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EUR/AUD

  • #1,921
  • Jan 14, 2016 5:35pm Jan 14, 2016 5:35pm
Tonight in London we will begin crushing the bulls utterly as this is the only way this pair moves. Definitively with flashes of power it moves. Adjustments are instant. 300 pips in not even 1 day. Even with mild leverage in 3 days it can crush an account and make it unrecognizable in size to it's owner. Stop Loss abusing wimps need not apply here or you will ALWAYS be stopped out with this pair.
Be humble or be humbled.
  • #1,922
  • Jan 14, 2016 6:12pm Jan 14, 2016 6:12pm
What is your TP Temujin?
  • #1,923
  • Jan 16, 2016 2:53am Jan 16, 2016 2:53am
Quoting DonkeyKongg
What is your TP Temujin?
Not sure yet but I'm still short with a 300 pip draw now that the DOW has crashed. 1.48 would be a good place I think. Had to stay with the trade. If you do not catch it early with this pair you have to roll with it because the % draw would be too great on your account.

Very strange how the sheer panic of Friday did not unleash EUR/USD. It should be way above 1.12 with the kind of week we have had. 15 more months of ECB EURO slamming bond buying to go. The program will not end until March 2017 at least. My bet is that the equity markets will recover some and open up a new wave of EURO selling.
Be humble or be humbled.
  • #1,924
  • Jan 16, 2016 11:03am Jan 16, 2016 11:03am
China Q4 GDP will be closely watched this week. If the market interprets it as bad EUR/AUD to the moon. Hope not.
Be humble or be humbled.
  • #1,925
  • Jan 17, 2016 11:21am Jan 17, 2016 11:21am
There is a bullish trend developing on EUR/AUD pair.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURAUD.jpg Size: 315 KB
  • #1,926
  • Jan 18, 2016 8:21am Jan 18, 2016 8:21am
Quoting garry30
There is a bullish trend developing on EUR/AUD pair. {image}
Right now it is inversely correlated with stocks. China will report GDP numbers and the ECB will also have a release this week. Inflation in the Eurozone has been flat and has caused more speculation for further easing. Commodity prices will find a bottom soon and any relief rallies in the market in general will cause the euro to plummet again. This week will be a decider for sure.
Be humble or be humbled.
  • #1,927
  • Jan 18, 2016 1:59pm Jan 18, 2016 1:59pm
Morgan Stanley's call of the week; buy EUR/USD here at 1.0894 with a target of 1.13.

https://www.efxnews.com/story/31673/...-targeting-113

This would put the gains on EUR/AUD to about double that 400 pips to 1.67 from current levels of around 1.59.

This will be fun. I'm still short at 1.5573. Let's see who knows better, me or Morgan Stanley.
Be humble or be humbled.
  • #1,928
  • Jan 18, 2016 5:27pm Jan 18, 2016 5:27pm
Quoting Temujin
Morgan Stanley's call of the week; buy EUR/USD here at 1.0894 with a target of 1.13. https://www.efxnews.com/story/31673/...-targeting-113 This would put the gains on EUR/AUD to about double that 400 pips to 1.67 from current levels of around 1.59. This will be fun. I'm still short at 1.5573. Let's see who knows better, me or Morgan Stanley.
I'm still short at 1.5418.
福 子 Victor V
  • #1,929
  • Jan 18, 2016 6:08pm Jan 18, 2016 6:08pm
seem dangerous to short...long term bullish
  • #1,930
  • Jan 18, 2016 6:36pm Jan 18, 2016 6:36pm
Quoting mxb
seem dangerous to short...long term bullish
You can be short term short and long term long, no problem

It takes a lot for me to IGNORE you, but you can try.
  • #1,931
  • Jan 19, 2016 12:48am Jan 19, 2016 12:48am
Quoting Erebus
{quote} You can be short term short and long term long, no problem
On this pair it's the other way around. Jan of 2017 you can be bullish. Other than that we have EURO demolishing ECB bond purchases every month until March 2017. Euro longs be my guest.
Be humble or be humbled.
  • #1,932
  • Jan 19, 2016 8:45am Jan 19, 2016 8:45am
There is a little bit of bearish momentum in this pair right now and we're rolling lower towards support. If that holds there is a pretty mature bullish cyclical signal (light blue horizontal line) that might indicate a short-term move up from here. Something I'm going to keep an eye on but that momentum is going to have to subside first. I'll take a peak at it again before the Asian session kicks in.
Attached Image
When you hit 50, coffee becomes part of a proper modeling pipeline.
  • #1,933
  • Jan 19, 2016 7:40pm Jan 19, 2016 7:40pm
I've been bullish and long mainly from the beginning of the year and don't see any reason to change. Current long is from 1.5710, taken 100 pips and stop now at 1.5740
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ffg.jpg Size: 85 KB
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #1,934
  • Jan 20, 2016 12:59pm Jan 20, 2016 12:59pm
Quoting bogus
I've been bullish and long mainly from the beginning of the year and don't see any reason to change. Current long is from 1.5710, taken 100 pips and stop now at 1.5740 {image}
Hmmm. It started surging upward early January as the DOW crashed with the commodity route but today it totally came unglued from the 500 point drop during NY. Simply put as the DOW went down it refused to inversely correlate anymore. When there is a relief rally on stocks and commodities it will dump in a flash. The warning signs are there.
Be humble or be humbled.
  • #1,935
  • Jan 20, 2016 4:44pm Jan 20, 2016 4:44pm
Quoting bogus
I've been bullish and long mainly from the beginning of the year and don't see any reason to change. Current long is from 1.5710, taken 100 pips and stop now at 1.5740 {image}
Yesterday's low was below your stop.
福 子 Victor V
  • #1,936
  • Jan 21, 2016 12:20am Jan 21, 2016 12:20am
Quoting camvcvoo
{quote} Yesterday's low was below your stop.
I trade a 15 minute chart with an initial 25 pip stop. Made money on shorts today after a loss.
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #1,937
  • Jan 21, 2016 12:22am Jan 21, 2016 12:22am
Quoting Temujin
{quote} Hmmm. It started surging upward early January as the DOW crashed with the commodity route but today it totally came unglued from the 500 point drop during NY. Simply put as the DOW went down it refused to inversely correlate anymore. When there is a relief rally on stocks and commodities it will dump in a flash. The warning signs are there.
You're still about 230 pips in the hole by my calc.
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #1,938
  • Jan 21, 2016 12:31am Jan 21, 2016 12:31am
I'm long 1.5763 with intermediate target 1.6180, i think Audchf has some ways to go south....i've an eventual fib target 1.7200

Will exit trade on friday if it goes my way, get in on the retrace next week

Cheers
it had seemed so obvious at the time
  • #1,939
  • Jan 21, 2016 2:18am Jan 21, 2016 2:18am
Quoting bogus
{quote} I trade a 15 minute chart with an initial 25 pip stop. Made money on shorts today after a loss.
福 子 Victor V
  • #1,940
  • Jan 21, 2016 11:10am Jan 21, 2016 11:10am
took a152pip loss, 4H bear candle too strong...1.5326 support make just be a bounce there

weekly candle looking to close engulfing
it had seemed so obvious at the time
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