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Help Me Establish The GbpUsd After Dinner Club 40 replies

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The Club!

  • #20,561
  • Jan 7, 2016 5:57am Jan 7, 2016 5:57am
EURGBP pending sell order :
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  • #20,562
  • Jan 7, 2016 7:53am Jan 7, 2016 7:53am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} WTI still hanging around, but Brent is giving in. In aprox 2 months IAEA is going to implement nuclear deal for Iran, which means we are gona get additional 1+ milion barrels of Oil on markets. With that supply we can see Brent on 20 easily.
Yeah, the Saudis do not allow the Iranians to take over an "oil field".

D.P.
Hunting High and Low
  • #20,563
  • Edited 9:06am Jan 7, 2016 8:17am | Edited 9:06am
Nice topping pattern on ECAD, waiting for smaller retrace to short.
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In EU short 0858, tripple high break fail.

EDIT: closed EU +20, covered for gold loss before. In ECAD now 5300.
  • #20,564
  • Edited 11:35am Jan 7, 2016 10:05am | Edited 11:35am
Quoting janpec1000
Nice topping pattern on ECAD, waiting for smaller retrace to short. {image} In EU short 0858, tripple high break fail. EDIT: closed EU +20, covered for gold loss before. In ECAD now 5300.
ECAD +70.
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Short term topping on UCAD going on, will catch longs lower. In EU now 0843, risking 25 from ECAD targeting 0780-.

EDIT: Stoped on EU, looks like we go some more higher.
  • #20,565
  • Jan 7, 2016 11:48am Jan 7, 2016 11:48am
Quoting tahshoon
{quote} gold with 15 min chart: {image}

Hi Tahshoon,


have you backtested/optimized the moving averages for different instruments?
  • #20,566
  • Jan 7, 2016 1:41pm Jan 7, 2016 1:41pm
natural gas took back its trendline - oil/ng seem to have completely decoupled at this point
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Don't have an ego. Always question yourself and your ability.
  • #20,567
  • Jan 7, 2016 1:51pm Jan 7, 2016 1:51pm
Quoting RamsesII
natural gas took back its trendline - oil/ng seem to have completely decoupled at this point {image}
Winter is in so its common to expect ng to rise. This structure above is bull as long as there is no push back to current lows, then it would be heavy bear. Decoupling from NG and Brent mainly went with Ukraine cutoff+Syria stop-off. Dont think those two will have any correlation for next 2+ years.

EU higher, if this ressistance hits, i am selling, should give nice pips on retrace.
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  • #20,568
  • Jan 7, 2016 2:37pm Jan 7, 2016 2:37pm
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-0...lution-emerges

Goes to my previous point about cheap-debt support of US/Saudi Oil market comparing to budget faced economies. Forget those who merge the charts of all Oil producing nations into one, they dont know the system. Its like comparing Us farming economy to EMs. This is good example how 95% oil budgeted economy can still survive on massively underpriced Oil with "correct" system. Anyone who is selling Saudi BNDs for default is insane. First line of defense is petrodollar and second line is IMF, its going against taifun to sell that.
  • #20,569
  • Jan 7, 2016 3:13pm Jan 7, 2016 3:13pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} Hi Tahshoon, have you backtested/optimized the moving averages for different instruments?
hi infinitus
its my own strategy,its all about moving averages and nothing but MA
trading all pairs
the MA r for me the supports and the resistants
im developing this strategy for years
need a history data for the pairs i want to trade with
  • #20,570
  • Jan 7, 2016 4:14pm Jan 7, 2016 4:14pm
crude only 4% bulls left

SP500 5% bulls left
  • #20,571
  • Jan 7, 2016 6:57pm Jan 7, 2016 6:57pm
GOLD volume is really bullish ... i think we might see only shallow retrace, maybe around 1100/1102 area.

Weekly & Daily
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  • #20,572
  • Jan 8, 2016 3:36am Jan 8, 2016 3:36am
Sold EU, temporary topping structure.
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  • #20,573
  • Edited 4:43pm Jan 8, 2016 5:22am | Edited 4:43pm
for all members who asked
my strategy is very simple,based in moving averages , and these MA r based in fibo levels as numbers
for example : fibo levels r as u all know ,23.6,38.2,50.0,68.1,78.6,100.0
then 123.6,138.2,150.0,168.2,178.6,200.0,.... etc
my moving averages r according to these numbers r :
236,382,500,618 .... etc
the strongest levels r , i call them the heavy MA's
1000,1236,1382( or 1500),1618,1786,2000
according to time frame,as all know,bigger TF profits r bigger and vise versa
i use smoothed MA's,first touch to MA level is the strongest
u may face one problem,and its very important one, that u need the history data to any pair u want to trade with
bec. without these his. data the heavy MA's will not be in the right place in the chart
thats all
salam
p.s ,the tpl in the attachments
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Attached File(s)
File Type: mq4 AllAverages_v1-Labeled.mq4   7 KB | 293 downloads
File Type: tpl tahshoon.tpl   8 KB | 295 downloads
  • #20,574
  • Jan 8, 2016 10:27am Jan 8, 2016 10:27am
Crude count
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Don't have an ego. Always question yourself and your ability.
  • #20,575
  • Jan 8, 2016 12:25pm Jan 8, 2016 12:25pm
Quoting janpec1000
Sold EU, temporary topping structure. {image}
Closed after news +45.

Currently short Brent 34.00 SL 10 points. Also long USDTRY and ZAR, sadly didnt short MXN as it went down very strong. Looking to short gold if there is retrace. Holding +200 currently on those.
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Might be scaling in some long term (2+ years) positions (smaller with larger SL) on ZAR/TRY expecting large devaluation in that time frame eg 50+% drop.
  • #20,576
  • Jan 8, 2016 12:55pm Jan 8, 2016 12:55pm
Cuban ‘Hellfire’ missile crisis: US wants rocket back after it was accidently sent to Havana



They not only have a history of sending bacteria's and virus' abroad, now we have even proof that they are sending rockets to the wrong addresses
  • #20,577
  • Jan 8, 2016 1:29pm Jan 8, 2016 1:29pm
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-0...-4-eur-aapl-vr

New name for SNB: SHF ,Swiss hedge fund
  • #20,578
  • Jan 8, 2016 2:23pm Jan 8, 2016 2:23pm
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdat...-Em-There.aspx


EWI on Gold

nice analysis
  • #20,579
  • Jan 8, 2016 2:32pm Jan 8, 2016 2:32pm
Quoting infinitus
http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdat...-Em-There.aspx EWI on Gold nice analysis
By the way do you perhaps have some rought numbers of how many markets/instruments in terms of % correct when bull/bear ratio gets under 10% extreme? Would be interesting to get that info to get better grasp on it. Eventually ofcourse every market corrects, but what matters is once numbers hit extreme under 10%, it shouldnt take long to correct from there otherwise its a thing to count as fail of correction.
  • #20,580
  • Jan 8, 2016 3:11pm Jan 8, 2016 3:11pm
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-0...t-week-trading

Translated the worlds power engine for growth is in decline. If China has decline, everyone feels it. Difference between China and US/EU is however that later two can buy back their stocks indexes in pretty much 0 cost. Fairplay 0.0001, next update to come
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