Supply and demand in a nutshell by Alfonso Moreno | Page 341 | Forex Factory

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Supply and demand in a nutshell by Alfonso Moreno

  • #6,801
  • Jan 14, 2016 12:54am Jan 14, 2016 12:54am
Quoting sympathy
NGAS M1 clearly in a down trend. Supply levels respected and demand levels removed. W1 down, weekly supply level in control, D1 realigning with the bigger picture with price bouncing off the daily supply level nested with the weekly supply level in control. price creacted a brand new D1 supply level after breaking the ascending trendline, Short is the way. Alfonso please correct my mistakes, Thanks Boss. {image} {image}
Nothing bad with your analysis. Short bias, brand new supply zones potentially being created on Natural Gas.

Cheers,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #6,802
  • Jan 14, 2016 1:32am Jan 14, 2016 1:32am
I'm new to Supply and Demand. I'm trying to get some drawing to understand how it actually draw. I had attach USDJPY D1 chart. Can anyone point to me if I draw at correct way?

Thank you so much.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #6,803
  • Jan 14, 2016 2:10am Jan 14, 2016 2:10am
Quoting panoramia
{quote} Nothing bad with your analysis. Short bias, brand new supply zones potentially being created on Natural Gas. Cheers, Alfonso
Thanks BOSS
  • #6,804
  • Jan 14, 2016 2:39am Jan 14, 2016 2:39am
USDSGD M1 clearly uptrend with price reacting to the monthly cp supply level with a wicky base.[not high odds]

On the weekly chart we have a clear uptrend too with price rallying from a weekly demand zone, creating a brand new weekly demand level that removes a supply level by the left. The demand level is also in confluence with the monthly flipzone.

D1 is up reacting to weekly supply level nested within the monthly supply zone. If price pulls back to D1 demand zone nested with W1 demand zone confluenced with M1 flipzone, LONG BIAS.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #6,805
  • Jan 14, 2016 7:39am Jan 14, 2016 7:39am
Hello everyone,
How are you?? i am begineers in trading.
Can anyone guide me how to draw supply and demand levels... i am very worried about to draw supply and demand level.
  • #6,806
  • Jan 14, 2016 8:17am Jan 14, 2016 8:17am
Quoting davidsk2001
I'm new to Supply and Demand. I'm trying to get some drawing to understand how it actually draw. I had attach USDJPY D1 chart. Can anyone point to me if I draw at correct way? Thank you so much. {image}
Monthly is consolidating, price is within the used up monthly demand zone.
W1 is down reacting to monthly demand zone. Weekly creacted a potential supply level so we need that monthly demand level to be taking out for short trade.
D1 is down reacting to weekly demand level nested within monthly level. We also have a daily supply level sitting within a potential weekly supply level, confirmation is needed to short. That is all i can say about UJ David... Alfonso will look into it when he comes.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #6,807
  • Edited 8:43am Jan 14, 2016 8:25am | Edited 8:43am
Quoting Forex-pk
Hello everyone, How are you?? i am begineers in trading. Can anyone guide me how to draw supply and demand levels... i am very worried about to draw supply and demand level.
Here you go friend
Inserted Video
  • #6,808
  • Jan 14, 2016 9:10am Jan 14, 2016 9:10am
Quoting sympathy
{quote} Monthly is consolidating, price is within the used up monthly demand zone. W1 is down reacting to monthly demand zone. Weekly creacted a potential supply level so we need that monthly demand level to be taking out for short trade. D1 is down reacting to weekly demand level nested within monthly level. We also have a daily supply level sitting within a potential weekly supply level, confirmation is needed to short. That is all i can say about UJ David... Alfonso will look into it when he comes. {image} {image}

Bravo
  • #6,809
  • Edited 12:17pm Jan 14, 2016 11:22am | Edited 12:17pm
3 and 6 months charts supply and demand analysis for Brent Crude Oil (UKOil). Clear 3 and 6 month downtrend with brand new 3 and 6 months supply zones created. Big drop in price for months, trying to reach a bigger timeframe 6 months demand zone where Brent could start retracing for a while.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 154 KB
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #6,810
  • Jan 14, 2016 11:36am Jan 14, 2016 11:36am
Quoting panoramia
3 and 6 months charts supply and demand analysis for Brent (UKOil). Clear 3 and 6 month downtrend with brand new 3 and 6 months supply zones created. Big drop in price for months, trying to reach a bigger timeframe 6 months demand zone where Brent could start retracing for a while. {image}
Anytime you dropped an analysis it always get clearer to my brains because you are the best..THANKS BOSS.
  • #6,811
  • Jan 14, 2016 12:59pm Jan 14, 2016 12:59pm
ACHF bigger picture is DOWN. Weekly demand nested within monthly demand in control. Counter trend LONGS.

Triggered on 4hr time frame confirmation type of entry after a descending trendline break.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #6,812
  • Edited 1:18pm Jan 14, 2016 1:02pm | Edited 1:18pm
Quoting panoramia
3 and 6 months charts supply and demand analysis for Brent Crude Oil (UKOil). Clear 3 and 6 month downtrend with brand new 3 and 6 months supply zones created. Big drop in price for months, trying to reach a bigger timeframe 6 months demand zone where Brent could start retracing for a while. {image}
So can we short оn H4 untill 6 months demand zone or month DZ????

By the way, 6MN DZ doesn't have strong departure. Why did you draw this, but not that below on 10.00? There is an Bullish Engulfing Pattern there. And 2 ERC closed above 80% of range.
  • #6,813
  • Jan 14, 2016 8:48pm Jan 14, 2016 8:48pm
Quoting sympathy
ACHF bigger picture is DOWN. Weekly demand nested within monthly demand in control. Counter trend LONGS. Triggered on 4hr time frame confirmation type of entry after a descending trendline break. {image} {image}
Just a note
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Trade what you see..
  • #6,814
  • Jan 15, 2016 1:40am Jan 15, 2016 1:40am
Quoting Chawl
{quote} Just a note {image}
Thanks chawl, The rule says trendline break must be within a higher timeframe than the entry timeframe, but it seems there is a daily flipzone in that area so am still watching it.
  • #6,815
  • Jan 15, 2016 5:20am Jan 15, 2016 5:20am
Hi everyone,

First let me thank Panoramia for this thread, and also a thank you to all of you who I can see contributing to it on a daily basis. I am not new to forex, having been interested in it for a couple of years now. I believe that I know the basics and have had some success but admitadely as per many of us I struggle to remain consistent. Now, I am a firm believer that supply and demand rules the world and in forex the key is to track the smart money. This is what I have been attempting to do on the H1 and 15M time frames. I am struggling now though as I started university back in September (as a 30 year old!) so it has become pretty tough for me to trade on these time frames and study successfully. It is my intention to move on up to the 4H and just take things a little slower. I recognise that consistencey is key and I aim to take this strategy by the balls and run with it.

So i now have the indicators and I have watched the 1 hour video on using the rectangle tool. I have attempted to plot my S/D levels on EU and would appreciate a bit of constructive feedback on how I have done. This is my first attempt so I am very much expecting to have done it incorrectly. I have attached some screeshots below, hopefully they will display in order from M1 to H4. Just to clarify that whilst I learn this method I will of course be on demo. I have 3 years of study ahead of me so without the pressures of going to work each day I believe thatI ave the ideal time in my life to make a success of this. I have my dreams as we all do and I very much intend on making them a reality. Everyone in this forum could help tremendously with me achieving these goals and I would very much appreciate the help.

I am in no rush, I will take it slow. I just want to learn and I am thirsty for knowledge! I will share my goal with you:
It is to finish university with a decent degree (in Politics and QRM) and to be a consistent trader. Not a rich trader, just consistently profitable. As I mentiooned I have 3 years to achieve this so I believe that it can be done.

Anyway I will stop waffling on, and show you my charts. I look forward to chatting with many of you in the future.

Cheers,

Joe
M1
https://i.gyazo.com/22599eb198882ed4...c44362de3e.png
W1
https://i.gyazo.com/ee6de21c4112e715...ff612813f3.png
D1
https://i.gyazo.com/5af1f0372e374b7d...c767aace8f.png
H4
https://i.gyazo.com/6b806342144eb837...7bf0526ce4.png

Apologies, I just found how to display them in the forum.
M1
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W1
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D1
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: daily.png Size: 55 KB

H4
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #6,816
  • Jan 15, 2016 5:55am Jan 15, 2016 5:55am
Quoting sympathy
{quote} Thanks chawl, The rule says trendline break must be within a higher timeframe than the entry timeframe, but it seems there is a daily flipzone in that area so am still watching it.
Hi Sympathy and Fellow traders, I am very new to supply demand strategy, I really appreacite what Alfonso and everyone in this thread is doing.
Could you please elaborate about the trend line rule on higher time frame than entry. Thank you
  • #6,817
  • Jan 15, 2016 6:45am Jan 15, 2016 6:45am
Quoting Mxoola
{quote} Hi Sympathy and Fellow traders, I am very new to supply demand strategy, I really appreacite what Alfonso and everyone in this thread is doing. Could you please elaborate about the trend line rule on higher time frame than entry. Thank you
There is a lot of information about the trendline rule in this thread, post number 1 and numerous free videos on the youtube channel. Take your time to read the posts, rules and watch the videos.

Cheers,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #6,818
  • Jan 15, 2016 7:08am Jan 15, 2016 7:08am
Quoting conom589
{quote} So can we short оn H4 untill 6 months demand zone or month DZ???? By the way, 6MN DZ doesn't have strong departure. Why did you draw this, but not that below on 10.00? There is an Bullish Engulfing Pattern there. And 2 ERC closed above 80% of range.
It's a six months demand zone.. Strong departure after the initial lack of strength. 6 month demand nevertheless. Cheers
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #6,819
  • Jan 15, 2016 11:54am Jan 15, 2016 11:54am
Quoting Mxoola
{quote} Hi Sympathy and Fellow traders, I am very new to supply demand strategy, I really appreacite what Alfonso and everyone in this thread is doing. Could you please elaborate about the trend line rule on higher time frame than entry. Thank you
Do not sell when price is very near or at a higher timeframe ascending trendline (D1 or higher), opposite for buying. The same logic that applies on your entry timeframe (H1 or H4), applies on higher timeframe trendlines
  • #6,820
  • Jan 16, 2016 3:28am Jan 16, 2016 3:28am
Quoting panoramia
{quote} It's a six months demand zone.. Strong departure after the initial lack of strength. 6 month demand nevertheless. Cheers
Good morning Alfonso. I am a trader completely new to the concept of S & D. I have traded with various other techniques up to now, not being completely a failure, but never being sure also about my trading. I would like to upgrade my trading. Your methods and concepts seem interesting, also your website seems interesting.

Where should I start to learn, from the bottom up? Would subscribing to the website make me learn better or faster? If it helps any, I consider myself to learn things quite quickly, I am an apt pupil!

Thank you.
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