Captura de Ecrã (3).png Size: 35 KB

Weekly is almost breaking trendline, but still up
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Captura de Ecrã (4).png Size: 42 KB

Daily is down, ascending trendline broken and demand removed
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Captura de Ecrã (5).png Size: 41 KB


I'm thinking going long in the daily nested demand at 0,9593
your thoughts would be appreciated
  • #7,056
  • Feb 15, 2016 6:40pm Feb 15, 2016 6:40pm
Quoting owal
Hello to all. My analisys on USDCHF Monthly is up and reached tested SZ making little bigger penetration {image} Weekly is almost breaking trendline, but still up {image} Daily is down, ascending trendline broken and demand removed {image} I'm thinking going long in the daily nested demand at 0,9593 your thoughts would be appreciated
Thanks for your post. I am new to this strategy but keen to learn. Is that indicator on the top left showing the monthly, weekly, daily direction part of SET & Forget indicator when you join the community.? It looks very useful.
  • #7,057
  • Feb 15, 2016 11:53pm Feb 15, 2016 11:53pm
Quoting lrathi
{quote} Thanks for your post. I am new to this strategy but keen to learn. Is that indicator on the top left showing the monthly, weekly, daily direction part of SET & Forget indicator when you join the community.? It looks very useful.
That indicator has been created by a member of www.set-and-forget.com community so it's only shared in the community, sorry! The indicator will automatically tell you the direction of the trend based on the trendline break, it will even change the trendline properties automatically when the trendline is broken as per the rules!

Cheers,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #7,058
  • Edited 1:21am Feb 16, 2016 12:15am | Edited 1:21am
Weekly supply imbalance holding at all time highs on EURNOK, potential shorts can happen on D1 and H4. Set and alert above all time highs in case it breaks out. Weekly chart displayed.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 119 KB
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #7,059
  • Feb 16, 2016 12:47am Feb 16, 2016 12:47am
Quoting panoramia
Weekly supply imbalance holding at all time highs on EURNOK, potential shorts can happen on D1 and H4. Set and alert above all time highs in case it breaks out. Weekly chart displayed. {image}
Thanks for the reply regards indicator. I thought so. I am very new and reading all the rules and seeing all the videos.
Thanks for sharing all this with us.
Warm regards and appreciation.

Will join the community soon.
  • #7,060
  • Feb 16, 2016 12:22pm Feb 16, 2016 12:22pm
Hello Alfonso!
I want to ask a tricky question. Lets's say that we have a fresh HTF (WK) supply zone but we can not find any nested D1 supply to set-and-forget there.
We are waiting when price will return to such WK supply. OK, it has returned (the first test) and created a good D1 supply. We set our sell limit order there. But this order has not been activated. Price leaves our WK zone and consolidates away and returns (the second test) to WK supply and to our D1 supply (to our limit order). The question is: are we still allowed to sell that D1 supply (now price is in non-fresh HTF zone, the second test of WK supply is running). Or we had to cancel our order when price had left and consolidated away after the first test of WK supply?
Here is picture. Do not take into account any other rules etc.
Attached Image
4 traders viewing now