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Help Me Establish The GbpUsd After Dinner Club 40 replies

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The Club!

  • #20,381
  • Dec 18, 2015 2:14am Dec 18, 2015 2:14am
Dear Janet, Explain This!
  • #20,382
  • Dec 18, 2015 3:38am Dec 18, 2015 3:38am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} Be careful with those statements, especially when betting and relying heavily on them: another myth busted: Gold & The Federal Funds Rate Nearly everytime someone talked about some correlation plays I was quick in pointing out that those work until they do not. How many times had we heard that Gold is a very good diversification play, that Gold would shine when stock markets etc. are in deep trouble. Robert Prechter once wrote a nice book about Gold, pointing out...
Pretty much agree with all points you made there. In fact i did consider some of them already, but the main part behind the reasoning i use is slow down of EMs (which is exception with this hike, as with historical hikes before there was no damage done to main world growth centers) which are large buyers of gold, additionally paper markets (in no historical hikes before we had paper markets, and especially paper markets that are 100 times larger in impact of PA than actual physical) and the institutions that are trading with paper are geting very much on the short side, and the hiking is only going to push them further short or outside of ETF longs. So those two reasons are the reasons you cannot see in any historical graph becouse simply they didnt existed before, and in current conditions they play massive part in construction of gold PA. Its important to add that becouse the author of that article forgot to mention that fact which in fact makes very significant difference.
  • #20,383
  • Dec 18, 2015 3:43am Dec 18, 2015 3:43am
http://news.forexlive.com/!/japans-s...moves-20151218

What is that suppose to mean? 200 pips move for that?
  • #20,384
  • Dec 18, 2015 4:05am Dec 18, 2015 4:05am
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-1...fare-big-reset

Great article, straight to the point. Petrodollar/treasury war mapping. Pretty much sums up why interest normalization will actually happen for USD. There is no coincidence why FED is hiking while US economy is in recesion.
  • #20,385
  • Dec 18, 2015 6:49am Dec 18, 2015 6:49am
Quoting janpec1000
http://news.forexlive.com/!/japans-s...moves-20151218 What is that suppose to mean? 200 pips move for that?
When you look at the last low around 116 a few days agorice went up in a 3 waves move, making it corrective.So the plan is to sell rallies.Look at the highest high weeks ago. From there on the drop so far is 3 waves down, then three waves up.Implication is: do not consider new highs too fast. Either we form a complex rather sidewaysCorrection here, or a sharp move lower in impulsive manner
  • #20,386
  • Dec 18, 2015 8:26am Dec 18, 2015 8:26am
Quoting andexQ
{quote} Today Gold is testing bottom with very high volume .. {image}

Strange,

that very high volume bar now disappear .... manipulation ?

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  • #20,387
  • Dec 18, 2015 11:26am Dec 18, 2015 11:26am
Can it get even more schizophrenic?

I mean: the German government was so much against Assad, especially when some "sources" told, years ago, that Assad had used barrel bombs or chemical weapons.

Hope, the German "Intelligence" have found the root of the chemical weapons in Turkey or Israel, as some evidence already showed.......


Hope springs eternal........


Syria Stunner: German Intelligence "Cooperating" With Assad, Berlin May Reopen Embassy In Damascus
  • #20,388
  • Dec 18, 2015 1:29pm Dec 18, 2015 1:29pm
Quoting infinitus
Can it get even more schizophrenic? I mean: the German government was so much against Assad, especially when some "sources" told, years ago, that Assad had used barrel bombs or chemical weapons. Hope, the German "Intelligence" have found the root of the chemical weapons in Turkey or Israel, as some evidence already showed....... Hope springs eternal........ Syria Stunner: German Intelligence "Cooperating" With Assad,...

Piece by piece it comes all together.......

"Secret" Norwegian Report Details ISIS-Turkey Oil Trade As UN Vows To "Cut Off" Terrorist "Funding Sources"
  • #20,389
  • Dec 18, 2015 1:31pm Dec 18, 2015 1:31pm
The show from Ukraine must go on

Full Transcript: Expletive-Loaded Shout-fest Ukraine Cabinet - Must See Video!!
http://russia-insider.com/en/politic...cedent/ri11914

Best
D.P.
Hunting High and Low
  • #20,390
  • Dec 18, 2015 2:01pm Dec 18, 2015 2:01pm
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
The show from Ukraine must go on Full Transcript: Expletive-Loaded Shout-fest Ukraine Cabinet - Must See Video!! http://russia-insider.com/en/politic...cedent/ri11914 Best D.P.



would it not be so sad, in the end.......
  • #20,391
  • Dec 18, 2015 2:19pm Dec 18, 2015 2:19pm
Ok, so we have conflict in Syria, Ukraine, tension on South China Sea & somewhere else, also .... Planet-X.

What a wonderful 'end of the' world, enjoy while you can

Inserted Video
  • #20,392
  • Dec 18, 2015 2:21pm Dec 18, 2015 2:21pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} would it not be so sad, in the end.......
Yes, it would...

it would be much worse

The sad thing, however, is that people are suffering... from THESE... doers

Best
D.P.
Hunting High and Low
  • #20,393
  • Dec 18, 2015 2:41pm Dec 18, 2015 2:41pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} Be careful with those statements, especially when betting and relying heavily on them: another myth busted: Gold & The Federal Funds Rate Nearly everytime someone talked about some correlation plays I was quick in pointing out that those work until they do not. How many times had we heard that Gold is a very good diversification play, that Gold would shine when stock markets etc. are in deep trouble. Robert Prechter once wrote a nice book about Gold, pointing out...

also nice article from EWI

http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdat...t-Awakens.aspx
  • #20,394
  • Dec 18, 2015 3:01pm Dec 18, 2015 3:01pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} also nice article from EWI http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdat...t-Awakens.aspx

Currently my view for mid-term (and maybe also to long-term) :

Gold is bullish - US Stock is bearish.
  • #20,395
  • Dec 18, 2015 3:10pm Dec 18, 2015 3:10pm
20+ Iraqi soldiers killed, 30 injured after US airstrike – Iraqi MP to Sputnik

WTF???

What is wrong with the US constantly attacking the WRONG targets?

Are they drunk, or does this all serve a purpose?
  • #20,396
  • Dec 18, 2015 3:11pm Dec 18, 2015 3:11pm
Quoting andexQ
{quote} Currently my view for mid-term (and maybe also to long-term) : Gold is bullish - US Stock is bearish.

same view here, my friend :-)
  • #20,397
  • Dec 18, 2015 3:13pm Dec 18, 2015 3:13pm
The Statist Mindset
  • #20,398
  • Dec 18, 2015 3:20pm Dec 18, 2015 3:20pm
Quoting infinitus
20+ Iraqi soldiers killed, 30 injured after US airstrike Iraqi MP to Sputnik WTF??? What is wrong with the US constantly attacking the WRONG targets? Are they drunk, or does this all serve a purpose?
Technically to tell it as how modern geopolitcal analysts put it: its a misstake. You invade country, kill million and then analysists will call it misstake. Kill 20 here and there another mistakes. 50 years ago war was a war, and by that agressor is by default criminal. Looks like something has changed in modern times to how things are called.
  • #20,399
  • Dec 18, 2015 3:23pm Dec 18, 2015 3:23pm
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
The show from Ukraine must go on Full Transcript: Expletive-Loaded Shout-fest Ukraine Cabinet - Must See Video!! http://russia-insider.com/en/politic...cedent/ri11914 Best D.P.
What is paning out atm in Ukraine is Yugoslavia war copy-paste model. The only difference was that Yugoslavian army was so weak that it was executed on so much smaller scale. And the people still call Yugoslavia war by default "civil war". And so will history call Ukraine war, even though that we know its full blown proxy war.
  • #20,400
  • Dec 18, 2015 3:25pm Dec 18, 2015 3:25pm
Quoting andexQ
{quote} Currently my view for mid-term (and maybe also to long-term) : Gold is bullish - US Stock is bearish.

GOLD

EW count weekly TF

we are in a wave 5 ending diagonal scenario. All waves develop as ABC

Inside of this red wave 5 we are in green wave 5

Inside green wave 5 we are either in the last moves down of wave A, or already in wave B up. Wave B up should ideally end in the 1100 to 1118 vicinity, before the last wave down concludes around roughly 1020-994

When we break below of 994, picture would get very bearish. In this case the green 4 may only be the green 2. But sentiment data do not support this view in my opinion.
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