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  • #11,981
  • Feb 1, 2016 12:04am Feb 1, 2016 12:04am
Quoting ZebraSquirl
Looking that way, at least if this last trading day of Jan is any indication ... .
oil is swinging equities, no rally for oil and equities will just chop
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #11,982
  • Feb 1, 2016 1:38am Feb 1, 2016 1:38am
honing in on the VIX long play that will break the camels back, looks like its not that far away now maybe a month or two when I will be able to put that long call order in
  • #11,983
  • Feb 1, 2016 12:16pm Feb 1, 2016 12:16pm
Market correlation with crude is absent today.
/CL is down 6.5%, and /ES is UNCH basically.

interesting
Hope is dangerous in this game.
  • #11,984
  • Feb 1, 2016 2:51pm Feb 1, 2016 2:51pm
Quoting StrayDog
Market correlation with crude is absent today. /CL is down 6.5%, and /ES is UNCH basically. interesting
yeah I doubt we will see much in the way of /ES day-to-day rally with /CL sliding......oil could flatline and /ES could grind up, though.....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #11,985
  • Feb 1, 2016 6:08pm Feb 1, 2016 6:08pm
Quoting Cecil Gee
honing in on the VIX long play that will break the camels back, looks like its not that far away now maybe a month or two when I will be able to put that long call order in
Out of my second SVXY short put credit spread at 50% max (sheds a tear; I'll miss you). Still have a VXX short call credit spread on, but it looks like it will go shortly at 50% max, so I'll be back to looking at VIX plays then ... . My tendency is to wait too long at the bottom, after which it pops when I'm not looking.
Fireworks are fun ... as long as you don't blow your fingers off.
  • #11,986
  • Feb 1, 2016 6:10pm Feb 1, 2016 6:10pm
An AMZN earnings beat ... . Not much has been able to bring the market out of this funk, but I'm fine with sideways or a slow paced burn in either direction; it's these rips that tend to bug the crap out of me ... .
Fireworks are fun ... as long as you don't blow your fingers off.
  • #11,987
  • Feb 1, 2016 6:46pm Feb 1, 2016 6:46pm
Quoting ZebraSquirl
Not much has been able to bring the market out of this funk, but I'm fine with sideways or a slow paced burn in either direction; ... .
yeah that sounds good, I'm in the PT Barnum trading mo, "something for everybody"

...I filled a AAPL Apr/May $120 calls calendar for $0.28 today, tried something similar for BA @ $140, no fill at 35c.....my bullish dreams might get slapped out my head, but otoh April is long time, come what May....

hey, did you conkus, ZS?
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #11,988
  • Feb 1, 2016 6:53pm Feb 1, 2016 6:53pm
Quoting ZebraSquirl
{quote} Out of my second SVXY short put credit spread at 50% max (sheds a tear; I'll miss you).
UVXY was down a buck, I need it to grind down to $30 +/- by Feb opex........I probly won't shop long vol spreads until it looks for $26 or lower....

UVXY fly combo, today & @ expiry w/ a 50% global iv reduction....
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2016-02-01_1850uvxy1.png Size: 85 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 2016-02-01_1851uvxy2.png Size: 67 KB
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #11,989
  • Feb 2, 2016 6:56am Feb 2, 2016 6:56am
Quoting StrayDog
Market correlation with crude is absent today. /CL is down 6.5%, and /ES is UNCH basically. interesting
check now......
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #11,990
  • Feb 2, 2016 12:21pm Feb 2, 2016 12:21pm
watching YUM, where I have a Feb/Apr $82.5/85 calls diag, ER's tomorrow.......in for 22c, worth about 30c now but I will hold thru the ER most likely....

watching the equity slide decimate my short vol spreads, not giving up on them yet....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #11,991
  • Feb 2, 2016 2:24pm Feb 2, 2016 2:24pm
Quoting The Fool
...I filled a AAPL Apr/May $120 calls calendar for $0.28 today, tried something similar for BA @ $140, no fill at 35c.....my bullish dreams might get slapped out my head, but otoh April is long time, come what May....
...filled that NFLX diag at the open today, I misremember the debit
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #11,992
  • Feb 2, 2016 3:35pm Feb 2, 2016 3:35pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} yeah that sounds good, I'm in the PT Barnum trading mo, "something for everybody" ...I filled a AAPL Apr/May $120 calls calendar for $0.28 today, tried something similar for BA @ $140, no fill at 35c.....my bullish dreams might get slapped out my head, but otoh April is long time, come what May.... hey, did you conkus, ZS?
Nahhh, no conkus for this fella ... . Got better things to do with my time than stand around a crowded room for an hour ... .
Fireworks are fun ... as long as you don't blow your fingers off.
  • #11,993
  • Feb 3, 2016 4:34pm Feb 3, 2016 4:34pm
Out of SVXY short put verts at 50% max, what, yesterday?

And then back into SVXY short put verts today on the break of 36 ... . Lol.

F'in crazy ass market ... .
Fireworks are fun ... as long as you don't blow your fingers off.
  • #11,994
  • Feb 3, 2016 6:31pm Feb 3, 2016 6:31pm
I can't find anything I want in SVXY credit spreads, already in Jun $50/60/70 fly calls, seems like I might have to wait that long to see $50+ again.....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #11,995
  • Feb 3, 2016 6:36pm Feb 3, 2016 6:36pm
I was waiting on a gift from YUM & it ain't done diddly post ER.....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #11,996
  • Feb 3, 2016 6:38pm Feb 3, 2016 6:38pm
Quoting The Fool
oil is swinging equities, no rally for oil and equities will just chop
a solid floor & upgrind for crude and equities will ripface again.....it's what they do.......BELIEVE.....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #11,997
  • Feb 4, 2016 9:52pm Feb 4, 2016 9:52pm
Quoting The Fool
I was waiting on a gift from YUM & it ain't done diddly post ER.....
YUM looking like he really wants to move on up.....if the broader market will rally into Feb then I'd bet we will see YUM >$76....this Feb/Apr diagonal needs that kind of move, currently piddling at b/e.....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2016-02-04_2147yumm.png Size: 83 KB
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #11,998
  • Feb 5, 2016 10:07am Feb 5, 2016 10:07am
LNKD...

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Hope is dangerous in this game.
  • #11,999
  • Feb 5, 2016 10:34am Feb 5, 2016 10:34am
Quoting StrayDog
LNKD...
I know, Dog - look at NFLX & FB, too.....somewhere in there will be a bottom picker's score......
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #12,000
  • Feb 5, 2016 1:49pm Feb 5, 2016 1:49pm
End to a good week ... . But punctuated by a lot of scrambling around. Last week, figured I'd start layering on March SPY stuff ... . Moved to the up side, legged in short call spreads; moved to the down side, took those off and legged into short put spreads ... . Need a bit of strength to leg back into the call side; going small and often.
Fireworks are fun ... as long as you don't blow your fingers off.
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