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The Great Pumpkin

  • #81
  • Jul 17, 2015 2:53pm Jul 17, 2015 2:53pm
An idea for zulutrade followers. Regularly subscribe to top performers, but open contrarian trades. The idea is that current top performers are there just because of ludicrously lucky single or several trades that got them on top, and the particular inefficiency they are exploitiong disappears soon from the market which renders their strategy useless.
k
  • #82
  • Oct 12, 2015 2:33pm Oct 12, 2015 2:33pm
supply/demand+self-similar pattern recognition. West Texas oil.

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  • #83
  • Oct 12, 2015 3:45pm Oct 12, 2015 3:45pm
Similar pattern occuring on the 10-second timescale.

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  • #84
  • Oct 12, 2015 4:00pm Oct 12, 2015 4:00pm
If the self-similarity assumption holds with no clear reversal signs, tp at ~50. rr~1:10.

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  • #85
  • Oct 13, 2015 4:38am Oct 13, 2015 4:38am
Seems to still want to go down...
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  • #86
  • Oct 13, 2015 9:37am Oct 13, 2015 9:37am
Second attempt.
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  • #87
  • Oct 27, 2015 8:36am Oct 27, 2015 8:36am
A study of balance. The precise problematic point is 10 pips lower than my buy entry, but let us see how this develops.
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  • #88
  • Oct 27, 2015 9:24am Oct 27, 2015 9:24am
Quoting kprsa
A study of balance. The precise problematic point is 10 pips lower than my buy entry, but let us see how this develops. {image}
Reached, should have waited... Now I think it should bounce back way up.
  • #89
  • Oct 27, 2015 9:36am Oct 27, 2015 9:36am
A detail:

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  • #90
  • Oct 27, 2015 9:48am Oct 27, 2015 9:48am
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  • #91
  • Oct 27, 2015 10:03am Oct 27, 2015 10:03am
Quoting kprsa
{image}
Sweet call k, this is based on the theory of supply/demand imbalance?
"Mrrraggglhlhghghlgh"
  • #92
  • Oct 27, 2015 10:11am Oct 27, 2015 10:11am
Quoting LiquidGenius
{quote} Sweet call k, this is based on the theory of supply/demand imbalance?
In principle yes. Got some ideas rereading this strange old thread.
However the trade is still hanging (hopefully just a pullback), so I'll need to wait to place sl to breakeven.

k
  • #93
  • Oct 27, 2015 10:55am Oct 27, 2015 10:55am
Quoting kprsa
{quote} In principle yes. Got some ideas rereading this strange old thread. However the trade is still hanging (hopefully just a pullback), so I'll need to wait to place sl to breakeven. k
A thread that has your interest has mine as well, I will take a look, thanks!
"Mrrraggglhlhghghlgh"
  • #94
  • Oct 27, 2015 2:19pm Oct 27, 2015 2:19pm
Seems to be OK (so far). The next problem is timing. I know it only approximately.
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  • #95
  • Oct 27, 2015 2:24pm Oct 27, 2015 2:24pm
“One of the most astonishing calculations made by Mr. Gann was during last summer [1909] when he predicted that September Wheat would sell at $1.20. This meant that it must touch that figure before the end of the month of September. At twelve o’clock, Chicago time, on September 30th (the last day) the option was selling below $1.08, and it looked as though his prediction would not be fulfilled. Mr. Gann said, ‘If it does not touch $1.20 by the close of the market it will prove that there is something wrong with my whole method of calculation. I do not care what the price is now, it must go there.’ It is common history that September Wheat surprised the whole country by selling at $1.20 and no higher in the very last hour of trading, closing at that figure.”
Gann knew timing..
  • #96
  • Nov 3, 2015 9:44am Nov 3, 2015 9:44am
Quoting kprsa
One of the most astonishing calculations made by Mr. Gann was during last summer [1909] when he predicted that September Wheat would sell at $1.20. This meant that it must touch that figure before the end of the month of September. At twelve oclock, Chicago time, on September 30th (the last day) the option was selling below $1.08, and it looked as though his prediction would not be fulfilled. Mr. Gann said, If it does not touch $1.20 by the close of the market it will prove that there is something wrong with my whole method of calculation. I do...
Great post K. Can we use the Fan to get the time? May be Crossing with a specified Level?
Good friends are more valuable than gold ...
  • #97
  • Nov 3, 2015 10:17am Nov 3, 2015 10:17am
Quoting pedma
{quote} Great post K. Can we use the Fan to get the time? May be Crossing with a specified Level?
Do not know yet. Trying to study this in more detail. However, my levels as far as I can see sometimes work but sometimes not... So I am increasingly skeptical towards my initial idea...
  • #98
  • Nov 3, 2015 12:25pm Nov 3, 2015 12:25pm
I took a look at the thread, it was indeed strange.. I'm impressed you got something out of it! I didn't so unfortunately I have no ideas to offer.
"Mrrraggglhlhghghlgh"
  • #99
  • Nov 3, 2015 3:05pm Nov 3, 2015 3:05pm
OK, according to my crazy calculations, oil should continue rising till tomorrow morning another dollar from now, after which it should fall Thursday and Friday about 3.4 dollars. On Monday morning most likely it would bounce up and proceed up for about three years.
Anyway, let us see how tomorrow and Monday go.
k
  • #100
  • Jul 12, 2017 8:50am Jul 12, 2017 8:50am
Great threats kprsa ... May i know, does the estimation make it repaint ? Thanks in advance ...
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