Supply and demand in a nutshell by Alfonso Moreno | Page 340 | Forex Factory

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Supply and demand in a nutshell by Alfonso Moreno

  • #6,781
  • Jan 11, 2016 5:08am Jan 11, 2016 5:08am
Brand new Daily supply formed on AUD/USD at 0.72ish nested within tested weekly supply. Price is now too low within tested Weekly Demand to go short on lower timeframes, unless weekly demand is taken out.

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Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #6,782
  • Jan 11, 2016 5:22am Jan 11, 2016 5:22am
Quoting Ivan-M
{quote} Hi, As for me I learned supply and demand by Alfonso Moreno here and also I was a member of his private community. What can I say? His system really works. I use it in my everyday trading. Yes, it's difficult. Yes, it needs many tests to understand it. I can not use all opportunities and signals provided by this system but I use only some of them which I understand and believe. So I'm sure that Alfonso will be able to prove his system and I hope he will do it and benefit from it.

Согласен.

That is, I want to say that I agree with you. )))) Alfonso's system is difficult, but it works.
  • #6,783
  • Jan 11, 2016 5:31am Jan 11, 2016 5:31am
Quoting conom589
{quote} Согласен. That is, I want to say that I agree with you. )))) Alfonso's system is difficult, but it works.
Who said trading was an easy thing? If it were easy we'd all be millionaires

Cheers,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #6,784
  • Jan 11, 2016 5:53am Jan 11, 2016 5:53am
Hi Alfonso

On the AUDUSD,

Can you please comment on the DBD around 0.7156 - 0.7213
i think it scores high since it took out 3 DZs once price left that zone.

many thanks
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #6,785
  • Jan 11, 2016 1:32pm Jan 11, 2016 1:32pm
Mr alfonso, 1 how can we said price is over extended ? just look at strong price action ?? or according to number of CP ??

2 which time is best for analysing market for pre plan the trade before they are triggerd ? is it just before europe market open or any other time ??



thanks .
  • #6,786
  • Jan 11, 2016 4:08pm Jan 11, 2016 4:08pm
Quoting sandunn
Mr alfonso, 1 how can we said price is over extended ? just look at strong price action ?? or according to number of CP ?? 2 which time is best for analysing market for pre plan the trade before they are triggerd ? is it just before europe market open or any other time ?? thanks .
That's all explained in the thread and in the videos my friend. Take your time to read the thread and watch the videos. I know it's long, but it's all there, you just have to do your homework, I can't do it for you. Cheers, Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #6,787
  • Jan 11, 2016 4:09pm Jan 11, 2016 4:09pm
Quoting Akt
Hi Alfonso On the AUDUSD, Can you please comment on the DBD around 0.7156 - 0.7213 i think it scores high since it took out 3 DZs once price left that zone. many thanks
That's another Daily CP supply I didn't draw, just drew the extreme which is highest odds, but yes that's another D1 SZ that has just been formed. Cheers, Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #6,788
  • Jan 12, 2016 7:02am Jan 12, 2016 7:02am
Gold M1 is down. Monthly demand zone in control.
W1 also in a down trend reacting to weekly demand zone nested withing the monthly demand in control.
D1 is in uptrend respecting demand zones and removing supply levels. A brand new demand level was creacted after removing an opposing supply weak level.
Daily is out of alignment.......
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  • #6,789
  • Jan 12, 2016 9:41am Jan 12, 2016 9:41am
Hello sympathy.
Thank you for your analysis. Insightful.
Can i comment on the long trade on the daily chart please....it can definitely work but I think it should be considered counter -trend and so be managed accordingly.
The daily is for now just re-aligning with the weekly and monthly downtrends.
Could be the start of something though.

thank you for allowing me to comment on your idea
best wishes
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #6,790
  • Jan 12, 2016 1:36pm Jan 12, 2016 1:36pm
Quoting Akt
Hello sympathy. Thank you for your analysis. Insightful. Can i comment on the long trade on the daily chart please....it can definitely work but I think it should be considered counter -trend and so be managed accordingly. The daily is for now just re-aligning with the weekly and monthly downtrends. Could be the start of something though. thank you for allowing me to comment on your idea best wishes
Yes you are right its a counter trend but it has to go that way for the daily to re-align with the bigger picture. Once the daily touches the above weekly supply that is where the realignment begins.THANKS.
  • #6,791
  • Jan 12, 2016 8:18pm Jan 12, 2016 8:18pm
Hello Godunk
Thank you for sharing your idea. If I may comment pls..
On EU,
4HR is down and has taken out a DZ (admittedly, not a great DZ but a DZ nonetheless). its that little rally-base rally on the way up.
Also, consider that if that Drop-base-drop you highlighted on the 4hr is supply then the rally base rally I am referring to must be supply because
it is the one that took out the RBR demand.
I took that short and exited yesterday

best wishes and good luck
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #6,792
  • Jan 12, 2016 9:23pm Jan 12, 2016 9:23pm
hi godunk, again thank you for your idea.

on GBPUSD...​

I have a similar analysis and agree that the 60min short is too low probability right now after such an extended run (3 or more CPs on daily chart)
I am looking at the DBD on the weekly chart that took out the 2015 lows for a swing short but would prefer it the current Weekly DZ is taken out first before that retracement
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #6,793
  • Jan 13, 2016 12:19am Jan 13, 2016 12:19am
Quoting godunk99
hello all this is my 1st analyze trade that m posting cause if i dont post m not gonna learn. m still learning n it will be great if i'd get any comments back. m doing lower time frame trades as for me m quite anxious to c the results. when m much more patient then may b i'll trade in the higher tf. OK. EU W1= down trend D1= down trend, supply in control, high in the curve about 50% H4= broke the up-trend line but not down trend yet waiting for it to take out the demand zone below it. H1= down trend, now m waiting for a supply at around the 2 violet...
Hello my friend,

Thread's rules DO NOT allow posting timeframes lower than H4. H1 timeframes are NOT allowed, can you please remove it and have that in mind so you don't post again? H1 is not a swing/position timeframe, so it's not allowed as per this thread's rules as mentioned in several places.

Thanks,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #6,794
  • Jan 13, 2016 12:21am Jan 13, 2016 12:21am
Quoting godunk99
GU W1= down trend but sitting on a weekly demand D1= down trend, but demand in control ? my chart can't go back anymore to see if there's any DZ but its sitting on a weekly DZ so i presume that it retest the DZ as well. too low in the curve to short. will have to wait for it to take out the weekly DZ b4 its tradable for shorts. H4= down trend H1= breaking of down trend with a SZ nicely formed on top m so tempted to take this SZ trade but its too late in the curve so is this how i should trade supply and demand? pls guilde me for i've used so many...
Same here, H1 charts are not allowed, you need to be removed. Please don't post any more H1 charts or rules will be applied. Thanks a lot for your comprehension.
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #6,795
  • Jan 13, 2016 2:21am Jan 13, 2016 2:21am
Quoting panoramia
{quote} Hello my friend, Thread's rules DO NOT allow posting timeframes lower than H4. H1 timeframes are NOT allowed, can you please remove it and have that in mind so you don't post again? H1 is not a swing/position timeframe, so it's not allowed as per this thread's rules as mentioned in several places. Thanks, Alfonso
Hi Alfonso,
Is this system doesn't work on lower timeframes?
  • #6,796
  • Jan 13, 2016 2:28am Jan 13, 2016 2:28am
Quoting Alehandro
{quote} Hi Alfonso, Is this system doesn't work on lower timeframes?
If you ask that question then you haven't read post #1 or watch any videos my friend!
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #6,797
  • Jan 13, 2016 3:49am Jan 13, 2016 3:49am
i must have missed out the rule, my apology then. i will remove them then. m anxious to learn from my analyses and see what i do right and wrong. and this set of time frame i can see the result faster that's all guys. well at least u guys give me some comments here about my analyses and then ask me to remove. that would be nice and kind. but well......

regards
  • #6,798
  • Jan 13, 2016 3:52am Jan 13, 2016 3:52am
thank you Akt for your response and kindness and m going through my chart upon what you said. m new so your comments r what i need. thanks again

cheers
  • #6,799
  • Jan 13, 2016 7:22am Jan 13, 2016 7:22am
Quoting godunk99
i must have missed out the rule, my apology then. i will remove them then. m anxious to learn from my analyses and see what i do right and wrong. and this set of time frame i can see the result faster that's all guys. well at least u guys give me some comments here about my analyses and then ask me to remove. that would be nice and kind. but well...... regards
Please upload a top down analysis with the lowest timeframe being H4 and myself or others will give you feedback. Have a nice day!
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #6,800
  • Jan 13, 2016 1:54pm Jan 13, 2016 1:54pm
NGAS M1 clearly in a down trend. Supply levels respected and demand levels removed.
W1 down, weekly supply level in control,
D1 realigning with the bigger picture with price bouncing off the daily supply level nested with the weekly supply level in control. price creacted a brand new D1 supply level after breaking the ascending trendline, Short is the way. Alfonso please correct my mistakes, Thanks Boss.
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