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Help Me Establish The GbpUsd After Dinner Club 40 replies

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The Club!

  • #20,881
  • Feb 9, 2016 12:31pm Feb 9, 2016 12:31pm
Quoting infinitus
Deutsche Bank begging for more liquidity Deutsche Bank Is Scared: "What Needs To Be Done" In Its Own Words So back to the original question WHAT NEEDS TO BE DONE. Simple? Recognize the problem. It is not oil, it is not in the banks..it is a run on central bank liquidity, especially dollar based and there needs to be much more ($) liquidity. Keynes said to deal with overinvestment boom you cut you don't raise rates. QE is impractical...
do you ever have your own words or just copy/past zerohedge
  • #20,882
  • Feb 9, 2016 12:36pm Feb 9, 2016 12:36pm
Dax so far has crashed 29% from the top

at around 8364 leg B is equal leg A
  • #20,883
  • Feb 9, 2016 12:39pm Feb 9, 2016 12:39pm
Quoting vasily
{quote} do you ever have your own words or just copy/past zerohedge

my words were:

Am busy now for the next hours preparing some guillotines

Was that not enough?
  • #20,884
  • Feb 9, 2016 12:41pm Feb 9, 2016 12:41pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} my words were: Am busy now for the next hours preparing some guillotines Was that not enough?
i thought you were busy
  • #20,885
  • Feb 9, 2016 12:44pm Feb 9, 2016 12:44pm
Quoting vasily
{quote} do you ever have your own words or just copy/past zerohedge

maybe sometime you will notice, that I have wrote thousands of lengthy analysis, opinions and replies in this and other threads here in FF

at the moment I am lazy and copy and paste does not hurt
  • #20,886
  • Feb 9, 2016 12:57pm Feb 9, 2016 12:57pm
Gold had yesterday evening 86% bulls - that was quick
  • #20,887
  • Feb 9, 2016 1:00pm Feb 9, 2016 1:00pm
Hi Ramses,

Crude now in wave 3 of 5? Or wave B down of wave 4 up (flat)?

Soon we will see....
  • #20,888
  • Feb 9, 2016 1:03pm Feb 9, 2016 1:03pm
EU

test of the upsloping corrective channel

daily TF
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  • #20,889
  • Feb 9, 2016 1:06pm Feb 9, 2016 1:06pm
Quoting infinitus
EU test of the upsloping corrective channel daily TF {image}

the structure of today's move up implies, that we might be in a wave 3 (or already 4 down) with a wave 5 up to come (1366 to 1400 I guess)
  • #20,890
  • Feb 9, 2016 1:11pm Feb 9, 2016 1:11pm
Quoting thatguy22
{quote} Deflation is still threatening area, if the numbers start showing it, it would be a huge sign that the ECB despite all the QE still can't reach their goals of price stability, which would drive the confidence of down IMO.
the CB's around the world impose that they are omnipotent

but history all over shows that they can only stretch the rubber band for some time

world will be/is in a global deflationary phase for a long time, I fear.

The Eurozone at the moment, especially with their banks much more exposed to derivative risk, may face the harder rock and plate
  • #20,891
  • Feb 9, 2016 1:12pm Feb 9, 2016 1:12pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} the structure of today's move up implies, that we might be in a wave 3 (or already 4 down) with a wave 5 up to come (1366 to 1400 I guess)
out of my view the 1300 to 1338 area offered a good R:R for a short
  • #20,892
  • Feb 9, 2016 2:38pm Feb 9, 2016 2:38pm
Quoting thatguy22
{quote} Deflation is still threatening area, if the numbers start showing it, it would be a huge sign that the ECB despite all the QE still can't reach their goals of price stability, which would drive the confidence of down IMO.
No such thing as threat. Deflation has been in assets since 2000, and since 2k8 expanded. Its just consumers that get the other end, that is inflation. Just becouse PMI, CPI or derivates dont count 80s nominated indexes it doesnt mean that ECB hasnt created inflation. It did, huge, just not where they want it. Problem is once you cut rates like ECB did, or BOJ, main "safe" assets like large bonds get into large negative teritory like DB bonds/bunds which is massive problem in long term.Look ab current bunds rate or JGB. Its not time to panic yet, but hey rates can only go futher deep from here, and yes the problem is on horizon big time. Who will pay for 2,3 % negative yields? Well yes, the taxpayer will, therefore the no-cash society is on our doorstep.
  • #20,893
  • Feb 9, 2016 2:42pm Feb 9, 2016 2:42pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} the CB's around the world impose that they are omnipotent but history all over shows that they can only stretch the rubber band for some time world will be/is in a global deflationary phase for a long time, I fear. The Eurozone at the moment, especially with their banks much more exposed to derivative risk, may face the harder rock and plate
EU banks are exposed to EMS massively, the question is how big will bailout be. Can they uncover derivates without bailout? Perhaps, perhaps not, all we know is that derivates once start loosing their ground they go quickly, current DB bsheet would agree. All i do know is that Ems will drop deep, and that will hurt global economy big time, which by default will get EU. The question is will balance sheets of EU banks be covered by bailout large, or small?
US (Turkey,SA,OPEC) - Russia gets EU; large risk to EU/German banks
Syria US victory gets by large Iran/China EMs risk
USD hikes gets EMs, EU banks risk
Slowdown of EMs gets EU banks-commercial and investment banks
EM China loans/non performing/derivates are bomb to trigger DB/Soc G/RBS

EZ has delevaraged against Greece, which will melt the Greece down, but i have no idea how much the leveraging-off was for EMs. Thats what counts for global spread.
  • #20,894
  • Edited 3:40pm Feb 9, 2016 3:29pm | Edited 3:40pm
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-0...s-record-highs

Eh matters not....just....chikken mc nuggets....in.....
  • #20,895
  • Feb 9, 2016 4:25pm Feb 9, 2016 4:25pm
Techs have some.
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  • #20,896
  • Feb 10, 2016 7:04am Feb 10, 2016 7:04am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} No such thing as threat. Deflation has been in assets since 2000, and since 2k8 expanded. Its just consumers that get the other end, that is inflation. Just becouse PMI, CPI or derivates dont count 80s nominated indexes it doesnt mean that ECB hasnt created inflation. It did, huge, just not where they want it. Problem is once you cut rates like ECB did, or BOJ, main "safe" assets like large bonds get into large negative teritory like DB bonds/bunds which is massive problem in long term.Look ab current bunds rate or JGB. Its not time to panic...

Thank you very much for this information, looks like I need to educate myself.
  • #20,897
  • Feb 10, 2016 8:45am Feb 10, 2016 8:45am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Currently testing important trendline, it could go down directly from here, that would fit with structural view from my side. However if it breaks, then i would expect it to go defenetly to at least your 4 target or perhaps a bit more. For shorts its very good RR here, risk is small (just above previous high). {image}
Looks like she held, black alt count wins
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Don't have an ego. Always question yourself and your ability.
  • #20,898
  • Feb 10, 2016 12:06pm Feb 10, 2016 12:06pm
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
To keep it alive It is the history Ukraine : les masques de la rvolution: rponse aux critiques https://blogs.mediapart.fr/paul-more...-aux-critiques Ukraine: sance de rattrapage http://sept.club/ukraine-seance-de-rattrapage/ and Ukraine : les masques de la revolution http://www.pltv.fr/fr/ukraine-les-ma...la-revolution/ All are in French Best D.P. P.S. Collaboration OUN-UPA with The Third Reich {image}
For those who are still interested in

FINALLY: 'Masks of Revolution' Maidan Documentary - Full English Subs (Video)
http://russia-insider.com/en/politic...g-subs/ri12759

Best
D.P.
Hunting High and Low
  • #20,899
  • Feb 11, 2016 5:04am Feb 11, 2016 5:04am
Quoting RamsesII
{quote} Looks like she held, black alt count wins {image}
Yes. Current structure is bear, so would again agree with your view of support break. Might be micro leg up first before break, happens often. I am not short Brent, but am long USDRUB which is close to the same.
  • #20,900
  • Feb 11, 2016 6:59am Feb 11, 2016 6:59am
Someone is using copy paste fucntion too much on gold trading Typical Comex short sell pattern (15:00-17:00GMT+1) but...reversed.

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