Supply and demand in a nutshell by Alfonso Moreno | Page 347 | Forex Factory

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Supply and demand in a nutshell by Alfonso Moreno

  • #6,921
  • Jan 27, 2016 2:18am Jan 27, 2016 2:18am
Quoting panoramia
{quote} Yaki, you can download the latest rectangle reader indicator from this link http://www.set-and-forget.com/free_webinars The latest one has the 50% candle bases dot. Cheers, Alfonso
Hi Alfonso, already filled out my information in the past, so I can not go through the link you gave me
  • #6,922
  • Jan 27, 2016 2:48am Jan 27, 2016 2:48am
Quoting yaki
{quote} Hi Alfonso, already filled out my information in the past, so I can not go through the link you gave me
Contact me in private through this forma and we'll fix it http://www.set-and-forget.com/contact-us

Cheers,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #6,923
  • Jan 27, 2016 3:10am Jan 27, 2016 3:10am
hi Panoramia...

May I know which version is the latest one? Is it Version 3.2.1 (2th April 2014) ? Please kindly tell me how to get the latest version...
  • #6,924
  • Jan 27, 2016 4:28am Jan 27, 2016 4:28am
Quoting vamb6t4
hi Panoramia... May I know which version is the latest one? Is it Version 3.2.1 (2th April 2014) ? Please kindly tell me how to get the latest version...
That's the latest one! No change has been done, it's working with latest MT build 950. No issues!
Cheers,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #6,925
  • Jan 27, 2016 4:31am Jan 27, 2016 4:31am
Hello fellow traders,

I will be holding a new live webinar next Tuesday 2nd February 2016. We'll do a top down analysis of any instrument you want me to go through, currency pairs, stocks, or indexes, and locate possible trade setups and IF THEN scenarios. Those that have been following me for some time will know what an IF THEN scenario is all about.

  1. SUBJECT: Supply and demand live trading analysis
  2. DATE: Tuesday 2nd February 2016
  3. TIME: 9:00 AM - 10:30 AM GMT+1, CEST right at London open. Check out this site to convert to your time zone
  4. LINK TO JOIN: if you haven't joined a previous webinar fill in this form http://www.set-and-forget.com/free_webinars else you will have received an email with all the information to join

Supply and demand basics will be covered:

  1. Live analysis of Forex currency pairs, Stocks, indexes, anything you want to look at
  2. We'll use the Sequence and The Realignment to locate setups
  3. Under which conditions we should hold a trade and how
  4. This analysis can be used for intraday trading, that is, you can use smaller timeframe setups to go in the direction of the bigger picture's trend, it will be higher odds than going against the current trend

Have a great day! Looking forward to seeing you in next week's webinar.
Cheers,
Alfonso

Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #6,926
  • Jan 27, 2016 3:35pm Jan 27, 2016 3:35pm
Hey!

Im new to SUpply and demand trading but I love soo far!
I was looking to go long USDCHF at 1.150. What are your thougths on that level? To high in the curve?

(I ended up not going long cause of FOMC and price is to high)....
/Johan
  • #6,927
  • Jan 28, 2016 12:06am Jan 28, 2016 12:06am
Quoting Johanfolet
Hey! Im new to SUpply and demand trading but I love soo far! I was looking to go long USDCHF at 1.150. What are your thougths on that level? To high in the curve? (I ended up not going long cause of FOMC and price is to high).... /Johan
You need to attached a Daily chart for USD/CHF and also a multiple timeframe analysis with the supply and demand imbalances you see, trendlines, and everything as per the rules. By not doing that you are forcing those who read you to do the analysis for you, so probably nobody will answer, which is normal.

Please upload your charts with levels and trendlines as per the rules and then we can talk.

Cheers,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #6,928
  • Jan 28, 2016 3:30am Jan 28, 2016 3:30am
Quoting panoramia
{quote} You need to attached a Daily chart for USD/CHF and also a multiple timeframe analysis with the supply and demand imbalances you see, trendlines, and everything as per the rules. By not doing that you are forcing those who read you to do the analysis for you, so probably nobody will answer, which is normal. Please upload your charts with levels and trendlines as per the rules and then we can talk. Cheers, Alfonso
Hey Alfonso!

Sorry my chart didnt upload for some reason....rookie mistake=)

Monthly, weekly and daily was up and I was thinking about going long on the daily(entry timeframe) at 1.150. However it looks like there migth be some room left on the daily but price did hit Supply and the weekly. Not sure if I should look at the daily or weekly too figure out how much room theres left to consider a trade?

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCHF.png Size: 74 KB
  • #6,929
  • Jan 28, 2016 8:33am Jan 28, 2016 8:33am
Quoting Johanfolet
Hey! Im new to SUpply and demand trading but I love soo far! I was looking to go long USDCHF at 1.150. What are your thougths on that level? To high in the curve? (I ended up not going long cause of FOMC and price is to high).... /Johan
Hello Yohan, thank you for sharing your idea on USDCHF
If I could comment please..
It is a waiting game for now as price is into weekly supply
That supply must be removed if we are to go long
Please see my charts with annotations below

Best wishes
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdchf weekly.PNG Size: 78 KB
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdhcf daily.PNG Size: 79 KB
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #6,930
  • Jan 28, 2016 8:36am Jan 28, 2016 8:36am
Quoting Akt
{quote} Hello Yohan, thank you for sharing your idea on USDCHF If I could comment please.. It is a waiting game for now as price is into weekly supply That supply must be removed if we are to go long Please see my charts with annotations below Best wishes{image}{image}
Hi!

I see! Thanks for your reply=)

/Johan
  • #6,931
  • Jan 28, 2016 9:45am Jan 28, 2016 9:45am
Hi Alfonso and everybody!!!!

This is my first profit in real account. USDCAD. Short from supply zone H4. RR 3:1.
Now I'm waiting for the long D1 demand zone nested in Weekly demand zone.

Thank's
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCADH4.png Size: 36 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCADDaily.png Size: 34 KB
  • #6,932
  • Jan 28, 2016 3:01pm Jan 28, 2016 3:01pm
Hello again!

My preplan trade AUDUSD.
MN DOWN (not in control)
WEEKLY DOWN
D1 DOWN. I didn't draw TL more agressive because we have only 1 CP and a BASE in way down. So I have 2 Supply zones to go short. The first one is in the Daily and the second one is in the D1 but nested in Weekly Supply zone.

Please correct me if I'm wrong.


Thank's everybody!!
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDMonthly.png Size: 34 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDWeekly.png Size: 36 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDDaily.png Size: 38 KB
  • #6,933
  • Jan 28, 2016 11:50pm Jan 28, 2016 11:50pm
Quoting Agafon79
Hello again! My preplan trade AUDUSD. MN DOWN (not in control) WEEKLY DOWN D1 DOWN. I didn't draw TL more agressive because we have only 1 CP and a BASE in way down. So I have 2 Supply zones to go short. The first one is in the Daily and the second one is in the D1 but nested in Weekly Supply zone. Please correct me if I'm wrong. Thank's everybody!! {image} {image} {image}

Hi Agafon , I truly appreciate your effort on developing this . you can share your experience with indicators and template fail to rub this picture
I tried all variants and wrong somewhere for a thread can help me where to take indicators
thank you very much
  • #6,934
  • Jan 29, 2016 5:48am Jan 29, 2016 5:48am
Hello everyone

Please allow me to share my entry and plan for AUD/JPY

M - down. Monthly DZ removed by this month's action
W - down
D - up

Plan of action:
Short at or near weekly supply.
If short entry is to be taken before weekly SZ is reached then the entry SZ must be high on the weekly curve and score high on odds enhancers

Please refer to my daily chart posted below. This is aggressive for me because I would usually prefer for the zone to be within the weekly one but this zone fulfilled all my rules so always I have to take it.

Outcome irrelevant.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdjpy.PNG Size: 91 KB


Best wishes
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #6,935
  • Jan 29, 2016 6:25am Jan 29, 2016 6:25am
Quoting Agafon79
Hello again! My preplan trade AUDUSD. MN DOWN (not in control) WEEKLY DOWN D1 DOWN. I didn't draw TL more agressive because we have only 1 CP and a BASE in way down. So I have 2 Supply zones to go short. The first one is in the Daily and the second one is in the D1 but nested in Weekly Supply zone. Please correct me if I'm wrong. Thank's everybody!! {image} {image} {image}
Daily is UP, so sell on the W1 SZ.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: последний.png Size: 39 KB
  • #6,936
  • Jan 29, 2016 7:10am Jan 29, 2016 7:10am
Quoting soryn
{quote} Hi Agafon , I truly appreciate your effort on developing this . you can share your experience with indicators and template fail to rub this picture I tried all variants and wrong somewhere for a thread can help me where to take indicators thank you very much
Hi Soryn! You can download this indicator for free (thank's for Panoramia), but you have to read post #1 in this thread. There you wil find a link for download indicator. Take your time and be patient.

Cheers
  • #6,937
  • Jan 29, 2016 7:32am Jan 29, 2016 7:32am
Quoting Agafon79
{quote} Hi Soryn! You can download this indicator for free (thank's for Panoramia), but you have to read post #1 in this thread. There you wil find a link for download indicator. Take your time and be patient. Cheers
thank
  • #6,938
  • Jan 29, 2016 8:05am Jan 29, 2016 8:05am
Hello everyone

USDJPY Short into daily supply

monthly has violated lows
Weekly is down
daily is down

short inside daily supply zone
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPY.PNG Size: 86 KB
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #6,939
  • Jan 30, 2016 12:54am Jan 30, 2016 12:54am
​Hello everyone.
Back to basics weekend seeing the markets are closed.

Just wanted to share some thoughts on physics and how it applies to our use of trends in S&D trading

Newton's First Law of Motion: I. Every object in a state of uniform motion tends to remain in that state of motion unless an external force is applied to it.
(source: google).
It's simple.... a trend in any given timeframe will continue in the same direction unless an external force, in our case, a bigger timeframe, is applied to it.

A daily uptrend for example, will continue until we reach weekly supply (the external force) where we expect a turn or retracement
A weekly trend will continue until we reach the opposing monthly zone

This is where the concept of realignment and the realignment rules Alfonso has so kindly shared and explained come from.

If the monthly trend is up and the weekly trend is up but the daily is down then we have to wait for the daily trend to reach the weekly supply zone to "realign" with the trends of the other timeframes before we can short.
so no lower intraday timeframe shorts until price reaches one higher timeframe up, regardless of how juicy the zone looks on the lower timeframe.

I broke this rule in one of my trades this week and paid for it.

lesson learnt.

Best wishes
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #6,940
  • Jan 30, 2016 6:11am Jan 30, 2016 6:11am
USDSGD
This is my USDSGD
And i view it as price is currently in a MN Dmd zone, and
i am waiting for the opposing WK Supply zone to be Taken Out.

I will Really Appreciate constructive Criticism
Thanks
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdsgd-mn1-fbs-inc.png Size: 63 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: usdsgd-w1-fbs-inc.png Size: 64 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: usdsgd-d1-fbs-inc.png Size: 75 KB
FRK
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