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EUR/USD: IntraDay Scalping and Short Term Swing Trading Only

  • #1,881
  • Nov 10, 2015 4:30am Nov 10, 2015 4:30am
Quoting KzX
{quote} I shorted CADJPY in the morning but closed it after a drop. The only tradable currency today was pound (buy). I am not sure how much more strength they have.
Even pound is strengthened due to EG. Thus the low range.
  • #1,882
  • Nov 10, 2015 4:36am Nov 10, 2015 4:36am
Quoting Pipologist
{quote} funny thing is...100p from here is actually feasible. this EUR/USD is real funny sometimes. there's probably enough short volume at spread out intervals that just the incremental covering would move this to 1.0820
Yup, that kind of moves are the best, I mean...come on...the whole world is short...
  • #1,883
  • Nov 10, 2015 4:38am Nov 10, 2015 4:38am
Quoting KzX
{quote} Yup, that kind of moves are the best, I mean...come on...the whole world is short...
Long 34, sl 29. It's been days

Quick kill (less than 5 min) -5 sl.
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  • #1,884
  • Nov 10, 2015 4:48am Nov 10, 2015 4:48am
Im L from 24, BE 24.5, gonna take a nap.

Edit: out, hehe, that was quick. Heroes die brave
  • #1,885
  • Nov 10, 2015 4:51am Nov 10, 2015 4:51am
Was reading here and was going to post how dangerously close to daily mp USDX was trading and the second I went to print the chart, the bugger spiked up big time, cost me 12p on releasing the long a second too late but made up for it with a quick short.

Lesson: Stinky PA is signal for counter price action.
  • #1,886
  • Nov 10, 2015 4:54am Nov 10, 2015 4:54am
btw this move is dollar related...will affect all USD pairs....see USDX
  • #1,887
  • Nov 10, 2015 4:55am Nov 10, 2015 4:55am
Let's see if we have a party at GU too? Some longer term trades here, aiming for 1.49-.

For EU will consider longing around there depending on interaction on 1-5m.
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  • #1,888
  • Nov 10, 2015 4:56am Nov 10, 2015 4:56am
Closed one out and went short again at 1.0704
  • #1,889
  • Nov 10, 2015 5:01am Nov 10, 2015 5:01am
This move has convinced me, especially in this environment, to track the USDX side and side with EURUSD, bar by bar, divergence by divergence
  • #1,890
  • Nov 10, 2015 5:11am Nov 10, 2015 5:11am
Distance from daily midpoint of USDX and EURUSD one bar prior to drop...RED line is daily mp. Although the relative distances were opposite, this kind of PA occurred before the 100+p drop a few days ago, where one was trading near mp and the other was several pips away...with opposing PA, normally they trade conversely...I had unconsciously shorted it then, this time I was one minute late to pick up on the cues...but managed to sneak a short in mid move mid bar...

a few min before, USJP was acting strange too like it didn't know wtf it wanted to do...

The market ALWAYS gives clues before quick violent moves

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  • #1,891
  • Nov 10, 2015 5:17am Nov 10, 2015 5:17am
Quoting Pipologist
Distance from daily midpoint of USDX and EURUSD one bar prior to drop...RED line is daily mp. Although the relative distances were opposite, this kind of PA occurred before the 100+p drop a few days ago, where one was trading near mp and the other was several pips away...with opposing PA, normally they trade conversely...I had unconsciously shorted it then, this time I was one minute late to pick up on the cues...but managed to sneak a short in mid move mid bar... {image} {image}
Think you should check 4hr pivots too.
  • #1,892
  • Nov 10, 2015 5:20am Nov 10, 2015 5:20am
That was a NEWS type reaction, although not huge, the only thing I could find was these 3 min before....

US The Retail Economist/Goldman Sachs Chain Store Sales +3.2% On Year

US The Retail Economist/Goldman Sachs Chain Store Sales +2.0% In Nov 7 Wk

this could be a prelude to more dollar strength

anyone have any more info regarding this?
  • #1,893
  • Nov 10, 2015 5:29am Nov 10, 2015 5:29am
next level down to look out for is 10685
  • #1,894
  • Nov 10, 2015 5:49am Nov 10, 2015 5:49am
Quoting Pipologist
That was a NEWS type reaction, although not huge, the only thing I could find was these 3 min before.... US The Retail Economist/Goldman Sachs Chain Store Sales +3.2% On Year US The Retail Economist/Goldman Sachs Chain Store Sales +2.0% In Nov 7 Wk this could be a prelude to more dollar strength anyone have any more info regarding this?
Seasonal Sales started around November first. The first to benefit are upscale chains due to the clientele. I know I've just about finished all my Christmas shopping. Women's clothing and larger scale durable goods are the first sections to benefit. Stores are also hiring seasonal help and have been since the first of the month. You also have a jump in retail the week before Halloween. You'd be amazed at how many people of all ages dress up for costume parties.
  • #1,895
  • Nov 10, 2015 7:00am Nov 10, 2015 7:00am
90 from top? I'm in for a bounce!

765-735-705-675
If they are willing to go lower > 660 > 645
  • #1,896
  • Nov 10, 2015 7:06am Nov 10, 2015 7:06am
Quoting KzX
90 from top? I'm in for a bounce! 765-735-705-675 If they are willing to go lower > 660 > 645
do you go long from here?
  • #1,897
  • Nov 10, 2015 7:09am Nov 10, 2015 7:09am
Quoting velit
{quote} do you go long from here?
From 675 - 90p from today's top
  • #1,898
  • Nov 10, 2015 8:02am Nov 10, 2015 8:02am
Quoting KzX
{quote} From 675 - 90p from today's top
  • #1,899
  • Edited 10:50am Nov 10, 2015 10:30am | Edited 10:50am
Short 19, sl 30, tp 90.

Closed be, too long and no action. Took it off dow.
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  • #1,900
  • Nov 10, 2015 1:10pm Nov 10, 2015 1:10pm
m30 h1 h4

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