What does FF think about the rate hike? Vote! | Forex Factory

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What does FF think about the rate hike? Vote!

  • #1
  • First Post: Dec 14, 2015 2:53pm Dec 14, 2015 2:53pm
Since the discussion about Dec possible rate hike is spread out over different threads, I decided to make on dedicated to the topic.

Feel free to contribute to the thread about anything that has to deal with the possible rate hike on Dec 16th.

IMO:
Rate hike: NO
Parity till end of the year: Long gone
  • #2
  • Dec 14, 2015 3:08pm Dec 14, 2015 3:08pm
rate hike with 50% point as a hike percentage not 25% point only
i am short target 1.04
all have a nice day
focus while relaxed to see better
  • #3
  • Edited 5:37pm Dec 14, 2015 3:42pm | Edited 5:37pm
Rate hike - No to 50bp, Yellen knows.
Reaction will not take it back down to 1.0520 within 24hrs of trading, most likely 'muted' when taken in context with Draghi's QE, will be bullish euro with immediate target 1.15 if no. Market is already skeptical even b4 this policy announcement.
How Yellen will carry out this implementation is more important to by how much.
  • #4
  • Dec 14, 2015 3:49pm Dec 14, 2015 3:49pm
Everyone absorbed but it is before Christmas boxing day which sales'news (jobs number and sales amount) and result actually boosts USD.
  • #5
  • Dec 14, 2015 3:53pm Dec 14, 2015 3:53pm
Not sure about FF, but MM has been dumping USD - http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/inte...n-to-fomc.html
Shit Happens
  • #6
  • Dec 14, 2015 4:34pm Dec 14, 2015 4:34pm
Quoting act333
Not sure about FF, but MM has been dumping USD - http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/inte...n-to-fomc.html
bookmarked this page wowzer,

I wonder what the past performance has been for CME ?
Learn, a forex trader must, unlearn and relearn he will.
  • #7
  • Dec 14, 2015 5:47pm Dec 14, 2015 5:47pm
Rate already priced in... It's the retail folk that are going drive the volatility.

I will watch, wait, and then trade the retrace. Fun times...
Follow me at andrewfx2020 (dot) com
  • #8
  • Dec 15, 2015 8:19am Dec 15, 2015 8:19am
Quoting act333
Not sure about FF, but MM has been dumping USD - http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/inte...n-to-fomc.html

FOMC Statement in 15 hours... :O Are they kidding?
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  • #9
  • Dec 15, 2015 5:47pm Dec 15, 2015 5:47pm
If anyone have read the news of Bernanke's speech about negative rate in the FF'news, the one would think Yellen will not have enough votes on rate-hike on the meeting.
http://www.forexfactory.com/news.php?do=news&id=570425
  • #10
  • Dec 15, 2015 7:27pm Dec 15, 2015 7:27pm
Yellen has no choice but to increase ir or questions will be asked regarding both china and us economies. Peace!
  • #11
  • Dec 16, 2015 6:28am Dec 16, 2015 6:28am
Banks are pretty much balanced again. ;-))

So anything could happen today.
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  • #12
  • Dec 16, 2015 6:33am Dec 16, 2015 6:33am
Quoting earlylearner
Yellen has no choice but to increase ir or questions will be asked regarding both china and us economies. Peace!
I think they will talk themselves out about not hiking like they always do, but the volatility is still gonna be huge imo, still not decided if I will trade it
  • #13
  • Dec 16, 2015 9:22am Dec 16, 2015 9:22am
Also what are your possible scenarios and targets for today and near future (till end of the year) ?
  • #14
  • Dec 16, 2015 10:49am Dec 16, 2015 10:49am
NO
  • #15
  • Last Post: Dec 16, 2015 1:43pm Dec 16, 2015 1:43pm
AS req of 0.025% to be 0.050
Let me fill my acount wallet then will take Ur advice
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