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Help Me Establish The GbpUsd After Dinner Club 40 replies

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The Club!

  • #20,301
  • Dec 8, 2015 4:54pm Dec 8, 2015 4:54pm
Quoting infinitus
Russia deploys S-400 missile defense systems in Arctic
Backed that by released documents previous year about 2016 NATO-Russia nuclear war, such info could be in great fear. And add to that all current events, it only spills to that oil. The only good side is that probably chances for nuke war are very unlikely, becouse even S-500 or any other shield system was not tested and probably cannot withstand full blown balistic attack. Aegis and Norad are joke to say at least. Petrodollar financial war therefore is what i tihnk will happen in first place.

BTW just to make clear why those s-400 were placed for.
  • #20,302
  • Dec 8, 2015 5:02pm Dec 8, 2015 5:02pm
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Wierd that Russia doesnt use something similar to C-130 planes of US, those "tomahawk" missiles are way too expensive since C-130 can do same job for 10 times less the price. I guess it might be due to fact that there is only 1 air base in Syria, and might be too risky for such plane to land. Or perhaps they dont even have such planes.

I think you mean the AC-130, didn't you?
  • #20,303
  • Dec 8, 2015 5:06pm Dec 8, 2015 5:06pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} I think you mean the AC-130, didn't you?
Ye ye.
  • #20,304
  • Dec 8, 2015 5:14pm Dec 8, 2015 5:14pm
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Ye ye.

think the price of them is between 100.000.000 and 200.000.000
  • #20,305
  • Dec 8, 2015 5:24pm Dec 8, 2015 5:24pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} think the price of them is between 100.000.000 and 200.000.000
Well as i said the point is in cost of ammo, not the cost of lunch-pads. Look at first cold war, Russia didnt lose Middle east proxy war due to low established lunch-pads but rather due to higher cost of low war financing, ammo and ground-fare in first place. Low oil budget came well in place to that, and what do we have now? Yep, same scenario. The difference is cold war 2 just started year ago, which means oil price has to stay here for long time due to good Russian debt %, thats why i think FED will rush in to help the chances going with rate hike to flip the table. Russian economy can slowly adjust to low oil price along with using capital reserves, but it cannot battle FED hikes, along with other EMs. So ill be either very wrong in 2 weeks, or correct.
  • #20,306
  • Dec 9, 2015 12:38am Dec 9, 2015 12:38am
https://www.popularresistance.org/us...ns-since-wwii/


  • #20,307
  • Dec 9, 2015 4:42am Dec 9, 2015 4:42am
Quoting janpec1000
Currently shorting EU, small positions, holding underwater atm -24.
Added to shorts, 0937
  • #20,308
  • Dec 9, 2015 10:12am Dec 9, 2015 10:12am
ECB's Nowotny Blames "Massive Failure Of Market Analysts" For Last Week's Unprecedented Hedge Fund Losses


The comedy continued when Nowotny said that "the ECB can and will not let itself be pushed by the markets," adding that "it’s not our job to correct wrong expectations of individuals” and “it wasn’t the view of the whole market."
Which, of course, was a lie because it was his very boss, Mario Draghi who just last Friday launched a massive rally in the market, when asked by Mervyn King the ECB's chair's Friday speech was "deliberately designed to try offset some of the reaction yesterday?" to which Draghi had a response that shocked every central bank watcher in its brutal honesty that all that matters to the ECB at this point is the market: "Not really... well, of course."
Dear ECB, if you can't get your story straight, please at least coordinate your lies - you are starting to look very much like amateurs.



Hilarious, isn't it?
  • #20,309
  • Dec 9, 2015 11:31am Dec 9, 2015 11:31am
Hi there, how is everyone?

Possibly two more lows in oil for ending diagonal to finish the multi-year correction.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Don't have an ego. Always question yourself and your ability.
  • #20,310
  • Dec 9, 2015 12:32pm Dec 9, 2015 12:32pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} Since the 0830 was overrun with ease, the 1070 might be in play keep in mind - the 1070 is only the outer boundary of a zone Personally I would feel uncomfortable with the price hitting 1070, because it would be around 60% retracement. A wave 4 typically retraces 38-50% of the wave 3. 50% is the 1009 If it goes higher, something may be wrong most likely (the count) {image}
It has gone over 1009. 50% .
I do not believe very much in this count...

http://clubdecapitales.com/elliottwa...el-objetivo-5/
  • #20,311
  • Dec 9, 2015 1:59pm Dec 9, 2015 1:59pm
Quoting RamsesII
Hi there, how is everyone? Possibly two more lows in oil for ending diagonal to finish the multi-year correction. {image}

Hi Ramses,

hope you are well. Long time no see no hear. What have you been doing?

Your count is one of my alternative counts I am following.

Crude had only 6% of bulls left on Monday.

Trying to make sense in the waves down from the around 51 high........
  • #20,312
  • Dec 9, 2015 2:32pm Dec 9, 2015 2:32pm
Quoting RamsesII
Hi there, how is everyone? Possibly two more lows in oil for ending diagonal to finish the multi-year correction. {image}
How can oil have correction, if OPEC just said they arent going to cut any production Mission impossible.
  • #20,313
  • Dec 9, 2015 2:42pm Dec 9, 2015 2:42pm
Quoting Lavanda
{quote} It has gone over 1009. 50% . I do not believe very much in this count... http://clubdecapitales.com/elliottwa...el-objetivo-5/

we can face many variants from here

A) we have an ABC (down) from the 1.18 top, which then is a bigger B or X wave

B) we have an 1-2-1-and now 2 from the 1.18 top

C) we have an ABC down from the 1.18 top, which will be the wave 1 down of an ending diagonal

D) the wave up now is the wave 4 up and should not violate 1087


around 1140 will be interesting


we should keep in mind, that the short EUR bet was and still is fairly one sided.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #20,314
  • Dec 9, 2015 2:45pm Dec 9, 2015 2:45pm
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} How can oil have correction, if OPEC just said they arent going to cut any production Mission impossible.
The fact that you believe this is exactly why it could happen. Oil has never been more bearish.

Oil could rally for a number of reasons including a major war in the Middle east, which appears to be developing.
Don't have an ego. Always question yourself and your ability.
  • #20,315
  • Dec 9, 2015 2:46pm Dec 9, 2015 2:46pm
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Added to shorts, 0937
Altough positions are small, DD is hitting it, -180 atm from lowest one. Thinking it again i started too early time wise.
  • #20,316
  • Dec 9, 2015 2:47pm Dec 9, 2015 2:47pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} Hi Ramses, hope you are well. Long time no see no hear. What have you been doing? Your count is one of my alternative counts I am following. Crude had only 6% of bulls left on Monday. Trying to make sense in the waves down from the around 51 high........
Glad to see you are keeping up! I'm well, focused on my business at the moment so no real time for trading.

I can't count it any other way- would you mind posting your main count?
Don't have an ego. Always question yourself and your ability.
  • #20,317
  • Dec 9, 2015 3:37pm Dec 9, 2015 3:37pm
Quoting RamsesII
{quote} Glad to see you are keeping up! I'm well, focused on my business at the moment so no real time for trading. I can't count it any other way- would you mind posting your main count?

here are the counts including historical count of USOil

http://singulorum001.blogspot.de/sea...%20long%20term


when we look at the last three waves down from the around 51, we see, that the first and second wave down are nearly equal

Unfortunately, the second wave up reaches in territory of the first wave down. The first wave down looks like an ABC. The second wave down looks more impulsive. Also, so far, the third wave down, looks impulsive.

So idea at the moment is, that the second and third wave down is an ABC for wave 3 of an ending diagonal. This wave 3 may terminate somewhere in the roughly 35 area. The following wave 4 should reach 42.57, but not more than 48.33. The wave 5 should terminate then in the 33-30 area.

After this probably sharp short squeeze at least to the 51 or even 62.5 area (wave 4 area of last wave 4 or wave 4 of one higher degree).

After that it will be decided, in which bigger count we are
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  • #20,318
  • Dec 9, 2015 3:56pm Dec 9, 2015 3:56pm
Whispers Of Liquidation As Oil Trading "God" Loses 10% In November; Down 26% In 2015


would this guy only have read the Club
  • #20,319
  • Dec 9, 2015 3:58pm Dec 9, 2015 3:58pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} here are the counts including historical count of USOil http://singulorum001.blogspot.de/sea...%20long%20term when we look at the last three waves down from the around 51, we see, that the first and second wave down are nearly equal Unfortunately, the second wave up reaches in territory of the first wave down. The first wave down looks like an ABC. The second wave down looks more impulsive. Also, so far, the third wave down, looks impulsive. So idea at the moment is, that the second and third wave down is an ABC for...

ups, wrong chart and no-one is complaining
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USOilDaily.png Size: 78 KB
  • #20,320
  • Dec 9, 2015 6:57pm Dec 9, 2015 6:57pm
Servicemen Contradict Military's Account Of Attack On MSF Hospital In Afghanistan
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